Dolphin Ratings - National Hockey League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DUCKS          10  9 71 70 -0.044  9.174   17  0.004   17  0.004   19 -0.032   18 0.4994    1  1.484    2  0.490   31 -0.553 P
AVALANCHE      11  8 78 59 -0.048  8.894   14  0.062   14  0.058    5  0.179   16 0.5098    2  1.444    1  0.643   28 -0.285 P
KRAKEN          9  7 57 57 -0.048  7.705   16  0.034   16  0.037   20 -0.042   14 0.5112    3  1.386    6  0.340   30 -0.424 P
CANUCKS         3 17 56 90  0.047 10.797   32 -0.342   32 -0.352   31 -0.308   32 0.4222    4  1.356   17  0.031   32 -0.648 P
LIGHTNING      12  6 71 56  0.034  8.980    5  0.178    4  0.178    6  0.170    4 0.5380    5  1.330    3  0.474   21 -0.134 P
CAPITALS       10  6 56 53  0.079  8.435    8  0.144    7  0.142   12  0.060    6 0.5332    6  1.322    5  0.353   24 -0.233 P
MAMMOTH        10  9 66 68  0.086 10.129   13  0.063   12  0.061   15  0.025   11 0.5136    7  1.310    8  0.301   25 -0.251 P
MAPLE LEAFS     8 12 67 70 -0.011  9.944   25 -0.106   25 -0.108   21 -0.047   25 0.4742    8  1.267   10  0.172   27 -0.265 P
OILERS         14  6 81 58 -0.078  9.030    6  0.171    6  0.169    4  0.223    7 0.5329    9  1.213    4  0.370   12  0.075 P
PENGUINS        7 12 61 67  0.006  9.582   26 -0.133   27 -0.136   22 -0.049   26 0.4713   10  1.207   12  0.091   23 -0.189 P
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
SABRES          8 10 53 65 -0.071  8.628   23 -0.080   23 -0.078   27 -0.155   21 0.4839   11  1.175   18 -0.055   26 -0.254 P
BLUES           8 10 53 55  0.074  9.539   19 -0.033   19 -0.031   16 -0.000   19 0.4932   12  1.141   15  0.056   19 -0.057 P
HURRICANES     14  5 78 45 -0.058  8.605    2  0.217    2  0.214    1  0.289    2 0.5445   13  1.124    7  0.325    6  0.254 P
SENATORS       11  8 60 57 -0.043  9.099   12  0.067   13  0.061   14  0.033   12 0.5129   14  1.121   14  0.064   17  0.001 P
DEVILS         13  6 68 55  0.018  9.488    3  0.197    3  0.193    9  0.121    5 0.5371   15  1.116   11  0.146   10  0.095 P
CANADIENS      11  7 62 55 -0.052  8.508    9  0.088    9  0.084   10  0.071    9 0.5173   16  1.108   13  0.087   13  0.056 P
KINGS           5 11 45 55 -0.014  8.068   29 -0.175   29 -0.176   26 -0.147   29 0.4590   17  1.078   24 -0.169   20 -0.126 P
BLACKHAWKS      4 14 39 76  0.025  9.605   31 -0.261   31 -0.267   32 -0.388   31 0.4377   18  1.068   30 -0.422   29 -0.355 P
JETS            8 11 53 65  0.080 10.213   20 -0.053   20 -0.047   23 -0.077   20 0.4876   19  1.047   22 -0.136   18 -0.019 P
BRUINS         13  5 68 41  0.016  8.740    1  0.219    1  0.220    3  0.267    1 0.5485   20  1.037    9  0.197    4  0.338 P
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PANTHERS       10  9 60 56 -0.101  8.723   18 -0.013   18 -0.012   18 -0.028   17 0.5000   21  1.029   21 -0.108   14  0.052 P
GOLDEN KNIGHTS 13  7 69 54 -0.033  9.504    7  0.145    8  0.142    8  0.138    8 0.5297   22  1.013   16  0.038    7  0.237 P
SHARKS          8 13 53 74 -0.020 10.687   27 -0.140   26 -0.132   30 -0.259   27 0.4681   23  1.000   28 -0.374   22 -0.145 P
BLUE JACKETS    7  9 41 51  0.009  8.179   21 -0.059   21 -0.054   24 -0.143   22 0.4838   24  0.947   26 -0.318   15  0.032 P
ISLANDERS       7 10 49 52  0.027  8.691   22 -0.077   22 -0.074   17 -0.010   23 0.4793   25  0.935   25 -0.198    9  0.178 P
RANGERS        11  9 59 56  0.015 10.035   15  0.059   15  0.056   13  0.052   13 0.5122   26  0.920   23 -0.153    5  0.257 P
RED WINGS       7 12 51 59 -0.072  9.107   28 -0.160   28 -0.160   25 -0.144   28 0.4641   27  0.896   29 -0.376   11  0.089 P
FLAMES          8 11 47 66 -0.031  9.491   24 -0.090   24 -0.087   29 -0.205   24 0.4785   28  0.894   31 -0.439   16  0.029 P
PREDATORS      10  9 59 53  0.118 10.258   10  0.077   11  0.067    7  0.141   15 0.5111   29  0.888   20 -0.100    3  0.382 P
WILD           13  7 65 44  0.062 10.144    4  0.179    5  0.175    2  0.280    3 0.5414   30  0.783   19 -0.073    1  0.632 P
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
FLYERS          5 16 47 69  0.059 11.209   30 -0.260   30 -0.265   28 -0.160   30 0.4450   31  0.756   32 -0.541    8  0.221 P
STARS          10  7 49 41 -0.047  8.061   11  0.074   10  0.069   11  0.071   10 0.5153   32  0.724   27 -0.343    2  0.484 P

PACIFIC DIVISION
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DUCKS          10  9 71 70 -0.044  9.174   17  0.004   17  0.004   19 -0.032   18 0.4994    1  1.484    2  0.490   31 -0.553 P
KRAKEN          9  7 57 57 -0.048  7.705   16  0.034   16  0.037   20 -0.042   14 0.5112    3  1.386    6  0.340   30 -0.424 P
CANUCKS         3 17 56 90  0.047 10.797   32 -0.342   32 -0.352   31 -0.308   32 0.4222    4  1.356   17  0.031   32 -0.648 P
OILERS         14  6 81 58 -0.078  9.030    6  0.171    6  0.169    4  0.223    7 0.5329    9  1.213    4  0.370   12  0.075 P
KINGS           5 11 45 55 -0.014  8.068   29 -0.175   29 -0.176   26 -0.147   29 0.4590   17  1.078   24 -0.169   20 -0.126 P
GOLDEN KNIGHTS 13  7 69 54 -0.033  9.504    7  0.145    8  0.142    8  0.138    8 0.5297   22  1.013   16  0.038    7  0.237 P
SHARKS          8 13 53 74 -0.020 10.687   27 -0.140   26 -0.132   30 -0.259   27 0.4681   23  1.000   28 -0.374   22 -0.145 P
FLAMES          8 11 47 66 -0.031  9.491   24 -0.090   24 -0.087   29 -0.205   24 0.4785   28  0.894   31 -0.439   16  0.029 P

CENTRAL DIVISION
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
AVALANCHE      11  8 78 59 -0.048  8.894   14  0.062   14  0.058    5  0.179   16 0.5098    2  1.444    1  0.643   28 -0.285 P
MAMMOTH        10  9 66 68  0.086 10.129   13  0.063   12  0.061   15  0.025   11 0.5136    7  1.310    8  0.301   25 -0.251 P
BLUES           8 10 53 55  0.074  9.539   19 -0.033   19 -0.031   16 -0.000   19 0.4932   12  1.141   15  0.056   19 -0.057 P
BLACKHAWKS      4 14 39 76  0.025  9.605   31 -0.261   31 -0.267   32 -0.388   31 0.4377   18  1.068   30 -0.422   29 -0.355 P
JETS            8 11 53 65  0.080 10.213   20 -0.053   20 -0.047   23 -0.077   20 0.4876   19  1.047   22 -0.136   18 -0.019 P
PREDATORS      10  9 59 53  0.118 10.258   10  0.077   11  0.067    7  0.141   15 0.5111   29  0.888   20 -0.100    3  0.382 P
WILD           13  7 65 44  0.062 10.144    4  0.179    5  0.175    2  0.280    3 0.5414   30  0.783   19 -0.073    1  0.632 P
STARS          10  7 49 41 -0.047  8.061   11  0.074   10  0.069   11  0.071   10 0.5153   32  0.724   27 -0.343    2  0.484 P

METROPOLITAN DIVISION
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CAPITALS       10  6 56 53  0.079  8.435    8  0.144    7  0.142   12  0.060    6 0.5332    6  1.322    5  0.353   24 -0.233 P
PENGUINS        7 12 61 67  0.006  9.582   26 -0.133   27 -0.136   22 -0.049   26 0.4713   10  1.207   12  0.091   23 -0.189 P
HURRICANES     14  5 78 45 -0.058  8.605    2  0.217    2  0.214    1  0.289    2 0.5445   13  1.124    7  0.325    6  0.254 P
DEVILS         13  6 68 55  0.018  9.488    3  0.197    3  0.193    9  0.121    5 0.5371   15  1.116   11  0.146   10  0.095 P
BLUE JACKETS    7  9 41 51  0.009  8.179   21 -0.059   21 -0.054   24 -0.143   22 0.4838   24  0.947   26 -0.318   15  0.032 P
ISLANDERS       7 10 49 52  0.027  8.691   22 -0.077   22 -0.074   17 -0.010   23 0.4793   25  0.935   25 -0.198    9  0.178 P
RANGERS        11  9 59 56  0.015 10.035   15  0.059   15  0.056   13  0.052   13 0.5122   26  0.920   23 -0.153    5  0.257 P
FLYERS          5 16 47 69  0.059 11.209   30 -0.260   30 -0.265   28 -0.160   30 0.4450   31  0.756   32 -0.541    8  0.221 P

ATLANTIC DIVISION
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
LIGHTNING      12  6 71 56  0.034  8.980    5  0.178    4  0.178    6  0.170    4 0.5380    5  1.330    3  0.474   21 -0.134 P
MAPLE LEAFS     8 12 67 70 -0.011  9.944   25 -0.106   25 -0.108   21 -0.047   25 0.4742    8  1.267   10  0.172   27 -0.265 P
SABRES          8 10 53 65 -0.071  8.628   23 -0.080   23 -0.078   27 -0.155   21 0.4839   11  1.175   18 -0.055   26 -0.254 P
SENATORS       11  8 60 57 -0.043  9.099   12  0.067   13  0.061   14  0.033   12 0.5129   14  1.121   14  0.064   17  0.001 P
CANADIENS      11  7 62 55 -0.052  8.508    9  0.088    9  0.084   10  0.071    9 0.5173   16  1.108   13  0.087   13  0.056 P
BRUINS         13  5 68 41  0.016  8.740    1  0.219    1  0.220    3  0.267    1 0.5485   20  1.037    9  0.197    4  0.338 P
PANTHERS       10  9 60 56 -0.101  8.723   18 -0.013   18 -0.012   18 -0.028   17 0.5000   21  1.029   21 -0.108   14  0.052 P
RED WINGS       7 12 51 59 -0.072  9.107   28 -0.160   28 -0.160   25 -0.144   28 0.4641   27  0.896   29 -0.376   11  0.089 P

DIVISION               W  L   PCT  RNK RATING
CENTRAL DIVISION      74 75 0.497    1  0.062
ATLANTIC DIVISION     80 69 0.537    2  0.042
METROPOLITAN DIVISION 74 73 0.503    3  0.038
PACIFIC DIVISION      70 81 0.464    4 -0.150

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.096 points in main ratings (0.079 for semineutral)
     0.013 points in improved RPI (0.008 for semineutral)
Average of 1.00 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Thu Nov 12 05:30:16 2026
games through: Wed Nov 11 2026

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