Dolphin Ratings - National Hockey League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CANADIENS      12 10 76 79 -0.084 10.319   15  0.006   15  0.010   22 -0.046   15 0.5033    1  1.339    2  0.306   30 -0.397
MAPLE LEAFS    10 13 76 83 -0.118 10.515   29 -0.075   28 -0.074   26 -0.084   27 0.4744    2  1.318    5  0.239   31 -0.408
CANUCKS        10 14 76 90 -0.041 11.848   26 -0.068   26 -0.065   29 -0.111   29 0.4726    3  1.307    6  0.198   32 -0.420
DUCKS          14  9 84 74  0.062 12.011    4  0.086    4  0.089    9  0.053    3 0.5349    4  1.285    1  0.332   27 -0.227
OILERS         10 15 77 95 -0.004 12.634   27 -0.072   27 -0.072   27 -0.086   26 0.4784    5  1.253    9  0.150   29 -0.322
SENATORS       12 11 75 74  0.008 11.600   13  0.018   12  0.018   16  0.007   12 0.5074    6  1.207    7  0.184   24 -0.169
HURRICANES     14  9 80 69  0.069 12.031    3  0.092    3  0.094    5  0.085    4 0.5336    7  1.193    4  0.243   20 -0.074
JETS           12 10 70 63 -0.025 10.782   11  0.025   11  0.025   17  0.003   13 0.5049    8  1.186    8  0.153   22 -0.146
SABRES          9 14 73 79 -0.004 11.578   28 -0.073   29 -0.075   23 -0.047   28 0.4729    9  1.183   13  0.099   26 -0.192
PANTHERS       12 11 72 72  0.006 11.589   12  0.019   13  0.018   18 -0.008   10 0.5092   10  1.174   12  0.126   21 -0.141
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BLUES           7 17 63 88 -0.082 11.413   32 -0.164   32 -0.166   30 -0.140   32 0.4407   11  1.140   24 -0.049   28 -0.232
RED WINGS      13 11 72 80 -0.089 11.283   17  0.004   17  0.007   28 -0.097   16 0.5021   12  1.139   19 -0.007   25 -0.186
STARS          15  9 83 67 -0.024 11.613    6  0.079    6  0.081    4  0.092    6 0.5278   13  1.098   11  0.131   15  0.053
CAPITALS       13 11 80 66  0.026 12.131    9  0.039    9  0.036    3  0.100    9 0.5136   14  1.097   10  0.138   14  0.061
SHARKS         11 13 68 78  0.081 12.900   19 -0.006   19 -0.003   24 -0.049   18 0.4998   15  1.078   22 -0.033   19 -0.064
BRUINS         14 11 78 78  0.110 13.570    7  0.074    7  0.076   12  0.041    7 0.5259   16  1.077   14  0.055   17  0.027
PREDATORS       7 16 58 84 -0.031 11.512   30 -0.139   30 -0.137   32 -0.164   30 0.4517   17  1.054   27 -0.177   23 -0.150
DEVILS         15  8 72 69  0.084 12.211    2  0.123    2  0.128   10  0.047    2 0.5470   18  1.040   17  0.017   13  0.077
GOLDEN KNIGHTS 10 13 71 69  0.049 11.892   23 -0.031   23 -0.031    8  0.054   23 0.4901   19  1.037   16  0.020   12  0.087
MAMMOTH        12 12 74 72  0.019 12.165   16  0.005   16  0.008   15  0.017   19 0.4988   20  1.037   20 -0.017   16  0.051
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PENGUINS       11 11 68 60 -0.055 10.426   20 -0.011   20 -0.015    6  0.061   20 0.4944   21  1.022   18  0.009   10  0.113
BLUE JACKETS   11 13 70 78 -0.039 11.776   24 -0.036   24 -0.038   25 -0.077   24 0.4860   22  1.017   26 -0.135   18 -0.019
BLACKHAWKS     10 13 72 66 -0.038 11.090   25 -0.051   25 -0.055   13  0.035   25 0.4801   23  1.012   21 -0.029   11  0.098
AVALANCHE      17  6 94 50  0.051 11.579    1  0.182    1  0.174    1  0.318    1 0.5639   24  1.007    3  0.249    2  0.387
LIGHTNING      14  9 74 61  0.045 11.735    5  0.083    5  0.083    2  0.110    5 0.5302   25  1.005   15  0.039    7  0.182
ISLANDERS      13 11 72 69  0.056 12.495    8  0.043    8  0.044   11  0.041    8 0.5187   26  1.001   23 -0.035    8  0.118
WILD           13 11 72 67  0.002 11.942   10  0.032   10  0.030    7  0.058   11 0.5084   27  0.937   25 -0.091    6  0.208
FLYERS         12 10 64 61 -0.074 10.397   14  0.009   14  0.012   20 -0.028   14 0.5046   28  0.846   28 -0.279    5  0.222
FLAMES          8 17 60 78 -0.078 11.936   31 -0.151   31 -0.150   31 -0.145   31 0.4455   29  0.837   31 -0.404    9  0.115
RANGERS        12 13 65 65 -0.023 12.352   21 -0.020   22 -0.019   21 -0.035   22 0.4921   30  0.757   30 -0.378    4  0.308
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
KINGS          11 12 62 64  0.051 11.961   18 -0.001   18 -0.001   14  0.026   17 0.5002   31  0.755   29 -0.319    3  0.371
KRAKEN         11 12 59 62 -0.019 11.354   22 -0.021   21 -0.019   19 -0.010   21 0.4936   32  0.684   32 -0.427    1  0.407

PACIFIC DIVISION
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CANUCKS        10 14 76 90 -0.041 11.848   26 -0.068   26 -0.065   29 -0.111   29 0.4726    3  1.307    6  0.198   32 -0.420
DUCKS          14  9 84 74  0.062 12.011    4  0.086    4  0.089    9  0.053    3 0.5349    4  1.285    1  0.332   27 -0.227
OILERS         10 15 77 95 -0.004 12.634   27 -0.072   27 -0.072   27 -0.086   26 0.4784    5  1.253    9  0.150   29 -0.322
SHARKS         11 13 68 78  0.081 12.900   19 -0.006   19 -0.003   24 -0.049   18 0.4998   15  1.078   22 -0.033   19 -0.064
GOLDEN KNIGHTS 10 13 71 69  0.049 11.892   23 -0.031   23 -0.031    8  0.054   23 0.4901   19  1.037   16  0.020   12  0.087
FLAMES          8 17 60 78 -0.078 11.936   31 -0.151   31 -0.150   31 -0.145   31 0.4455   29  0.837   31 -0.404    9  0.115
KINGS          11 12 62 64  0.051 11.961   18 -0.001   18 -0.001   14  0.026   17 0.5002   31  0.755   29 -0.319    3  0.371
KRAKEN         11 12 59 62 -0.019 11.354   22 -0.021   21 -0.019   19 -0.010   21 0.4936   32  0.684   32 -0.427    1  0.407

CENTRAL DIVISION
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
JETS           12 10 70 63 -0.025 10.782   11  0.025   11  0.025   17  0.003   13 0.5049    8  1.186    8  0.153   22 -0.146
BLUES           7 17 63 88 -0.082 11.413   32 -0.164   32 -0.166   30 -0.140   32 0.4407   11  1.140   24 -0.049   28 -0.232
STARS          15  9 83 67 -0.024 11.613    6  0.079    6  0.081    4  0.092    6 0.5278   13  1.098   11  0.131   15  0.053
PREDATORS       7 16 58 84 -0.031 11.512   30 -0.139   30 -0.137   32 -0.164   30 0.4517   17  1.054   27 -0.177   23 -0.150
MAMMOTH        12 12 74 72  0.019 12.165   16  0.005   16  0.008   15  0.017   19 0.4988   20  1.037   20 -0.017   16  0.051
BLACKHAWKS     10 13 72 66 -0.038 11.090   25 -0.051   25 -0.055   13  0.035   25 0.4801   23  1.012   21 -0.029   11  0.098
AVALANCHE      17  6 94 50  0.051 11.579    1  0.182    1  0.174    1  0.318    1 0.5639   24  1.007    3  0.249    2  0.387
WILD           13 11 72 67  0.002 11.942   10  0.032   10  0.030    7  0.058   11 0.5084   27  0.937   25 -0.091    6  0.208

METROPOLITAN DIVISION
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
HURRICANES     14  9 80 69  0.069 12.031    3  0.092    3  0.094    5  0.085    4 0.5336    7  1.193    4  0.243   20 -0.074
CAPITALS       13 11 80 66  0.026 12.131    9  0.039    9  0.036    3  0.100    9 0.5136   14  1.097   10  0.138   14  0.061
DEVILS         15  8 72 69  0.084 12.211    2  0.123    2  0.128   10  0.047    2 0.5470   18  1.040   17  0.017   13  0.077
PENGUINS       11 11 68 60 -0.055 10.426   20 -0.011   20 -0.015    6  0.061   20 0.4944   21  1.022   18  0.009   10  0.113
BLUE JACKETS   11 13 70 78 -0.039 11.776   24 -0.036   24 -0.038   25 -0.077   24 0.4860   22  1.017   26 -0.135   18 -0.019
ISLANDERS      13 11 72 69  0.056 12.495    8  0.043    8  0.044   11  0.041    8 0.5187   26  1.001   23 -0.035    8  0.118
FLYERS         12 10 64 61 -0.074 10.397   14  0.009   14  0.012   20 -0.028   14 0.5046   28  0.846   28 -0.279    5  0.222
RANGERS        12 13 65 65 -0.023 12.352   21 -0.020   22 -0.019   21 -0.035   22 0.4921   30  0.757   30 -0.378    4  0.308

ATLANTIC DIVISION
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CANADIENS      12 10 76 79 -0.084 10.319   15  0.006   15  0.010   22 -0.046   15 0.5033    1  1.339    2  0.306   30 -0.397
MAPLE LEAFS    10 13 76 83 -0.118 10.515   29 -0.075   28 -0.074   26 -0.084   27 0.4744    2  1.318    5  0.239   31 -0.408
SENATORS       12 11 75 74  0.008 11.600   13  0.018   12  0.018   16  0.007   12 0.5074    6  1.207    7  0.184   24 -0.169
SABRES          9 14 73 79 -0.004 11.578   28 -0.073   29 -0.075   23 -0.047   28 0.4729    9  1.183   13  0.099   26 -0.192
PANTHERS       12 11 72 72  0.006 11.589   12  0.019   13  0.018   18 -0.008   10 0.5092   10  1.174   12  0.126   21 -0.141
RED WINGS      13 11 72 80 -0.089 11.283   17  0.004   17  0.007   28 -0.097   16 0.5021   12  1.139   19 -0.007   25 -0.186
BRUINS         14 11 78 78  0.110 13.570    7  0.074    7  0.076   12  0.041    7 0.5259   16  1.077   14  0.055   17  0.027
LIGHTNING      14  9 74 61  0.045 11.735    5  0.083    5  0.083    2  0.110    5 0.5302   25  1.005   15  0.039    7  0.182

DIVISION                W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
CENTRAL DIVISION       93  94 0.497    1  0.067
METROPOLITAN DIVISION 101  86 0.540    2  0.065
ATLANTIC DIVISION      96  90 0.516    3 -0.045
PACIFIC DIVISION       85 105 0.447    4 -0.088

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.061 points in main ratings (0.079 for semineutral)
     0.009 points in improved RPI (0.008 for semineutral)
Average of 1.00 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Thu Nov 27 05:30:09 2025
games through: Wed Nov 26 2025

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