Dolphin Ratings - National Hockey League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DUCKS          43 39 273 288 -0.027 40.400   15  0.014   15  0.020   24 -0.104   15 0.5029    1  1.283    9  0.142   31 -0.351
PENGUINS       41 42 295 271  0.011 41.858   17  0.003   17 -0.002   10  0.101   17 0.5004    2  1.272    1  0.333   26 -0.131
OILERS         41 41 282 269 -0.025 40.230   20 -0.009   20 -0.016   13  0.040   20 0.4971    3  1.246    6  0.238   27 -0.157
MAPLE LEAFS    32 50 253 299  0.017 41.887   30 -0.175   30 -0.164   28 -0.140   30 0.4757    4  1.234   15  0.042   30 -0.322
SHARKS         39 43 251 292 -0.021 40.693   22 -0.045   22 -0.052   29 -0.169   22 0.4916    5  1.212   18 -0.017   29 -0.322
CANADIENS      48 34 283 256  0.018 41.582    6  0.155    6  0.148    8  0.109    6 0.5227    6  1.187    7  0.229   21 -0.011
PANTHERS       40 42 251 276  0.017 41.806   19 -0.005   18 -0.009   22 -0.078   19 0.4990    7  1.186   16  0.041   28 -0.197
HURRICANES     54 29 298 240  0.009 41.695    2  0.249    2  0.249    3  0.202    2 0.5378    8  1.164    3  0.293    8  0.111
SABRES         50 32 288 241  0.012 41.314    3  0.198    3  0.184    4  0.182    4 0.5284    9  1.163    5  0.272    9  0.092
CANUCKS        25 57 216 316 -0.016 41.099   32 -0.311   32 -0.325   32 -0.385   32 0.4508   10  1.158   29 -0.302   32 -0.468
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
LIGHTNING      50 32 290 231  0.013 41.298    4  0.197    4  0.182    2  0.215    3 0.5287   11  1.138    4  0.273    5  0.157
SENATORS       44 39 278 248  0.013 41.893    9  0.049   10  0.057    7  0.129    9 0.5094   12  1.133    8  0.181   11  0.077
BRUINS         45 37 272 250  0.020 41.649    8  0.080    8  0.089    9  0.103    8 0.5143   13  1.123   10  0.142   12  0.063
PREDATORS      38 44 247 269 -0.007 41.052   23 -0.052   23 -0.063   23 -0.093   23 0.4897   14  1.120   20 -0.058   25 -0.129
MAMMOTH        43 39 268 240 -0.010 40.721   13  0.025   13  0.032   12  0.060   14 0.5044   15  1.102   14  0.073   13  0.046
CAPITALS       43 39 263 244  0.007 41.256   11  0.035   12  0.042   11  0.092   11 0.5074   16  1.101   13  0.104   10  0.080
GOLDEN KNIGHTS 39 43 265 250 -0.020 40.399   21 -0.036   21 -0.051   14  0.038   21 0.4917   17  1.085   17  0.031   14  0.045
WILD           47 36 278 241 -0.007 41.178    7  0.094    7  0.101    6  0.143    7 0.5148   18  1.082   11  0.132    6  0.154
STARS          50 33 280 232 -0.005 41.238    5  0.172    5  0.161    5  0.165    5 0.5236   19  1.056   12  0.123    2  0.207
BLUE JACKETS   40 42 253 253  0.015 41.648   18 -0.005   19 -0.010   16 -0.005   18 0.4992   20  1.053   19 -0.050   15  0.040
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
AVALANCHE      55 27 302 203 -0.012 40.227    1  0.263    1  0.267    1  0.383    1 0.5398   21  1.041    2  0.323    1  0.443
RED WINGS      41 41 241 258  0.015 41.693   16  0.008   16  0.010   18 -0.046   16 0.5018   22  1.029   22 -0.119   17  0.028
BLUES          37 45 231 258 -0.015 40.721   24 -0.075   24 -0.086   19 -0.061   24 0.4862   23  1.025   23 -0.140   18  0.018
JETS           35 47 231 260 -0.005 41.137   25 -0.118   25 -0.120   26 -0.116   26 0.4811   24  1.020   26 -0.200   23 -0.032
RANGERS        34 48 238 250  0.018 41.818   26 -0.122   26 -0.124   20 -0.063   25 0.4816   25  1.008   24 -0.161   16  0.036
KRAKEN         34 48 226 263 -0.019 40.710   29 -0.157   29 -0.150   27 -0.136   29 0.4770   26  0.994   28 -0.251   22 -0.021
DEVILS         42 40 230 254  0.018 41.874   14  0.021   14  0.030   25 -0.110   13 0.5050   27  0.989   27 -0.231   19  0.010
BLACKHAWKS     29 53 213 275 -0.011 41.061   31 -0.244   31 -0.242   31 -0.220   31 0.4629   28  0.983   31 -0.347   24 -0.093
FLYERS         44 39 253 245  0.018 42.192   10  0.047    9  0.060   15  0.031   10 0.5092   29  0.974   21 -0.106    4  0.169
ISLANDERS      43 39 233 241  0.010 41.506   12  0.033   11  0.045   17 -0.023   12 0.5074   30  0.942   25 -0.198    7  0.152
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
FLAMES         34 48 212 259 -0.015 40.891   28 -0.156   28 -0.147   30 -0.187   28 0.4774   31  0.928   32 -0.377   20  0.004
KINGS          35 47 225 247 -0.024 40.444   27 -0.132   27 -0.132   21 -0.070   27 0.4796   32  0.867   30 -0.328    3  0.189

PACIFIC DIVISION
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DUCKS          43 39 273 288 -0.027 40.400   15  0.014   15  0.020   24 -0.104   15 0.5029    1  1.283    9  0.142   31 -0.351
OILERS         41 41 282 269 -0.025 40.230   20 -0.009   20 -0.016   13  0.040   20 0.4971    3  1.246    6  0.238   27 -0.157
SHARKS         39 43 251 292 -0.021 40.693   22 -0.045   22 -0.052   29 -0.169   22 0.4916    5  1.212   18 -0.017   29 -0.322
CANUCKS        25 57 216 316 -0.016 41.099   32 -0.311   32 -0.325   32 -0.385   32 0.4508   10  1.158   29 -0.302   32 -0.468
GOLDEN KNIGHTS 39 43 265 250 -0.020 40.399   21 -0.036   21 -0.051   14  0.038   21 0.4917   17  1.085   17  0.031   14  0.045
KRAKEN         34 48 226 263 -0.019 40.710   29 -0.157   29 -0.150   27 -0.136   29 0.4770   26  0.994   28 -0.251   22 -0.021
FLAMES         34 48 212 259 -0.015 40.891   28 -0.156   28 -0.147   30 -0.187   28 0.4774   31  0.928   32 -0.377   20  0.004
KINGS          35 47 225 247 -0.024 40.444   27 -0.132   27 -0.132   21 -0.070   27 0.4796   32  0.867   30 -0.328    3  0.189

CENTRAL DIVISION
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PREDATORS      38 44 247 269 -0.007 41.052   23 -0.052   23 -0.063   23 -0.093   23 0.4897   14  1.120   20 -0.058   25 -0.129
MAMMOTH        43 39 268 240 -0.010 40.721   13  0.025   13  0.032   12  0.060   14 0.5044   15  1.102   14  0.073   13  0.046
WILD           47 36 278 241 -0.007 41.178    7  0.094    7  0.101    6  0.143    7 0.5148   18  1.082   11  0.132    6  0.154
STARS          50 33 280 232 -0.005 41.238    5  0.172    5  0.161    5  0.165    5 0.5236   19  1.056   12  0.123    2  0.207
AVALANCHE      55 27 302 203 -0.012 40.227    1  0.263    1  0.267    1  0.383    1 0.5398   21  1.041    2  0.323    1  0.443
BLUES          37 45 231 258 -0.015 40.721   24 -0.075   24 -0.086   19 -0.061   24 0.4862   23  1.025   23 -0.140   18  0.018
JETS           35 47 231 260 -0.005 41.137   25 -0.118   25 -0.120   26 -0.116   26 0.4811   24  1.020   26 -0.200   23 -0.032
BLACKHAWKS     29 53 213 275 -0.011 41.061   31 -0.244   31 -0.242   31 -0.220   31 0.4629   28  0.983   31 -0.347   24 -0.093

METROPOLITAN DIVISION
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PENGUINS       41 42 295 271  0.011 41.858   17  0.003   17 -0.002   10  0.101   17 0.5004    2  1.272    1  0.333   26 -0.131
HURRICANES     54 29 298 240  0.009 41.695    2  0.249    2  0.249    3  0.202    2 0.5378    8  1.164    3  0.293    8  0.111
CAPITALS       43 39 263 244  0.007 41.256   11  0.035   12  0.042   11  0.092   11 0.5074   16  1.101   13  0.104   10  0.080
BLUE JACKETS   40 42 253 253  0.015 41.648   18 -0.005   19 -0.010   16 -0.005   18 0.4992   20  1.053   19 -0.050   15  0.040
RANGERS        34 48 238 250  0.018 41.818   26 -0.122   26 -0.124   20 -0.063   25 0.4816   25  1.008   24 -0.161   16  0.036
DEVILS         42 40 230 254  0.018 41.874   14  0.021   14  0.030   25 -0.110   13 0.5050   27  0.989   27 -0.231   19  0.010
FLYERS         44 39 253 245  0.018 42.192   10  0.047    9  0.060   15  0.031   10 0.5092   29  0.974   21 -0.106    4  0.169
ISLANDERS      43 39 233 241  0.010 41.506   12  0.033   11  0.045   17 -0.023   12 0.5074   30  0.942   25 -0.198    7  0.152

ATLANTIC DIVISION
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
MAPLE LEAFS    32 50 253 299  0.017 41.887   30 -0.175   30 -0.164   28 -0.140   30 0.4757    4  1.234   15  0.042   30 -0.322
CANADIENS      48 34 283 256  0.018 41.582    6  0.155    6  0.148    8  0.109    6 0.5227    6  1.187    7  0.229   21 -0.011
PANTHERS       40 42 251 276  0.017 41.806   19 -0.005   18 -0.009   22 -0.078   19 0.4990    7  1.186   16  0.041   28 -0.197
SABRES         50 32 288 241  0.012 41.314    3  0.198    3  0.184    4  0.182    4 0.5284    9  1.163    5  0.272    9  0.092
LIGHTNING      50 32 290 231  0.013 41.298    4  0.197    4  0.182    2  0.215    3 0.5287   11  1.138    4  0.273    5  0.157
SENATORS       44 39 278 248  0.013 41.893    9  0.049   10  0.057    7  0.129    9 0.5094   12  1.133    8  0.181   11  0.077
BRUINS         45 37 272 250  0.020 41.649    8  0.080    8  0.089    9  0.103    8 0.5143   13  1.123   10  0.142   12  0.063
RED WINGS      41 41 241 258  0.015 41.693   16  0.008   16  0.010   18 -0.046   16 0.5018   22  1.029   22 -0.119   17  0.028

DIVISION                W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
ATLANTIC DIVISION     350 307 0.533    1  0.081
CENTRAL DIVISION      334 324 0.508    2  0.043
METROPOLITAN DIVISION 341 318 0.517    3  0.038
PACIFIC DIVISION      290 366 0.442    4 -0.165

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.056 points in main ratings (0.079 for semineutral)
     0.007 points in improved RPI (0.008 for semineutral)
Average of 1.00 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Sun Apr 19 05:30:08 2026
games through: Sat Apr 18 2026

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