Dolphin Ratings - National Hockey League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PANTHERS       62 29 363 276  0.005 44.917    2  0.395    2  0.380    4  0.317    2 0.5431    1  1.311    1  0.595   14  0.038
MAPLE LEAFS    57 32 339 276  0.005 44.028    5  0.297    5  0.285    6  0.260    5 0.5343    2  1.308    2  0.534   18 -0.015
BLUE JACKETS   37 45 262 300 -0.008 41.015   20 -0.099   20 -0.104   22 -0.184   20 0.4870    3  1.278   14  0.049   28 -0.417
DEVILS         27 55 248 307 -0.008 41.190   28 -0.333   28 -0.353   25 -0.252   28 0.4582    4  1.267   16 -0.032   30 -0.471
OILERS         55 37 332 282  0.010 45.917    9  0.231    9  0.204   10  0.186   10 0.5239    5  1.260    6  0.395   20 -0.024
WILD           55 33 326 275  0.021 44.238    6  0.284    6  0.271    9  0.198    6 0.5310    6  1.259    5  0.407   17 -0.011
BLUES          54 37 341 267  0.018 45.379   10  0.229   10  0.198    3  0.320    9 0.5244    7  1.220    3  0.477   11  0.162
AVALANCHE      62 27 342 251  0.004 43.895    1  0.425    1  0.408    1  0.331    1 0.5469    8  1.208    4  0.473    9  0.190
CANADIENS      22 60 221 319 -0.016 41.265   32 -0.465   32 -0.484   31 -0.418   32 0.4435    9  1.183   27 -0.308   32 -0.528
RED WINGS      32 50 230 312 -0.008 41.344   23 -0.223   23 -0.227   29 -0.328   23 0.4736   10  1.174   23 -0.230   29 -0.426
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PREDATORS      45 41 275 273  0.016 43.433   14  0.049   15  0.059   16  0.028   14 0.5075   11  1.133   12  0.074   19 -0.019
SABRES         32 50 232 290 -0.016 40.927   25 -0.227   25 -0.232   26 -0.256   24 0.4725   12  1.117   22 -0.229   26 -0.282
GOLDEN KNIGHTS 43 39 266 248 -0.011 40.498   17  0.031   17  0.038   15  0.042   17 0.5042   13  1.112   13  0.063   15  0.021
COYOTES        25 57 207 313 -0.013 41.404   31 -0.396   31 -0.407   32 -0.476   31 0.4523   14  1.100   32 -0.471   31 -0.482
CAPITALS       46 42 294 265  0.017 44.220   16  0.046   16  0.055   12  0.144   15 0.5069   15  1.100   10  0.149   13  0.138
PENGUINS       49 40 301 257  0.010 44.406   13  0.100   13  0.106   11  0.173   13 0.5127   16  1.096    9  0.174   10  0.172
JETS           39 43 252 257 -0.004 40.854   19 -0.047   19 -0.055   19 -0.027   19 0.4938   17  1.079   18 -0.046   16 -0.007
KRAKEN         27 55 216 285 -0.011 41.137   29 -0.339   29 -0.358   27 -0.289   29 0.4577   18  1.077   28 -0.312   25 -0.267
LIGHTNING      58 34 321 260  0.034 46.675    4  0.304    4  0.296    7  0.238    4 0.5351   19  1.075    8  0.213    5  0.263
FLYERS         25 57 211 298 -0.005 41.464   30 -0.386   30 -0.401   30 -0.361   30 0.4526   20  1.069   29 -0.393   27 -0.329
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DUCKS          31 51 232 271 -0.009 40.978   26 -0.245   26 -0.257   21 -0.167   26 0.4695   21  1.037   24 -0.237   22 -0.096
BLACKHAWKS     28 54 219 291 -0.009 41.285   27 -0.314   27 -0.332   28 -0.321   27 0.4613   22  1.035   30 -0.394   24 -0.249
FLAMES         55 37 321 237 -0.006 45.049   11  0.221   11  0.189    2  0.321   11 0.5233   23  1.030    7  0.242    3  0.400
SENATORS       33 49 227 266 -0.007 41.111   22 -0.196   22 -0.200   23 -0.200   22 0.4762   24  1.028   26 -0.280   23 -0.119
CANUCKS        40 42 249 236 -0.006 40.639   18 -0.025   18 -0.034   14  0.047   18 0.4957   25  0.969   19 -0.103    7  0.196
BRUINS         54 35 275 244  0.010 44.531    8  0.249    8  0.229   13  0.116    8 0.5266   26  0.962   17 -0.042    4  0.273
HURRICANES     60 32 307 226  0.009 45.572    3  0.325    3  0.317    5  0.313    3 0.5377   27  0.949   11  0.141    1  0.485
KINGS          47 42 256 263  0.005 44.580   15  0.047   14  0.059   18 -0.001   16 0.5069   28  0.930   20 -0.195    8  0.193
SHARKS         32 50 214 264 -0.012 41.001   24 -0.225   24 -0.231   24 -0.230   25 0.4722   29  0.927   31 -0.427   21 -0.032
STARS          49 40 252 261  0.021 45.290   12  0.111   12  0.120   20 -0.046   12 0.5131   30  0.921   25 -0.249   12  0.158
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RANGERS        57 35 286 241  0.021 46.230    7  0.277    7  0.262    8  0.219    7 0.5294   31  0.917   15  0.011    2  0.427
ISLANDERS      37 45 231 237 -0.016 40.397   21 -0.102   21 -0.116   17 -0.000   21 0.4862   32  0.909   21 -0.217    6  0.217

PACIFIC DIVISION
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
OILERS         55 37 332 282  0.010 45.917    9  0.231    9  0.204   10  0.186   10 0.5239    5  1.260    6  0.395   20 -0.024
GOLDEN KNIGHTS 43 39 266 248 -0.011 40.498   17  0.031   17  0.038   15  0.042   17 0.5042   13  1.112   13  0.063   15  0.021
KRAKEN         27 55 216 285 -0.011 41.137   29 -0.339   29 -0.358   27 -0.289   29 0.4577   18  1.077   28 -0.312   25 -0.267
DUCKS          31 51 232 271 -0.009 40.978   26 -0.245   26 -0.257   21 -0.167   26 0.4695   21  1.037   24 -0.237   22 -0.096
FLAMES         55 37 321 237 -0.006 45.049   11  0.221   11  0.189    2  0.321   11 0.5233   23  1.030    7  0.242    3  0.400
CANUCKS        40 42 249 236 -0.006 40.639   18 -0.025   18 -0.034   14  0.047   18 0.4957   25  0.969   19 -0.103    7  0.196
KINGS          47 42 256 263  0.005 44.580   15  0.047   14  0.059   18 -0.001   16 0.5069   28  0.930   20 -0.195    8  0.193
SHARKS         32 50 214 264 -0.012 41.001   24 -0.225   24 -0.231   24 -0.230   25 0.4722   29  0.927   31 -0.427   21 -0.032

CENTRAL DIVISION
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
WILD           55 33 326 275  0.021 44.238    6  0.284    6  0.271    9  0.198    6 0.5310    6  1.259    5  0.407   17 -0.011
BLUES          54 37 341 267  0.018 45.379   10  0.229   10  0.198    3  0.320    9 0.5244    7  1.220    3  0.477   11  0.162
AVALANCHE      62 27 342 251  0.004 43.895    1  0.425    1  0.408    1  0.331    1 0.5469    8  1.208    4  0.473    9  0.190
PREDATORS      45 41 275 273  0.016 43.433   14  0.049   15  0.059   16  0.028   14 0.5075   11  1.133   12  0.074   19 -0.019
COYOTES        25 57 207 313 -0.013 41.404   31 -0.396   31 -0.407   32 -0.476   31 0.4523   14  1.100   32 -0.471   31 -0.482
JETS           39 43 252 257 -0.004 40.854   19 -0.047   19 -0.055   19 -0.027   19 0.4938   17  1.079   18 -0.046   16 -0.007
BLACKHAWKS     28 54 219 291 -0.009 41.285   27 -0.314   27 -0.332   28 -0.321   27 0.4613   22  1.035   30 -0.394   24 -0.249
STARS          49 40 252 261  0.021 45.290   12  0.111   12  0.120   20 -0.046   12 0.5131   30  0.921   25 -0.249   12  0.158

ATLANTIC DIVISION
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PANTHERS       62 29 363 276  0.005 44.917    2  0.395    2  0.380    4  0.317    2 0.5431    1  1.311    1  0.595   14  0.038
MAPLE LEAFS    57 32 339 276  0.005 44.028    5  0.297    5  0.285    6  0.260    5 0.5343    2  1.308    2  0.534   18 -0.015
CANADIENS      22 60 221 319 -0.016 41.265   32 -0.465   32 -0.484   31 -0.418   32 0.4435    9  1.183   27 -0.308   32 -0.528
RED WINGS      32 50 230 312 -0.008 41.344   23 -0.223   23 -0.227   29 -0.328   23 0.4736   10  1.174   23 -0.230   29 -0.426
SABRES         32 50 232 290 -0.016 40.927   25 -0.227   25 -0.232   26 -0.256   24 0.4725   12  1.117   22 -0.229   26 -0.282
LIGHTNING      58 34 321 260  0.034 46.675    4  0.304    4  0.296    7  0.238    4 0.5351   19  1.075    8  0.213    5  0.263
SENATORS       33 49 227 266 -0.007 41.111   22 -0.196   22 -0.200   23 -0.200   22 0.4762   24  1.028   26 -0.280   23 -0.119
BRUINS         54 35 275 244  0.010 44.531    8  0.249    8  0.229   13  0.116    8 0.5266   26  0.962   17 -0.042    4  0.273

METROPOLITAN DIVISION
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BLUE JACKETS   37 45 262 300 -0.008 41.015   20 -0.099   20 -0.104   22 -0.184   20 0.4870    3  1.278   14  0.049   28 -0.417
DEVILS         27 55 248 307 -0.008 41.190   28 -0.333   28 -0.353   25 -0.252   28 0.4582    4  1.267   16 -0.032   30 -0.471
CAPITALS       46 42 294 265  0.017 44.220   16  0.046   16  0.055   12  0.144   15 0.5069   15  1.100   10  0.149   13  0.138
PENGUINS       49 40 301 257  0.010 44.406   13  0.100   13  0.106   11  0.173   13 0.5127   16  1.096    9  0.174   10  0.172
FLYERS         25 57 211 298 -0.005 41.464   30 -0.386   30 -0.401   30 -0.361   30 0.4526   20  1.069   29 -0.393   27 -0.329
HURRICANES     60 32 307 226  0.009 45.572    3  0.325    3  0.317    5  0.313    3 0.5377   27  0.949   11  0.141    1  0.485
RANGERS        57 35 286 241  0.021 46.230    7  0.277    7  0.262    8  0.219    7 0.5294   31  0.917   15  0.011    2  0.427
ISLANDERS      37 45 231 237 -0.016 40.397   21 -0.102   21 -0.116   17 -0.000   21 0.4862   32  0.909   21 -0.217    6  0.217

DIVISION                W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
METROPOLITAN DIVISION 338 351 0.491    1  0.009
CENTRAL DIVISION      357 332 0.518    2  0.003
PACIFIC DIVISION      330 353 0.483    3 -0.013
ATLANTIC DIVISION     350 339 0.508    4 -0.040

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.105 points in main ratings (0.079 for semineutral)
     0.010 points in improved RPI (0.008 for semineutral)
Average of 1.00 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Mon May 23 05:30:08 2022
games through: Sun May 22 2022

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