Dolphin Ratings - National Hockey League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DUCKS          47 41 299 309 -0.028 43.515   13  0.026   12  0.034   23 -0.092   13 0.5047    1  1.298    8  0.178   31 -0.362
OILERS         43 45 303 295 -0.036 43.063   21 -0.026   21 -0.043   15  0.018   21 0.4946    2  1.260    5  0.238   27 -0.202
PENGUINS       43 45 304 284  0.010 44.607   17 -0.001   17 -0.013   10  0.079   17 0.4992    3  1.247    3  0.282   25 -0.123
MAPLE LEAFS    32 50 253 299  0.013 41.956   30 -0.176   30 -0.170   28 -0.145   30 0.4753    4  1.241   16  0.050   30 -0.340
SHARKS         39 43 251 292 -0.025 40.761   22 -0.046   22 -0.057   29 -0.175   22 0.4913    5  1.214   18 -0.015   29 -0.334
PANTHERS       40 42 251 276  0.013 41.870   19 -0.006   18 -0.013   21 -0.083   19 0.4986    6  1.192   17  0.049   28 -0.214
CANUCKS        25 57 216 316 -0.021 41.156   32 -0.316   32 -0.332   32 -0.392   32 0.4504    7  1.160   29 -0.301   32 -0.483
SABRES         54 34 308 253  0.014 44.600    3  0.217    3  0.197    4  0.205    3 0.5297    8  1.144    4  0.276    9  0.135
CANADIENS      51 37 297 270  0.032 45.319    6  0.164    6  0.151    8  0.112    5 0.5227    9  1.143    7  0.181   13  0.043
HURRICANES     58 29 310 245  0.011 43.932    2  0.277    2  0.282    2  0.225    2 0.5415   10  1.136    2  0.285    6  0.164
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PREDATORS      38 44 247 269 -0.011 41.114   23 -0.054   23 -0.068   24 -0.098   23 0.4894   11  1.122   20 -0.055   26 -0.142
SENATORS       44 42 283 257  0.018 43.821   12  0.027   13  0.030    7  0.116   12 0.5058   12  1.117    9  0.153   10  0.078
MAMMOTH        45 43 286 263 -0.009 43.987   15  0.012   15  0.011   13  0.043   16 0.5006   13  1.116   14  0.079   18  0.007
CAPITALS       43 39 263 244  0.003 41.320   10  0.034   11  0.038    9  0.088   10 0.5070   14  1.107   12  0.113   11  0.064
BRUINS         47 41 284 270  0.033 45.430    8  0.066    8  0.076   11  0.077    8 0.5122   15  1.105   13  0.100   12  0.055
GOLDEN KNIGHTS 43 45 288 268 -0.020 43.592   20 -0.017   20 -0.032   12  0.049   20 0.4946   16  1.099   15  0.063   14  0.034
LIGHTNING      53 35 304 245  0.018 44.754    4  0.200    4  0.179    3  0.211    4 0.5280   17  1.093    6  0.218    3  0.204
WILD           50 38 295 255  0.000 44.123    7  0.110    7  0.110    6  0.152    7 0.5161   18  1.083   10  0.148    7  0.157
BLUE JACKETS   40 42 253 253  0.011 41.710   18 -0.005   19 -0.014   16 -0.010   18 0.4989   19  1.060   19 -0.043   15  0.024
STARS          52 36 294 249  0.004 44.271    5  0.166    5  0.151    5  0.154    6 0.5215   20  1.058   11  0.118    5  0.189
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RED WINGS      41 41 241 258  0.010 41.733   16  0.007   16  0.005   18 -0.051   15 0.5013   21  1.036   21 -0.112   17  0.010
BLUES          37 45 231 258 -0.020 40.770   24 -0.078   24 -0.092   19 -0.066   24 0.4858   22  1.028   22 -0.138   19  0.005
AVALANCHE      59 27 315 208 -0.021 42.111    1  0.289    1  0.293    1  0.394    1 0.5422   23  1.024    1  0.319    1  0.469
JETS           35 47 231 260 -0.010 41.201   25 -0.122   25 -0.125   26 -0.121   26 0.4808   24  1.023   26 -0.198   23 -0.045
RANGERS        34 48 238 250  0.014 41.884   26 -0.126   26 -0.129   20 -0.067   25 0.4813   25  1.015   24 -0.153   16  0.019
KRAKEN         34 48 226 263 -0.023 40.773   28 -0.160   28 -0.156   27 -0.141   28 0.4766   26  0.997   28 -0.249   22 -0.034
DEVILS         42 40 230 254  0.014 41.937   14  0.021   14  0.026   25 -0.115   14 0.5047   27  0.995   27 -0.224   20 -0.006
BLACKHAWKS     29 53 213 275 -0.016 41.119   31 -0.244   31 -0.249   31 -0.226   31 0.4625   28  0.986   30 -0.347   24 -0.106
ISLANDERS      43 39 233 241  0.006 41.569   11  0.033   10  0.041   17 -0.028   11 0.5070   29  0.947   25 -0.192    8  0.136
FLYERS         47 42 266 257  0.022 45.590    9  0.048    9  0.059   14  0.035    9 0.5087   30  0.931   23 -0.147    2  0.217
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
FLAMES         34 48 212 259 -0.019 40.955   27 -0.159   27 -0.153   30 -0.192   27 0.4771   31  0.931   32 -0.375   21 -0.010
KINGS          35 51 230 260 -0.004 43.357   29 -0.162   29 -0.159   22 -0.083   29 0.4765   32  0.849   31 -0.356    4  0.190

PACIFIC DIVISION
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DUCKS          47 41 299 309 -0.028 43.515   13  0.026   12  0.034   23 -0.092   13 0.5047    1  1.298    8  0.178   31 -0.362
OILERS         43 45 303 295 -0.036 43.063   21 -0.026   21 -0.043   15  0.018   21 0.4946    2  1.260    5  0.238   27 -0.202
SHARKS         39 43 251 292 -0.025 40.761   22 -0.046   22 -0.057   29 -0.175   22 0.4913    5  1.214   18 -0.015   29 -0.334
CANUCKS        25 57 216 316 -0.021 41.156   32 -0.316   32 -0.332   32 -0.392   32 0.4504    7  1.160   29 -0.301   32 -0.483
GOLDEN KNIGHTS 43 45 288 268 -0.020 43.592   20 -0.017   20 -0.032   12  0.049   20 0.4946   16  1.099   15  0.063   14  0.034
KRAKEN         34 48 226 263 -0.023 40.773   28 -0.160   28 -0.156   27 -0.141   28 0.4766   26  0.997   28 -0.249   22 -0.034
FLAMES         34 48 212 259 -0.019 40.955   27 -0.159   27 -0.153   30 -0.192   27 0.4771   31  0.931   32 -0.375   21 -0.010
KINGS          35 51 230 260 -0.004 43.357   29 -0.162   29 -0.159   22 -0.083   29 0.4765   32  0.849   31 -0.356    4  0.190

CENTRAL DIVISION
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PREDATORS      38 44 247 269 -0.011 41.114   23 -0.054   23 -0.068   24 -0.098   23 0.4894   11  1.122   20 -0.055   26 -0.142
MAMMOTH        45 43 286 263 -0.009 43.987   15  0.012   15  0.011   13  0.043   16 0.5006   13  1.116   14  0.079   18  0.007
WILD           50 38 295 255  0.000 44.123    7  0.110    7  0.110    6  0.152    7 0.5161   18  1.083   10  0.148    7  0.157
STARS          52 36 294 249  0.004 44.271    5  0.166    5  0.151    5  0.154    6 0.5215   20  1.058   11  0.118    5  0.189
BLUES          37 45 231 258 -0.020 40.770   24 -0.078   24 -0.092   19 -0.066   24 0.4858   22  1.028   22 -0.138   19  0.005
AVALANCHE      59 27 315 208 -0.021 42.111    1  0.289    1  0.293    1  0.394    1 0.5422   23  1.024    1  0.319    1  0.469
JETS           35 47 231 260 -0.010 41.201   25 -0.122   25 -0.125   26 -0.121   26 0.4808   24  1.023   26 -0.198   23 -0.045
BLACKHAWKS     29 53 213 275 -0.016 41.119   31 -0.244   31 -0.249   31 -0.226   31 0.4625   28  0.986   30 -0.347   24 -0.106

METROPOLITAN DIVISION
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PENGUINS       43 45 304 284  0.010 44.607   17 -0.001   17 -0.013   10  0.079   17 0.4992    3  1.247    3  0.282   25 -0.123
HURRICANES     58 29 310 245  0.011 43.932    2  0.277    2  0.282    2  0.225    2 0.5415   10  1.136    2  0.285    6  0.164
CAPITALS       43 39 263 244  0.003 41.320   10  0.034   11  0.038    9  0.088   10 0.5070   14  1.107   12  0.113   11  0.064
BLUE JACKETS   40 42 253 253  0.011 41.710   18 -0.005   19 -0.014   16 -0.010   18 0.4989   19  1.060   19 -0.043   15  0.024
RANGERS        34 48 238 250  0.014 41.884   26 -0.126   26 -0.129   20 -0.067   25 0.4813   25  1.015   24 -0.153   16  0.019
DEVILS         42 40 230 254  0.014 41.937   14  0.021   14  0.026   25 -0.115   14 0.5047   27  0.995   27 -0.224   20 -0.006
ISLANDERS      43 39 233 241  0.006 41.569   11  0.033   10  0.041   17 -0.028   11 0.5070   29  0.947   25 -0.192    8  0.136
FLYERS         47 42 266 257  0.022 45.590    9  0.048    9  0.059   14  0.035    9 0.5087   30  0.931   23 -0.147    2  0.217

ATLANTIC DIVISION
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
MAPLE LEAFS    32 50 253 299  0.013 41.956   30 -0.176   30 -0.170   28 -0.145   30 0.4753    4  1.241   16  0.050   30 -0.340
PANTHERS       40 42 251 276  0.013 41.870   19 -0.006   18 -0.013   21 -0.083   19 0.4986    6  1.192   17  0.049   28 -0.214
SABRES         54 34 308 253  0.014 44.600    3  0.217    3  0.197    4  0.205    3 0.5297    8  1.144    4  0.276    9  0.135
CANADIENS      51 37 297 270  0.032 45.319    6  0.164    6  0.151    8  0.112    5 0.5227    9  1.143    7  0.181   13  0.043
SENATORS       44 42 283 257  0.018 43.821   12  0.027   13  0.030    7  0.116   12 0.5058   12  1.117    9  0.153   10  0.078
BRUINS         47 41 284 270  0.033 45.430    8  0.066    8  0.076   11  0.077    8 0.5122   15  1.105   13  0.100   12  0.055
LIGHTNING      53 35 304 245  0.018 44.754    4  0.200    4  0.179    3  0.211    4 0.5280   17  1.093    6  0.218    3  0.204
RED WINGS      41 41 241 258  0.010 41.733   16  0.007   16  0.005   18 -0.051   15 0.5013   21  1.036   21 -0.112   17  0.010

DIVISION                W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
ATLANTIC DIVISION     362 322 0.529    1  0.075
CENTRAL DIVISION      345 333 0.509    2  0.037
METROPOLITAN DIVISION 350 324 0.519    3  0.036
PACIFIC DIVISION      300 378 0.442    4 -0.169

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.052 points in main ratings (0.079 for semineutral)
     0.006 points in improved RPI (0.008 for semineutral)
Average of 1.00 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Sun May  3 05:30:11 2026
games through: Sat May  2 2026

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