Dolphin Ratings - National Hockey League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BRUINS          9  3 48 26  0.026  5.903    1  0.146    1  0.137    1  0.213    1 0.5538   16  1.137    6  0.276    7  0.150 P
OILERS          8  3 49 39 -0.012  5.358    2  0.121    2  0.109    6  0.097    2 0.5485    2  1.424    2  0.543   29 -0.349 P
MAMMOTH         8  4 46 40  0.075  6.297    3  0.109    3  0.100   10  0.066    3 0.5457    6  1.264    5  0.292   20 -0.161 P
LIGHTNING       7  4 38 34  0.101  5.869    4  0.099    4  0.091    7  0.089    4 0.5369   14  1.162   10  0.184   15 -0.006 P
HURRICANES      9  4 51 33 -0.107  5.756    5  0.097    5  0.086    2  0.150    5 0.5340   18  1.112   11  0.181   12  0.118 P
SENATORS        8  4 38 34 -0.044  5.748    6  0.087    6  0.077   13  0.026    6 0.5267   12  1.181   13  0.145   18 -0.092 P
WILD            7  5 37 28  0.057  6.166    8  0.063    8  0.051    4  0.121    7 0.5260   29  0.847   21 -0.152    3  0.395 P
CAPITALS        6  4 34 32  0.014  5.038    9  0.059    9  0.046   14  0.022    8 0.5205   10  1.205   12  0.171   19 -0.128 P
KRAKEN          7  5 45 42 -0.038  5.830   14  0.036   14  0.028   19 -0.013    9 0.5186    4  1.398    3  0.397   30 -0.424 P
RANGERS         7  6 41 36  0.059  6.745   13  0.037   13  0.029    9  0.068   10 0.5177   22  1.000   20 -0.034    6  0.171 P
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
STARS           6  4 26 17  0.036  5.036    7  0.065    7  0.053    5  0.110   11 0.5167   32  0.242   32 -0.710    1  0.930 P
GOLDEN KNIGHTS  8  5 47 38 -0.108  5.867   11  0.049   11  0.039   11  0.046   12 0.5150   17  1.130   14  0.100   16 -0.009 P
DEVILS          7  4 36 32 -0.088  5.111   10  0.053   10  0.045   18 -0.009   13 0.5149   20  1.082   19 -0.014   14 -0.005 P
MAPLE LEAFS     7  6 50 41  0.024  6.549   15  0.029   15  0.020    8  0.078   14 0.5094    5  1.301    4  0.354   24 -0.199 P
AVALANCHE       6  5 47 34  0.029  5.506   12  0.038   12  0.029    3  0.145   15 0.5086    1  1.535    1  0.754   31 -0.465 P
SHARKS          6  6 37 43  0.102  6.631   16  0.006   16  0.007   25 -0.098   16 0.5049   15  1.154   18 -0.013   22 -0.183 P
PANTHERS        5  6 31 34 -0.042  5.366   20 -0.030   19 -0.035   21 -0.054   17 0.4939   24  0.911   25 -0.257    8  0.149 P
ISLANDERS       5  5 29 23 -0.056  4.715   17 -0.017   17 -0.022   12  0.044   18 0.4938   30  0.707   30 -0.374    2  0.462 P
BLUES           5  6 35 35  0.042  5.698   18 -0.021   18 -0.025   16  0.003   19 0.4931    8  1.244    9  0.203   23 -0.198 P
DUCKS           5  6 32 37  0.005  5.629   21 -0.030   21 -0.037   24 -0.089   20 0.4920    9  1.223   15  0.083   27 -0.262 P
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CANADIENS       5  5 34 35 -0.148  4.436   19 -0.029   20 -0.036   20 -0.047   21 0.4863   13  1.178   16  0.067   21 -0.162 P
BLUE JACKETS    4  5 22 30 -0.017  4.527   22 -0.030   22 -0.038   26 -0.110   22 0.4845   27  0.892   28 -0.335   13  0.115 P
JETS            4  6 26 29  0.083  5.352   23 -0.032   23 -0.040   15  0.003   23 0.4828   26  0.896   22 -0.217    5  0.223 P
PENGUINS        5  7 40 40 -0.026  5.883   24 -0.056   24 -0.062   17 -0.007   24 0.4795    7  1.252    8  0.203   25 -0.218 P
FLAMES          4  6 23 39 -0.056  4.930   25 -0.061   25 -0.067   30 -0.166   25 0.4765   21  1.017   24 -0.249   17 -0.084 P
SABRES          4  7 31 41 -0.081  5.279   26 -0.082   27 -0.091   28 -0.125   26 0.4694   11  1.200   17  0.018   28 -0.268 P
PREDATORS       3  7 25 33  0.108  5.507   27 -0.084   26 -0.088   22 -0.056   27 0.4674   23  0.913   26 -0.257    9  0.144 P
KINGS           2  7 21 32  0.142  5.109   28 -0.098   28 -0.104   23 -0.079   28 0.4651   25  0.905   27 -0.290   10  0.131 P
RED WINGS       4  7 29 34 -0.165  4.842   29 -0.104   30 -0.116   27 -0.116   29 0.4620   28  0.882   29 -0.352   11  0.120 P
BLACKHAWKS      3  7 22 40  0.002  5.220   30 -0.105   29 -0.113   32 -0.244   30 0.4528   19  1.091   23 -0.238   26 -0.251 P
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
FLYERS          3 10 24 42  0.052  6.967   31 -0.146   31 -0.157   29 -0.151   31 0.4499   31  0.601   31 -0.671    4  0.369 P
CANUCKS         2 10 35 56  0.066  6.566   32 -0.170   32 -0.183   31 -0.185   32 0.4416    3  1.423    7  0.260   32 -0.630 P

PACIFIC DIVISION
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
OILERS          8  3 49 39 -0.012  5.358    2  0.121    2  0.109    6  0.097    2 0.5485    2  1.424    2  0.543   29 -0.349 P
KRAKEN          7  5 45 42 -0.038  5.830   14  0.036   14  0.028   19 -0.013    9 0.5186    4  1.398    3  0.397   30 -0.424 P
GOLDEN KNIGHTS  8  5 47 38 -0.108  5.867   11  0.049   11  0.039   11  0.046   12 0.5150   17  1.130   14  0.100   16 -0.009 P
SHARKS          6  6 37 43  0.102  6.631   16  0.006   16  0.007   25 -0.098   16 0.5049   15  1.154   18 -0.013   22 -0.183 P
DUCKS           5  6 32 37  0.005  5.629   21 -0.030   21 -0.037   24 -0.089   20 0.4920    9  1.223   15  0.083   27 -0.262 P
FLAMES          4  6 23 39 -0.056  4.930   25 -0.061   25 -0.067   30 -0.166   25 0.4765   21  1.017   24 -0.249   17 -0.084 P
KINGS           2  7 21 32  0.142  5.109   28 -0.098   28 -0.104   23 -0.079   28 0.4651   25  0.905   27 -0.290   10  0.131 P
CANUCKS         2 10 35 56  0.066  6.566   32 -0.170   32 -0.183   31 -0.185   32 0.4416    3  1.423    7  0.260   32 -0.630 P

CENTRAL DIVISION
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
MAMMOTH         8  4 46 40  0.075  6.297    3  0.109    3  0.100   10  0.066    3 0.5457    6  1.264    5  0.292   20 -0.161 P
WILD            7  5 37 28  0.057  6.166    8  0.063    8  0.051    4  0.121    7 0.5260   29  0.847   21 -0.152    3  0.395 P
STARS           6  4 26 17  0.036  5.036    7  0.065    7  0.053    5  0.110   11 0.5167   32  0.242   32 -0.710    1  0.930 P
AVALANCHE       6  5 47 34  0.029  5.506   12  0.038   12  0.029    3  0.145   15 0.5086    1  1.535    1  0.754   31 -0.465 P
BLUES           5  6 35 35  0.042  5.698   18 -0.021   18 -0.025   16  0.003   19 0.4931    8  1.244    9  0.203   23 -0.198 P
JETS            4  6 26 29  0.083  5.352   23 -0.032   23 -0.040   15  0.003   23 0.4828   26  0.896   22 -0.217    5  0.223 P
PREDATORS       3  7 25 33  0.108  5.507   27 -0.084   26 -0.088   22 -0.056   27 0.4674   23  0.913   26 -0.257    9  0.144 P
BLACKHAWKS      3  7 22 40  0.002  5.220   30 -0.105   29 -0.113   32 -0.244   30 0.4528   19  1.091   23 -0.238   26 -0.251 P

METROPOLITAN DIVISION
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
HURRICANES      9  4 51 33 -0.107  5.756    5  0.097    5  0.086    2  0.150    5 0.5340   18  1.112   11  0.181   12  0.118 P
CAPITALS        6  4 34 32  0.014  5.038    9  0.059    9  0.046   14  0.022    8 0.5205   10  1.205   12  0.171   19 -0.128 P
RANGERS         7  6 41 36  0.059  6.745   13  0.037   13  0.029    9  0.068   10 0.5177   22  1.000   20 -0.034    6  0.171 P
DEVILS          7  4 36 32 -0.088  5.111   10  0.053   10  0.045   18 -0.009   13 0.5149   20  1.082   19 -0.014   14 -0.005 P
ISLANDERS       5  5 29 23 -0.056  4.715   17 -0.017   17 -0.022   12  0.044   18 0.4938   30  0.707   30 -0.374    2  0.462 P
BLUE JACKETS    4  5 22 30 -0.017  4.527   22 -0.030   22 -0.038   26 -0.110   22 0.4845   27  0.892   28 -0.335   13  0.115 P
PENGUINS        5  7 40 40 -0.026  5.883   24 -0.056   24 -0.062   17 -0.007   24 0.4795    7  1.252    8  0.203   25 -0.218 P
FLYERS          3 10 24 42  0.052  6.967   31 -0.146   31 -0.157   29 -0.151   31 0.4499   31  0.601   31 -0.671    4  0.369 P

ATLANTIC DIVISION
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BRUINS          9  3 48 26  0.026  5.903    1  0.146    1  0.137    1  0.213    1 0.5538   16  1.137    6  0.276    7  0.150 P
LIGHTNING       7  4 38 34  0.101  5.869    4  0.099    4  0.091    7  0.089    4 0.5369   14  1.162   10  0.184   15 -0.006 P
SENATORS        8  4 38 34 -0.044  5.748    6  0.087    6  0.077   13  0.026    6 0.5267   12  1.181   13  0.145   18 -0.092 P
MAPLE LEAFS     7  6 50 41  0.024  6.549   15  0.029   15  0.020    8  0.078   14 0.5094    5  1.301    4  0.354   24 -0.199 P
PANTHERS        5  6 31 34 -0.042  5.366   20 -0.030   19 -0.035   21 -0.054   17 0.4939   24  0.911   25 -0.257    8  0.149 P
CANADIENS       5  5 34 35 -0.148  4.436   19 -0.029   20 -0.036   20 -0.047   21 0.4863   13  1.178   16  0.067   21 -0.162 P
SABRES          4  7 31 41 -0.081  5.279   26 -0.082   27 -0.091   28 -0.125   26 0.4694   11  1.200   17  0.018   28 -0.268 P
RED WINGS       4  7 29 34 -0.165  4.842   29 -0.104   30 -0.116   27 -0.116   29 0.4620   28  0.882   29 -0.352   11  0.120 P

DIVISION               W  L   PCT  RNK RATING
CENTRAL DIVISION      42 44 0.488    1  0.067
ATLANTIC DIVISION     49 42 0.538    2  0.031
METROPOLITAN DIVISION 46 45 0.505    3  0.015
PACIFIC DIVISION      42 48 0.467    4 -0.149

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.115 points in main ratings (0.079 for semineutral)
     0.016 points in improved RPI (0.008 for semineutral)
Average of 1.00 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Sun Oct 25 05:30:19 2026
games through: Sat Oct 24 2026

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