Dolphin Ratings - National Hockey League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RANGERS        2 4 11  9  0.061  3.144   21 -0.020   22 -0.029   11  0.020   22 0.4805   32  0.123   32 -0.864    1  0.904 P
CAPITALS       4 1 14  8  0.044  2.558    3  0.059    2  0.055    5  0.057    6 0.5359   31  0.629   30 -0.414    2  0.528 P
AVALANCHE      4 1 17  9 -0.027  2.371    2  0.060    3  0.054    1  0.100    3 0.5451   29  0.745   27 -0.258    3  0.457 P
KRAKEN         2 2 12 11 -0.145  1.766   18 -0.009   18 -0.017   19 -0.019   17 0.4943   30  0.678   31 -0.443    4  0.405 P
MAMMOTH        3 2 14 11 -0.111  2.286   16  0.006   14  0.001   21 -0.024   16 0.4953   28  0.802   29 -0.322    5  0.275 P
PREDATORS      2 3 14 15 -0.078  2.347   22 -0.021   23 -0.030   18 -0.016   20 0.4836   27  0.817   28 -0.299    6  0.267 P
OILERS         2 2 10  9 -0.053  1.886   14  0.007   15 -0.001    6  0.041   15 0.4972   24  0.876   24 -0.178    7  0.260 P
PANTHERS       3 3 15 17 -0.082  2.794   15  0.006   16 -0.002   15  0.001   13 0.5035   26  0.842   26 -0.255    8  0.258 P
RED WINGS      4 1 16 12  0.078  2.662    6  0.047    5  0.049   13  0.007    4 0.5413   25  0.867   25 -0.223    9  0.236 P
HURRICANES     4 0 19  8 -0.177  1.632    1  0.070    1  0.066    2  0.097    1 0.5605   21  1.018   16  0.039   10  0.155 P
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CANUCKS        3 2 16 14 -0.018  2.460   11  0.018   11  0.013   14  0.002   11 0.5105   23  0.988   22 -0.092   11  0.096 P
FLAMES         1 4 10 19 -0.000  2.558   31 -0.053   31 -0.055   29 -0.078   31 0.4586   22  0.988   23 -0.172   12  0.015 P
LIGHTNING      1 4 14 18  0.063  2.626   29 -0.041   29 -0.044   12  0.015   23 0.4781   20  1.072   19  0.021   13  0.009 P
BLACKHAWKS     2 4 20 17 -0.009  3.004   30 -0.052   30 -0.052   25 -0.037   29 0.4664   19  1.074   21 -0.028   14 -0.046 P
JETS           3 1 17 11  0.015  1.982    7  0.041    7  0.040    3  0.075    7 0.5352   13  1.176   10  0.210   15 -0.061 P
FLYERS         1 3 11 13  0.175  2.321   25 -0.037   25 -0.037   24 -0.035   25 0.4733   18  1.117   17  0.026   16 -0.095 P
KINGS          1 4 14 20  0.147  2.830   28 -0.041   28 -0.042   20 -0.021   27 0.4712   15  1.133   15  0.060   17 -0.102 P
BLUE JACKETS   1 3 11 13  0.081  2.170   27 -0.041   27 -0.041   27 -0.051   28 0.4678   16  1.128   18  0.024   18 -0.125 P
CANADIENS      4 1 18 14  0.010  2.525    5  0.048    6  0.044   16 -0.005    5 0.5379   14  1.167   14  0.119   19 -0.129 P
SABRES         1 3 10 14  0.047  2.132   26 -0.040   26 -0.040   28 -0.067   30 0.4634   17  1.120   20 -0.003   20 -0.131 P
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BRUINS         3 2 18 15  0.024  2.523   10  0.022   10  0.019    8  0.039   10 0.5107   12  1.223    9  0.235   21 -0.157 P
DEVILS         3 1 14 12  0.097  2.151    8  0.037    8  0.037   10  0.022    8 0.5335   11  1.247    8  0.249   22 -0.205 P
WILD           2 3 16 20  0.011  2.544   19 -0.011   20 -0.020   22 -0.024   19 0.4892   10  1.250   12  0.207   23 -0.255 P
ISLANDERS      1 3 11 15  0.164  2.297   24 -0.034   24 -0.032   23 -0.029   26 0.4726    9  1.256   11  0.210   24 -0.268 P
PENGUINS       3 2 15 15 -0.068  2.361   13  0.012   13  0.007   17 -0.009   14 0.5002    7  1.277    7  0.257   25 -0.275 P
GOLDEN KNIGHTS 3 2 20 18 -0.137  2.193   12  0.017   12  0.010    9  0.024   12 0.5049    6  1.303    6  0.325   26 -0.277 P
DUCKS          2 2 13 16 -0.086  1.935   20 -0.012   19 -0.019   31 -0.095   21 0.4827    8  1.259   13  0.147   27 -0.338 P
BLUES          2 2 12 17 -0.126  1.811   17 -0.002   17 -0.009   26 -0.041   18 0.4923    5  1.370    5  0.353   28 -0.434 P
MAPLE LEAFS    3 2 19 16  0.032  2.546    9  0.026    9  0.022    7  0.041    9 0.5265    4  1.477    3  0.586   29 -0.505 P
STARS          3 1 18 15  0.192  2.288    4  0.054    4  0.050    4  0.057    2 0.5483    2  1.518    2  0.663   30 -0.548 P
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
SHARKS         0 4 13 22 -0.048  2.023   32 -0.088   32 -0.094   32 -0.135   32 0.4217    3  1.490    4  0.430   31 -0.699 P
SENATORS       2 3 16 25 -0.074  2.400   23 -0.029   21 -0.028   30 -0.085   24 0.4755    1  1.624    1  0.681   32 -0.851 P

PACIFIC DIVISION
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
KRAKEN         2 2 12 11 -0.145  1.766   18 -0.009   18 -0.017   19 -0.019   17 0.4943   30  0.678   31 -0.443    4  0.405 P
OILERS         2 2 10  9 -0.053  1.886   14  0.007   15 -0.001    6  0.041   15 0.4972   24  0.876   24 -0.178    7  0.260 P
CANUCKS        3 2 16 14 -0.018  2.460   11  0.018   11  0.013   14  0.002   11 0.5105   23  0.988   22 -0.092   11  0.096 P
FLAMES         1 4 10 19 -0.000  2.558   31 -0.053   31 -0.055   29 -0.078   31 0.4586   22  0.988   23 -0.172   12  0.015 P
KINGS          1 4 14 20  0.147  2.830   28 -0.041   28 -0.042   20 -0.021   27 0.4712   15  1.133   15  0.060   17 -0.102 P
GOLDEN KNIGHTS 3 2 20 18 -0.137  2.193   12  0.017   12  0.010    9  0.024   12 0.5049    6  1.303    6  0.325   26 -0.277 P
DUCKS          2 2 13 16 -0.086  1.935   20 -0.012   19 -0.019   31 -0.095   21 0.4827    8  1.259   13  0.147   27 -0.338 P
SHARKS         0 4 13 22 -0.048  2.023   32 -0.088   32 -0.094   32 -0.135   32 0.4217    3  1.490    4  0.430   31 -0.699 P

CENTRAL DIVISION
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
AVALANCHE      4 1 17  9 -0.027  2.371    2  0.060    3  0.054    1  0.100    3 0.5451   29  0.745   27 -0.258    3  0.457 P
MAMMOTH        3 2 14 11 -0.111  2.286   16  0.006   14  0.001   21 -0.024   16 0.4953   28  0.802   29 -0.322    5  0.275 P
PREDATORS      2 3 14 15 -0.078  2.347   22 -0.021   23 -0.030   18 -0.016   20 0.4836   27  0.817   28 -0.299    6  0.267 P
BLACKHAWKS     2 4 20 17 -0.009  3.004   30 -0.052   30 -0.052   25 -0.037   29 0.4664   19  1.074   21 -0.028   14 -0.046 P
JETS           3 1 17 11  0.015  1.982    7  0.041    7  0.040    3  0.075    7 0.5352   13  1.176   10  0.210   15 -0.061 P
WILD           2 3 16 20  0.011  2.544   19 -0.011   20 -0.020   22 -0.024   19 0.4892   10  1.250   12  0.207   23 -0.255 P
BLUES          2 2 12 17 -0.126  1.811   17 -0.002   17 -0.009   26 -0.041   18 0.4923    5  1.370    5  0.353   28 -0.434 P
STARS          3 1 18 15  0.192  2.288    4  0.054    4  0.050    4  0.057    2 0.5483    2  1.518    2  0.663   30 -0.548 P

METROPOLITAN DIVISION
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RANGERS        2 4 11  9  0.061  3.144   21 -0.020   22 -0.029   11  0.020   22 0.4805   32  0.123   32 -0.864    1  0.904 P
CAPITALS       4 1 14  8  0.044  2.558    3  0.059    2  0.055    5  0.057    6 0.5359   31  0.629   30 -0.414    2  0.528 P
HURRICANES     4 0 19  8 -0.177  1.632    1  0.070    1  0.066    2  0.097    1 0.5605   21  1.018   16  0.039   10  0.155 P
FLYERS         1 3 11 13  0.175  2.321   25 -0.037   25 -0.037   24 -0.035   25 0.4733   18  1.117   17  0.026   16 -0.095 P
BLUE JACKETS   1 3 11 13  0.081  2.170   27 -0.041   27 -0.041   27 -0.051   28 0.4678   16  1.128   18  0.024   18 -0.125 P
DEVILS         3 1 14 12  0.097  2.151    8  0.037    8  0.037   10  0.022    8 0.5335   11  1.247    8  0.249   22 -0.205 P
ISLANDERS      1 3 11 15  0.164  2.297   24 -0.034   24 -0.032   23 -0.029   26 0.4726    9  1.256   11  0.210   24 -0.268 P
PENGUINS       3 2 15 15 -0.068  2.361   13  0.012   13  0.007   17 -0.009   14 0.5002    7  1.277    7  0.257   25 -0.275 P

ATLANTIC DIVISION
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PANTHERS       3 3 15 17 -0.082  2.794   15  0.006   16 -0.002   15  0.001   13 0.5035   26  0.842   26 -0.255    8  0.258 P
RED WINGS      4 1 16 12  0.078  2.662    6  0.047    5  0.049   13  0.007    4 0.5413   25  0.867   25 -0.223    9  0.236 P
LIGHTNING      1 4 14 18  0.063  2.626   29 -0.041   29 -0.044   12  0.015   23 0.4781   20  1.072   19  0.021   13  0.009 P
CANADIENS      4 1 18 14  0.010  2.525    5  0.048    6  0.044   16 -0.005    5 0.5379   14  1.167   14  0.119   19 -0.129 P
SABRES         1 3 10 14  0.047  2.132   26 -0.040   26 -0.040   28 -0.067   30 0.4634   17  1.120   20 -0.003   20 -0.131 P
BRUINS         3 2 18 15  0.024  2.523   10  0.022   10  0.019    8  0.039   10 0.5107   12  1.223    9  0.235   21 -0.157 P
MAPLE LEAFS    3 2 19 16  0.032  2.546    9  0.026    9  0.022    7  0.041    9 0.5265    4  1.477    3  0.586   29 -0.505 P
SENATORS       2 3 16 25 -0.074  2.400   23 -0.029   21 -0.028   30 -0.085   24 0.4755    1  1.624    1  0.681   32 -0.851 P

DIVISION               W  L   PCT  RNK RATING
CENTRAL DIVISION      21 17 0.553    1  0.070
METROPOLITAN DIVISION 19 17 0.528    2  0.058
ATLANTIC DIVISION     21 19 0.525    3 -0.011
PACIFIC DIVISION      14 22 0.389    4 -0.132

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.025 points in main ratings (0.079 for semineutral)
     0.009 points in improved RPI (0.008 for semineutral)
Average of 1.00 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Sat Oct 18 05:30:13 2025
games through: Fri Oct 17 2025

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