Dolphin Ratings - National Hockey League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
AVALANCHE      60 27 324 214 -0.020 42.664    1  0.298    1  0.302    1  0.399    1 0.5431   20  1.059    1  0.364    1  0.434
FLYERS         47 42 266 257  0.021 45.587    9  0.049    9  0.059   14  0.035    9 0.5086   30  0.931   23 -0.149    2  0.218
LIGHTNING      53 36 305 247  0.020 45.328    4  0.192    4  0.169    3  0.206    4 0.5266   18  1.082    6  0.198    3  0.213
STARS          52 36 294 249  0.003 44.256    6  0.161    6  0.151    5  0.153    6 0.5214   21  1.054   11  0.112    4  0.195
KINGS          35 51 230 260 -0.004 43.361   29 -0.162   29 -0.159   21 -0.083   29 0.4765   32  0.846   31 -0.359    5  0.193
HURRICANES     58 29 310 245  0.010 43.930    2  0.279    2  0.282    2  0.225    2 0.5415    9  1.136    2  0.283    6  0.166
ISLANDERS      43 39 233 241  0.005 41.567   11  0.033   10  0.040   17 -0.028   11 0.5070   29  0.947   25 -0.194    7  0.137
SABRES         54 34 308 253  0.013 44.599    3  0.219    3  0.197    4  0.205    3 0.5297    8  1.144    4  0.275    8  0.135
WILD           50 39 301 264  0.006 44.853    7  0.102    7  0.104    6  0.149    7 0.5151   13  1.116    7  0.184    9  0.114
SENATORS       44 42 283 257  0.018 43.822   12  0.027   13  0.029    8  0.115   12 0.5058   12  1.117   10  0.152   10  0.079
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CAPITALS       43 39 263 244  0.003 41.318   10  0.035   11  0.038    9  0.088   10 0.5070   15  1.107   12  0.111   11  0.065
CANADIENS      52 37 299 271  0.034 45.920    5  0.173    5  0.161    7  0.118    5 0.5240   10  1.132    9  0.172   12  0.063
BRUINS         47 41 284 270  0.033 45.427    8  0.066    8  0.076   11  0.077    8 0.5122   16  1.105   13  0.098   13  0.056
GOLDEN KNIGHTS 43 45 288 268 -0.020 43.589   20 -0.017   20 -0.033   12  0.048   20 0.4946   17  1.098   15  0.060   14  0.036
BLUE JACKETS   40 42 253 253  0.010 41.708   18 -0.005   19 -0.015   16 -0.010   18 0.4988   19  1.059   19 -0.045   15  0.024
RANGERS        34 48 238 250  0.013 41.882   26 -0.127   26 -0.130   20 -0.068   25 0.4812   25  1.015   24 -0.155   16  0.019
RED WINGS      41 41 241 258  0.009 41.729   16  0.007   16  0.005   18 -0.052   15 0.5013   22  1.036   21 -0.114   17  0.011
MAMMOTH        45 43 286 263 -0.009 43.986   15  0.012   15  0.011   13  0.043   16 0.5006   14  1.115   14  0.076   18  0.010
BLUES          37 45 231 258 -0.021 40.767   24 -0.078   24 -0.092   19 -0.067   24 0.4858   23  1.027   22 -0.140   19  0.006
DEVILS         42 40 230 254  0.013 41.935   14  0.021   14  0.026   25 -0.116   14 0.5046   27  0.995   27 -0.226   20 -0.006
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
FLAMES         34 48 212 259 -0.020 40.952   27 -0.159   27 -0.153   30 -0.193   27 0.4770   31  0.930   32 -0.377   21 -0.008
KRAKEN         34 48 226 263 -0.024 40.771   28 -0.161   28 -0.157   27 -0.142   28 0.4765   26  0.996   28 -0.251   22 -0.032
JETS           35 47 231 260 -0.010 41.199   25 -0.122   25 -0.125   26 -0.122   26 0.4807   24  1.021   26 -0.201   23 -0.042
BLACKHAWKS     29 53 213 275 -0.016 41.115   31 -0.244   31 -0.250   31 -0.227   31 0.4624   28  0.984   30 -0.350   24 -0.104
PENGUINS       43 45 304 284  0.010 44.605   17 -0.001   17 -0.013   10  0.079   17 0.4992    3  1.247    3  0.280   25 -0.122
PREDATORS      38 44 247 269 -0.012 41.111   23 -0.054   23 -0.069   24 -0.099   23 0.4893   11  1.120   20 -0.059   26 -0.139
OILERS         43 45 303 295 -0.036 43.061   21 -0.026   21 -0.044   15  0.018   21 0.4945    2  1.259    5  0.236   27 -0.200
PANTHERS       40 42 251 276  0.012 41.865   19 -0.006   18 -0.014   22 -0.083   19 0.4986    6  1.192   17  0.048   28 -0.214
SHARKS         39 43 251 292 -0.026 40.758   22 -0.046   22 -0.057   29 -0.175   22 0.4912    5  1.213   18 -0.018   29 -0.332
MAPLE LEAFS    32 50 253 299  0.013 41.957   30 -0.176   30 -0.170   28 -0.146   30 0.4753    4  1.241   16  0.048   30 -0.340
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DUCKS          47 41 299 309 -0.028 43.512   13  0.027   12  0.034   23 -0.092   13 0.5047    1  1.297    8  0.176   31 -0.360
CANUCKS        25 57 216 316 -0.021 41.154   32 -0.316   32 -0.333   32 -0.393   32 0.4503    7  1.159   29 -0.304   32 -0.481

PACIFIC DIVISION
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
KINGS          35 51 230 260 -0.004 43.361   29 -0.162   29 -0.159   21 -0.083   29 0.4765   32  0.846   31 -0.359    5  0.193
GOLDEN KNIGHTS 43 45 288 268 -0.020 43.589   20 -0.017   20 -0.033   12  0.048   20 0.4946   17  1.098   15  0.060   14  0.036
FLAMES         34 48 212 259 -0.020 40.952   27 -0.159   27 -0.153   30 -0.193   27 0.4770   31  0.930   32 -0.377   21 -0.008
KRAKEN         34 48 226 263 -0.024 40.771   28 -0.161   28 -0.157   27 -0.142   28 0.4765   26  0.996   28 -0.251   22 -0.032
OILERS         43 45 303 295 -0.036 43.061   21 -0.026   21 -0.044   15  0.018   21 0.4945    2  1.259    5  0.236   27 -0.200
SHARKS         39 43 251 292 -0.026 40.758   22 -0.046   22 -0.057   29 -0.175   22 0.4912    5  1.213   18 -0.018   29 -0.332
DUCKS          47 41 299 309 -0.028 43.512   13  0.027   12  0.034   23 -0.092   13 0.5047    1  1.297    8  0.176   31 -0.360
CANUCKS        25 57 216 316 -0.021 41.154   32 -0.316   32 -0.333   32 -0.393   32 0.4503    7  1.159   29 -0.304   32 -0.481

CENTRAL DIVISION
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
AVALANCHE      60 27 324 214 -0.020 42.664    1  0.298    1  0.302    1  0.399    1 0.5431   20  1.059    1  0.364    1  0.434
STARS          52 36 294 249  0.003 44.256    6  0.161    6  0.151    5  0.153    6 0.5214   21  1.054   11  0.112    4  0.195
WILD           50 39 301 264  0.006 44.853    7  0.102    7  0.104    6  0.149    7 0.5151   13  1.116    7  0.184    9  0.114
MAMMOTH        45 43 286 263 -0.009 43.986   15  0.012   15  0.011   13  0.043   16 0.5006   14  1.115   14  0.076   18  0.010
BLUES          37 45 231 258 -0.021 40.767   24 -0.078   24 -0.092   19 -0.067   24 0.4858   23  1.027   22 -0.140   19  0.006
JETS           35 47 231 260 -0.010 41.199   25 -0.122   25 -0.125   26 -0.122   26 0.4807   24  1.021   26 -0.201   23 -0.042
BLACKHAWKS     29 53 213 275 -0.016 41.115   31 -0.244   31 -0.250   31 -0.227   31 0.4624   28  0.984   30 -0.350   24 -0.104
PREDATORS      38 44 247 269 -0.012 41.111   23 -0.054   23 -0.069   24 -0.099   23 0.4893   11  1.120   20 -0.059   26 -0.139

METROPOLITAN DIVISION
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
FLYERS         47 42 266 257  0.021 45.587    9  0.049    9  0.059   14  0.035    9 0.5086   30  0.931   23 -0.149    2  0.218
HURRICANES     58 29 310 245  0.010 43.930    2  0.279    2  0.282    2  0.225    2 0.5415    9  1.136    2  0.283    6  0.166
ISLANDERS      43 39 233 241  0.005 41.567   11  0.033   10  0.040   17 -0.028   11 0.5070   29  0.947   25 -0.194    7  0.137
CAPITALS       43 39 263 244  0.003 41.318   10  0.035   11  0.038    9  0.088   10 0.5070   15  1.107   12  0.111   11  0.065
BLUE JACKETS   40 42 253 253  0.010 41.708   18 -0.005   19 -0.015   16 -0.010   18 0.4988   19  1.059   19 -0.045   15  0.024
RANGERS        34 48 238 250  0.013 41.882   26 -0.127   26 -0.130   20 -0.068   25 0.4812   25  1.015   24 -0.155   16  0.019
DEVILS         42 40 230 254  0.013 41.935   14  0.021   14  0.026   25 -0.116   14 0.5046   27  0.995   27 -0.226   20 -0.006
PENGUINS       43 45 304 284  0.010 44.605   17 -0.001   17 -0.013   10  0.079   17 0.4992    3  1.247    3  0.280   25 -0.122

ATLANTIC DIVISION
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
LIGHTNING      53 36 305 247  0.020 45.328    4  0.192    4  0.169    3  0.206    4 0.5266   18  1.082    6  0.198    3  0.213
SABRES         54 34 308 253  0.013 44.599    3  0.219    3  0.197    4  0.205    3 0.5297    8  1.144    4  0.275    8  0.135
SENATORS       44 42 283 257  0.018 43.822   12  0.027   13  0.029    8  0.115   12 0.5058   12  1.117   10  0.152   10  0.079
CANADIENS      52 37 299 271  0.034 45.920    5  0.173    5  0.161    7  0.118    5 0.5240   10  1.132    9  0.172   12  0.063
BRUINS         47 41 284 270  0.033 45.427    8  0.066    8  0.076   11  0.077    8 0.5122   16  1.105   13  0.098   13  0.056
RED WINGS      41 41 241 258  0.009 41.729   16  0.007   16  0.005   18 -0.052   15 0.5013   22  1.036   21 -0.114   17  0.011
PANTHERS       40 42 251 276  0.012 41.865   19 -0.006   18 -0.014   22 -0.083   19 0.4986    6  1.192   17  0.048   28 -0.214
MAPLE LEAFS    32 50 253 299  0.013 41.957   30 -0.176   30 -0.170   28 -0.146   30 0.4753    4  1.241   16  0.048   30 -0.340

DIVISION                W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
ATLANTIC DIVISION     363 323 0.529    1  0.075
CENTRAL DIVISION      346 334 0.509    2  0.037
METROPOLITAN DIVISION 350 324 0.519    3  0.035
PACIFIC DIVISION      300 378 0.442    4 -0.169

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.052 points in main ratings (0.079 for semineutral)
     0.006 points in improved RPI (0.008 for semineutral)
Average of 1.00 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Mon May  4 05:30:08 2026
games through: Sun May  3 2026

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