Dolphin Ratings - National Hockey League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
SENATORS       5 6 41 44 -0.017  5.440   22 -0.010   22 -0.008   23 -0.011   25 0.4824    1  1.598    1  0.682   32 -0.704 P
MAPLE LEAFS    5 6 38 42 -0.075  5.178   24 -0.011   24 -0.009   25 -0.013   19 0.4890    3  1.418    2  0.415   29 -0.440 P
BLUES          3 7 29 44 -0.073  4.784   29 -0.031   29 -0.031   30 -0.044   29 0.4581    2  1.426    3  0.394   31 -0.482 P
SHARKS         2 8 32 46  0.036  5.303   31 -0.044   31 -0.044   32 -0.067   32 0.4381    4  1.389    4  0.319   30 -0.453 P
BRUINS         5 7 39 44  0.088  6.431   19 -0.006   19 -0.007   15  0.001   23 0.4848    5  1.329    5  0.304   28 -0.301 P
ISLANDERS      4 5 32 33 -0.004  4.495   21 -0.008   21 -0.007   21 -0.006   22 0.4861    6  1.321    6  0.285   27 -0.298 P
CANADIENS      8 3 40 33 -0.055  5.219    4  0.032    4  0.031   12  0.007    3 0.5345    8  1.291    7  0.258   25 -0.244 P
DUCKS          5 4 32 31  0.021  4.615   14  0.003   14  0.006   26 -0.018   15 0.5026    7  1.302    8  0.248   26 -0.284 P
DEVILS         8 2 39 30  0.096  5.258    1  0.052    1  0.049    2  0.042    1 0.5575    9  1.238    9  0.224   22 -0.139 P
HURRICANES     6 3 34 28  0.127  4.878    3  0.032    3  0.032    3  0.036    2 0.5452   11  1.213   10  0.184   21 -0.112 P
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BLUE JACKETS   6 4 35 31  0.069  5.279    8  0.015    9  0.018   14  0.002    9 0.5177   10  1.224   11  0.164   23 -0.160 P
PENGUINS       7 4 40 30 -0.095  4.971   11  0.012   11  0.016    5  0.032   11 0.5136   13  1.170   12  0.125   20 -0.061 P
WILD           3 8 31 43 -0.015  5.513   30 -0.034   30 -0.036   29 -0.031   30 0.4569   12  1.204   13  0.106   24 -0.167 P
GOLDEN KNIGHTS 6 4 37 28 -0.013  4.849   10  0.012   10  0.016    4  0.034   10 0.5148   14  1.147   14  0.098   18 -0.031 P
JETS           7 3 34 25 -0.095  4.531    5  0.027    5  0.026    6  0.028    5 0.5299   17  1.115   15  0.053   16  0.003 P
OILERS         5 6 35 35 -0.007  5.429   18 -0.005   18 -0.006   10  0.012   17 0.4953   15  1.123   16  0.046   17 -0.022 P
RED WINGS      7 3 35 31 -0.090  4.615    6  0.024    6  0.023   18 -0.002    7 0.5247   16  1.121   17  0.030   19 -0.034 P
MAMMOTH        8 3 40 30  0.006  5.444    2  0.036    2  0.036    7  0.020    4 0.5330   18  1.097   18  0.023   15  0.018 P
AVALANCHE      6 5 41 30  0.150  6.029    7  0.019    7  0.019    1  0.069    6 0.5285   19  1.046   19  0.009   11  0.129 P
STARS          6 4 29 30  0.005  4.992    9  0.014    8  0.018   11  0.007    8 0.5211   20  1.031   20 -0.069   14  0.084 P
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
KINGS          5 6 33 36  0.054  5.743   17 -0.002   16 -0.002   16  0.001   18 0.4940   23  0.973   21 -0.144   10  0.146 P
SABRES         4 6 30 31 -0.014  4.958   26 -0.017   26 -0.016   24 -0.012   26 0.4759   22  0.980   22 -0.148   12  0.125 P
CANUCKS        5 6 29 33 -0.039  5.384   23 -0.011   23 -0.009   27 -0.026   24 0.4835   21  0.992   23 -0.149   13  0.096 P
LIGHTNING      4 6 29 30  0.032  5.103   25 -0.012   25 -0.010    9  0.012   20 0.4890   24  0.931   24 -0.181    7  0.205 P
BLACKHAWKS     5 5 33 26 -0.059  4.751   20 -0.008   20 -0.007   20 -0.004   21 0.4879   26  0.907   25 -0.223    6  0.215 P
PREDATORS      4 7 28 37 -0.028  5.427   27 -0.023   27 -0.023   28 -0.030   27 0.4740   25  0.910   26 -0.246    8  0.187 P
FLAMES         2 9 24 39  0.024  5.737   32 -0.048   32 -0.047   31 -0.048   31 0.4394   27  0.894   27 -0.282    9  0.186 P
PANTHERS       5 6 27 31  0.032  5.641   16 -0.001   17 -0.002   17  0.001   16 0.4976   28  0.816   28 -0.317    5  0.318 P
KRAKEN         5 5 28 29  0.060  5.237   15  0.002   15  0.003   13  0.003   13 0.5070   29  0.785   29 -0.347    4  0.354 P
FLYERS         5 4 26 23  0.015  4.559   13  0.004   13  0.007   19 -0.003   14 0.5050   30  0.776   30 -0.362    3  0.356 P
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CAPITALS       6 4 27 22 -0.047  4.758   12  0.009   12  0.013    8  0.017   12 0.5107   31  0.717   31 -0.402    2  0.437 P
RANGERS        4 7 24 26 -0.059  5.247   28 -0.023   28 -0.024   22 -0.009   28 0.4639   32  0.560   32 -0.578    1  0.559 P

PACIFIC DIVISION
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
SHARKS         2 8 32 46  0.036  5.303   31 -0.044   31 -0.044   32 -0.067   32 0.4381    4  1.389    4  0.319   30 -0.453 P
DUCKS          5 4 32 31  0.021  4.615   14  0.003   14  0.006   26 -0.018   15 0.5026    7  1.302    8  0.248   26 -0.284 P
GOLDEN KNIGHTS 6 4 37 28 -0.013  4.849   10  0.012   10  0.016    4  0.034   10 0.5148   14  1.147   14  0.098   18 -0.031 P
OILERS         5 6 35 35 -0.007  5.429   18 -0.005   18 -0.006   10  0.012   17 0.4953   15  1.123   16  0.046   17 -0.022 P
KINGS          5 6 33 36  0.054  5.743   17 -0.002   16 -0.002   16  0.001   18 0.4940   23  0.973   21 -0.144   10  0.146 P
CANUCKS        5 6 29 33 -0.039  5.384   23 -0.011   23 -0.009   27 -0.026   24 0.4835   21  0.992   23 -0.149   13  0.096 P
FLAMES         2 9 24 39  0.024  5.737   32 -0.048   32 -0.047   31 -0.048   31 0.4394   27  0.894   27 -0.282    9  0.186 P
KRAKEN         5 5 28 29  0.060  5.237   15  0.002   15  0.003   13  0.003   13 0.5070   29  0.785   29 -0.347    4  0.354 P

CENTRAL DIVISION
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BLUES          3 7 29 44 -0.073  4.784   29 -0.031   29 -0.031   30 -0.044   29 0.4581    2  1.426    3  0.394   31 -0.482 P
WILD           3 8 31 43 -0.015  5.513   30 -0.034   30 -0.036   29 -0.031   30 0.4569   12  1.204   13  0.106   24 -0.167 P
JETS           7 3 34 25 -0.095  4.531    5  0.027    5  0.026    6  0.028    5 0.5299   17  1.115   15  0.053   16  0.003 P
MAMMOTH        8 3 40 30  0.006  5.444    2  0.036    2  0.036    7  0.020    4 0.5330   18  1.097   18  0.023   15  0.018 P
AVALANCHE      6 5 41 30  0.150  6.029    7  0.019    7  0.019    1  0.069    6 0.5285   19  1.046   19  0.009   11  0.129 P
STARS          6 4 29 30  0.005  4.992    9  0.014    8  0.018   11  0.007    8 0.5211   20  1.031   20 -0.069   14  0.084 P
BLACKHAWKS     5 5 33 26 -0.059  4.751   20 -0.008   20 -0.007   20 -0.004   21 0.4879   26  0.907   25 -0.223    6  0.215 P
PREDATORS      4 7 28 37 -0.028  5.427   27 -0.023   27 -0.023   28 -0.030   27 0.4740   25  0.910   26 -0.246    8  0.187 P

METROPOLITAN DIVISION
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ISLANDERS      4 5 32 33 -0.004  4.495   21 -0.008   21 -0.007   21 -0.006   22 0.4861    6  1.321    6  0.285   27 -0.298 P
DEVILS         8 2 39 30  0.096  5.258    1  0.052    1  0.049    2  0.042    1 0.5575    9  1.238    9  0.224   22 -0.139 P
HURRICANES     6 3 34 28  0.127  4.878    3  0.032    3  0.032    3  0.036    2 0.5452   11  1.213   10  0.184   21 -0.112 P
BLUE JACKETS   6 4 35 31  0.069  5.279    8  0.015    9  0.018   14  0.002    9 0.5177   10  1.224   11  0.164   23 -0.160 P
PENGUINS       7 4 40 30 -0.095  4.971   11  0.012   11  0.016    5  0.032   11 0.5136   13  1.170   12  0.125   20 -0.061 P
FLYERS         5 4 26 23  0.015  4.559   13  0.004   13  0.007   19 -0.003   14 0.5050   30  0.776   30 -0.362    3  0.356 P
CAPITALS       6 4 27 22 -0.047  4.758   12  0.009   12  0.013    8  0.017   12 0.5107   31  0.717   31 -0.402    2  0.437 P
RANGERS        4 7 24 26 -0.059  5.247   28 -0.023   28 -0.024   22 -0.009   28 0.4639   32  0.560   32 -0.578    1  0.559 P

ATLANTIC DIVISION
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
SENATORS       5 6 41 44 -0.017  5.440   22 -0.010   22 -0.008   23 -0.011   25 0.4824    1  1.598    1  0.682   32 -0.704 P
MAPLE LEAFS    5 6 38 42 -0.075  5.178   24 -0.011   24 -0.009   25 -0.013   19 0.4890    3  1.418    2  0.415   29 -0.440 P
BRUINS         5 7 39 44  0.088  6.431   19 -0.006   19 -0.007   15  0.001   23 0.4848    5  1.329    5  0.304   28 -0.301 P
CANADIENS      8 3 40 33 -0.055  5.219    4  0.032    4  0.031   12  0.007    3 0.5345    8  1.291    7  0.258   25 -0.244 P
RED WINGS      7 3 35 31 -0.090  4.615    6  0.024    6  0.023   18 -0.002    7 0.5247   16  1.121   17  0.030   19 -0.034 P
SABRES         4 6 30 31 -0.014  4.958   26 -0.017   26 -0.016   24 -0.012   26 0.4759   22  0.980   22 -0.148   12  0.125 P
LIGHTNING      4 6 29 30  0.032  5.103   25 -0.012   25 -0.010    9  0.012   20 0.4890   24  0.931   24 -0.181    7  0.205 P
PANTHERS       5 6 27 31  0.032  5.641   16 -0.001   17 -0.002   17  0.001   16 0.4976   28  0.816   28 -0.317    5  0.318 P

DIVISION               W  L   PCT  RNK RATING
METROPOLITAN DIVISION 46 33 0.582    1  0.109
CENTRAL DIVISION      42 42 0.500    2  0.014
ATLANTIC DIVISION     43 43 0.500    3 -0.016
PACIFIC DIVISION      35 48 0.422    4 -0.104

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.078 points in main ratings (0.079 for semineutral)
     0.011 points in improved RPI (0.008 for semineutral)
Average of 1.00 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Thu Oct 30 05:30:13 2025
games through: Wed Oct 29 2025

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