Dolphin Ratings - National Hockey League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
AVALANCHE      61 28 330 221 -0.015 43.869    2  0.296    2  0.300    1  0.391    2 0.5424   19  1.065    1  0.364    1  0.418
PENGUINS       43 45 304 284  0.008 44.585   17 -0.002   18 -0.015   10  0.077   17 0.4989    3  1.248    2  0.282   25 -0.127
HURRICANES     61 29 320 250  0.010 45.491    1  0.297    1  0.304    2  0.234    1 0.5442   10  1.121    3  0.276    5  0.192
SABRES         55 35 313 260  0.015 45.727    3  0.219    3  0.194    4  0.196    3 0.5293    8  1.144    4  0.266    8  0.126
OILERS         43 45 303 295 -0.038 43.050   21 -0.027   21 -0.045   15  0.016   21 0.4943    2  1.261    5  0.237   27 -0.205
LIGHTNING      53 36 305 247  0.019 45.369    4  0.192    4  0.169    3  0.205    4 0.5264   18  1.082    6  0.200    3  0.211
WILD           51 40 308 270  0.016 46.246    7  0.110    7  0.109    5  0.158    7 0.5155   12  1.121    7  0.199    9  0.117
CANADIENS      53 38 306 276  0.039 47.165    5  0.177    5  0.162    7  0.127    5 0.5241    9  1.131    8  0.181   11  0.073
SENATORS       44 42 283 257  0.017 43.851   12  0.028   12  0.029    8  0.115   11 0.5058   13  1.119    9  0.153   10  0.076
DUCKS          48 43 305 319 -0.026 45.154   14  0.020   13  0.025   24 -0.102   14 0.5030    1  1.284   10  0.150   31 -0.353
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
STARS          52 36 294 249  0.003 44.292    6  0.162    6  0.150    6  0.153    6 0.5213   21  1.054   11  0.113    4  0.193
CAPITALS       43 39 263 244  0.001 41.320    9  0.035   10  0.036    9  0.087    9 0.5068   15  1.108   12  0.112   12  0.062
BRUINS         47 41 284 270  0.031 45.408    8  0.067    8  0.074   11  0.075    8 0.5120   16  1.106   13  0.099   14  0.052
MAMMOTH        45 43 286 263 -0.010 44.012   15  0.013   15  0.010   13  0.042   16 0.5006   14  1.116   14  0.078   18  0.006
GOLDEN KNIGHTS 45 46 298 274 -0.025 44.923   20 -0.012   20 -0.027   12  0.055   20 0.4960   17  1.084   15  0.051   13  0.059
MAPLE LEAFS    32 50 253 299  0.012 41.964   30 -0.177   30 -0.172   28 -0.147   30 0.4752    4  1.242   16  0.049   30 -0.343
PANTHERS       40 42 251 276  0.011 41.868   19 -0.006   17 -0.015   21 -0.084   19 0.4985    6  1.193   17  0.048   28 -0.217
SHARKS         39 43 251 292 -0.027 40.765   22 -0.046   22 -0.059   29 -0.176   22 0.4911    5  1.214   18 -0.017   29 -0.336
BLUE JACKETS   40 42 253 253  0.009 41.718   18 -0.005   19 -0.016   16 -0.011   18 0.4987   20  1.060   19 -0.044   15  0.021
PREDATORS      38 44 247 269 -0.013 41.119   23 -0.055   23 -0.070   23 -0.100   23 0.4892   11  1.121   20 -0.059   26 -0.142
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RED WINGS      41 41 241 258  0.008 41.735   16  0.007   16  0.004   18 -0.053   15 0.5012   22  1.037   21 -0.113   17  0.008
BLUES          37 45 231 258 -0.022 40.776   24 -0.079   24 -0.093   19 -0.068   24 0.4856   23  1.027   22 -0.140   19  0.004
RANGERS        34 48 238 250  0.012 41.888   26 -0.128   26 -0.131   20 -0.069   25 0.4811   25  1.016   23 -0.154   16  0.016
FLYERS         47 45 271 267  0.028 47.478   11  0.030   11  0.035   14  0.025   12 0.5057   31  0.917   24 -0.174    2  0.224
ISLANDERS      43 39 233 241  0.004 41.569   10  0.033    9  0.039   17 -0.030   10 0.5068   29  0.948   25 -0.193    7  0.134
JETS           35 47 231 260 -0.011 41.207   25 -0.123   25 -0.127   26 -0.123   26 0.4806   24  1.022   26 -0.201   23 -0.045
DEVILS         42 40 230 254  0.012 41.945   13  0.021   14  0.025   25 -0.117   13 0.5045   27  0.996   27 -0.225   20 -0.009
KRAKEN         34 48 226 263 -0.025 40.778   28 -0.162   28 -0.158   27 -0.143   28 0.4764   26  0.997   28 -0.251   22 -0.035
CANUCKS        25 57 216 316 -0.023 41.157   32 -0.317   32 -0.335   32 -0.394   32 0.4502    7  1.160   29 -0.304   32 -0.485
BLACKHAWKS     29 53 213 275 -0.017 41.126   31 -0.244   31 -0.251   31 -0.228   31 0.4623   28  0.985   30 -0.349   24 -0.107
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
KINGS          35 51 230 260 -0.006 43.352   29 -0.163   29 -0.160   22 -0.085   29 0.4764   32  0.847   31 -0.359    6  0.190
FLAMES         34 48 212 259 -0.021 40.959   27 -0.160   27 -0.155   30 -0.194   27 0.4769   30  0.931   32 -0.377   21 -0.011

PACIFIC DIVISION
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
OILERS         43 45 303 295 -0.038 43.050   21 -0.027   21 -0.045   15  0.016   21 0.4943    2  1.261    5  0.237   27 -0.205
DUCKS          48 43 305 319 -0.026 45.154   14  0.020   13  0.025   24 -0.102   14 0.5030    1  1.284   10  0.150   31 -0.353
GOLDEN KNIGHTS 45 46 298 274 -0.025 44.923   20 -0.012   20 -0.027   12  0.055   20 0.4960   17  1.084   15  0.051   13  0.059
SHARKS         39 43 251 292 -0.027 40.765   22 -0.046   22 -0.059   29 -0.176   22 0.4911    5  1.214   18 -0.017   29 -0.336
KRAKEN         34 48 226 263 -0.025 40.778   28 -0.162   28 -0.158   27 -0.143   28 0.4764   26  0.997   28 -0.251   22 -0.035
CANUCKS        25 57 216 316 -0.023 41.157   32 -0.317   32 -0.335   32 -0.394   32 0.4502    7  1.160   29 -0.304   32 -0.485
KINGS          35 51 230 260 -0.006 43.352   29 -0.163   29 -0.160   22 -0.085   29 0.4764   32  0.847   31 -0.359    6  0.190
FLAMES         34 48 212 259 -0.021 40.959   27 -0.160   27 -0.155   30 -0.194   27 0.4769   30  0.931   32 -0.377   21 -0.011

CENTRAL DIVISION
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
AVALANCHE      61 28 330 221 -0.015 43.869    2  0.296    2  0.300    1  0.391    2 0.5424   19  1.065    1  0.364    1  0.418
WILD           51 40 308 270  0.016 46.246    7  0.110    7  0.109    5  0.158    7 0.5155   12  1.121    7  0.199    9  0.117
STARS          52 36 294 249  0.003 44.292    6  0.162    6  0.150    6  0.153    6 0.5213   21  1.054   11  0.113    4  0.193
MAMMOTH        45 43 286 263 -0.010 44.012   15  0.013   15  0.010   13  0.042   16 0.5006   14  1.116   14  0.078   18  0.006
PREDATORS      38 44 247 269 -0.013 41.119   23 -0.055   23 -0.070   23 -0.100   23 0.4892   11  1.121   20 -0.059   26 -0.142
BLUES          37 45 231 258 -0.022 40.776   24 -0.079   24 -0.093   19 -0.068   24 0.4856   23  1.027   22 -0.140   19  0.004
JETS           35 47 231 260 -0.011 41.207   25 -0.123   25 -0.127   26 -0.123   26 0.4806   24  1.022   26 -0.201   23 -0.045
BLACKHAWKS     29 53 213 275 -0.017 41.126   31 -0.244   31 -0.251   31 -0.228   31 0.4623   28  0.985   30 -0.349   24 -0.107

METROPOLITAN DIVISION
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PENGUINS       43 45 304 284  0.008 44.585   17 -0.002   18 -0.015   10  0.077   17 0.4989    3  1.248    2  0.282   25 -0.127
HURRICANES     61 29 320 250  0.010 45.491    1  0.297    1  0.304    2  0.234    1 0.5442   10  1.121    3  0.276    5  0.192
CAPITALS       43 39 263 244  0.001 41.320    9  0.035   10  0.036    9  0.087    9 0.5068   15  1.108   12  0.112   12  0.062
BLUE JACKETS   40 42 253 253  0.009 41.718   18 -0.005   19 -0.016   16 -0.011   18 0.4987   20  1.060   19 -0.044   15  0.021
RANGERS        34 48 238 250  0.012 41.888   26 -0.128   26 -0.131   20 -0.069   25 0.4811   25  1.016   23 -0.154   16  0.016
FLYERS         47 45 271 267  0.028 47.478   11  0.030   11  0.035   14  0.025   12 0.5057   31  0.917   24 -0.174    2  0.224
ISLANDERS      43 39 233 241  0.004 41.569   10  0.033    9  0.039   17 -0.030   10 0.5068   29  0.948   25 -0.193    7  0.134
DEVILS         42 40 230 254  0.012 41.945   13  0.021   14  0.025   25 -0.117   13 0.5045   27  0.996   27 -0.225   20 -0.009

ATLANTIC DIVISION
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
SABRES         55 35 313 260  0.015 45.727    3  0.219    3  0.194    4  0.196    3 0.5293    8  1.144    4  0.266    8  0.126
LIGHTNING      53 36 305 247  0.019 45.369    4  0.192    4  0.169    3  0.205    4 0.5264   18  1.082    6  0.200    3  0.211
CANADIENS      53 38 306 276  0.039 47.165    5  0.177    5  0.162    7  0.127    5 0.5241    9  1.131    8  0.181   11  0.073
SENATORS       44 42 283 257  0.017 43.851   12  0.028   12  0.029    8  0.115   11 0.5058   13  1.119    9  0.153   10  0.076
BRUINS         47 41 284 270  0.031 45.408    8  0.067    8  0.074   11  0.075    8 0.5120   16  1.106   13  0.099   14  0.052
MAPLE LEAFS    32 50 253 299  0.012 41.964   30 -0.177   30 -0.172   28 -0.147   30 0.4752    4  1.242   16  0.049   30 -0.343
PANTHERS       40 42 251 276  0.011 41.868   19 -0.006   17 -0.015   21 -0.084   19 0.4985    6  1.193   17  0.048   28 -0.217
RED WINGS      41 41 241 258  0.008 41.735   16  0.007   16  0.004   18 -0.053   15 0.5012   22  1.037   21 -0.113   17  0.008

DIVISION                W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
ATLANTIC DIVISION     365 325 0.529    1  0.074
CENTRAL DIVISION      348 336 0.509    2  0.036
METROPOLITAN DIVISION 353 327 0.519    3  0.034
PACIFIC DIVISION      303 381 0.443    4 -0.170

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.051 points in main ratings (0.079 for semineutral)
     0.006 points in improved RPI (0.008 for semineutral)
Average of 1.00 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Sun May 10 05:30:09 2026
games through: Sat May  9 2026

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