Dolphin Ratings - National Hockey League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
LIGHTNING        47 37 296 227  0.002 41.588   11  0.091   11  0.097    2  0.244   11 0.5148   11  1.122    1  0.310    7  0.177
CAPITALS         53 32 297 241 -0.007 41.912    3  0.211    3  0.199    5  0.182    3 0.5291    7  1.143    2  0.274   14  0.090
SABRES           36 46 269 289 -0.003 40.989   23 -0.092   23 -0.103   23 -0.084   23 0.4851    1  1.323    3  0.243   31 -0.412
AVALANCHE        50 35 286 241  0.006 42.366    6  0.155    6  0.148    7  0.153    6 0.5218   10  1.131    4  0.230   15  0.077
GOLDEN KNIGHTS   51 34 283 231 -0.007 41.907    5  0.174    5  0.163    3  0.202    5 0.5241   16  1.076    5  0.211    5  0.192
STARS            52 33 284 233 -0.000 42.096    4  0.197    4  0.184    4  0.186    4 0.5267   17  1.073    6  0.192    6  0.180
BLUE JACKETS     40 42 273 268 -0.001 40.942   17 -0.012   17 -0.021   16 -0.010   18 0.4969    2  1.226    7  0.188   27 -0.208
JETS             58 27 286 202  0.004 42.030    1  0.292    1  0.306    1  0.300    1 0.5439   30  0.938    8  0.149    1  0.452
HURRICANES       49 36 275 238  0.003 42.331    9  0.128   10  0.129    8  0.134    9 0.5183   14  1.077    9  0.145   11  0.123
MAPLE LEAFS      55 30 280 237  0.001 42.247    2  0.243    2  0.244    9  0.133    2 0.5355   15  1.077   10  0.143   12  0.123
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
OILERS           49 36 273 252  0.002 42.396   10  0.126    9  0.129   13  0.063   10 0.5183   12  1.121   11  0.127   18 -0.001
RANGERS          39 43 256 255 -0.003 40.812   20 -0.028   20 -0.043   15  0.026   20 0.4937    8  1.143   12  0.118   21 -0.065
BLUES            45 40 265 242  0.016 42.793   13  0.046   13  0.057   11  0.087   13 0.5087   22  1.035   13  0.047   10  0.127
KINGS            50 35 266 220 -0.007 41.924    8  0.143    8  0.139    6  0.162    8 0.5206   28  0.952   14  0.026    2  0.299
PANTHERS         49 35 260 225  0.012 42.133    7  0.150    7  0.145   10  0.123    7 0.5208   26  0.968   15  0.005    4  0.241
CANADIENS        41 44 254 274  0.011 42.881   18 -0.013   18 -0.022   19 -0.037   17 0.4973   13  1.100   16  0.001   23 -0.075
KRAKEN           35 47 247 265 -0.008 40.875   26 -0.125   26 -0.127   24 -0.105   26 0.4814    6  1.146   17 -0.009   26 -0.201
PENGUINS         34 48 243 293 -0.002 41.208   27 -0.146   27 -0.142   29 -0.197   27 0.4791    3  1.195   18 -0.038   29 -0.355
UTAH HOCKEY CLUB 38 44 241 251  0.001 41.050   21 -0.044   21 -0.061   20 -0.040   21 0.4912   21  1.035   19 -0.079   17  0.000
RED WINGS        39 43 238 259  0.003 41.185   19 -0.027   19 -0.039   22 -0.075   19 0.4945   18  1.059   20 -0.086   20 -0.063
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
SENATORS         45 40 249 246  0.005 42.584   14  0.039   14  0.050   14  0.026   14 0.5080   27  0.966   21 -0.094    9  0.147
FLYERS           33 49 238 286 -0.003 41.177   29 -0.170   29 -0.162   28 -0.194   29 0.4762    9  1.142   22 -0.103   28 -0.284
DEVILS           43 42 247 231  0.007 42.560   15  0.011   15  0.011   12  0.065   15 0.5020   31  0.916   23 -0.112    3  0.242
CANUCKS          38 44 236 253 -0.012 40.670   22 -0.052   22 -0.068   21 -0.054   22 0.4898   23  1.013   24 -0.120   16  0.012
BLACKHAWKS       25 57 226 296 -0.004 41.253   31 -0.308   31 -0.325   31 -0.255   31 0.4527    4  1.171   25 -0.127   30 -0.383
WILD             47 38 240 247  0.009 42.793   12  0.081   12  0.094   17 -0.019   12 0.5133   29  0.950   26 -0.157   13  0.118
BRUINS           33 49 222 272  0.006 41.401   28 -0.164   28 -0.158   26 -0.157   28 0.4771   19  1.039   27 -0.193   24 -0.122
ISLANDERS        35 47 224 260 -0.005 40.994   25 -0.120   25 -0.123   25 -0.127   25 0.4818   24  0.995   28 -0.213   19 -0.040
FLAMES           41 41 225 238 -0.012 40.631   16 -0.003   16 -0.007   18 -0.035   16 0.4985   32  0.884   29 -0.247    8  0.177
DUCKS            35 47 221 263  0.000 41.269   24 -0.117   24 -0.120   27 -0.162   24 0.4825   25  0.994   30 -0.250   22 -0.074
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
SHARKS           20 62 210 315 -0.005 41.422   32 -0.442   32 -0.432   32 -0.376   32 0.4378    5  1.152   31 -0.272   32 -0.480
PREDATORS        30 52 214 274  0.002 41.438   30 -0.226   30 -0.220   30 -0.234   30 0.4678   20  1.036   32 -0.273   25 -0.196

PACIFIC DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
GOLDEN KNIGHTS   51 34 283 231 -0.007 41.907    5  0.174    5  0.163    3  0.202    5 0.5241   16  1.076    5  0.211    5  0.192
OILERS           49 36 273 252  0.002 42.396   10  0.126    9  0.129   13  0.063   10 0.5183   12  1.121   11  0.127   18 -0.001
KINGS            50 35 266 220 -0.007 41.924    8  0.143    8  0.139    6  0.162    8 0.5206   28  0.952   14  0.026    2  0.299
KRAKEN           35 47 247 265 -0.008 40.875   26 -0.125   26 -0.127   24 -0.105   26 0.4814    6  1.146   17 -0.009   26 -0.201
CANUCKS          38 44 236 253 -0.012 40.670   22 -0.052   22 -0.068   21 -0.054   22 0.4898   23  1.013   24 -0.120   16  0.012
FLAMES           41 41 225 238 -0.012 40.631   16 -0.003   16 -0.007   18 -0.035   16 0.4985   32  0.884   29 -0.247    8  0.177
DUCKS            35 47 221 263  0.000 41.269   24 -0.117   24 -0.120   27 -0.162   24 0.4825   25  0.994   30 -0.250   22 -0.074
SHARKS           20 62 210 315 -0.005 41.422   32 -0.442   32 -0.432   32 -0.376   32 0.4378    5  1.152   31 -0.272   32 -0.480

CENTRAL DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
AVALANCHE        50 35 286 241  0.006 42.366    6  0.155    6  0.148    7  0.153    6 0.5218   10  1.131    4  0.230   15  0.077
STARS            52 33 284 233 -0.000 42.096    4  0.197    4  0.184    4  0.186    4 0.5267   17  1.073    6  0.192    6  0.180
JETS             58 27 286 202  0.004 42.030    1  0.292    1  0.306    1  0.300    1 0.5439   30  0.938    8  0.149    1  0.452
BLUES            45 40 265 242  0.016 42.793   13  0.046   13  0.057   11  0.087   13 0.5087   22  1.035   13  0.047   10  0.127
UTAH HOCKEY CLUB 38 44 241 251  0.001 41.050   21 -0.044   21 -0.061   20 -0.040   21 0.4912   21  1.035   19 -0.079   17  0.000
BLACKHAWKS       25 57 226 296 -0.004 41.253   31 -0.308   31 -0.325   31 -0.255   31 0.4527    4  1.171   25 -0.127   30 -0.383
WILD             47 38 240 247  0.009 42.793   12  0.081   12  0.094   17 -0.019   12 0.5133   29  0.950   26 -0.157   13  0.118
PREDATORS        30 52 214 274  0.002 41.438   30 -0.226   30 -0.220   30 -0.234   30 0.4678   20  1.036   32 -0.273   25 -0.196

METROPOLITAN DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CAPITALS         53 32 297 241 -0.007 41.912    3  0.211    3  0.199    5  0.182    3 0.5291    7  1.143    2  0.274   14  0.090
BLUE JACKETS     40 42 273 268 -0.001 40.942   17 -0.012   17 -0.021   16 -0.010   18 0.4969    2  1.226    7  0.188   27 -0.208
HURRICANES       49 36 275 238  0.003 42.331    9  0.128   10  0.129    8  0.134    9 0.5183   14  1.077    9  0.145   11  0.123
RANGERS          39 43 256 255 -0.003 40.812   20 -0.028   20 -0.043   15  0.026   20 0.4937    8  1.143   12  0.118   21 -0.065
PENGUINS         34 48 243 293 -0.002 41.208   27 -0.146   27 -0.142   29 -0.197   27 0.4791    3  1.195   18 -0.038   29 -0.355
FLYERS           33 49 238 286 -0.003 41.177   29 -0.170   29 -0.162   28 -0.194   29 0.4762    9  1.142   22 -0.103   28 -0.284
DEVILS           43 42 247 231  0.007 42.560   15  0.011   15  0.011   12  0.065   15 0.5020   31  0.916   23 -0.112    3  0.242
ISLANDERS        35 47 224 260 -0.005 40.994   25 -0.120   25 -0.123   25 -0.127   25 0.4818   24  0.995   28 -0.213   19 -0.040

ATLANTIC DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
LIGHTNING        47 37 296 227  0.002 41.588   11  0.091   11  0.097    2  0.244   11 0.5148   11  1.122    1  0.310    7  0.177
SABRES           36 46 269 289 -0.003 40.989   23 -0.092   23 -0.103   23 -0.084   23 0.4851    1  1.323    3  0.243   31 -0.412
MAPLE LEAFS      55 30 280 237  0.001 42.247    2  0.243    2  0.244    9  0.133    2 0.5355   15  1.077   10  0.143   12  0.123
PANTHERS         49 35 260 225  0.012 42.133    7  0.150    7  0.145   10  0.123    7 0.5208   26  0.968   15  0.005    4  0.241
CANADIENS        41 44 254 274  0.011 42.881   18 -0.013   18 -0.022   19 -0.037   17 0.4973   13  1.100   16  0.001   23 -0.075
RED WINGS        39 43 238 259  0.003 41.185   19 -0.027   19 -0.039   22 -0.075   19 0.4945   18  1.059   20 -0.086   20 -0.063
SENATORS         45 40 249 246  0.005 42.584   14  0.039   14  0.050   14  0.026   14 0.5080   27  0.966   21 -0.094    9  0.147
BRUINS           33 49 222 272  0.006 41.401   28 -0.164   28 -0.158   26 -0.157   28 0.4771   19  1.039   27 -0.193   24 -0.122

DIVISION                W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
CENTRAL DIVISION      345 326 0.514    1  0.030
ATLANTIC DIVISION     345 324 0.516    2  0.029
METROPOLITAN DIVISION 326 339 0.490    3 -0.020
PACIFIC DIVISION      319 346 0.480    4 -0.050

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.140 points in main ratings (0.079 for semineutral)
     0.015 points in improved RPI (0.008 for semineutral)
Average of 1.00 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Sat Apr 26 05:30:10 2025
games through: Fri Apr 25 2025

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