Dolphin Ratings - National Hockey League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
AVALANCHE      52 26 293 198 -0.006 38.453    1  0.258    1  0.258    1  0.379    1 0.5394   16  1.092    1  0.377    1  0.380
LIGHTNING      48 31 282 223  0.013 39.782    4  0.191    4  0.176    2  0.220    4 0.5284   13  1.146    4  0.287    5  0.154
HURRICANES     51 28 288 235  0.004 39.555    2  0.237    2  0.232    3  0.177    2 0.5360    6  1.205    3  0.319   13  0.036
STARS          47 32 267 218 -0.006 39.210    6  0.152    6  0.144    4  0.171    6 0.5216   21  1.046   12  0.114    2  0.228
SABRES         49 31 280 236  0.013 40.333    3  0.200    3  0.186    5  0.171    3 0.5293   10  1.162    6  0.257   10  0.084
WILD           45 34 265 230 -0.005 39.265    7  0.100    7  0.105    6  0.142    7 0.5153   19  1.079   11  0.125    4  0.159
PENGUINS       41 38 285 252  0.008 39.722   12  0.028   13  0.035    7  0.136   12 0.5065    3  1.252    2  0.339   25 -0.066
SENATORS       42 37 269 241  0.012 39.863   10  0.046   10  0.057    8  0.121   10 0.5094    8  1.171    8  0.218   17  0.024
CANADIENS      47 32 275 246  0.018 40.042    5  0.169    5  0.160    9  0.116    5 0.5249    7  1.183    7  0.229   21  0.003
MAMMOTH        42 36 258 224 -0.006 38.827   11  0.044   11  0.055   10  0.090   11 0.5080   17  1.087   14  0.083    8  0.097
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BRUINS         43 36 264 246  0.019 40.147    8  0.070    8  0.080   11  0.087    8 0.5131   12  1.147    9  0.154   19  0.020
CAPITALS       40 39 252 240  0.002 39.624   17  0.008   17  0.009   12  0.060   17 0.5028   15  1.114   13  0.087   14  0.033
OILERS         40 39 275 265 -0.025 38.798   19 -0.004   19 -0.006   13  0.034   19 0.4989    1  1.283    5  0.277   27 -0.209
GOLDEN KNIGHTS 36 43 252 245 -0.023 38.890   24 -0.068   24 -0.084   14  0.010   23 0.4868   18  1.085   16  0.000   20  0.019
ISLANDERS      43 36 231 232  0.003 39.755    9  0.057    9  0.071   15  0.004    9 0.5115   28  0.969   22 -0.142    6  0.150
FLYERS         40 39 236 238  0.013 40.067   15  0.012   16  0.018   16 -0.006   16 0.5030   27  0.972   24 -0.150    7  0.138
BLUE JACKETS   39 40 245 246  0.012 40.033   18 -0.002   18 -0.003   17 -0.010   18 0.5003   20  1.063   19 -0.046   15  0.025
RED WINGS      41 38 234 241  0.013 40.102   13  0.027   12  0.039   18 -0.017   13 0.5060   24  1.001   21 -0.127    9  0.092
JETS           35 43 224 236 -0.004 39.108   23 -0.067   23 -0.082   19 -0.060   24 0.4863   25  0.984   25 -0.189   11  0.069
RANGERS        33 46 232 243  0.011 40.080   25 -0.116   25 -0.122   20 -0.062   25 0.4816   22  1.024   23 -0.144   18  0.021
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
KINGS          33 45 215 237 -0.015 38.767   26 -0.125   27 -0.129   21 -0.068   26 0.4795   32  0.877   30 -0.317    3  0.182
PREDATORS      37 42 239 260 -0.002 39.721   22 -0.038   22 -0.051   22 -0.090   22 0.4909   14  1.127   20 -0.048   26 -0.131
BLUES          33 45 208 244 -0.016 38.767   27 -0.127   26 -0.129   23 -0.092   27 0.4795   30  0.958   28 -0.251   12  0.067
DUCKS          42 37 263 277 -0.023 39.064   14  0.022   14  0.034   24 -0.100   14 0.5049    2  1.282   10  0.143   31 -0.343
DEVILS         40 39 221 244  0.014 40.239   16  0.009   15  0.018   25 -0.106   15 0.5033   26  0.982   27 -0.237   16  0.025
PANTHERS       37 42 234 271  0.022 40.518   20 -0.027   20 -0.035   26 -0.116   20 0.4950    9  1.168   17 -0.023   28 -0.210
MAPLE LEAFS    32 47 245 284  0.015 40.267   29 -0.142   29 -0.139   27 -0.120   28 0.4792    4  1.220   15  0.040   29 -0.281
KRAKEN         33 45 218 251 -0.022 38.640   28 -0.136   28 -0.135   28 -0.123   29 0.4790   23  1.002   26 -0.232   22 -0.015
SHARKS         37 41 237 280 -0.010 39.061   21 -0.036   21 -0.046   29 -0.176   21 0.4923    5  1.209   18 -0.030   30 -0.322
FLAMES         32 46 203 250 -0.019 38.809   30 -0.161   30 -0.153   30 -0.195   30 0.4764   31  0.940   32 -0.374   23 -0.016
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BLACKHAWKS     28 51 204 263 -0.006 39.729   31 -0.237   31 -0.233   31 -0.210   31 0.4633   29  0.969   31 -0.357   24 -0.063
CANUCKS        22 56 203 301 -0.013 39.253   32 -0.342   32 -0.351   32 -0.381   32 0.4454   11  1.160   29 -0.298   32 -0.464

PACIFIC DIVISION
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
OILERS         40 39 275 265 -0.025 38.798   19 -0.004   19 -0.006   13  0.034   19 0.4989    1  1.283    5  0.277   27 -0.209
GOLDEN KNIGHTS 36 43 252 245 -0.023 38.890   24 -0.068   24 -0.084   14  0.010   23 0.4868   18  1.085   16  0.000   20  0.019
KINGS          33 45 215 237 -0.015 38.767   26 -0.125   27 -0.129   21 -0.068   26 0.4795   32  0.877   30 -0.317    3  0.182
DUCKS          42 37 263 277 -0.023 39.064   14  0.022   14  0.034   24 -0.100   14 0.5049    2  1.282   10  0.143   31 -0.343
KRAKEN         33 45 218 251 -0.022 38.640   28 -0.136   28 -0.135   28 -0.123   29 0.4790   23  1.002   26 -0.232   22 -0.015
SHARKS         37 41 237 280 -0.010 39.061   21 -0.036   21 -0.046   29 -0.176   21 0.4923    5  1.209   18 -0.030   30 -0.322
FLAMES         32 46 203 250 -0.019 38.809   30 -0.161   30 -0.153   30 -0.195   30 0.4764   31  0.940   32 -0.374   23 -0.016
CANUCKS        22 56 203 301 -0.013 39.253   32 -0.342   32 -0.351   32 -0.381   32 0.4454   11  1.160   29 -0.298   32 -0.464

CENTRAL DIVISION
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
AVALANCHE      52 26 293 198 -0.006 38.453    1  0.258    1  0.258    1  0.379    1 0.5394   16  1.092    1  0.377    1  0.380
STARS          47 32 267 218 -0.006 39.210    6  0.152    6  0.144    4  0.171    6 0.5216   21  1.046   12  0.114    2  0.228
WILD           45 34 265 230 -0.005 39.265    7  0.100    7  0.105    6  0.142    7 0.5153   19  1.079   11  0.125    4  0.159
MAMMOTH        42 36 258 224 -0.006 38.827   11  0.044   11  0.055   10  0.090   11 0.5080   17  1.087   14  0.083    8  0.097
JETS           35 43 224 236 -0.004 39.108   23 -0.067   23 -0.082   19 -0.060   24 0.4863   25  0.984   25 -0.189   11  0.069
PREDATORS      37 42 239 260 -0.002 39.721   22 -0.038   22 -0.051   22 -0.090   22 0.4909   14  1.127   20 -0.048   26 -0.131
BLUES          33 45 208 244 -0.016 38.767   27 -0.127   26 -0.129   23 -0.092   27 0.4795   30  0.958   28 -0.251   12  0.067
BLACKHAWKS     28 51 204 263 -0.006 39.729   31 -0.237   31 -0.233   31 -0.210   31 0.4633   29  0.969   31 -0.357   24 -0.063

METROPOLITAN DIVISION
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
HURRICANES     51 28 288 235  0.004 39.555    2  0.237    2  0.232    3  0.177    2 0.5360    6  1.205    3  0.319   13  0.036
PENGUINS       41 38 285 252  0.008 39.722   12  0.028   13  0.035    7  0.136   12 0.5065    3  1.252    2  0.339   25 -0.066
CAPITALS       40 39 252 240  0.002 39.624   17  0.008   17  0.009   12  0.060   17 0.5028   15  1.114   13  0.087   14  0.033
ISLANDERS      43 36 231 232  0.003 39.755    9  0.057    9  0.071   15  0.004    9 0.5115   28  0.969   22 -0.142    6  0.150
FLYERS         40 39 236 238  0.013 40.067   15  0.012   16  0.018   16 -0.006   16 0.5030   27  0.972   24 -0.150    7  0.138
BLUE JACKETS   39 40 245 246  0.012 40.033   18 -0.002   18 -0.003   17 -0.010   18 0.5003   20  1.063   19 -0.046   15  0.025
RANGERS        33 46 232 243  0.011 40.080   25 -0.116   25 -0.122   20 -0.062   25 0.4816   22  1.024   23 -0.144   18  0.021
DEVILS         40 39 221 244  0.014 40.239   16  0.009   15  0.018   25 -0.106   15 0.5033   26  0.982   27 -0.237   16  0.025

ATLANTIC DIVISION
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
LIGHTNING      48 31 282 223  0.013 39.782    4  0.191    4  0.176    2  0.220    4 0.5284   13  1.146    4  0.287    5  0.154
SABRES         49 31 280 236  0.013 40.333    3  0.200    3  0.186    5  0.171    3 0.5293   10  1.162    6  0.257   10  0.084
SENATORS       42 37 269 241  0.012 39.863   10  0.046   10  0.057    8  0.121   10 0.5094    8  1.171    8  0.218   17  0.024
CANADIENS      47 32 275 246  0.018 40.042    5  0.169    5  0.160    9  0.116    5 0.5249    7  1.183    7  0.229   21  0.003
BRUINS         43 36 264 246  0.019 40.147    8  0.070    8  0.080   11  0.087    8 0.5131   12  1.147    9  0.154   19  0.020
RED WINGS      41 38 234 241  0.013 40.102   13  0.027   12  0.039   18 -0.017   13 0.5060   24  1.001   21 -0.127    9  0.092
PANTHERS       37 42 234 271  0.022 40.518   20 -0.027   20 -0.035   26 -0.116   20 0.4950    9  1.168   17 -0.023   28 -0.210
MAPLE LEAFS    32 47 245 284  0.015 40.267   29 -0.142   29 -0.139   27 -0.120   28 0.4792    4  1.220   15  0.040   29 -0.281

DIVISION                W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
ATLANTIC DIVISION     339 294 0.536    1  0.080
CENTRAL DIVISION      319 309 0.508    2  0.056
METROPOLITAN DIVISION 327 305 0.517    3  0.034
PACIFIC DIVISION      275 352 0.439    4 -0.173

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.057 points in main ratings (0.079 for semineutral)
     0.007 points in improved RPI (0.008 for semineutral)
Average of 1.00 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Fri Apr 10 05:30:07 2026
games through: Thu Apr  9 2026

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