Dolphin Ratings - National Hockey League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
AVALANCHE      63 32 346 240 -0.009 47.221    2  0.276    2  0.269    1  0.359    2 0.5372   19  1.064    1  0.330    1  0.388
HURRICANES     69 32 362 279  0.020 51.558    1  0.324    1  0.329    2  0.266    1 0.5464   13  1.118    2  0.304    2  0.229
LIGHTNING      53 36 305 247  0.014 45.314    4  0.190    4  0.163    3  0.200    4 0.5259   17  1.081    6  0.192    4  0.208
SABRES         57 38 331 280  0.019 48.565    3  0.209    3  0.180    4  0.184    3 0.5273    7  1.164    3  0.279   10  0.090
STARS          52 36 294 249 -0.003 44.209    6  0.158    6  0.144    5  0.147    6 0.5207   21  1.053   12  0.105    5  0.188
WILD           51 42 313 279  0.020 47.529    7  0.091    7  0.089    6  0.145    7 0.5127   10  1.124    7  0.190    8  0.100
CANADIENS      57 44 337 312  0.060 53.357    5  0.166    5  0.149    7  0.118    5 0.5225    9  1.136    8  0.177   12  0.059
SENATORS       44 42 283 257  0.015 43.882   12  0.033   12  0.025    8  0.111   11 0.5055   12  1.119    9  0.149   11  0.074
GOLDEN KNIGHTS 53 51 341 312  0.008 52.799   14  0.025   13  0.021    9  0.084   14 0.5037   18  1.081   14  0.076    9  0.093
CAPITALS       43 39 263 244 -0.003 41.300    9  0.038   11  0.032   10  0.083    9 0.5064   15  1.108   11  0.107   13  0.059
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PENGUINS       43 45 304 284  0.004 44.579   18 -0.003   19 -0.019   11  0.073   18 0.4985    3  1.248    4  0.276   25 -0.130
BRUINS         47 41 284 270  0.026 45.353    8  0.068    8  0.069   12  0.070    8 0.5114   16  1.104   13  0.090   14  0.050
MAMMOTH        45 43 286 263 -0.012 44.054   16  0.012   16  0.007   13  0.039   17 0.5006   14  1.116   15  0.074   18  0.004
FLYERS         47 45 271 267  0.026 47.530   11  0.035   10  0.032   14  0.022   12 0.5054   31  0.916   24 -0.178    3  0.223
OILERS         43 45 303 295 -0.042 43.006   21 -0.028   21 -0.050   15  0.011   21 0.4939    2  1.262    5  0.232   27 -0.210
BLUE JACKETS   40 42 253 253  0.006 41.712   19 -0.007   20 -0.020   16 -0.015   19 0.4983   20  1.060   19 -0.049   15  0.019
ISLANDERS      43 39 233 241  0.000 41.549   10  0.036    9  0.035   17 -0.034   10 0.5064   29  0.948   25 -0.199    7  0.131
RED WINGS      41 41 241 258  0.004 41.712   17  0.005   17 -0.000   18 -0.057   16 0.5007   22  1.036   21 -0.119   17  0.005
BLUES          37 45 231 258 -0.026 40.740   24 -0.081   24 -0.097   19 -0.072   24 0.4852   23  1.028   22 -0.145   19  0.000
RANGERS        34 48 238 250  0.009 41.882   26 -0.128   26 -0.134   20 -0.073   25 0.4807   25  1.016   23 -0.159   16  0.014
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PANTHERS       40 42 251 276  0.007 41.843   20 -0.008   18 -0.019   21 -0.088   20 0.4980    6  1.193   17  0.043   28 -0.219
KINGS          35 51 230 260 -0.012 43.272   29 -0.165   29 -0.165   22 -0.090   29 0.4758   32  0.848   31 -0.365    6  0.185
PREDATORS      38 44 247 269 -0.018 41.065   23 -0.057   23 -0.074   23 -0.105   23 0.4887   11  1.121   20 -0.065   26 -0.145
DUCKS          49 45 312 330 -0.025 46.808   15  0.013   15  0.014   24 -0.112   15 0.5015    1  1.275   10  0.127   31 -0.351
DEVILS         42 40 230 254  0.009 41.939   13  0.025   14  0.021   25 -0.120   13 0.5041   27  0.995   27 -0.230   20 -0.010
JETS           35 47 231 260 -0.016 41.152   25 -0.125   25 -0.131   26 -0.127   26 0.4801   24  1.022   26 -0.207   23 -0.048
KRAKEN         34 48 226 263 -0.029 40.751   28 -0.162   28 -0.161   27 -0.147   28 0.4761   26  0.997   28 -0.255   22 -0.039
MAPLE LEAFS    32 50 253 299  0.008 41.936   30 -0.177   30 -0.175   28 -0.151   30 0.4747    4  1.241   16  0.043   30 -0.345
SHARKS         39 43 251 292 -0.031 40.742   22 -0.048   22 -0.063   29 -0.180   22 0.4908    5  1.214   18 -0.022   29 -0.338
FLAMES         34 48 212 259 -0.025 40.935   27 -0.160   27 -0.158   30 -0.198   27 0.4765   30  0.931   32 -0.381   21 -0.015
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BLACKHAWKS     29 53 213 275 -0.021 41.083   31 -0.241   31 -0.255   31 -0.232   31 0.4618   28  0.985   30 -0.354   24 -0.109
CANUCKS        25 57 216 316 -0.027 41.117   32 -0.315   32 -0.338   32 -0.397   32 0.4497    8  1.160   29 -0.308   32 -0.487

PACIFIC DIVISION
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
GOLDEN KNIGHTS 53 51 341 312  0.008 52.799   14  0.025   13  0.021    9  0.084   14 0.5037   18  1.081   14  0.076    9  0.093
OILERS         43 45 303 295 -0.042 43.006   21 -0.028   21 -0.050   15  0.011   21 0.4939    2  1.262    5  0.232   27 -0.210
KINGS          35 51 230 260 -0.012 43.272   29 -0.165   29 -0.165   22 -0.090   29 0.4758   32  0.848   31 -0.365    6  0.185
DUCKS          49 45 312 330 -0.025 46.808   15  0.013   15  0.014   24 -0.112   15 0.5015    1  1.275   10  0.127   31 -0.351
KRAKEN         34 48 226 263 -0.029 40.751   28 -0.162   28 -0.161   27 -0.147   28 0.4761   26  0.997   28 -0.255   22 -0.039
SHARKS         39 43 251 292 -0.031 40.742   22 -0.048   22 -0.063   29 -0.180   22 0.4908    5  1.214   18 -0.022   29 -0.338
FLAMES         34 48 212 259 -0.025 40.935   27 -0.160   27 -0.158   30 -0.198   27 0.4765   30  0.931   32 -0.381   21 -0.015
CANUCKS        25 57 216 316 -0.027 41.117   32 -0.315   32 -0.338   32 -0.397   32 0.4497    8  1.160   29 -0.308   32 -0.487

CENTRAL DIVISION
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
AVALANCHE      63 32 346 240 -0.009 47.221    2  0.276    2  0.269    1  0.359    2 0.5372   19  1.064    1  0.330    1  0.388
STARS          52 36 294 249 -0.003 44.209    6  0.158    6  0.144    5  0.147    6 0.5207   21  1.053   12  0.105    5  0.188
WILD           51 42 313 279  0.020 47.529    7  0.091    7  0.089    6  0.145    7 0.5127   10  1.124    7  0.190    8  0.100
MAMMOTH        45 43 286 263 -0.012 44.054   16  0.012   16  0.007   13  0.039   17 0.5006   14  1.116   15  0.074   18  0.004
BLUES          37 45 231 258 -0.026 40.740   24 -0.081   24 -0.097   19 -0.072   24 0.4852   23  1.028   22 -0.145   19  0.000
PREDATORS      38 44 247 269 -0.018 41.065   23 -0.057   23 -0.074   23 -0.105   23 0.4887   11  1.121   20 -0.065   26 -0.145
JETS           35 47 231 260 -0.016 41.152   25 -0.125   25 -0.131   26 -0.127   26 0.4801   24  1.022   26 -0.207   23 -0.048
BLACKHAWKS     29 53 213 275 -0.021 41.083   31 -0.241   31 -0.255   31 -0.232   31 0.4618   28  0.985   30 -0.354   24 -0.109

METROPOLITAN DIVISION
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
HURRICANES     69 32 362 279  0.020 51.558    1  0.324    1  0.329    2  0.266    1 0.5464   13  1.118    2  0.304    2  0.229
CAPITALS       43 39 263 244 -0.003 41.300    9  0.038   11  0.032   10  0.083    9 0.5064   15  1.108   11  0.107   13  0.059
PENGUINS       43 45 304 284  0.004 44.579   18 -0.003   19 -0.019   11  0.073   18 0.4985    3  1.248    4  0.276   25 -0.130
FLYERS         47 45 271 267  0.026 47.530   11  0.035   10  0.032   14  0.022   12 0.5054   31  0.916   24 -0.178    3  0.223
BLUE JACKETS   40 42 253 253  0.006 41.712   19 -0.007   20 -0.020   16 -0.015   19 0.4983   20  1.060   19 -0.049   15  0.019
ISLANDERS      43 39 233 241  0.000 41.549   10  0.036    9  0.035   17 -0.034   10 0.5064   29  0.948   25 -0.199    7  0.131
RANGERS        34 48 238 250  0.009 41.882   26 -0.128   26 -0.134   20 -0.073   25 0.4807   25  1.016   23 -0.159   16  0.014
DEVILS         42 40 230 254  0.009 41.939   13  0.025   14  0.021   25 -0.120   13 0.5041   27  0.995   27 -0.230   20 -0.010

ATLANTIC DIVISION
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
LIGHTNING      53 36 305 247  0.014 45.314    4  0.190    4  0.163    3  0.200    4 0.5259   17  1.081    6  0.192    4  0.208
SABRES         57 38 331 280  0.019 48.565    3  0.209    3  0.180    4  0.184    3 0.5273    7  1.164    3  0.279   10  0.090
CANADIENS      57 44 337 312  0.060 53.357    5  0.166    5  0.149    7  0.118    5 0.5225    9  1.136    8  0.177   12  0.059
SENATORS       44 42 283 257  0.015 43.882   12  0.033   12  0.025    8  0.111   11 0.5055   12  1.119    9  0.149   11  0.074
BRUINS         47 41 284 270  0.026 45.353    8  0.068    8  0.069   12  0.070    8 0.5114   16  1.104   13  0.090   14  0.050
RED WINGS      41 41 241 258  0.004 41.712   17  0.005   17 -0.000   18 -0.057   16 0.5007   22  1.036   21 -0.119   17  0.005
PANTHERS       40 42 251 276  0.007 41.843   20 -0.008   18 -0.019   21 -0.088   20 0.4980    6  1.193   17  0.043   28 -0.219
MAPLE LEAFS    32 50 253 299  0.008 41.936   30 -0.177   30 -0.175   28 -0.151   30 0.4747    4  1.241   16  0.043   30 -0.345

DIVISION                W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
ATLANTIC DIVISION     371 334 0.526    1  0.067
METROPOLITAN DIVISION 361 330 0.522    2  0.035
CENTRAL DIVISION      350 342 0.506    3  0.025
PACIFIC DIVISION      312 388 0.446    4 -0.170

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.045 points in main ratings (0.079 for semineutral)
     0.006 points in improved RPI (0.008 for semineutral)
Average of 1.00 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Mon Jun 15 05:30:11 2026
games through: Sun Jun 14 2026

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