Dolphin Ratings - National Basketball Association

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                                STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W  L    PF    PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
HORNETS       43 40  9560  9553 -0.003 41.129   17  0.043   16  0.035   18  0.019   17 0.5030    1  4.012    4  0.426   25 -0.389
TIMBERWOLVES  49 40 10271 10083  0.019 44.403   12  0.137   12  0.125   10  0.147   12 0.5134    2  4.004    2  0.512   18 -0.219
ROCKETS       20 62  8997  9692 -0.054 40.758   30 -0.618   30 -0.644   28 -0.512   30 0.4361    3  3.996   23 -0.187   30 -0.837
HAWKS         46 43 10069  9966  0.016 44.526   15  0.054   15  0.044   12  0.093   14 0.5046    4  3.987    6  0.371   16 -0.186
NETS          45 42  9809  9756  0.018 43.668   14  0.057   14  0.048   15  0.064   15 0.5041    5  3.982    7  0.317   17 -0.189
KINGS         30 52  9045  9493 -0.035 40.786   24 -0.311   24 -0.328   25 -0.377   24 0.4662    6  3.978   21 -0.146   28 -0.608
PACERS        25 57  9140  9425 -0.019 40.731   26 -0.444   26 -0.464   24 -0.304   26 0.4515    7  3.977   17 -0.077   27 -0.530
BUCKS         58 36 10703 10410  0.032 47.130    7  0.292    7  0.290    8  0.220    7 0.5289    8  3.977    3  0.446   14 -0.006
SPURS         34 49  9382  9382 -0.019 40.633   22 -0.202   22 -0.222   20 -0.020   22 0.4765    9  3.976   11  0.205   19 -0.244
GRIZZLIES     62 32 10830 10335  0.040 46.947    3  0.415    3  0.383    2  0.415    3 0.5401   10  3.969    1  0.601   12  0.229
TEAM           W  L    PF    PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
LAKERS        33 49  9192  9442 -0.039 40.190   23 -0.235   23 -0.250   22 -0.224   23 0.4741   11  3.968   16 -0.044   26 -0.404
BULLS         47 40  9628  9733 -0.002 43.388   13  0.097   13  0.093   21 -0.209   13 0.5094   12  3.955   19 -0.095   24 -0.323
NUGGETS       49 38  9793  9644  0.016 43.364   11  0.164   11  0.152   13  0.090   11 0.5158   13  3.954   12  0.200   15 -0.020
SUNS          71 24 10815 10213  0.006 46.040    1  0.599    1  0.580    5  0.312    1 0.5580   14  3.948    5  0.392   10  0.233
TRAIL BLAZERS 27 55  8711  9439 -0.048 40.994   25 -0.403   25 -0.411   30 -0.775   25 0.4569   15  3.938   29 -0.748   29 -0.803
JAZZ          51 37  9910  9449  0.014 43.066    9  0.194    9  0.176    7  0.244    9 0.5193   16  3.934    9  0.250    9  0.239
WIZARDS       35 47  8907  9184 -0.024 40.637   21 -0.167   21 -0.177   23 -0.282   21 0.4801   17  3.928   24 -0.305   20 -0.259
PELICANS      40 50  9839  9915  0.021 45.577   19 -0.088   19 -0.110   14  0.076   19 0.4891   18  3.920   14  0.012   13  0.140
PISTONS       23 58  8518  9131 -0.035 40.532   28 -0.495   28 -0.515   26 -0.396   28 0.4464   19  3.907   27 -0.523   21 -0.268
WARRIORS      64 32 10705 10164  0.056 48.490    2  0.466    2  0.429    3  0.373    2 0.5439   20  3.903   10  0.227    4  0.519
TEAM           W  L    PF    PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
76ERS         57 37 10269 10051  0.029 47.247    8  0.268    8  0.265    9  0.185    8 0.5277   21  3.897   15  0.009    6  0.360
MAGIC         22 60  8547  9203 -0.035 41.064   29 -0.527   29 -0.551   27 -0.490   29 0.4429   22  3.893   28 -0.687   23 -0.292
CLIPPERS      42 42  9095  9102 -0.009 41.489   18  0.008   18 -0.006   17  0.022   18 0.4994   23  3.891   22 -0.184   11  0.229
RAPTORS       50 38  9589  9451  0.016 43.936   10  0.165   10  0.153   11  0.103   10 0.5173   24  3.890   20 -0.112    7  0.317
THUNDER       24 58  8506  9170 -0.053 40.713   27 -0.491   27 -0.509   29 -0.550   27 0.4477   25  3.876   30 -0.831   22 -0.269
CELTICS       60 36 10694 10016  0.038 47.728    6  0.330    6  0.303    1  0.609    6 0.5319   26  3.874    8  0.316    1  0.902
HEAT          63 33 10529 10066  0.027 47.676    4  0.411    4  0.380    4  0.361    4 0.5388   27  3.873   13  0.065    3  0.657
CAVALIERS     43 40  8950  8809 -0.002 40.859   16  0.046   17  0.033   19 -0.007   16 0.5034   28  3.873   25 -0.305    8  0.291
KNICKS        37 45  8731  8741 -0.008 40.478   20 -0.099   20 -0.120   16  0.034   20 0.4869   29  3.861   26 -0.322    5  0.390
MAVERICKS     60 38 10543 10259  0.070 50.491    5  0.334    5  0.313    6  0.298    5 0.5319   30  3.855   18 -0.086    2  0.682
TEAM           W  L    PF    PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING

PACIFIC DIVISION
                                                STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W  L    PF    PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
KINGS         30 52  9045  9493 -0.035 40.786   24 -0.311   24 -0.328   25 -0.377   24 0.4662    6  3.978   21 -0.146   28 -0.608
LAKERS        33 49  9192  9442 -0.039 40.190   23 -0.235   23 -0.250   22 -0.224   23 0.4741   11  3.968   16 -0.044   26 -0.404
SUNS          71 24 10815 10213  0.006 46.040    1  0.599    1  0.580    5  0.312    1 0.5580   14  3.948    5  0.392   10  0.233
WARRIORS      64 32 10705 10164  0.056 48.490    2  0.466    2  0.429    3  0.373    2 0.5439   20  3.903   10  0.227    4  0.519
CLIPPERS      42 42  9095  9102 -0.009 41.489   18  0.008   18 -0.006   17  0.022   18 0.4994   23  3.891   22 -0.184   11  0.229

NORTHWEST DIVISION
                                                STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W  L    PF    PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
TIMBERWOLVES  49 40 10271 10083  0.019 44.403   12  0.137   12  0.125   10  0.147   12 0.5134    2  4.004    2  0.512   18 -0.219
NUGGETS       49 38  9793  9644  0.016 43.364   11  0.164   11  0.152   13  0.090   11 0.5158   13  3.954   12  0.200   15 -0.020
TRAIL BLAZERS 27 55  8711  9439 -0.048 40.994   25 -0.403   25 -0.411   30 -0.775   25 0.4569   15  3.938   29 -0.748   29 -0.803
JAZZ          51 37  9910  9449  0.014 43.066    9  0.194    9  0.176    7  0.244    9 0.5193   16  3.934    9  0.250    9  0.239
THUNDER       24 58  8506  9170 -0.053 40.713   27 -0.491   27 -0.509   29 -0.550   27 0.4477   25  3.876   30 -0.831   22 -0.269

SOUTHWEST DIVISION
                                                STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W  L    PF    PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ROCKETS       20 62  8997  9692 -0.054 40.758   30 -0.618   30 -0.644   28 -0.512   30 0.4361    3  3.996   23 -0.187   30 -0.837
SPURS         34 49  9382  9382 -0.019 40.633   22 -0.202   22 -0.222   20 -0.020   22 0.4765    9  3.976   11  0.205   19 -0.244
GRIZZLIES     62 32 10830 10335  0.040 46.947    3  0.415    3  0.383    2  0.415    3 0.5401   10  3.969    1  0.601   12  0.229
PELICANS      40 50  9839  9915  0.021 45.577   19 -0.088   19 -0.110   14  0.076   19 0.4891   18  3.920   14  0.012   13  0.140
MAVERICKS     60 38 10543 10259  0.070 50.491    5  0.334    5  0.313    6  0.298    5 0.5319   30  3.855   18 -0.086    2  0.682

CENTRAL DIVISION
                                                STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W  L    PF    PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PACERS        25 57  9140  9425 -0.019 40.731   26 -0.444   26 -0.464   24 -0.304   26 0.4515    7  3.977   17 -0.077   27 -0.530
BUCKS         58 36 10703 10410  0.032 47.130    7  0.292    7  0.290    8  0.220    7 0.5289    8  3.977    3  0.446   14 -0.006
BULLS         47 40  9628  9733 -0.002 43.388   13  0.097   13  0.093   21 -0.209   13 0.5094   12  3.955   19 -0.095   24 -0.323
PISTONS       23 58  8518  9131 -0.035 40.532   28 -0.495   28 -0.515   26 -0.396   28 0.4464   19  3.907   27 -0.523   21 -0.268
CAVALIERS     43 40  8950  8809 -0.002 40.859   16  0.046   17  0.033   19 -0.007   16 0.5034   28  3.873   25 -0.305    8  0.291

SOUTHEAST DIVISION
                                                STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W  L    PF    PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
HORNETS       43 40  9560  9553 -0.003 41.129   17  0.043   16  0.035   18  0.019   17 0.5030    1  4.012    4  0.426   25 -0.389
HAWKS         46 43 10069  9966  0.016 44.526   15  0.054   15  0.044   12  0.093   14 0.5046    4  3.987    6  0.371   16 -0.186
WIZARDS       35 47  8907  9184 -0.024 40.637   21 -0.167   21 -0.177   23 -0.282   21 0.4801   17  3.928   24 -0.305   20 -0.259
MAGIC         22 60  8547  9203 -0.035 41.064   29 -0.527   29 -0.551   27 -0.490   29 0.4429   22  3.893   28 -0.687   23 -0.292
HEAT          63 33 10529 10066  0.027 47.676    4  0.411    4  0.380    4  0.361    4 0.5388   27  3.873   13  0.065    3  0.657

ATLANTIC DIVISION
                                                STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W  L    PF    PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
NETS          45 42  9809  9756  0.018 43.668   14  0.057   14  0.048   15  0.064   15 0.5041    5  3.982    7  0.317   17 -0.189
76ERS         57 37 10269 10051  0.029 47.247    8  0.268    8  0.265    9  0.185    8 0.5277   21  3.897   15  0.009    6  0.360
RAPTORS       50 38  9589  9451  0.016 43.936   10  0.165   10  0.153   11  0.103   10 0.5173   24  3.890   20 -0.112    7  0.317
CELTICS       60 36 10694 10016  0.038 47.728    6  0.330    6  0.303    1  0.609    6 0.5319   26  3.874    8  0.316    1  0.902
KNICKS        37 45  8731  8741 -0.008 40.478   20 -0.099   20 -0.120   16  0.034   20 0.4869   29  3.861   26 -0.322    5  0.390

DIVISION             W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
ATLANTIC DIVISION  249 198 0.557    1  0.183
PACIFIC DIVISION   240 199 0.547    2  0.041
SOUTHWEST DIVISION 216 231 0.483    3 -0.001
SOUTHEAST DIVISION 209 223 0.484    4 -0.086
CENTRAL DIVISION   196 231 0.459    5 -0.114
NORTHWEST DIVISION 200 228 0.467    6 -0.126

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.158 points in main ratings (0.186 for semineutral)
     0.013 points in improved RPI (0.019 for semineutral)
Average of 2.15 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Mon May 23 05:30:11 2022
games through: Sun May 22 2022

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