Dolphin Ratings - National Basketball Association

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
WIZARDS       25 47 8238 8574 -0.100 35.045   23 -0.396   23 -0.430   29 -0.305   23 0.4547    1  4.046   10  0.241   30 -0.851
PELICANS      30 42 8341 8434  0.033 37.839   21 -0.145   21 -0.168   20 -0.099   21 0.4826    2  4.024    6  0.326   28 -0.524
TRAIL BLAZERS 37 43 9167 9301  0.049 42.611   14 -0.017   14 -0.041   15  0.004   14 0.4962    3  4.012    5  0.368   26 -0.361
HAWKS         20 47 7488 8022 -0.052 34.174   27 -0.460   27 -0.491   27 -0.297   27 0.4488    4  4.009   16  0.050   29 -0.643
ROCKETS       49 35 9774 9552  0.051 44.055   10  0.259   10  0.227    9  0.121    8 0.5256    5  4.006    4  0.452   22 -0.209
TIMBERWOLVES  19 45 7248 7523 -0.024 32.777   24 -0.437   24 -0.477   22 -0.182   25 0.4497    6  3.994   15  0.089   27 -0.453
MAVERICKS     45 36 9478 9165  0.042 41.856   12  0.181   12  0.147   14  0.019   13 0.5148    7  3.989    9  0.264   24 -0.226
SPURS         32 39 8098 8177  0.020 36.948   16 -0.071   16 -0.096   11  0.065   16 0.4896    8  3.987    8  0.296   20 -0.166
BUCKS         61 22 9774 9026  0.009 41.078    2  0.602    2  0.556    7  0.246    3 0.5547    9  3.985    2  0.466   15  0.025
SUNS          34 39 8294 8278 -0.004 37.169   15 -0.056   15 -0.083    6  0.265   15 0.4911   10  3.978    3  0.454   13  0.076
TEAM           W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
GRIZZLIES     34 40 8344 8426 -0.015 37.558   17 -0.081   17 -0.105   13  0.021   18 0.4882   11  3.976   13  0.196   19 -0.153
CLIPPERS      56 29 9859 9340  0.073 44.662    4  0.464    4  0.415    2  0.385    4 0.5432   12  3.960    1  0.480    6  0.290
NETS          35 41 8471 8594 -0.033 38.188   18 -0.093   18 -0.114   21 -0.150   17 0.4886   13  3.956   18 -0.078   23 -0.221
CAVALIERS     19 46 6948 7461 -0.090 32.490   29 -0.506   28 -0.538   28 -0.299   28 0.4442   14  3.934   24 -0.338   25 -0.260
KINGS         31 41 7927 8074  0.009 37.320   20 -0.126   20 -0.147   19 -0.074   20 0.4833   15  3.924   21 -0.165   16  0.017
LAKERS        62 22 9532 9026  0.069 44.032    1  0.651    1  0.608    5  0.290    1 0.5632   16  3.920   14  0.181    4  0.400
JAZZ          47 32 8807 8605  0.022 40.544    9  0.261    9  0.231   10  0.111   10 0.5248   17  3.919   17 -0.003   11  0.225
WARRIORS      15 50 6912 7478 -0.023 33.733   30 -0.596   30 -0.634   30 -0.319   30 0.4335   18  3.916   27 -0.451   21 -0.188
76ERS         43 34 8486 8359  0.022 39.544   13  0.175   13  0.147   12  0.044   12 0.5153   19  3.914   20 -0.094   12  0.181
RAPTORS       60 23 9321 8827  0.041 42.375    3  0.591    3  0.553    4  0.369    2 0.5548   20  3.908   12  0.200    3  0.537
TEAM           W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CELTICS       57 29 9699 9158  0.050 44.119    5  0.452    5  0.404    1  0.485    5 0.5430   21  3.906    7  0.309    1  0.662
HEAT          54 31 9517 9229  0.047 44.056    6  0.372    6  0.343    3  0.384    6 0.5355   22  3.905   11  0.202    2  0.566
PISTONS       20 46 7078 7313 -0.118 31.504   28 -0.495   29 -0.541   24 -0.216   29 0.4432   23  3.899   26 -0.429   17 -0.004
NUGGETS       55 35 9950 9823  0.084 48.468    7  0.340    7  0.318    8  0.136    7 0.5342   24  3.897   19 -0.088    5  0.360
PACERS        45 32 8392 8291 -0.016 38.583   11  0.198   11  0.169   16  0.003   11 0.5185   25  3.895   22 -0.230    9  0.235
KNICKS        21 45 6983 7409 -0.090 32.600   26 -0.445   25 -0.478   25 -0.252   24 0.4505   26  3.894   29 -0.491   18 -0.014
BULLS         22 43 6945 7145 -0.131 30.621   25 -0.439   26 -0.480   23 -0.194   26 0.4494   27  3.890   28 -0.454   14  0.066
THUNDER       47 32 8678 8580  0.036 41.191    8  0.271    8  0.244   17 -0.022    9 0.5252   28  3.884   23 -0.312    7  0.269
MAGIC         34 44 8366 8486  0.027 40.931   19 -0.103   19 -0.127   18 -0.060   19 0.4875   29  3.880   25 -0.369    8  0.248
HORNETS       23 42 6687 7126 -0.085 32.289   22 -0.356   22 -0.383   26 -0.260   22 0.4580   30  3.842   30 -0.753   10  0.233
TEAM           W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
TEAM           W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING

PACIFIC DIVISION
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
SUNS          34 39 8294 8278 -0.004 37.169   15 -0.056   15 -0.083    6  0.265   15 0.4911   10  3.978    3  0.454   13  0.076
CLIPPERS      56 29 9859 9340  0.073 44.662    4  0.464    4  0.415    2  0.385    4 0.5432   12  3.960    1  0.480    6  0.290
KINGS         31 41 7927 8074  0.009 37.320   20 -0.126   20 -0.147   19 -0.074   20 0.4833   15  3.924   21 -0.165   16  0.017
LAKERS        62 22 9532 9026  0.069 44.032    1  0.651    1  0.608    5  0.290    1 0.5632   16  3.920   14  0.181    4  0.400
WARRIORS      15 50 6912 7478 -0.023 33.733   30 -0.596   30 -0.634   30 -0.319   30 0.4335   18  3.916   27 -0.451   21 -0.188

NORTHWEST DIVISION
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
TRAIL BLAZERS 37 43 9167 9301  0.049 42.611   14 -0.017   14 -0.041   15  0.004   14 0.4962    3  4.012    5  0.368   26 -0.361
TIMBERWOLVES  19 45 7248 7523 -0.024 32.777   24 -0.437   24 -0.477   22 -0.182   25 0.4497    6  3.994   15  0.089   27 -0.453
JAZZ          47 32 8807 8605  0.022 40.544    9  0.261    9  0.231   10  0.111   10 0.5248   17  3.919   17 -0.003   11  0.225
NUGGETS       55 35 9950 9823  0.084 48.468    7  0.340    7  0.318    8  0.136    7 0.5342   24  3.897   19 -0.088    5  0.360
THUNDER       47 32 8678 8580  0.036 41.191    8  0.271    8  0.244   17 -0.022    9 0.5252   28  3.884   23 -0.312    7  0.269

SOUTHWEST DIVISION
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PELICANS      30 42 8341 8434  0.033 37.839   21 -0.145   21 -0.168   20 -0.099   21 0.4826    2  4.024    6  0.326   28 -0.524
ROCKETS       49 35 9774 9552  0.051 44.055   10  0.259   10  0.227    9  0.121    8 0.5256    5  4.006    4  0.452   22 -0.209
MAVERICKS     45 36 9478 9165  0.042 41.856   12  0.181   12  0.147   14  0.019   13 0.5148    7  3.989    9  0.264   24 -0.226
SPURS         32 39 8098 8177  0.020 36.948   16 -0.071   16 -0.096   11  0.065   16 0.4896    8  3.987    8  0.296   20 -0.166
GRIZZLIES     34 40 8344 8426 -0.015 37.558   17 -0.081   17 -0.105   13  0.021   18 0.4882   11  3.976   13  0.196   19 -0.153

CENTRAL DIVISION
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BUCKS         61 22 9774 9026  0.009 41.078    2  0.602    2  0.556    7  0.246    3 0.5547    9  3.985    2  0.466   15  0.025
CAVALIERS     19 46 6948 7461 -0.090 32.490   29 -0.506   28 -0.538   28 -0.299   28 0.4442   14  3.934   24 -0.338   25 -0.260
PISTONS       20 46 7078 7313 -0.118 31.504   28 -0.495   29 -0.541   24 -0.216   29 0.4432   23  3.899   26 -0.429   17 -0.004
PACERS        45 32 8392 8291 -0.016 38.583   11  0.198   11  0.169   16  0.003   11 0.5185   25  3.895   22 -0.230    9  0.235
BULLS         22 43 6945 7145 -0.131 30.621   25 -0.439   26 -0.480   23 -0.194   26 0.4494   27  3.890   28 -0.454   14  0.066

SOUTHEAST DIVISION
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
WIZARDS       25 47 8238 8574 -0.100 35.045   23 -0.396   23 -0.430   29 -0.305   23 0.4547    1  4.046   10  0.241   30 -0.851
HAWKS         20 47 7488 8022 -0.052 34.174   27 -0.460   27 -0.491   27 -0.297   27 0.4488    4  4.009   16  0.050   29 -0.643
HEAT          54 31 9517 9229  0.047 44.056    6  0.372    6  0.343    3  0.384    6 0.5355   22  3.905   11  0.202    2  0.566
MAGIC         34 44 8366 8486  0.027 40.931   19 -0.103   19 -0.127   18 -0.060   19 0.4875   29  3.880   25 -0.369    8  0.248
HORNETS       23 42 6687 7126 -0.085 32.289   22 -0.356   22 -0.383   26 -0.260   22 0.4580   30  3.842   30 -0.753   10  0.233

ATLANTIC DIVISION
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
NETS          35 41 8471 8594 -0.033 38.188   18 -0.093   18 -0.114   21 -0.150   17 0.4886   13  3.956   18 -0.078   23 -0.221
76ERS         43 34 8486 8359  0.022 39.544   13  0.175   13  0.147   12  0.044   12 0.5153   19  3.914   20 -0.094   12  0.181
RAPTORS       60 23 9321 8827  0.041 42.375    3  0.591    3  0.553    4  0.369    2 0.5548   20  3.908   12  0.200    3  0.537
CELTICS       57 29 9699 9158  0.050 44.119    5  0.452    5  0.404    1  0.485    5 0.5430   21  3.906    7  0.309    1  0.662
KNICKS        21 45 6983 7409 -0.090 32.600   26 -0.445   25 -0.478   25 -0.252   24 0.4505   26  3.894   29 -0.491   18 -0.014

DIVISION             W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
ATLANTIC DIVISION  216 172 0.557    1  0.085
SOUTHWEST DIVISION 190 192 0.497    2  0.069
PACIFIC DIVISION   198 181 0.522    3  0.050
NORTHWEST DIVISION 205 187 0.523    4  0.023
CENTRAL DIVISION   167 189 0.469    5 -0.137
SOUTHEAST DIVISION 156 211 0.425    6 -0.289

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.188 points in main ratings (0.186 for semineutral)
     0.016 points in improved RPI (0.019 for semineutral)
Average of 2.15 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Wed Sep 23 05:30:16 2020
games through: Tue Sep 22 2020

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