Dolphin Ratings - Major League Baseball

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.
Ballpark. This is an adjustment to the scoring ranking applied at home to account for ballpark effects.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BLUE JAYS    104  76  903  796  0.025 90.741    2  0.176    1  0.159    5  0.130    1 0.5215    8  0.595    4  0.226   16  0.033   13  0.019
DODGERS      106  73  897  745 -0.011 87.513    1  0.177    2  0.158    3  0.146    2 0.5213   20  0.425    9  0.087    4  0.205    3  0.247
BREWERS      100  71  832  666  0.002 84.555    3  0.166    3  0.153    2  0.165    3 0.5205    9  0.572    3  0.240   10  0.090   24 -0.172
YANKEES       97  72  877  725  0.009 84.098    4  0.140    4  0.138    1  0.166    4 0.5191    2  0.717    1  0.382   20 -0.050   26 -0.186
PHILLIES      97  69  793  661 -0.019 80.675    5  0.134    5  0.135    6  0.127    5 0.5190   27  0.320   17 -0.021    1  0.274    2  0.251
CUBS          96  74  816  676  0.003 84.109    6  0.097    6  0.117    4  0.145    6 0.5156   14  0.507    5  0.160    7  0.130   22 -0.048
MARINERS      96  78  815  751  0.002 86.202    7  0.052    7  0.093   10  0.066    7 0.5132    4  0.689    2  0.254   23 -0.122   29 -0.390
RED SOX       90  75  792  685  0.015 82.495    8  0.050    8  0.090    7  0.114    8 0.5124   13  0.509    8  0.130    8  0.097   15 -0.002
PADRES        91  74  707  627 -0.015 80.563    9  0.037    9  0.079    8  0.075    9 0.5109   29  0.295   24 -0.093    2  0.243   21 -0.030
GUARDIANS     89  76  653  658 -0.006 81.266   10  0.021   10  0.063   18  0.002   10 0.5078   28  0.299   28 -0.163    5  0.167   18 -0.015
TEAM           W   L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
TIGERS        91  79  787  720 -0.009 83.417   11  0.020   11  0.056    9  0.071   12 0.5075   21  0.417   15  0.006    6  0.136    4  0.209
ASTROS        87  75  686  665 -0.014 79.271   12  0.018   12  0.053   15  0.007   11 0.5076   24  0.408   20 -0.066   12  0.081   23 -0.051
REDS          83  81  725  699  0.008 81.661   13  0.007   13  0.015   13  0.029   14 0.5022   17  0.459   16  0.001   15  0.058   16 -0.007
METS          83  79  766  715 -0.012 79.352   14  0.006   14  0.013   12  0.035   13 0.5023   12  0.522   11  0.063   17  0.006   12  0.020
ROYALS        82  80  651  637 -0.006 79.832   15  0.005   15  0.006   19 -0.013   15 0.5002   23  0.410   23 -0.084   14  0.058   27 -0.208
RANGERS       81  81  684  605 -0.007 79.656   16  0.003   16 -0.005   11  0.064   16 0.5001   16  0.478   12  0.052   13  0.075   30 -0.479
GIANTS        81  81  705  684 -0.015 79.219   17  0.002   17 -0.011   17  0.005   17 0.4985   25  0.395   22 -0.080   11  0.090   14  0.019
DIAMONDBACKS  80  82  791  785 -0.012 79.409   18  0.000   18 -0.021   16  0.005   18 0.4971    5  0.642    6  0.147   24 -0.136    8  0.070
CARDINALS     78  84  689  754  0.012 81.112   19 -0.001   19 -0.026   22 -0.060   19 0.4961    6  0.629   10  0.069   26 -0.189   25 -0.185
MARLINS       79  83  709  798 -0.008 79.879   20 -0.002   20 -0.029   24 -0.090   21 0.4959    1  0.721    7  0.130   28 -0.310   28 -0.275
TEAM           W   L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RAYS          77  85  714  683  0.016 81.171   21 -0.002   21 -0.033   14  0.026   20 0.4960   22  0.416   18 -0.040    9  0.092    9  0.058
ORIOLES       75  87  677  788  0.022 81.786   22 -0.012   22 -0.051   26 -0.101   23 0.4928   15  0.481   25 -0.110   22 -0.093    7  0.103
ATHLETICS     76  86  733  817  0.002 80.439   23 -0.012   23 -0.054   23 -0.065   22 0.4930    7  0.600   13  0.036   25 -0.166    6  0.152
BRAVES        76  86  724  734 -0.010 79.563   24 -0.017   24 -0.062   20 -0.015   24 0.4920   11  0.525   14  0.016   19 -0.046   20 -0.021
ANGELS        72  90  673  837  0.014 81.337   25 -0.046   25 -0.089   28 -0.154   25 0.4878   10  0.571   21 -0.080   27 -0.227   10  0.058
PIRATES       71  91  583  645  0.011 81.001   26 -0.062   26 -0.102   21 -0.057   26 0.4860   30  0.173   29 -0.322    3  0.207   17 -0.010
TWINS         70  92  678  773  0.004 80.590   27 -0.092   27 -0.117   25 -0.091   27 0.4834   19  0.436   26 -0.139   18 -0.042    5  0.208
NATIONALS     66  96  687  899 -0.003 80.426   28 -0.189   28 -0.167   29 -0.240   28 0.4770    3  0.695   19 -0.046   30 -0.434   11  0.022
WHITE SOX     60 102  647  742  0.008 80.888   29 -0.221   29 -0.223   27 -0.120   29 0.4692   18  0.448   27 -0.158   21 -0.082   19 -0.015
ROCKIES       43 119  597 1021  0.019 81.972   30 -0.456   30 -0.414   30 -0.450   30 0.4442   26  0.353   30 -0.571   29 -0.329    1  0.659

NL WEST
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DODGERS      106  73  897  745 -0.011 87.513    1  0.177    2  0.158    3  0.146    2 0.5213   20  0.425    9  0.087    4  0.205    3  0.247
PADRES        91  74  707  627 -0.015 80.563    9  0.037    9  0.079    8  0.075    9 0.5109   29  0.295   24 -0.093    2  0.243   21 -0.030
GIANTS        81  81  705  684 -0.015 79.219   17  0.002   17 -0.011   17  0.005   17 0.4985   25  0.395   22 -0.080   11  0.090   14  0.019
DIAMONDBACKS  80  82  791  785 -0.012 79.409   18  0.000   18 -0.021   16  0.005   18 0.4971    5  0.642    6  0.147   24 -0.136    8  0.070
ROCKIES       43 119  597 1021  0.019 81.972   30 -0.456   30 -0.414   30 -0.450   30 0.4442   26  0.353   30 -0.571   29 -0.329    1  0.659

NL CENTRAL
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BREWERS      100  71  832  666  0.002 84.555    3  0.166    3  0.153    2  0.165    3 0.5205    9  0.572    3  0.240   10  0.090   24 -0.172
CUBS          96  74  816  676  0.003 84.109    6  0.097    6  0.117    4  0.145    6 0.5156   14  0.507    5  0.160    7  0.130   22 -0.048
REDS          83  81  725  699  0.008 81.661   13  0.007   13  0.015   13  0.029   14 0.5022   17  0.459   16  0.001   15  0.058   16 -0.007
CARDINALS     78  84  689  754  0.012 81.112   19 -0.001   19 -0.026   22 -0.060   19 0.4961    6  0.629   10  0.069   26 -0.189   25 -0.185
PIRATES       71  91  583  645  0.011 81.001   26 -0.062   26 -0.102   21 -0.057   26 0.4860   30  0.173   29 -0.322    3  0.207   17 -0.010

NL EAST
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PHILLIES      97  69  793  661 -0.019 80.675    5  0.134    5  0.135    6  0.127    5 0.5190   27  0.320   17 -0.021    1  0.274    2  0.251
METS          83  79  766  715 -0.012 79.352   14  0.006   14  0.013   12  0.035   13 0.5023   12  0.522   11  0.063   17  0.006   12  0.020
MARLINS       79  83  709  798 -0.008 79.879   20 -0.002   20 -0.029   24 -0.090   21 0.4959    1  0.721    7  0.130   28 -0.310   28 -0.275
BRAVES        76  86  724  734 -0.010 79.563   24 -0.017   24 -0.062   20 -0.015   24 0.4920   11  0.525   14  0.016   19 -0.046   20 -0.021
NATIONALS     66  96  687  899 -0.003 80.426   28 -0.189   28 -0.167   29 -0.240   28 0.4770    3  0.695   19 -0.046   30 -0.434   11  0.022

AL WEST
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
MARINERS      96  78  815  751  0.002 86.202    7  0.052    7  0.093   10  0.066    7 0.5132    4  0.689    2  0.254   23 -0.122   29 -0.390
ASTROS        87  75  686  665 -0.014 79.271   12  0.018   12  0.053   15  0.007   11 0.5076   24  0.408   20 -0.066   12  0.081   23 -0.051
RANGERS       81  81  684  605 -0.007 79.656   16  0.003   16 -0.005   11  0.064   16 0.5001   16  0.478   12  0.052   13  0.075   30 -0.479
ATHLETICS     76  86  733  817  0.002 80.439   23 -0.012   23 -0.054   23 -0.065   22 0.4930    7  0.600   13  0.036   25 -0.166    6  0.152
ANGELS        72  90  673  837  0.014 81.337   25 -0.046   25 -0.089   28 -0.154   25 0.4878   10  0.571   21 -0.080   27 -0.227   10  0.058

AL CENTRAL
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
GUARDIANS     89  76  653  658 -0.006 81.266   10  0.021   10  0.063   18  0.002   10 0.5078   28  0.299   28 -0.163    5  0.167   18 -0.015
TIGERS        91  79  787  720 -0.009 83.417   11  0.020   11  0.056    9  0.071   12 0.5075   21  0.417   15  0.006    6  0.136    4  0.209
ROYALS        82  80  651  637 -0.006 79.832   15  0.005   15  0.006   19 -0.013   15 0.5002   23  0.410   23 -0.084   14  0.058   27 -0.208
TWINS         70  92  678  773  0.004 80.590   27 -0.092   27 -0.117   25 -0.091   27 0.4834   19  0.436   26 -0.139   18 -0.042    5  0.208
WHITE SOX     60 102  647  742  0.008 80.888   29 -0.221   29 -0.223   27 -0.120   29 0.4692   18  0.448   27 -0.158   21 -0.082   19 -0.015

AL EAST
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BLUE JAYS    104  76  903  796  0.025 90.741    2  0.176    1  0.159    5  0.130    1 0.5215    8  0.595    4  0.226   16  0.033   13  0.019
YANKEES       97  72  877  725  0.009 84.098    4  0.140    4  0.138    1  0.166    4 0.5191    2  0.717    1  0.382   20 -0.050   26 -0.186
RED SOX       90  75  792  685  0.015 82.495    8  0.050    8  0.090    7  0.114    8 0.5124   13  0.509    8  0.130    8  0.097   15 -0.002
RAYS          77  85  714  683  0.016 81.171   21 -0.002   21 -0.033   14  0.026   20 0.4960   22  0.416   18 -0.040    9  0.092    9  0.058
ORIOLES       75  87  677  788  0.022 81.786   22 -0.012   22 -0.051   26 -0.101   23 0.4928   15  0.481   25 -0.110   22 -0.093    7  0.103

DIVISION     W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
AL EAST    443 395 0.529    1  0.085
NL CENTRAL 428 401 0.516    2  0.057
AL WEST    412 410 0.501    3 -0.020
AL CENTRAL 392 429 0.477    4 -0.038
NL EAST    401 413 0.493    5 -0.046
NL WEST    401 429 0.483    6 -0.052

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.075 points in main ratings (0.058 for semineutral)
     0.011 points in improved RPI (0.006 for semineutral)
Average of 2.65 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Sun Nov  2 05:30:13 2025
games through: Sat Nov  1 2025

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