Dolphin Ratings - Major League Baseball

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.
Ballpark. This is an adjustment to the scoring ranking applied at home to account for ballpark effects.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BREWERS      83 52 688 529 -0.011 65.978    1  0.217    1  0.178    1  0.184    1 0.5262    5  0.657    2  0.338   17  0.030   27 -0.268
YANKEES      74 60 702 577  0.012 66.833    9  0.066    9  0.092    2  0.153    8 0.5142    2  0.698    1  0.348   21 -0.042   23 -0.132
CUBS         76 58 656 543  0.019 67.183    3  0.120    3  0.122    3  0.150    3 0.5183   10  0.573    3  0.224   11  0.076   22 -0.103
RED SOX      75 60 668 560  0.011 67.243    8  0.071    8  0.097    4  0.128    9 0.5141   12  0.544    5  0.174   10  0.082   15 -0.001
DODGERS      77 57 694 586 -0.020 65.105    5  0.091    5  0.108    5  0.118    5 0.5164   16  0.463    9  0.090    4  0.145    3  0.320
PHILLIES     77 57 644 545 -0.026 64.779    6  0.085    6  0.104    6  0.105    6 0.5158   28  0.294   21 -0.067    1  0.277    2  0.369
TIGERS       78 57 650 565 -0.021 65.599    4  0.099    4  0.113    7  0.101    4 0.5167   15  0.478   10  0.087    5  0.115    8  0.102
BLUE JAYS    78 56 664 604  0.007 66.620    2  0.149    2  0.136    8  0.086    2 0.5202   13  0.522    8  0.112   16  0.060    6  0.149
PADRES       75 59 564 510  0.006 66.556    7  0.076    7  0.100    9  0.080    7 0.5154   29  0.286   23 -0.097    2  0.258   18 -0.052
RANGERS      68 67 573 493 -0.006 66.436   15  0.002   15  0.004   10  0.080   15 0.5008   14  0.479   11  0.068    9  0.093   30 -0.480
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
METS         72 62 622 561 -0.023 65.064   12  0.018   12  0.046   11  0.056   12 0.5066   17  0.449   16  0.017    6  0.096   14  0.005
MARINERS     72 62 616 591  0.014 67.055   11  0.033   11  0.069   12  0.040   11 0.5102    3  0.669    4  0.206   23 -0.126   29 -0.341
RAYS         64 69 596 558  0.019 66.823   18 -0.004   18 -0.018   13  0.039   18 0.4971   20  0.433   18 -0.014    8  0.093   11  0.063
REDS         68 66 597 563 -0.000 66.299   14  0.004   14  0.012   14  0.033   14 0.5016   18  0.449   17 -0.007   13  0.073   16 -0.022
ASTROS       74 60 569 550 -0.016 65.473   10  0.036   10  0.072   15  0.017   10 0.5111   23  0.406   20 -0.060    7  0.094   17 -0.028
GIANTS       66 68 551 548  0.007 66.723   17 -0.002   17 -0.008   16  0.000   17 0.4989   21  0.410   22 -0.074   12  0.075   25 -0.176
DIAMONDBACKS 66 69 667 657 -0.026 65.473   20 -0.010   20 -0.035   17 -0.003   20 0.4951    7  0.629    6  0.124   24 -0.130    7  0.110
ROYALS       69 65 523 521 -0.002 66.294   13  0.007   13  0.023   18 -0.013   13 0.5020   24  0.396   24 -0.099   14  0.073   26 -0.242
BRAVES       61 73 598 615 -0.006 66.109   25 -0.039   25 -0.076   19 -0.029   26 0.4885   11  0.568   15  0.040   22 -0.098   19 -0.065
CARDINALS    66 69 588 622  0.001 67.023   19 -0.005   19 -0.019   20 -0.043   19 0.4969    8  0.610   12  0.066   25 -0.152   24 -0.146
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ATHLETICS    63 72 614 693  0.005 67.249   23 -0.018   23 -0.051   21 -0.059   22 0.4930    9  0.604   13  0.044   26 -0.162    5  0.169
TWINS        60 73 556 618  0.006 66.303   24 -0.038   24 -0.075   22 -0.068   24 0.4891   19  0.445   25 -0.111   19 -0.024    9  0.081
PIRATES      59 76 484 552  0.013 67.700   27 -0.065   27 -0.093   23 -0.068   27 0.4861   30  0.240   29 -0.282    3  0.147   21 -0.076
GUARDIANS    66 66 508 563 -0.007 65.150   16 -0.001   16 -0.005   24 -0.075   16 0.4989   27  0.331   28 -0.216   15  0.067   13  0.018
MARLINS      63 71 574 654  0.006 66.817   22 -0.016   22 -0.046   25 -0.086   23 0.4925    1  0.702    7  0.113   28 -0.285   28 -0.271
ORIOLES      60 74 574 654  0.012 67.187   26 -0.040   26 -0.076   26 -0.090   25 0.4888   25  0.390   26 -0.181   18  0.001    4  0.303
ANGELS       62 71 574 679  0.025 67.335   21 -0.013   21 -0.039   27 -0.102   21 0.4932    6  0.647   14  0.042   27 -0.246   20 -0.073
WHITE SOX    48 86 528 611  0.007 66.906   29 -0.263   29 -0.225   28 -0.113   29 0.4668   22  0.406   27 -0.190   20 -0.036   12  0.032
NATIONALS    53 80 565 736  0.007 66.622   28 -0.209   28 -0.161   29 -0.212   28 0.4766    4  0.662   19 -0.053   30 -0.372   10  0.078
ROCKIES      38 96 500 849  0.017 67.780   30 -0.351   30 -0.348   30 -0.417   30 0.4481   26  0.359   30 -0.535   29 -0.299    1  0.675
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING

NL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DODGERS      77 57 694 586 -0.020 65.105    5  0.091    5  0.108    5  0.118    5 0.5164   16  0.463    9  0.090    4  0.145    3  0.320
PADRES       75 59 564 510  0.006 66.556    7  0.076    7  0.100    9  0.080    7 0.5154   29  0.286   23 -0.097    2  0.258   18 -0.052
GIANTS       66 68 551 548  0.007 66.723   17 -0.002   17 -0.008   16  0.000   17 0.4989   21  0.410   22 -0.074   12  0.075   25 -0.176
DIAMONDBACKS 66 69 667 657 -0.026 65.473   20 -0.010   20 -0.035   17 -0.003   20 0.4951    7  0.629    6  0.124   24 -0.130    7  0.110
ROCKIES      38 96 500 849  0.017 67.780   30 -0.351   30 -0.348   30 -0.417   30 0.4481   26  0.359   30 -0.535   29 -0.299    1  0.675

NL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BREWERS      83 52 688 529 -0.011 65.978    1  0.217    1  0.178    1  0.184    1 0.5262    5  0.657    2  0.338   17  0.030   27 -0.268
CUBS         76 58 656 543  0.019 67.183    3  0.120    3  0.122    3  0.150    3 0.5183   10  0.573    3  0.224   11  0.076   22 -0.103
REDS         68 66 597 563 -0.000 66.299   14  0.004   14  0.012   14  0.033   14 0.5016   18  0.449   17 -0.007   13  0.073   16 -0.022
CARDINALS    66 69 588 622  0.001 67.023   19 -0.005   19 -0.019   20 -0.043   19 0.4969    8  0.610   12  0.066   25 -0.152   24 -0.146
PIRATES      59 76 484 552  0.013 67.700   27 -0.065   27 -0.093   23 -0.068   27 0.4861   30  0.240   29 -0.282    3  0.147   21 -0.076

NL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PHILLIES     77 57 644 545 -0.026 64.779    6  0.085    6  0.104    6  0.105    6 0.5158   28  0.294   21 -0.067    1  0.277    2  0.369
METS         72 62 622 561 -0.023 65.064   12  0.018   12  0.046   11  0.056   12 0.5066   17  0.449   16  0.017    6  0.096   14  0.005
BRAVES       61 73 598 615 -0.006 66.109   25 -0.039   25 -0.076   19 -0.029   26 0.4885   11  0.568   15  0.040   22 -0.098   19 -0.065
MARLINS      63 71 574 654  0.006 66.817   22 -0.016   22 -0.046   25 -0.086   23 0.4925    1  0.702    7  0.113   28 -0.285   28 -0.271
NATIONALS    53 80 565 736  0.007 66.622   28 -0.209   28 -0.161   29 -0.212   28 0.4766    4  0.662   19 -0.053   30 -0.372   10  0.078

AL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RANGERS      68 67 573 493 -0.006 66.436   15  0.002   15  0.004   10  0.080   15 0.5008   14  0.479   11  0.068    9  0.093   30 -0.480
MARINERS     72 62 616 591  0.014 67.055   11  0.033   11  0.069   12  0.040   11 0.5102    3  0.669    4  0.206   23 -0.126   29 -0.341
ASTROS       74 60 569 550 -0.016 65.473   10  0.036   10  0.072   15  0.017   10 0.5111   23  0.406   20 -0.060    7  0.094   17 -0.028
ATHLETICS    63 72 614 693  0.005 67.249   23 -0.018   23 -0.051   21 -0.059   22 0.4930    9  0.604   13  0.044   26 -0.162    5  0.169
ANGELS       62 71 574 679  0.025 67.335   21 -0.013   21 -0.039   27 -0.102   21 0.4932    6  0.647   14  0.042   27 -0.246   20 -0.073

AL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
TIGERS       78 57 650 565 -0.021 65.599    4  0.099    4  0.113    7  0.101    4 0.5167   15  0.478   10  0.087    5  0.115    8  0.102
ROYALS       69 65 523 521 -0.002 66.294   13  0.007   13  0.023   18 -0.013   13 0.5020   24  0.396   24 -0.099   14  0.073   26 -0.242
TWINS        60 73 556 618  0.006 66.303   24 -0.038   24 -0.075   22 -0.068   24 0.4891   19  0.445   25 -0.111   19 -0.024    9  0.081
GUARDIANS    66 66 508 563 -0.007 65.150   16 -0.001   16 -0.005   24 -0.075   16 0.4989   27  0.331   28 -0.216   15  0.067   13  0.018
WHITE SOX    48 86 528 611  0.007 66.906   29 -0.263   29 -0.225   28 -0.113   29 0.4668   22  0.406   27 -0.190   20 -0.036   12  0.032

AL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
YANKEES      74 60 702 577  0.012 66.833    9  0.066    9  0.092    2  0.153    8 0.5142    2  0.698    1  0.348   21 -0.042   23 -0.132
RED SOX      75 60 668 560  0.011 67.243    8  0.071    8  0.097    4  0.128    9 0.5141   12  0.544    5  0.174   10  0.082   15 -0.001
BLUE JAYS    78 56 664 604  0.007 66.620    2  0.149    2  0.136    8  0.086    2 0.5202   13  0.522    8  0.112   16  0.060    6  0.149
RAYS         64 69 596 558  0.019 66.823   18 -0.004   18 -0.018   13  0.039   18 0.4971   20  0.433   18 -0.014    8  0.093   11  0.063
ORIOLES      60 74 574 654  0.012 67.187   26 -0.040   26 -0.076   26 -0.090   25 0.4888   25  0.390   26 -0.181   18  0.001    4  0.303

DIVISION     W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
AL EAST    351 319 0.524    1  0.086
NL CENTRAL 352 321 0.523    2  0.070
AL WEST    339 332 0.505    3 -0.006
NL EAST    326 343 0.487    4 -0.045
AL CENTRAL 321 347 0.481    5 -0.046
NL WEST    322 349 0.480    6 -0.056

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.084 points in main ratings (0.058 for semineutral)
     0.012 points in improved RPI (0.006 for semineutral)
Average of 2.65 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Fri Aug 29 05:30:14 2025
games through: Thu Aug 28 2025

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