Dolphin Ratings - Major League Baseball

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.
Ballpark. This is an adjustment to the scoring ranking applied at home to account for ballpark effects.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM         W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DODGERS      3 0 16  8 -0.115  1.334    1  0.057    1  0.043    3  0.061    2 0.5483   18  0.390   11  0.061   11  0.060   24 -0.010 P
YANKEES      3 0 13  1 -0.094  1.356    2  0.054    2  0.041    1  0.073    1 0.5491   29  0.050   25 -0.194    1  0.340    9  0.004 P
BRAVES       2 0 12  2 -0.284  0.748    3  0.031    4  0.019    4  0.045    4 0.5320   22  0.288   19 -0.040    6  0.130   26 -0.088 P
BLUE JAYS    2 0 11  9 -0.220  0.814    4  0.031    3  0.020    9  0.008    5 0.5288   13  0.449   12  0.060   17 -0.043    7  0.032 P
BREWERS      2 0 20  3 -0.461  0.603    5  0.031    7  0.017    2  0.063    3 0.5320   10  0.533    6  0.190   20 -0.065    5  0.097 P
METS         2 0 15  9 -0.251  0.786    6  0.029    6  0.018    7  0.016    6 0.5276    6  0.601    5  0.207   23 -0.176    3  0.150 P
CARDINALS    2 0 15 12 -0.082  0.937    7  0.027    5  0.019   14 -0.006    7 0.5247    3  0.683    2  0.265   28 -0.277    2  0.216 P
GUARDIANS    2 1 13 14  0.141  1.692    8  0.023    8  0.013   13 -0.005    8 0.5175   12  0.455   13  0.052   19 -0.062   22  0.004 P
TIGERS       2 1 13  7  0.054  1.574    9  0.018    9  0.007   10  0.008    9 0.5150   20  0.305   20 -0.063   10  0.079   18  0.004 P
MARLINS      2 0  6  4 -0.450  0.642   10  0.016   10  0.006   23 -0.038   10 0.5093   26  0.172   26 -0.215    5  0.138   28 -0.171 P
TEAM         W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ANGELS       2 1 18 13  0.014  1.529   11  0.011   11  0.001   17 -0.008   11 0.5074    8  0.564    7  0.149   22 -0.165   23  0.004 P
RANGERS      1 1  8  9  0.191  1.170   12  0.007   12 -0.004   12 -0.003   14 0.5061   15  0.413   16  0.018   16 -0.023   12  0.004 P
PHILLIES     1 1  9  8 -0.052  0.955   13  0.007   13 -0.006    6  0.017   13 0.5065   16  0.413   14  0.037   14 -0.004    8  0.006 P
RED SOX      1 1  8  6  0.015  1.013   14  0.005   14 -0.006    5  0.017   12 0.5066   23  0.263   22 -0.089    7  0.122   16  0.004 P
CUBS         1 1 14 12 -0.260  0.781   15  0.002   17 -0.013    8  0.009   15 0.5001    1  0.684    1  0.280   27 -0.263    1  0.216 P
REDS         1 1  6  8  0.027  1.036   16  0.001   15 -0.010   21 -0.023   17 0.4979   24  0.263   23 -0.128    9  0.083   27 -0.106 P
TWINS        1 1  5  3 -0.007  1.002   17 -0.001   16 -0.012   15 -0.007   16 0.4988   28  0.083   27 -0.250    2  0.236   17  0.004 P
ORIOLES      1 1  3  5 -0.085  0.941   18 -0.006   18 -0.013   22 -0.025   18 0.4949   27  0.083   29 -0.268    3  0.218   29 -0.233 P
NATIONALS    1 1 12 14  0.134  1.136   19 -0.011   19 -0.014   26 -0.048   19 0.4907    2  0.684    4  0.223   30 -0.320   19  0.004 P
PADRES       1 2  7 13 -0.013  1.498   20 -0.014   20 -0.022   18 -0.012   21 0.4903   19  0.305   21 -0.083   12  0.059   25 -0.073 P
TEAM         W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ASTROS       1 2 13 18 -0.079  1.417   21 -0.015   21 -0.024   20 -0.020   22 0.4884    7  0.564    9  0.137   24 -0.177    4  0.122 P
MARINERS     1 2 14 13 -0.066  1.420   22 -0.017   22 -0.025   11  0.008   20 0.4903   11  0.455   10  0.065   18 -0.049    6  0.038 P
RAYS         0 2 12 15  0.087  1.083   23 -0.026   24 -0.037   16 -0.008   23 0.4767    4  0.683    3  0.264   29 -0.279   20  0.004 P
ROYALS       0 2  2 12  0.312  1.287   24 -0.029   23 -0.036   28 -0.054   25 0.4714   21  0.288   24 -0.139   13  0.031   11  0.004 P
PIRATES      0 2  9 15  0.173  1.169   25 -0.033   26 -0.042   25 -0.046   26 0.4669    5  0.601    8  0.146   26 -0.237   15  0.004 P
WHITE SOX    0 2  3 20  0.377  1.351   26 -0.036   25 -0.041   30 -0.094   29 0.4621    9  0.533   15  0.034   25 -0.221   10  0.004 P
ATHLETICS    0 2  9 11  0.138  1.137   27 -0.036   28 -0.044   24 -0.040   28 0.4652   14  0.449   17  0.012   21 -0.091   21  0.004 P
DIAMONDBACKS 0 3  8 16  0.375  1.987   28 -0.037   27 -0.043   19 -0.019   24 0.4749   17  0.390   18 -0.018   15 -0.019   13  0.004 P
GIANTS       0 3  1 13  0.263  1.864   29 -0.041   29 -0.047   27 -0.050   27 0.4666   30  0.050   30 -0.317    4  0.217   30 -0.254 P
ROCKIES      0 2  4  6 -0.091  0.955   30 -0.050   30 -0.059   29 -0.085   30 0.4466   25  0.172   28 -0.262    8  0.091   14  0.004 P

NL WEST
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM         W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DODGERS      3 0 16  8 -0.115  1.334    1  0.057    1  0.043    3  0.061    2 0.5483   18  0.390   11  0.061   11  0.060   24 -0.010 P
PADRES       1 2  7 13 -0.013  1.498   20 -0.014   20 -0.022   18 -0.012   21 0.4903   19  0.305   21 -0.083   12  0.059   25 -0.073 P
DIAMONDBACKS 0 3  8 16  0.375  1.987   28 -0.037   27 -0.043   19 -0.019   24 0.4749   17  0.390   18 -0.018   15 -0.019   13  0.004 P
GIANTS       0 3  1 13  0.263  1.864   29 -0.041   29 -0.047   27 -0.050   27 0.4666   30  0.050   30 -0.317    4  0.217   30 -0.254 P
ROCKIES      0 2  4  6 -0.091  0.955   30 -0.050   30 -0.059   29 -0.085   30 0.4466   25  0.172   28 -0.262    8  0.091   14  0.004 P

NL CENTRAL
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM         W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BREWERS      2 0 20  3 -0.461  0.603    5  0.031    7  0.017    2  0.063    3 0.5320   10  0.533    6  0.190   20 -0.065    5  0.097 P
CARDINALS    2 0 15 12 -0.082  0.937    7  0.027    5  0.019   14 -0.006    7 0.5247    3  0.683    2  0.265   28 -0.277    2  0.216 P
CUBS         1 1 14 12 -0.260  0.781   15  0.002   17 -0.013    8  0.009   15 0.5001    1  0.684    1  0.280   27 -0.263    1  0.216 P
REDS         1 1  6  8  0.027  1.036   16  0.001   15 -0.010   21 -0.023   17 0.4979   24  0.263   23 -0.128    9  0.083   27 -0.106 P
PIRATES      0 2  9 15  0.173  1.169   25 -0.033   26 -0.042   25 -0.046   26 0.4669    5  0.601    8  0.146   26 -0.237   15  0.004 P

NL EAST
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM         W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BRAVES       2 0 12  2 -0.284  0.748    3  0.031    4  0.019    4  0.045    4 0.5320   22  0.288   19 -0.040    6  0.130   26 -0.088 P
METS         2 0 15  9 -0.251  0.786    6  0.029    6  0.018    7  0.016    6 0.5276    6  0.601    5  0.207   23 -0.176    3  0.150 P
MARLINS      2 0  6  4 -0.450  0.642   10  0.016   10  0.006   23 -0.038   10 0.5093   26  0.172   26 -0.215    5  0.138   28 -0.171 P
PHILLIES     1 1  9  8 -0.052  0.955   13  0.007   13 -0.006    6  0.017   13 0.5065   16  0.413   14  0.037   14 -0.004    8  0.006 P
NATIONALS    1 1 12 14  0.134  1.136   19 -0.011   19 -0.014   26 -0.048   19 0.4907    2  0.684    4  0.223   30 -0.320   19  0.004 P

AL WEST
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM         W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ANGELS       2 1 18 13  0.014  1.529   11  0.011   11  0.001   17 -0.008   11 0.5074    8  0.564    7  0.149   22 -0.165   23  0.004 P
RANGERS      1 1  8  9  0.191  1.170   12  0.007   12 -0.004   12 -0.003   14 0.5061   15  0.413   16  0.018   16 -0.023   12  0.004 P
ASTROS       1 2 13 18 -0.079  1.417   21 -0.015   21 -0.024   20 -0.020   22 0.4884    7  0.564    9  0.137   24 -0.177    4  0.122 P
MARINERS     1 2 14 13 -0.066  1.420   22 -0.017   22 -0.025   11  0.008   20 0.4903   11  0.455   10  0.065   18 -0.049    6  0.038 P
ATHLETICS    0 2  9 11  0.138  1.137   27 -0.036   28 -0.044   24 -0.040   28 0.4652   14  0.449   17  0.012   21 -0.091   21  0.004 P

AL CENTRAL
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM         W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
GUARDIANS    2 1 13 14  0.141  1.692    8  0.023    8  0.013   13 -0.005    8 0.5175   12  0.455   13  0.052   19 -0.062   22  0.004 P
TIGERS       2 1 13  7  0.054  1.574    9  0.018    9  0.007   10  0.008    9 0.5150   20  0.305   20 -0.063   10  0.079   18  0.004 P
TWINS        1 1  5  3 -0.007  1.002   17 -0.001   16 -0.012   15 -0.007   16 0.4988   28  0.083   27 -0.250    2  0.236   17  0.004 P
ROYALS       0 2  2 12  0.312  1.287   24 -0.029   23 -0.036   28 -0.054   25 0.4714   21  0.288   24 -0.139   13  0.031   11  0.004 P
WHITE SOX    0 2  3 20  0.377  1.351   26 -0.036   25 -0.041   30 -0.094   29 0.4621    9  0.533   15  0.034   25 -0.221   10  0.004 P

AL EAST
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM         W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
YANKEES      3 0 13  1 -0.094  1.356    2  0.054    2  0.041    1  0.073    1 0.5491   29  0.050   25 -0.194    1  0.340    9  0.004 P
BLUE JAYS    2 0 11  9 -0.220  0.814    4  0.031    3  0.020    9  0.008    5 0.5288   13  0.449   12  0.060   17 -0.043    7  0.032 P
RED SOX      1 1  8  6  0.015  1.013   14  0.005   14 -0.006    5  0.017   12 0.5066   23  0.263   22 -0.089    7  0.122   16  0.004 P
ORIOLES      1 1  3  5 -0.085  0.941   18 -0.006   18 -0.013   22 -0.025   18 0.4949   27  0.083   29 -0.268    3  0.218   29 -0.233 P
RAYS         0 2 12 15  0.087  1.083   23 -0.026   24 -0.037   16 -0.008   23 0.4767    4  0.683    3  0.264   29 -0.279   20  0.004 P

DIVISION    W  L   PCT  RNK RATING
AL EAST     7  4 0.636    1  0.097
NL CENTRAL  6  4 0.600    2  0.033
NL EAST     8  2 0.800    3  0.032
AL WEST     5  8 0.385    4 -0.028
NL WEST     4 10 0.286    5 -0.077
AL CENTRAL  5  7 0.417    6 -0.120

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.085 points in main ratings (0.058 for semineutral)
     0.010 points in improved RPI (0.006 for semineutral)
Average of 2.65 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Sun Mar 29 05:30:05 2026
games through: Sat Mar 28 2026

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