Dolphin Ratings - Major League Baseball

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.
Ballpark. This is an adjustment to the scoring ranking applied at home to account for ballpark effects.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
TWINS        49 49 476 487  0.003 49.252   16 -0.001   16  0.001   16 -0.006   17 0.4986    1  0.799    1  0.278   29 -0.289   25 -0.208
NATIONALS    49 49 539 513  0.032 50.330   13  0.004   13  0.015    9  0.042   13 0.5040    2  0.737    2  0.262   26 -0.178    6  0.244
WHITE SOX    51 45 466 423 -0.013 47.546   11  0.009   11  0.028    8  0.047   12 0.5050    4  0.709    3  0.238   25 -0.144   28 -0.287
CARDINALS    51 45 434 427  0.030 49.267    8  0.015    8  0.046   13  0.022    7 0.5112    6  0.652    4  0.156   23 -0.113   30 -0.305
DODGERS      62 36 508 358 -0.035 47.507    2  0.170    2  0.130    2  0.165    2 0.5305   17  0.497    5  0.154    6  0.176   21 -0.115
CUBS         54 43 486 437 -0.014 48.018    5  0.021    5  0.055   10  0.037    5 0.5145    8  0.621    6  0.142   19 -0.067   12  0.003
ANGELS       38 60 431 487 -0.026 48.246   30 -0.167   30 -0.133   27 -0.095   30 0.4702    3  0.737    7  0.125   30 -0.315   29 -0.296
BRAVES       56 40 475 369 -0.000 47.973    4  0.067    4  0.090    3  0.130    3 0.5205   18  0.495    8  0.117    8  0.143   14 -0.010
PIRATES      50 47 516 472  0.005 48.744   12  0.005   12  0.020    7  0.050   10 0.5068   11  0.550    9  0.088   14  0.013    4  0.271
BREWERS      60 37 491 364  0.016 49.017    1  0.185    1  0.136    1  0.177    1 0.5321   23  0.405   10  0.085    1  0.269   13 -0.006
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ORIOLES      47 51 450 468 -0.002 49.091   19 -0.007   19 -0.023   19 -0.015   19 0.4936    9  0.600   11  0.070   22 -0.101   11  0.011
MARLINS      52 46 440 417  0.010 49.458    9  0.011    9  0.038   11  0.031    9 0.5094   10  0.551   12  0.069   15 -0.007   26 -0.266
ASTROS       47 52 451 499 -0.022 48.870   22 -0.013   22 -0.037   25 -0.075   23 0.4902    5  0.659   13  0.067   27 -0.216   15 -0.033
DIAMONDBACKS 49 48 420 434  0.020 49.416   14  0.003   14  0.015   15 -0.001   14 0.5036   14  0.525   14  0.013   16 -0.016   19 -0.099
ROCKIES      39 60 468 562  0.000 49.799   29 -0.125   29 -0.117   29 -0.125   29 0.4759    7  0.634   15 -0.007   28 -0.243    2  0.330
RAYS         56 40 428 408  0.018 48.742    3  0.081    3  0.097    6  0.055    4 0.5197   22  0.410   16 -0.033    7  0.143    9  0.080
PADRES       48 49 385 429  0.006 48.926   17 -0.002   17 -0.003   21 -0.042   16 0.4998   16  0.515   17 -0.036   18 -0.047   27 -0.283
REDS         44 52 402 457  0.015 48.789   23 -0.014   23 -0.038   23 -0.061   21 0.4919   13  0.530   18 -0.042   20 -0.080   18 -0.079
TIGERS       45 52 409 384 -0.011 48.175   24 -0.014   24 -0.042   12  0.029   24 0.4897   21  0.422   19 -0.049   10  0.106   20 -0.107
GIANTS       42 55 402 459  0.012 49.237   25 -0.033   25 -0.067   24 -0.074   25 0.4867   15  0.516   20 -0.068   21 -0.080   23 -0.131
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
YANKEES      54 43 463 373 -0.016 47.880    6  0.021    7  0.055    4  0.098    8 0.5111   27  0.315   21 -0.071    2  0.266    5  0.249
ROYALS       39 59 418 505  0.017 49.911   28 -0.093   28 -0.105   28 -0.103   28 0.4761   12  0.539   22 -0.076   24 -0.131    8  0.120
RANGERS      49 48 400 429 -0.037 47.264   18 -0.004   18 -0.011   22 -0.053   18 0.4971   19  0.475   23 -0.083   17 -0.022   22 -0.131
RED SOX      48 48 400 361  0.015 48.647   15  0.002   15  0.008    5  0.062   15 0.5005   26  0.334   24 -0.091    3  0.214   17 -0.073
BLUE JAYS    45 52 396 439  0.011 49.135   21 -0.011   21 -0.034   20 -0.040   22 0.4914   20  0.439   25 -0.103   13  0.023   10  0.061
MARINERS     48 50 392 383 -0.036 47.735   20 -0.008   20 -0.026   18 -0.012   20 0.4936   25  0.340   26 -0.160    9  0.135   24 -0.189
GUARDIANS    51 46 385 387  0.013 49.083   10  0.009   10  0.033   14  0.004   11 0.5065   28  0.307   27 -0.172    4  0.179   16 -0.069
PHILLIES     54 44 425 438 -0.000 49.130    7  0.021    6  0.055   17 -0.008    6 0.5128   30  0.295   28 -0.193    5  0.177    3  0.325
METS         41 57 402 464  0.000 49.255   26 -0.063   26 -0.089   26 -0.084   26 0.4806   24  0.350   29 -0.223   11  0.056    7  0.217
ATHLETICS    41 56 426 551 -0.019 48.070   27 -0.071   27 -0.092   30 -0.150   27 0.4779   29  0.306   30 -0.326   12  0.025    1  0.771

NL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DODGERS      62 36 508 358 -0.035 47.507    2  0.170    2  0.130    2  0.165    2 0.5305   17  0.497    5  0.154    6  0.176   21 -0.115
DIAMONDBACKS 49 48 420 434  0.020 49.416   14  0.003   14  0.015   15 -0.001   14 0.5036   14  0.525   14  0.013   16 -0.016   19 -0.099
ROCKIES      39 60 468 562  0.000 49.799   29 -0.125   29 -0.117   29 -0.125   29 0.4759    7  0.634   15 -0.007   28 -0.243    2  0.330
PADRES       48 49 385 429  0.006 48.926   17 -0.002   17 -0.003   21 -0.042   16 0.4998   16  0.515   17 -0.036   18 -0.047   27 -0.283
GIANTS       42 55 402 459  0.012 49.237   25 -0.033   25 -0.067   24 -0.074   25 0.4867   15  0.516   20 -0.068   21 -0.080   23 -0.131

NL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CARDINALS    51 45 434 427  0.030 49.267    8  0.015    8  0.046   13  0.022    7 0.5112    6  0.652    4  0.156   23 -0.113   30 -0.305
CUBS         54 43 486 437 -0.014 48.018    5  0.021    5  0.055   10  0.037    5 0.5145    8  0.621    6  0.142   19 -0.067   12  0.003
PIRATES      50 47 516 472  0.005 48.744   12  0.005   12  0.020    7  0.050   10 0.5068   11  0.550    9  0.088   14  0.013    4  0.271
BREWERS      60 37 491 364  0.016 49.017    1  0.185    1  0.136    1  0.177    1 0.5321   23  0.405   10  0.085    1  0.269   13 -0.006
REDS         44 52 402 457  0.015 48.789   23 -0.014   23 -0.038   23 -0.061   21 0.4919   13  0.530   18 -0.042   20 -0.080   18 -0.079

NL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
NATIONALS    49 49 539 513  0.032 50.330   13  0.004   13  0.015    9  0.042   13 0.5040    2  0.737    2  0.262   26 -0.178    6  0.244
BRAVES       56 40 475 369 -0.000 47.973    4  0.067    4  0.090    3  0.130    3 0.5205   18  0.495    8  0.117    8  0.143   14 -0.010
MARLINS      52 46 440 417  0.010 49.458    9  0.011    9  0.038   11  0.031    9 0.5094   10  0.551   12  0.069   15 -0.007   26 -0.266
PHILLIES     54 44 425 438 -0.000 49.130    7  0.021    6  0.055   17 -0.008    6 0.5128   30  0.295   28 -0.193    5  0.177    3  0.325
METS         41 57 402 464  0.000 49.255   26 -0.063   26 -0.089   26 -0.084   26 0.4806   24  0.350   29 -0.223   11  0.056    7  0.217

AL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ANGELS       38 60 431 487 -0.026 48.246   30 -0.167   30 -0.133   27 -0.095   30 0.4702    3  0.737    7  0.125   30 -0.315   29 -0.296
ASTROS       47 52 451 499 -0.022 48.870   22 -0.013   22 -0.037   25 -0.075   23 0.4902    5  0.659   13  0.067   27 -0.216   15 -0.033
RANGERS      49 48 400 429 -0.037 47.264   18 -0.004   18 -0.011   22 -0.053   18 0.4971   19  0.475   23 -0.083   17 -0.022   22 -0.131
MARINERS     48 50 392 383 -0.036 47.735   20 -0.008   20 -0.026   18 -0.012   20 0.4936   25  0.340   26 -0.160    9  0.135   24 -0.189
ATHLETICS    41 56 426 551 -0.019 48.070   27 -0.071   27 -0.092   30 -0.150   27 0.4779   29  0.306   30 -0.326   12  0.025    1  0.771

AL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
TWINS        49 49 476 487  0.003 49.252   16 -0.001   16  0.001   16 -0.006   17 0.4986    1  0.799    1  0.278   29 -0.289   25 -0.208
WHITE SOX    51 45 466 423 -0.013 47.546   11  0.009   11  0.028    8  0.047   12 0.5050    4  0.709    3  0.238   25 -0.144   28 -0.287
TIGERS       45 52 409 384 -0.011 48.175   24 -0.014   24 -0.042   12  0.029   24 0.4897   21  0.422   19 -0.049   10  0.106   20 -0.107
ROYALS       39 59 418 505  0.017 49.911   28 -0.093   28 -0.105   28 -0.103   28 0.4761   12  0.539   22 -0.076   24 -0.131    8  0.120
GUARDIANS    51 46 385 387  0.013 49.083   10  0.009   10  0.033   14  0.004   11 0.5065   28  0.307   27 -0.172    4  0.179   16 -0.069

AL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ORIOLES      47 51 450 468 -0.002 49.091   19 -0.007   19 -0.023   19 -0.015   19 0.4936    9  0.600   11  0.070   22 -0.101   11  0.011
RAYS         56 40 428 408  0.018 48.742    3  0.081    3  0.097    6  0.055    4 0.5197   22  0.410   16 -0.033    7  0.143    9  0.080
YANKEES      54 43 463 373 -0.016 47.880    6  0.021    7  0.055    4  0.098    8 0.5111   27  0.315   21 -0.071    2  0.266    5  0.249
RED SOX      48 48 400 361  0.015 48.647   15  0.002   15  0.008    5  0.062   15 0.5005   26  0.334   24 -0.091    3  0.214   17 -0.073
BLUE JAYS    45 52 396 439  0.011 49.135   21 -0.011   21 -0.034   20 -0.040   22 0.4914   20  0.439   25 -0.103   13  0.023   10  0.061

DIVISION     W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
NL CENTRAL 259 224 0.536    1  0.083
AL EAST    250 234 0.517    2  0.059
NL EAST    252 236 0.516    3  0.041
AL CENTRAL 235 251 0.484    4 -0.011
NL WEST    240 248 0.492    5 -0.029
AL WEST    223 266 0.456    6 -0.142

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.044 points in main ratings (0.058 for semineutral)
     0.006 points in improved RPI (0.006 for semineutral)
Average of 2.65 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Sat Jul 18 05:30:08 2026
games through: Fri Jul 17 2026

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