Dolphin Ratings - Major League Baseball

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.
Ballpark. This is an adjustment to the scoring ranking applied at home to account for ballpark effects.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CUBS         76 58 695 576 -0.000 66.923    6  0.054    6  0.093    6  0.108    6 0.5167    7  0.639    1  0.240   15 -0.024   16 -0.068
WHITE SOX    70 63 641 597 -0.007 66.167   11  0.008   11  0.033    9  0.048   11 0.5055    5  0.669    2  0.208   22 -0.113   21 -0.126
TWINS        64 70 615 671 -0.003 67.006   19 -0.005   19 -0.033   21 -0.064   18 0.4944    1  0.759    3  0.187   29 -0.316   25 -0.195
DODGERS      80 53 661 512 -0.003 66.220    2  0.153    2  0.140    2  0.163    2 0.5248   13  0.517    4  0.180    8  0.147   22 -0.135
ORIOLES      65 68 604 626  0.009 67.097   17 -0.000   16 -0.011   18 -0.017   17 0.4984    3  0.696    5  0.171   26 -0.205   24 -0.194
CARDINALS    66 68 593 608  0.020 68.188   14  0.002   14  0.001   16 -0.006   13 0.5013    8  0.619    6  0.106   23 -0.118   26 -0.223
NATIONALS    62 73 697 691  0.016 68.470   23 -0.008   23 -0.046   15  0.005   22 0.4926    9  0.598    7  0.098   21 -0.087    2  0.339
ASTROS       66 67 608 656 -0.047 64.222   18 -0.004   18 -0.031   24 -0.080   20 0.4935    4  0.683    8  0.094   27 -0.255   17 -0.069
BREWERS      82 51 660 493  0.002 66.449    1  0.195    1  0.164    1  0.194    1 0.5287   25  0.382    9  0.091    2  0.297   11  0.056
DIAMONDBACKS 71 63 605 600  0.016 67.908   10  0.013   10  0.050   14  0.023   10 0.5085   10  0.553   10  0.072   16 -0.027   19 -0.089
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PADRES       72 62 569 552  0.003 67.207    9  0.015    9  0.054   11  0.029    9 0.5090   12  0.542   11  0.068   14 -0.011   29 -0.352
ROCKIES      52 81 636 768  0.016 67.594   28 -0.167   28 -0.143   29 -0.147   28 0.4751    2  0.700   12  0.045   30 -0.339    4  0.302
ANGELS       52 82 548 623 -0.032 65.535   30 -0.206   30 -0.173   28 -0.118   30 0.4704    6  0.668   13  0.042   28 -0.277   30 -0.413
MARLINS      68 66 582 563  0.005 67.299   12  0.004   12  0.013   13  0.024   12 0.5025   15  0.489   14  0.016   12  0.033   23 -0.194
BRAVES       78 55 624 512  0.012 67.057    4  0.120    4  0.126    3  0.136    4 0.5215   26  0.359   15  0.014    4  0.259    8  0.157
TIGERS       62 71 592 522 -0.021 65.382   25 -0.013   25 -0.056    8  0.065   25 0.4903   19  0.434   16  0.007    9  0.122   18 -0.088
PIRATES      65 70 657 633  0.025 68.899   16 -0.000   17 -0.012   12  0.028   16 0.4992   18  0.459   17 -0.008   10  0.064    3  0.303
RAYS         79 54 595 548 -0.002 66.367    3  0.125    3  0.128    7  0.071    3 0.5221   24  0.389   18 -0.026    6  0.169   10  0.069
RED SOX      73 60 600 499  0.000 66.460    8  0.025    8  0.068    5  0.118    8 0.5127   28  0.301   19 -0.053    3  0.288    9  0.113
REDS         63 71 548 648  0.005 67.519   22 -0.007   21 -0.039   27 -0.117   23 0.4926   11  0.553   20 -0.067   25 -0.167   20 -0.107
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RANGERS      66 68 543 590 -0.043 64.888   20 -0.005   20 -0.035   23 -0.074   19 0.4935   14  0.492   21 -0.080   20 -0.067   27 -0.230
MARINERS     64 70 526 583 -0.015 66.388   21 -0.007   22 -0.039   22 -0.068   21 0.4935   16  0.484   22 -0.082   18 -0.055   28 -0.261
PHILLIES     74 60 608 585  0.007 67.409    7  0.030    7  0.076   10  0.039    7 0.5128   27  0.348   23 -0.092    5  0.171    5  0.288
BLUE JAYS    65 69 527 581  0.031 68.787   15  0.001   15 -0.004   19 -0.027   15 0.4997   23  0.403   24 -0.113   11  0.058   15 -0.058
METS         60 73 550 596  0.031 68.311   24 -0.011   24 -0.051   20 -0.045   24 0.4907   22  0.416   25 -0.118   13  0.029   13  0.039
GIANTS       54 79 540 614  0.005 67.014   27 -0.126   27 -0.126   25 -0.090   27 0.4779   17  0.461   26 -0.124   19 -0.055   14 -0.052
YANKEES      75 57 595 491 -0.001 65.870    5  0.056    5  0.093    4  0.118    5 0.5170   30  0.200   27 -0.133    1  0.370    6  0.286
ROYALS       59 75 565 657 -0.008 66.775   26 -0.054   26 -0.088   26 -0.102   26 0.4837   21  0.427   28 -0.166   17 -0.038    7  0.227
GUARDIANS    68 66 543 547 -0.010 66.583   13  0.002   13  0.005   17 -0.014   14 0.5007   29  0.290   29 -0.194    7  0.165   12  0.049
ATHLETICS    53 81 585 770 -0.017 66.377   29 -0.190   29 -0.156   30 -0.198   29 0.4717   20  0.433   30 -0.257   24 -0.140    1  0.622

NL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DODGERS      80 53 661 512 -0.003 66.220    2  0.153    2  0.140    2  0.163    2 0.5248   13  0.517    4  0.180    8  0.147   22 -0.135
DIAMONDBACKS 71 63 605 600  0.016 67.908   10  0.013   10  0.050   14  0.023   10 0.5085   10  0.553   10  0.072   16 -0.027   19 -0.089
PADRES       72 62 569 552  0.003 67.207    9  0.015    9  0.054   11  0.029    9 0.5090   12  0.542   11  0.068   14 -0.011   29 -0.352
ROCKIES      52 81 636 768  0.016 67.594   28 -0.167   28 -0.143   29 -0.147   28 0.4751    2  0.700   12  0.045   30 -0.339    4  0.302
GIANTS       54 79 540 614  0.005 67.014   27 -0.126   27 -0.126   25 -0.090   27 0.4779   17  0.461   26 -0.124   19 -0.055   14 -0.052

NL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CUBS         76 58 695 576 -0.000 66.923    6  0.054    6  0.093    6  0.108    6 0.5167    7  0.639    1  0.240   15 -0.024   16 -0.068
CARDINALS    66 68 593 608  0.020 68.188   14  0.002   14  0.001   16 -0.006   13 0.5013    8  0.619    6  0.106   23 -0.118   26 -0.223
BREWERS      82 51 660 493  0.002 66.449    1  0.195    1  0.164    1  0.194    1 0.5287   25  0.382    9  0.091    2  0.297   11  0.056
PIRATES      65 70 657 633  0.025 68.899   16 -0.000   17 -0.012   12  0.028   16 0.4992   18  0.459   17 -0.008   10  0.064    3  0.303
REDS         63 71 548 648  0.005 67.519   22 -0.007   21 -0.039   27 -0.117   23 0.4926   11  0.553   20 -0.067   25 -0.167   20 -0.107

NL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
NATIONALS    62 73 697 691  0.016 68.470   23 -0.008   23 -0.046   15  0.005   22 0.4926    9  0.598    7  0.098   21 -0.087    2  0.339
MARLINS      68 66 582 563  0.005 67.299   12  0.004   12  0.013   13  0.024   12 0.5025   15  0.489   14  0.016   12  0.033   23 -0.194
BRAVES       78 55 624 512  0.012 67.057    4  0.120    4  0.126    3  0.136    4 0.5215   26  0.359   15  0.014    4  0.259    8  0.157
PHILLIES     74 60 608 585  0.007 67.409    7  0.030    7  0.076   10  0.039    7 0.5128   27  0.348   23 -0.092    5  0.171    5  0.288
METS         60 73 550 596  0.031 68.311   24 -0.011   24 -0.051   20 -0.045   24 0.4907   22  0.416   25 -0.118   13  0.029   13  0.039

AL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ASTROS       66 67 608 656 -0.047 64.222   18 -0.004   18 -0.031   24 -0.080   20 0.4935    4  0.683    8  0.094   27 -0.255   17 -0.069
ANGELS       52 82 548 623 -0.032 65.535   30 -0.206   30 -0.173   28 -0.118   30 0.4704    6  0.668   13  0.042   28 -0.277   30 -0.413
RANGERS      66 68 543 590 -0.043 64.888   20 -0.005   20 -0.035   23 -0.074   19 0.4935   14  0.492   21 -0.080   20 -0.067   27 -0.230
MARINERS     64 70 526 583 -0.015 66.388   21 -0.007   22 -0.039   22 -0.068   21 0.4935   16  0.484   22 -0.082   18 -0.055   28 -0.261
ATHLETICS    53 81 585 770 -0.017 66.377   29 -0.190   29 -0.156   30 -0.198   29 0.4717   20  0.433   30 -0.257   24 -0.140    1  0.622

AL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
WHITE SOX    70 63 641 597 -0.007 66.167   11  0.008   11  0.033    9  0.048   11 0.5055    5  0.669    2  0.208   22 -0.113   21 -0.126
TWINS        64 70 615 671 -0.003 67.006   19 -0.005   19 -0.033   21 -0.064   18 0.4944    1  0.759    3  0.187   29 -0.316   25 -0.195
TIGERS       62 71 592 522 -0.021 65.382   25 -0.013   25 -0.056    8  0.065   25 0.4903   19  0.434   16  0.007    9  0.122   18 -0.088
ROYALS       59 75 565 657 -0.008 66.775   26 -0.054   26 -0.088   26 -0.102   26 0.4837   21  0.427   28 -0.166   17 -0.038    7  0.227
GUARDIANS    68 66 543 547 -0.010 66.583   13  0.002   13  0.005   17 -0.014   14 0.5007   29  0.290   29 -0.194    7  0.165   12  0.049

AL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ORIOLES      65 68 604 626  0.009 67.097   17 -0.000   16 -0.011   18 -0.017   17 0.4984    3  0.696    5  0.171   26 -0.205   24 -0.194
RAYS         79 54 595 548 -0.002 66.367    3  0.125    3  0.128    7  0.071    3 0.5221   24  0.389   18 -0.026    6  0.169   10  0.069
RED SOX      73 60 600 499  0.000 66.460    8  0.025    8  0.068    5  0.118    8 0.5127   28  0.301   19 -0.053    3  0.288    9  0.113
BLUE JAYS    65 69 527 581  0.031 68.787   15  0.001   15 -0.004   19 -0.027   15 0.4997   23  0.403   24 -0.113   11  0.058   15 -0.058
YANKEES      75 57 595 491 -0.001 65.870    5  0.056    5  0.093    4  0.118    5 0.5170   30  0.200   27 -0.133    1  0.370    6  0.286

DIVISION     W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
AL EAST    357 308 0.537    1  0.080
NL CENTRAL 352 318 0.525    2  0.063
NL EAST    342 327 0.511    3  0.049
NL WEST    329 338 0.493    4 -0.007
AL CENTRAL 323 345 0.484    5 -0.021
AL WEST    301 368 0.450    6 -0.164

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.058 points in main ratings (0.058 for semineutral)
     0.007 points in improved RPI (0.006 for semineutral)
Average of 2.65 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Thu Aug 27 05:30:09 2026
games through: Wed Aug 26 2026

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