Dolphin Ratings - Major League Baseball

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.
Ballpark. This is an adjustment to the scoring ranking applied at home to account for ballpark effects.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
TWINS        57 59 539 574 -0.015 57.694   20 -0.004   20 -0.018   20 -0.046   20 0.4960    1  0.781    1  0.224   30 -0.315   27 -0.232
ANGELS       44 71 477 553 -0.018 57.112   30 -0.182   30 -0.151   27 -0.110   30 0.4697    2  0.694   10  0.071   29 -0.291   30 -0.398
ASTROS       59 57 540 565 -0.034 56.788   15 -0.001   15 -0.007   22 -0.050   18 0.4977    3  0.688    6  0.126   27 -0.225   19 -0.091
NATIONALS    56 61 623 613  0.025 59.947   18 -0.002   18 -0.014   12  0.016   16 0.4982    4  0.675    5  0.178   25 -0.147    3  0.280
ROCKIES      45 70 554 662  0.011 58.451   28 -0.137   28 -0.127   29 -0.127   28 0.4752    5  0.671   15  0.032   28 -0.286    2  0.316
WHITE SOX    59 55 544 506 -0.009 56.845   11  0.004   11  0.018    9  0.038   11 0.5031    6  0.667    3  0.193   24 -0.117   26 -0.213
ORIOLES      56 59 516 549  0.002 57.946   19 -0.003   19 -0.015   17 -0.028   19 0.4963    7  0.639    8  0.099   26 -0.156   21 -0.102
CUBS         67 49 595 495  0.002 58.261    5  0.063    5  0.095    5  0.101    5 0.5195    8  0.604    2  0.194   14  0.008   15 -0.014
CARDINALS    57 58 499 509  0.029 59.131   12  0.002   12  0.009   15 -0.001   12 0.5026    9  0.578   11  0.068   20 -0.070   28 -0.233
PADRES       60 56 491 504  0.008 58.679   10  0.005   10  0.025   16 -0.005   10 0.5044   10  0.577   12  0.063   21 -0.074   29 -0.329
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
REDS         56 58 476 536  0.004 57.566   17 -0.002   16 -0.010   25 -0.067   17 0.4981   11  0.544   19 -0.030   23 -0.104   18 -0.079
DODGERS      69 46 584 444 -0.016 56.913    3  0.108    4  0.115    2  0.152    3 0.5234   12  0.533    4  0.178    7  0.125   22 -0.107
DIAMONDBACKS 61 55 528 525  0.010 58.762    9  0.009    9  0.036   13  0.011    9 0.5070   13  0.521   17  0.027   16 -0.005   13  0.001
MARLINS      58 58 502 502  0.012 58.851   13  0.001   13  0.006   14  0.002   13 0.5018   14  0.508   18  0.007   15 -0.002   24 -0.193
PIRATES      57 60 588 564  0.021 59.763   14 -0.000   14 -0.005   10  0.030   14 0.5013   15  0.508   14  0.034   13  0.025    6  0.262
RANGERS      57 58 477 510 -0.030 56.499   21 -0.005   21 -0.020   23 -0.051   21 0.4959   16  0.490   21 -0.064   17 -0.038   23 -0.120
GIANTS       48 67 479 535  0.010 58.394   26 -0.062   26 -0.094   26 -0.073   26 0.4815   17  0.480   22 -0.095   18 -0.052   16 -0.043
RAYS         68 46 510 469 -0.001 57.178    4  0.106    3  0.116    8  0.068    4 0.5230   18  0.461   16  0.029    9  0.106   17 -0.063
TIGERS       56 59 526 446 -0.025 56.535   22 -0.005   22 -0.026    7  0.080   22 0.4949   19  0.461   13  0.041    8  0.118   20 -0.101
ROYALS       48 68 480 583 -0.001 58.403   27 -0.086   27 -0.106   28 -0.115   27 0.4783   20  0.459   27 -0.156   22 -0.075    7  0.156
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BRAVES       70 45 568 447 -0.007 57.344    2  0.142    2  0.129    3  0.140    2 0.5252   21  0.458    7  0.099    4  0.181   10  0.063
BREWERS      72 43 571 430 -0.005 57.356    1  0.193    1  0.151    1  0.171    1 0.5304   22  0.409    9  0.087    3  0.255   14 -0.008
MARINERS     56 60 458 472 -0.034 56.781   24 -0.009   24 -0.037   19 -0.041   24 0.4922   23  0.396   25 -0.136   11  0.054   25 -0.212
METS         50 66 482 528  0.021 59.351   25 -0.033   25 -0.074   24 -0.052   25 0.4853   24  0.389   26 -0.153   12  0.050    8  0.122
ATHLETICS    45 70 498 655 -0.011 57.472   29 -0.164   29 -0.138   30 -0.173   29 0.4705   25  0.374   30 -0.287   19 -0.059    1  0.683
BLUE JAYS    54 62 451 512  0.018 59.231   23 -0.007   23 -0.033   21 -0.050   23 0.4936   26  0.373   28 -0.165   10  0.065   12  0.010
PHILLIES     62 54 512 510  0.012 58.851    8  0.013    8  0.047   11  0.019    8 0.5089   27  0.325   24 -0.136    5  0.175    4  0.275
RED SOX      63 51 504 427  0.009 57.598    7  0.028    7  0.069    4  0.101    6 0.5143   28  0.317   20 -0.061    2  0.264   11  0.018
GUARDIANS    57 59 459 487 -0.000 58.336   16 -0.002   17 -0.011   18 -0.034   15 0.4982   29  0.281   29 -0.225    6  0.157    9  0.083
YANKEES      64 51 522 441  0.001 57.705    6  0.029    6  0.069    6  0.096    7 0.5139   30  0.249   23 -0.122    1  0.313    5  0.269

NL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ROCKIES      45 70 554 662  0.011 58.451   28 -0.137   28 -0.127   29 -0.127   28 0.4752    5  0.671   15  0.032   28 -0.286    2  0.316
PADRES       60 56 491 504  0.008 58.679   10  0.005   10  0.025   16 -0.005   10 0.5044   10  0.577   12  0.063   21 -0.074   29 -0.329
DODGERS      69 46 584 444 -0.016 56.913    3  0.108    4  0.115    2  0.152    3 0.5234   12  0.533    4  0.178    7  0.125   22 -0.107
DIAMONDBACKS 61 55 528 525  0.010 58.762    9  0.009    9  0.036   13  0.011    9 0.5070   13  0.521   17  0.027   16 -0.005   13  0.001
GIANTS       48 67 479 535  0.010 58.394   26 -0.062   26 -0.094   26 -0.073   26 0.4815   17  0.480   22 -0.095   18 -0.052   16 -0.043

NL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CUBS         67 49 595 495  0.002 58.261    5  0.063    5  0.095    5  0.101    5 0.5195    8  0.604    2  0.194   14  0.008   15 -0.014
CARDINALS    57 58 499 509  0.029 59.131   12  0.002   12  0.009   15 -0.001   12 0.5026    9  0.578   11  0.068   20 -0.070   28 -0.233
REDS         56 58 476 536  0.004 57.566   17 -0.002   16 -0.010   25 -0.067   17 0.4981   11  0.544   19 -0.030   23 -0.104   18 -0.079
PIRATES      57 60 588 564  0.021 59.763   14 -0.000   14 -0.005   10  0.030   14 0.5013   15  0.508   14  0.034   13  0.025    6  0.262
BREWERS      72 43 571 430 -0.005 57.356    1  0.193    1  0.151    1  0.171    1 0.5304   22  0.409    9  0.087    3  0.255   14 -0.008

NL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
NATIONALS    56 61 623 613  0.025 59.947   18 -0.002   18 -0.014   12  0.016   16 0.4982    4  0.675    5  0.178   25 -0.147    3  0.280
MARLINS      58 58 502 502  0.012 58.851   13  0.001   13  0.006   14  0.002   13 0.5018   14  0.508   18  0.007   15 -0.002   24 -0.193
BRAVES       70 45 568 447 -0.007 57.344    2  0.142    2  0.129    3  0.140    2 0.5252   21  0.458    7  0.099    4  0.181   10  0.063
METS         50 66 482 528  0.021 59.351   25 -0.033   25 -0.074   24 -0.052   25 0.4853   24  0.389   26 -0.153   12  0.050    8  0.122
PHILLIES     62 54 512 510  0.012 58.851    8  0.013    8  0.047   11  0.019    8 0.5089   27  0.325   24 -0.136    5  0.175    4  0.275

AL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ANGELS       44 71 477 553 -0.018 57.112   30 -0.182   30 -0.151   27 -0.110   30 0.4697    2  0.694   10  0.071   29 -0.291   30 -0.398
ASTROS       59 57 540 565 -0.034 56.788   15 -0.001   15 -0.007   22 -0.050   18 0.4977    3  0.688    6  0.126   27 -0.225   19 -0.091
RANGERS      57 58 477 510 -0.030 56.499   21 -0.005   21 -0.020   23 -0.051   21 0.4959   16  0.490   21 -0.064   17 -0.038   23 -0.120
MARINERS     56 60 458 472 -0.034 56.781   24 -0.009   24 -0.037   19 -0.041   24 0.4922   23  0.396   25 -0.136   11  0.054   25 -0.212
ATHLETICS    45 70 498 655 -0.011 57.472   29 -0.164   29 -0.138   30 -0.173   29 0.4705   25  0.374   30 -0.287   19 -0.059    1  0.683

AL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
TWINS        57 59 539 574 -0.015 57.694   20 -0.004   20 -0.018   20 -0.046   20 0.4960    1  0.781    1  0.224   30 -0.315   27 -0.232
WHITE SOX    59 55 544 506 -0.009 56.845   11  0.004   11  0.018    9  0.038   11 0.5031    6  0.667    3  0.193   24 -0.117   26 -0.213
TIGERS       56 59 526 446 -0.025 56.535   22 -0.005   22 -0.026    7  0.080   22 0.4949   19  0.461   13  0.041    8  0.118   20 -0.101
ROYALS       48 68 480 583 -0.001 58.403   27 -0.086   27 -0.106   28 -0.115   27 0.4783   20  0.459   27 -0.156   22 -0.075    7  0.156
GUARDIANS    57 59 459 487 -0.000 58.336   16 -0.002   17 -0.011   18 -0.034   15 0.4982   29  0.281   29 -0.225    6  0.157    9  0.083

AL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ORIOLES      56 59 516 549  0.002 57.946   19 -0.003   19 -0.015   17 -0.028   19 0.4963    7  0.639    8  0.099   26 -0.156   21 -0.102
RAYS         68 46 510 469 -0.001 57.178    4  0.106    3  0.116    8  0.068    4 0.5230   18  0.461   16  0.029    9  0.106   17 -0.063
BLUE JAYS    54 62 451 512  0.018 59.231   23 -0.007   23 -0.033   21 -0.050   23 0.4936   26  0.373   28 -0.165   10  0.065   12  0.010
RED SOX      63 51 504 427  0.009 57.598    7  0.028    7  0.069    4  0.101    6 0.5143   28  0.317   20 -0.061    2  0.264   11  0.018
YANKEES      64 51 522 441  0.001 57.705    6  0.029    6  0.069    6  0.096    7 0.5139   30  0.249   23 -0.122    1  0.313    5  0.269

DIVISION     W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
NL CENTRAL 309 268 0.536    1  0.078
AL EAST    305 269 0.531    2  0.063
NL EAST    296 284 0.510    3  0.042
NL WEST    283 294 0.490    4 -0.015
AL CENTRAL 277 300 0.480    5 -0.026
AL WEST    261 316 0.452    6 -0.144

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.051 points in main ratings (0.058 for semineutral)
     0.006 points in improved RPI (0.006 for semineutral)
Average of 2.65 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Fri Aug  7 05:30:07 2026
games through: Thu Aug  6 2026

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