Dolphin Ratings - Major League Baseball

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.
Ballpark. This is an adjustment to the scoring ranking applied at home to account for ballpark effects.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BREWERS      94 57 783 584 -0.000 75.403    1  0.206    1  0.184    1  0.212    1 0.5305   19  0.484    2  0.193    5  0.230   14  0.001
DODGERS      92 59 749 572 -0.006 75.128    2  0.182    2  0.162    2  0.184    2 0.5262   21  0.446    5  0.132    4  0.236   15 -0.017
RAYS         91 59 684 614 -0.008 74.610    3  0.168    3  0.154    7  0.087    3 0.5250   24  0.407   15  0.000    7  0.174   10  0.056
BRAVES       89 63 702 587  0.012 76.813    4  0.135    4  0.136    4  0.133    4 0.5217   27  0.333   17 -0.017    3  0.283    9  0.135
YANKEES      88 63 693 556 -0.008 75.040    5  0.099    5  0.119    3  0.141    5 0.5195   30  0.229   24 -0.093    1  0.374    6  0.260
CUBS         84 68 809 670  0.012 76.735    6  0.038    6  0.086    5  0.126    6 0.5147    5  0.657    1  0.270   14 -0.018   13  0.014
PHILLIES     83 68 678 650  0.010 76.244    7  0.028    7  0.079    9  0.046    7 0.5126   28  0.326   26 -0.110    6  0.201    5  0.269
PADRES       82 69 650 633  0.001 75.757    8  0.015    8  0.065   12  0.027    9 0.5103   10  0.580    8  0.097   16 -0.043   30 -0.399
RED SOX      82 69 665 579 -0.003 75.401    9  0.014    9  0.063    6  0.100    8 0.5107   29  0.274   25 -0.098    2  0.297    8  0.158
DIAMONDBACKS 80 72 675 674  0.005 76.606   10  0.005   10  0.043   14  0.009   10 0.5069   17  0.502   14  0.007   12  0.011   16 -0.056
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
WHITE SOX    77 74 708 671 -0.009 75.124   11 -0.001   11  0.010   10  0.030   12 0.5014    9  0.605    6  0.124   18 -0.064   19 -0.099
PIRATES      75 76 719 697  0.023 77.060   12 -0.001   12  0.009   11  0.027   11 0.5022   22  0.425   22 -0.044   10  0.098    4  0.275
GUARDIANS    77 75 625 635 -0.015 75.363   13 -0.003   13  0.001   18 -0.025   16 0.4994   26  0.337   28 -0.171    8  0.121   11  0.037
CARDINALS    75 77 688 701  0.015 77.146   14 -0.003   14 -0.001   16 -0.006   13 0.5006    2  0.671    3  0.152   24 -0.163   27 -0.294
BLUE JAYS    75 77 614 655  0.015 77.175   15 -0.003   15 -0.001   17 -0.019   14 0.5000   25  0.369   27 -0.138    9  0.100   12  0.029
MARLINS      75 77 677 670  0.009 76.743   16 -0.003   16 -0.005   13  0.013   15 0.4995   16  0.509   12  0.017   13  0.009   21 -0.104
ASTROS       76 75 673 724 -0.034 73.758   17 -0.005   17 -0.016   22 -0.068   18 0.4965    6  0.642   10  0.061   27 -0.198   22 -0.114
ORIOLES      74 78 681 713  0.003 76.427   18 -0.005   18 -0.019   19 -0.034   17 0.4972    7  0.613    9  0.068   23 -0.136   20 -0.103
RANGERS      75 76 628 670 -0.034 73.785   19 -0.006   19 -0.026   21 -0.061   19 0.4957   13  0.525   21 -0.042   19 -0.080   25 -0.193
NATIONALS    71 81 778 772  0.016 77.154   20 -0.009   21 -0.039   15  0.006   20 0.4942    8  0.607    7  0.102   20 -0.089    3  0.286
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
REDS         70 81 625 777  0.029 77.650   21 -0.011   20 -0.039   28 -0.142   21 0.4935    4  0.663   13  0.008   28 -0.292   26 -0.195
TIGERS       72 79 682 602 -0.024 74.171   22 -0.012   22 -0.046    8  0.069   22 0.4924   18  0.490   11  0.056   11  0.082   24 -0.166
METS         69 82 649 686  0.028 77.484   23 -0.013   23 -0.048   20 -0.037   23 0.4921   15  0.515   18 -0.028   17 -0.046   17 -0.064
TWINS        70 81 687 761  0.002 75.934   24 -0.016   24 -0.054   23 -0.078   24 0.4905    1  0.736    4  0.145   29 -0.302   23 -0.137
MARINERS     70 82 617 678 -0.024 74.876   25 -0.028   25 -0.074   25 -0.082   25 0.4884   12  0.549   19 -0.041   22 -0.124   28 -0.298
ROYALS       66 85 636 732 -0.007 75.421   26 -0.059   26 -0.099   26 -0.100   26 0.4831   23  0.421   29 -0.175   15 -0.025    7  0.218
GIANTS       63 89 643 714  0.004 76.613   27 -0.111   27 -0.124   24 -0.080   27 0.4801   14  0.523   23 -0.064   21 -0.097   18 -0.078
ATHLETICS    61 90 657 861 -0.021 74.672   28 -0.183   28 -0.157   30 -0.207   28 0.4735   20  0.457   30 -0.249   25 -0.164    1  0.565
ROCKIES      56 95 712 876  0.026 77.488   29 -0.209   29 -0.180   29 -0.166   29 0.4711    3  0.667   16 -0.012   30 -0.320    2  0.318
ANGELS       58 93 612 685 -0.018 74.792   30 -0.211   30 -0.183   27 -0.103   30 0.4705   11  0.572   20 -0.041   26 -0.166   29 -0.308

NL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DODGERS      92 59 749 572 -0.006 75.128    2  0.182    2  0.162    2  0.184    2 0.5262   21  0.446    5  0.132    4  0.236   15 -0.017
PADRES       82 69 650 633  0.001 75.757    8  0.015    8  0.065   12  0.027    9 0.5103   10  0.580    8  0.097   16 -0.043   30 -0.399
DIAMONDBACKS 80 72 675 674  0.005 76.606   10  0.005   10  0.043   14  0.009   10 0.5069   17  0.502   14  0.007   12  0.011   16 -0.056
GIANTS       63 89 643 714  0.004 76.613   27 -0.111   27 -0.124   24 -0.080   27 0.4801   14  0.523   23 -0.064   21 -0.097   18 -0.078
ROCKIES      56 95 712 876  0.026 77.488   29 -0.209   29 -0.180   29 -0.166   29 0.4711    3  0.667   16 -0.012   30 -0.320    2  0.318

NL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BREWERS      94 57 783 584 -0.000 75.403    1  0.206    1  0.184    1  0.212    1 0.5305   19  0.484    2  0.193    5  0.230   14  0.001
CUBS         84 68 809 670  0.012 76.735    6  0.038    6  0.086    5  0.126    6 0.5147    5  0.657    1  0.270   14 -0.018   13  0.014
PIRATES      75 76 719 697  0.023 77.060   12 -0.001   12  0.009   11  0.027   11 0.5022   22  0.425   22 -0.044   10  0.098    4  0.275
CARDINALS    75 77 688 701  0.015 77.146   14 -0.003   14 -0.001   16 -0.006   13 0.5006    2  0.671    3  0.152   24 -0.163   27 -0.294
REDS         70 81 625 777  0.029 77.650   21 -0.011   20 -0.039   28 -0.142   21 0.4935    4  0.663   13  0.008   28 -0.292   26 -0.195

NL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BRAVES       89 63 702 587  0.012 76.813    4  0.135    4  0.136    4  0.133    4 0.5217   27  0.333   17 -0.017    3  0.283    9  0.135
PHILLIES     83 68 678 650  0.010 76.244    7  0.028    7  0.079    9  0.046    7 0.5126   28  0.326   26 -0.110    6  0.201    5  0.269
MARLINS      75 77 677 670  0.009 76.743   16 -0.003   16 -0.005   13  0.013   15 0.4995   16  0.509   12  0.017   13  0.009   21 -0.104
NATIONALS    71 81 778 772  0.016 77.154   20 -0.009   21 -0.039   15  0.006   20 0.4942    8  0.607    7  0.102   20 -0.089    3  0.286
METS         69 82 649 686  0.028 77.484   23 -0.013   23 -0.048   20 -0.037   23 0.4921   15  0.515   18 -0.028   17 -0.046   17 -0.064

AL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ASTROS       76 75 673 724 -0.034 73.758   17 -0.005   17 -0.016   22 -0.068   18 0.4965    6  0.642   10  0.061   27 -0.198   22 -0.114
RANGERS      75 76 628 670 -0.034 73.785   19 -0.006   19 -0.026   21 -0.061   19 0.4957   13  0.525   21 -0.042   19 -0.080   25 -0.193
MARINERS     70 82 617 678 -0.024 74.876   25 -0.028   25 -0.074   25 -0.082   25 0.4884   12  0.549   19 -0.041   22 -0.124   28 -0.298
ATHLETICS    61 90 657 861 -0.021 74.672   28 -0.183   28 -0.157   30 -0.207   28 0.4735   20  0.457   30 -0.249   25 -0.164    1  0.565
ANGELS       58 93 612 685 -0.018 74.792   30 -0.211   30 -0.183   27 -0.103   30 0.4705   11  0.572   20 -0.041   26 -0.166   29 -0.308

AL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
WHITE SOX    77 74 708 671 -0.009 75.124   11 -0.001   11  0.010   10  0.030   12 0.5014    9  0.605    6  0.124   18 -0.064   19 -0.099
GUARDIANS    77 75 625 635 -0.015 75.363   13 -0.003   13  0.001   18 -0.025   16 0.4994   26  0.337   28 -0.171    8  0.121   11  0.037
TIGERS       72 79 682 602 -0.024 74.171   22 -0.012   22 -0.046    8  0.069   22 0.4924   18  0.490   11  0.056   11  0.082   24 -0.166
TWINS        70 81 687 761  0.002 75.934   24 -0.016   24 -0.054   23 -0.078   24 0.4905    1  0.736    4  0.145   29 -0.302   23 -0.137
ROYALS       66 85 636 732 -0.007 75.421   26 -0.059   26 -0.099   26 -0.100   26 0.4831   23  0.421   29 -0.175   15 -0.025    7  0.218

AL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RAYS         91 59 684 614 -0.008 74.610    3  0.168    3  0.154    7  0.087    3 0.5250   24  0.407   15  0.000    7  0.174   10  0.056
YANKEES      88 63 693 556 -0.008 75.040    5  0.099    5  0.119    3  0.141    5 0.5195   30  0.229   24 -0.093    1  0.374    6  0.260
RED SOX      82 69 665 579 -0.003 75.401    9  0.014    9  0.063    6  0.100    8 0.5107   29  0.274   25 -0.098    2  0.297    8  0.158
BLUE JAYS    75 77 614 655  0.015 77.175   15 -0.003   15 -0.001   17 -0.019   14 0.5000   25  0.369   27 -0.138    9  0.100   12  0.029
ORIOLES      74 78 681 713  0.003 76.427   18 -0.005   18 -0.019   19 -0.034   17 0.4972    7  0.613    9  0.068   23 -0.136   20 -0.103

DIVISION     W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
AL EAST    410 346 0.542    1  0.079
NL CENTRAL 398 359 0.526    2  0.062
NL EAST    387 371 0.511    3  0.046
NL WEST    373 384 0.493    4 -0.008
AL CENTRAL 362 394 0.479    5 -0.030
AL WEST    340 416 0.450    6 -0.150

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.061 points in main ratings (0.058 for semineutral)
     0.007 points in improved RPI (0.006 for semineutral)
Average of 2.65 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Wed Sep 16 05:30:14 2026
games through: Tue Sep 15 2026

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