Dolphin Ratings - National Football League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BUCCANEERS 6 2 0 197 178  0.219  4.463    2  0.322    1  0.340    8  0.172    1 0.5960   11  1.388    7  0.301   12  0.042
EAGLES     6 2 0 208 185  0.210  4.490    1  0.332    2  0.330   10  0.146    2 0.5960   10  1.398    8  0.290   15  0.001
BRONCOS    7 2 0 225 166  0.050  4.232    3  0.299    3  0.312    6  0.213    6 0.5726   25  1.115   20 -0.018    4  0.444
RAMS       6 2 0 209 127  0.255  4.305    4  0.298    4  0.312    1  0.420    4 0.5892   26  1.106   11  0.178    2  0.662
SEAHAWKS   6 2 0 231 150  0.221  4.345    5  0.294    5  0.308    2  0.370    3 0.5940   12  1.369    3  0.473    5  0.266
49ERS      6 3 0 194 188  0.270  5.258    6  0.281    6  0.302   11  0.137    5 0.5743   21  1.229   17  0.051    7  0.223
COLTS      7 2 0 290 181  0.048  4.013    7  0.269    7  0.282    5  0.313    7 0.5715    4  1.519    1  0.634   16 -0.008
JAGUARS    5 3 0 176 184  0.190  4.566    8  0.187    8  0.200   16  0.030    8 0.5587   15  1.336   15  0.088   19 -0.028
BILLS      6 2 0 235 167 -0.171  3.205    9  0.171    9  0.176    7  0.176   13 0.5389    6  1.481    4  0.441   22 -0.089
PATRIOTS   7 2 0 237 169 -0.350  3.083   10  0.160   10  0.150   12  0.073    9 0.5469   13  1.356   13  0.159   17 -0.013
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CHARGERS   6 3 0 215 193 -0.082  4.112   11  0.151   11  0.148   15  0.032   14 0.5300   17  1.312   16  0.058   13  0.006
PACKERS    5 2 1 206 166 -0.131  3.449   12  0.129   12  0.123   14  0.058   12 0.5395   19  1.279   18  0.038   10  0.078
LIONS      5 3 0 239 178  0.013  3.737   13  0.111   13  0.107    9  0.170   10 0.5398    7  1.444    5  0.381   20 -0.041
STEELERS   5 3 0 202 195 -0.059  3.769   14  0.108   14  0.104   18  0.024   11 0.5397    9  1.399   12  0.169   23 -0.122
CHIEFS     5 4 0 235 159  0.089  4.441   15  0.074   15  0.069    3  0.333   15 0.5164   24  1.115   14  0.102    3  0.564
BEARS      5 3 0 215 227 -0.265  3.260   16  0.052   16  0.042   21 -0.121   16 0.5068    5  1.512    9  0.190   30 -0.431
PANTHERS   5 4 0 170 205 -0.119  4.227   17  0.040   17  0.034   23 -0.133   18 0.5049   29  1.076   27 -0.411    9  0.146
TEXANS     3 5 0 168 121  0.396  4.834   18 -0.012   18 -0.017    4  0.315   19 0.5010   32  0.888   24 -0.178    1  0.808
VIKINGS    4 4 0 182 186 -0.165  3.590   19 -0.033   19 -0.045   20 -0.098   17 0.5061   20  1.255   23 -0.150   21 -0.046
RAVENS     3 5 0 202 216  0.136  4.453   20 -0.064   20 -0.075   17  0.028   23 0.4545    3  1.528    6  0.363   28 -0.306
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CARDINALS  3 5 0 180 171  0.040  4.051   21 -0.112   21 -0.129   13  0.059   21 0.4646   22  1.223   21 -0.034    8  0.153
COWBOYS    3 5 1 263 277 -0.081  4.295   22 -0.154   22 -0.141   19 -0.090   22 0.4581    1  1.731    2  0.567   31 -0.747
FALCONS    3 5 0 143 178 -0.086  3.927   23 -0.158   23 -0.144   25 -0.185   20 0.4721   27  1.090   28 -0.447   11  0.077
COMMANDERS 3 6 0 201 236 -0.042  4.516   24 -0.198   24 -0.184   24 -0.144   25 0.4435   14  1.347   22 -0.071   25 -0.217
BENGALS    3 6 0 216 300 -0.201  4.207   25 -0.242   25 -0.230   32 -0.339   24 0.4488    2  1.653   10  0.189   32 -0.868
RAIDERS    2 6 0 132 210 -0.102  4.149   26 -0.259   26 -0.247   29 -0.294   27 0.4260   28  1.084   30 -0.562   18 -0.026
GIANTS     2 7 0 197 249  0.088  5.015   27 -0.267   27 -0.251   22 -0.121   26 0.4307    8  1.408   19  0.038   27 -0.280
BROWNS     2 6 0 126 184 -0.183  3.789   28 -0.304   28 -0.296   26 -0.231   28 0.4157   31  0.889   32 -0.723    6  0.261
TITANS     1 8 0 130 257  0.183  5.718   29 -0.329   29 -0.315   31 -0.339   30 0.4025   23  1.152   29 -0.523   24 -0.154
DOLPHINS   2 7 0 180 243 -0.153  4.305   30 -0.343   30 -0.336   28 -0.277   31 0.3998   16  1.325   25 -0.234   29 -0.320
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
SAINTS     1 8 0 138 243  0.078  5.250   31 -0.373   31 -0.365   30 -0.305   29 0.4059   30  1.052   31 -0.612   14  0.003
JETS       1 7 0 168 221 -0.199  3.662   32 -0.430   32 -0.430   27 -0.261   32 0.3798   18  1.305   26 -0.245   26 -0.276

AFC WEST
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BRONCOS    7 2 0 225 166  0.050  4.232    3  0.299    3  0.312    6  0.213    6 0.5726   25  1.115   20 -0.018    4  0.444
CHARGERS   6 3 0 215 193 -0.082  4.112   11  0.151   11  0.148   15  0.032   14 0.5300   17  1.312   16  0.058   13  0.006
CHIEFS     5 4 0 235 159  0.089  4.441   15  0.074   15  0.069    3  0.333   15 0.5164   24  1.115   14  0.102    3  0.564
RAIDERS    2 6 0 132 210 -0.102  4.149   26 -0.259   26 -0.247   29 -0.294   27 0.4260   28  1.084   30 -0.562   18 -0.026

AFC SOUTH
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
COLTS      7 2 0 290 181  0.048  4.013    7  0.269    7  0.282    5  0.313    7 0.5715    4  1.519    1  0.634   16 -0.008
JAGUARS    5 3 0 176 184  0.190  4.566    8  0.187    8  0.200   16  0.030    8 0.5587   15  1.336   15  0.088   19 -0.028
TEXANS     3 5 0 168 121  0.396  4.834   18 -0.012   18 -0.017    4  0.315   19 0.5010   32  0.888   24 -0.178    1  0.808
TITANS     1 8 0 130 257  0.183  5.718   29 -0.329   29 -0.315   31 -0.339   30 0.4025   23  1.152   29 -0.523   24 -0.154

AFC NORTH
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
STEELERS   5 3 0 202 195 -0.059  3.769   14  0.108   14  0.104   18  0.024   11 0.5397    9  1.399   12  0.169   23 -0.122
RAVENS     3 5 0 202 216  0.136  4.453   20 -0.064   20 -0.075   17  0.028   23 0.4545    3  1.528    6  0.363   28 -0.306
BENGALS    3 6 0 216 300 -0.201  4.207   25 -0.242   25 -0.230   32 -0.339   24 0.4488    2  1.653   10  0.189   32 -0.868
BROWNS     2 6 0 126 184 -0.183  3.789   28 -0.304   28 -0.296   26 -0.231   28 0.4157   31  0.889   32 -0.723    6  0.261

AFC EAST
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BILLS      6 2 0 235 167 -0.171  3.205    9  0.171    9  0.176    7  0.176   13 0.5389    6  1.481    4  0.441   22 -0.089
PATRIOTS   7 2 0 237 169 -0.350  3.083   10  0.160   10  0.150   12  0.073    9 0.5469   13  1.356   13  0.159   17 -0.013
DOLPHINS   2 7 0 180 243 -0.153  4.305   30 -0.343   30 -0.336   28 -0.277   31 0.3998   16  1.325   25 -0.234   29 -0.320
JETS       1 7 0 168 221 -0.199  3.662   32 -0.430   32 -0.430   27 -0.261   32 0.3798   18  1.305   26 -0.245   26 -0.276

NFC WEST
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RAMS       6 2 0 209 127  0.255  4.305    4  0.298    4  0.312    1  0.420    4 0.5892   26  1.106   11  0.178    2  0.662
SEAHAWKS   6 2 0 231 150  0.221  4.345    5  0.294    5  0.308    2  0.370    3 0.5940   12  1.369    3  0.473    5  0.266
49ERS      6 3 0 194 188  0.270  5.258    6  0.281    6  0.302   11  0.137    5 0.5743   21  1.229   17  0.051    7  0.223
CARDINALS  3 5 0 180 171  0.040  4.051   21 -0.112   21 -0.129   13  0.059   21 0.4646   22  1.223   21 -0.034    8  0.153

NFC SOUTH
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BUCCANEERS 6 2 0 197 178  0.219  4.463    2  0.322    1  0.340    8  0.172    1 0.5960   11  1.388    7  0.301   12  0.042
PANTHERS   5 4 0 170 205 -0.119  4.227   17  0.040   17  0.034   23 -0.133   18 0.5049   29  1.076   27 -0.411    9  0.146
FALCONS    3 5 0 143 178 -0.086  3.927   23 -0.158   23 -0.144   25 -0.185   20 0.4721   27  1.090   28 -0.447   11  0.077
SAINTS     1 8 0 138 243  0.078  5.250   31 -0.373   31 -0.365   30 -0.305   29 0.4059   30  1.052   31 -0.612   14  0.003

NFC NORTH
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PACKERS    5 2 1 206 166 -0.131  3.449   12  0.129   12  0.123   14  0.058   12 0.5395   19  1.279   18  0.038   10  0.078
LIONS      5 3 0 239 178  0.013  3.737   13  0.111   13  0.107    9  0.170   10 0.5398    7  1.444    5  0.381   20 -0.041
BEARS      5 3 0 215 227 -0.265  3.260   16  0.052   16  0.042   21 -0.121   16 0.5068    5  1.512    9  0.190   30 -0.431
VIKINGS    4 4 0 182 186 -0.165  3.590   19 -0.033   19 -0.045   20 -0.098   17 0.5061   20  1.255   23 -0.150   21 -0.046

NFC EAST
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
EAGLES     6 2 0 208 185  0.210  4.490    1  0.332    2  0.330   10  0.146    2 0.5960   10  1.398    8  0.290   15  0.001
COWBOYS    3 5 1 263 277 -0.081  4.295   22 -0.154   22 -0.141   19 -0.090   22 0.4581    1  1.731    2  0.567   31 -0.747
COMMANDERS 3 6 0 201 236 -0.042  4.516   24 -0.198   24 -0.184   24 -0.144   25 0.4435   14  1.347   22 -0.071   25 -0.217
GIANTS     2 7 0 197 249  0.088  5.015   27 -0.267   27 -0.251   22 -0.121   26 0.4307    8  1.408   19  0.038   27 -0.280

DIVISION    W  L  T   PCT  RNK RATING
NFC WEST   21 12  0 0.636    1  0.556
AFC SOUTH  16 18  0 0.471    2  0.241
AFC WEST   20 15  0 0.571    3  0.147
NFC NORTH  19 12  1 0.609    4  0.006
NFC EAST   14 20  1 0.414    5 -0.097
AFC EAST   16 18  0 0.471    6 -0.199
NFC SOUTH  15 19  0 0.441    7 -0.250
AFC NORTH  13 20  0 0.394    8 -0.331

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.190 points in main ratings (0.109 for semineutral)
     0.019 points in improved RPI (0.015 for semineutral)
Average of 6.20 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Tue Nov  4 05:30:11 2025
games through: Mon Nov  3 2025

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