Dolphin Ratings - National Football League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CHIEFS     4 0 118  77  0.124  2.057    1  0.091    1  0.089    3  0.074    1 0.6703   11  1.374    9  0.198   20 -0.049 P
49ERS      4 0 122  64  0.032  1.812    2  0.086    2  0.081    2  0.088    2 0.6532   14  1.317   11  0.131   16  0.044 P
VIKINGS    4 0  86  51 -0.018  1.809    3  0.084    3  0.080    5  0.050    3 0.6240   31  0.951   29 -0.362    2  0.461 P
JAGUARS    3 1 104  53  0.220  2.187    4  0.061    4  0.050    1  0.091    4 0.6134   25  1.127   22 -0.113    5  0.295 P
BROWNS     3 1  81  95  0.046  2.202    5  0.041    5  0.044   20 -0.025    6 0.5700   22  1.218   23 -0.113   12  0.062 P
BEARS      3 1 112  65  0.073  1.989    6  0.039    6  0.041    4  0.055    8 0.5628   16  1.280   15  0.049   13  0.061 P
BRONCOS    2 2  74  94  0.564  2.961    8  0.034    7  0.038    9  0.026    5 0.6095   24  1.200   20 -0.085    9  0.136 P
BILLS      3 1 127 107 -0.144  1.709    7  0.035    8  0.034    8  0.026   15 0.5080    1  1.685    1  0.619   32 -0.567 P
RAIDERS    3 1 115  84 -0.056  1.851   11  0.032    9  0.032   11  0.018    9 0.5488    8  1.427    8  0.217   24 -0.181 P
SEAHAWKS   3 1 105  73 -0.164  1.610    9  0.032   10  0.030    6  0.045   11 0.5306   15  1.287   14  0.049   17  0.041 P
TEAM       W L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RAVENS     3 1 116  96 -0.197  1.633   10  0.032   11  0.030   14  0.016   16 0.5062    7  1.433    7  0.222   25 -0.191 P
GIANTS     3 1  82  79 -0.274  1.654   12  0.026   12  0.024   25 -0.037   14 0.5099   28  1.080   26 -0.298    6  0.224 P
PATRIOTS   2 2  65  77  0.318  2.557   13  0.022   13  0.020   13  0.016   10 0.5461   32  0.896   30 -0.456    1  0.488 P
RAMS       2 2  85  83  0.158  2.229   14  0.016   14  0.011    7  0.032    7 0.5649   20  1.224   17 -0.047   10  0.112 P
LIONS      2 2 119 127 -0.040  1.984   16 -0.000   15  0.000   16 -0.002   21 0.4726    4  1.576    4  0.420   30 -0.423 P
BENGALS    2 2  97  85  0.034  2.028   18 -0.005   16 -0.001   10  0.019   23 0.4638   12  1.346   13  0.103   21 -0.065 P
STEELERS   2 2  77  87 -0.048  2.025   17 -0.002   17 -0.001   19 -0.024   12 0.5160   19  1.228   21 -0.099   15  0.051 P
PACKERS    2 2  73 105 -0.098  1.995   22 -0.016   18 -0.002   27 -0.040   18 0.4908   13  1.331   16  0.024   22 -0.103 P
COLTS      2 2 102 104 -0.025  1.979   19 -0.005   19 -0.002   15  0.005   19 0.4784   10  1.395   10  0.157   23 -0.147 P
PANTHERS   2 2 121 109  0.048  2.072   15  0.006   20 -0.002   12  0.017   13 0.5144    3  1.580    3  0.444   28 -0.411 P
TEAM       W L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
EAGLES     2 2  75  93 -0.158  1.877   20 -0.007   21 -0.004   21 -0.030   20 0.4767   23  1.213   25 -0.125   11  0.064 P
FALCONS    2 2  96  92 -0.128  1.865   21 -0.010   22 -0.009   18 -0.018   17 0.4957   18  1.247   19 -0.069   18  0.032 P
COWBOYS    2 2 122 112 -0.191  1.710   23 -0.024   23 -0.013   17 -0.007   24 0.4520    2  1.635    2  0.506   31 -0.520 P
CARDINALS  1 3  87 117  0.051  2.265   24 -0.043   24 -0.037   26 -0.040   25 0.4475    6  1.498    6  0.262   27 -0.342 P
SAINTS     1 3 105 128 -0.019  2.094   25 -0.046   25 -0.042   24 -0.035   26 0.4306    5  1.547    5  0.341   29 -0.412 P
COMMANDERS 1 3  88 122 -0.047  2.115   26 -0.047   26 -0.043   31 -0.059   27 0.4151    9  1.419   12  0.127   26 -0.246 P
JETS       1 3  76  84 -0.150  1.887   27 -0.055   27 -0.055   28 -0.040   28 0.3965   27  1.080   27 -0.301    7  0.220 P
DOLPHINS   0 4  46 101  0.421  2.921   28 -0.059   28 -0.056   30 -0.049   22 0.4685   30  0.953   32 -0.458    3  0.360 P
CHARGERS   0 4  67 106  0.017  2.242   29 -0.074   29 -0.079   29 -0.047   30 0.3652   26  1.085   28 -0.301    8  0.207 P
TEXANS     0 4  84 109 -0.020  2.106   30 -0.076   30 -0.082   23 -0.033   31 0.3292   21  1.219   24 -0.120   14  0.053 P
TEAM       W L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BUCCANEERS 0 4  76  96 -0.086  1.990   31 -0.080   31 -0.088   22 -0.032   29 0.3809   17  1.270   18 -0.051   19 -0.013 P
TITANS     0 4  55  83 -0.283  1.750   32 -0.090   32 -0.102   32 -0.080   32 0.3259   29  0.982   31 -0.457    4  0.297 P

AFC WEST
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CHIEFS     4 0 118  77  0.124  2.057    1  0.091    1  0.089    3  0.074    1 0.6703   11  1.374    9  0.198   20 -0.049 P
BRONCOS    2 2  74  94  0.564  2.961    8  0.034    7  0.038    9  0.026    5 0.6095   24  1.200   20 -0.085    9  0.136 P
RAIDERS    3 1 115  84 -0.056  1.851   11  0.032    9  0.032   11  0.018    9 0.5488    8  1.427    8  0.217   24 -0.181 P
CHARGERS   0 4  67 106  0.017  2.242   29 -0.074   29 -0.079   29 -0.047   30 0.3652   26  1.085   28 -0.301    8  0.207 P

AFC SOUTH
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
JAGUARS    3 1 104  53  0.220  2.187    4  0.061    4  0.050    1  0.091    4 0.6134   25  1.127   22 -0.113    5  0.295 P
COLTS      2 2 102 104 -0.025  1.979   19 -0.005   19 -0.002   15  0.005   19 0.4784   10  1.395   10  0.157   23 -0.147 P
TEXANS     0 4  84 109 -0.020  2.106   30 -0.076   30 -0.082   23 -0.033   31 0.3292   21  1.219   24 -0.120   14  0.053 P
TITANS     0 4  55  83 -0.283  1.750   32 -0.090   32 -0.102   32 -0.080   32 0.3259   29  0.982   31 -0.457    4  0.297 P

AFC NORTH
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BROWNS     3 1  81  95  0.046  2.202    5  0.041    5  0.044   20 -0.025    6 0.5700   22  1.218   23 -0.113   12  0.062 P
RAVENS     3 1 116  96 -0.197  1.633   10  0.032   11  0.030   14  0.016   16 0.5062    7  1.433    7  0.222   25 -0.191 P
BENGALS    2 2  97  85  0.034  2.028   18 -0.005   16 -0.001   10  0.019   23 0.4638   12  1.346   13  0.103   21 -0.065 P
STEELERS   2 2  77  87 -0.048  2.025   17 -0.002   17 -0.001   19 -0.024   12 0.5160   19  1.228   21 -0.099   15  0.051 P

AFC EAST
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BILLS      3 1 127 107 -0.144  1.709    7  0.035    8  0.034    8  0.026   15 0.5080    1  1.685    1  0.619   32 -0.567 P
PATRIOTS   2 2  65  77  0.318  2.557   13  0.022   13  0.020   13  0.016   10 0.5461   32  0.896   30 -0.456    1  0.488 P
JETS       1 3  76  84 -0.150  1.887   27 -0.055   27 -0.055   28 -0.040   28 0.3965   27  1.080   27 -0.301    7  0.220 P
DOLPHINS   0 4  46 101  0.421  2.921   28 -0.059   28 -0.056   30 -0.049   22 0.4685   30  0.953   32 -0.458    3  0.360 P

NFC WEST
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
49ERS      4 0 122  64  0.032  1.812    2  0.086    2  0.081    2  0.088    2 0.6532   14  1.317   11  0.131   16  0.044 P
SEAHAWKS   3 1 105  73 -0.164  1.610    9  0.032   10  0.030    6  0.045   11 0.5306   15  1.287   14  0.049   17  0.041 P
RAMS       2 2  85  83  0.158  2.229   14  0.016   14  0.011    7  0.032    7 0.5649   20  1.224   17 -0.047   10  0.112 P
CARDINALS  1 3  87 117  0.051  2.265   24 -0.043   24 -0.037   26 -0.040   25 0.4475    6  1.498    6  0.262   27 -0.342 P

NFC SOUTH
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PANTHERS   2 2 121 109  0.048  2.072   15  0.006   20 -0.002   12  0.017   13 0.5144    3  1.580    3  0.444   28 -0.411 P
FALCONS    2 2  96  92 -0.128  1.865   21 -0.010   22 -0.009   18 -0.018   17 0.4957   18  1.247   19 -0.069   18  0.032 P
SAINTS     1 3 105 128 -0.019  2.094   25 -0.046   25 -0.042   24 -0.035   26 0.4306    5  1.547    5  0.341   29 -0.412 P
BUCCANEERS 0 4  76  96 -0.086  1.990   31 -0.080   31 -0.088   22 -0.032   29 0.3809   17  1.270   18 -0.051   19 -0.013 P

NFC NORTH
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
VIKINGS    4 0  86  51 -0.018  1.809    3  0.084    3  0.080    5  0.050    3 0.6240   31  0.951   29 -0.362    2  0.461 P
BEARS      3 1 112  65  0.073  1.989    6  0.039    6  0.041    4  0.055    8 0.5628   16  1.280   15  0.049   13  0.061 P
LIONS      2 2 119 127 -0.040  1.984   16 -0.000   15  0.000   16 -0.002   21 0.4726    4  1.576    4  0.420   30 -0.423 P
PACKERS    2 2  73 105 -0.098  1.995   22 -0.016   18 -0.002   27 -0.040   18 0.4908   13  1.331   16  0.024   22 -0.103 P

NFC EAST
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
GIANTS     3 1  82  79 -0.274  1.654   12  0.026   12  0.024   25 -0.037   14 0.5099   28  1.080   26 -0.298    6  0.224 P
EAGLES     2 2  75  93 -0.158  1.877   20 -0.007   21 -0.004   21 -0.030   20 0.4767   23  1.213   25 -0.125   11  0.064 P
COWBOYS    2 2 122 112 -0.191  1.710   23 -0.024   23 -0.013   17 -0.007   24 0.4520    2  1.635    2  0.506   31 -0.520 P
COMMANDERS 1 3  88 122 -0.047  2.115   26 -0.047   26 -0.043   31 -0.059   27 0.4151    9  1.419   12  0.127   26 -0.246 P

DIVISION    W  L   PCT  RNK RATING
NFC WEST   10  6 0.625    1  0.288
AFC WEST    9  7 0.562    2  0.169
NFC NORTH  11  5 0.688    3  0.143
AFC NORTH  10  6 0.625    4 -0.025
AFC SOUTH   5 11 0.312    5 -0.057
AFC EAST    6 10 0.375    6 -0.092
NFC SOUTH   5 11 0.312    7 -0.140
NFC EAST    8  8 0.500    8 -0.290

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.107 points in main ratings (0.109 for semineutral)
     0.022 points in improved RPI (0.015 for semineutral)
Average of 6.20 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Tue Oct  6 05:30:19 2026
games through: Mon Oct  5 2026

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