Dolphin Ratings - National Football League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                     STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
49ERS      2 0 43 34  0.178  1.104    4  0.099    4  0.106    7  0.078    1 0.6109   23  1.195   17 -0.014    7  0.170 P
EAGLES     2 0 44 37  0.157  1.080    2  0.102    2  0.108    5  0.084    2 0.6104   27  1.089   23 -0.141    4  0.310 P
BUCCANEERS 2 0 43 39  0.186  1.134    5  0.097    5  0.106   10  0.054    3 0.6066   11  1.322    7  0.131   17 -0.022 P
PACKERS    2 0 54 31  0.194  1.079    3  0.100    3  0.107    3  0.126    4 0.6047   17  1.236   12  0.087    8  0.164 P
CHARGERS   2 0 47 30  0.120  1.047    6  0.091    6  0.097    6  0.080    5 0.6046   21  1.203   16 -0.003   10  0.162 P
BILLS      2 0 71 50  0.270  1.088    1  0.109    1  0.117    2  0.153    6 0.6033    5  1.450    3  0.410   24 -0.104 P
BENGALS    2 0 48 43 -0.161  0.837    7  0.082    7  0.080   15  0.014    7 0.5733   12  1.321   10  0.088   19 -0.059 P
RAMS       2 0 47 28 -0.178  0.787    8  0.080    8  0.076    9  0.055    8 0.5571   24  1.183   19 -0.053    9  0.163 P
COLTS      2 0 62 36 -0.275  0.718   10  0.066    9  0.060   14  0.019    9 0.5439   10  1.328    8  0.103   20 -0.065 P
CARDINALS  2 0 47 35 -0.366  0.675    9  0.067   10  0.059   18 -0.018   10 0.5394   18  1.223   21 -0.075   14  0.038 P
TEAM       W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RAVENS     1 1 81 58  0.353  1.114   11  0.049   11  0.031    1  0.166   11 0.5338    1  1.703    1  0.813   31 -0.481 P
SEAHAWKS   1 1 44 34  0.102  1.061   13  0.027   13  0.007   11  0.042   12 0.5296   28  1.078   25 -0.196    5  0.281 P
FALCONS    1 1 42 29  0.035  1.009   16  0.015   18 -0.007   12  0.022   13 0.5152   29  1.075   26 -0.220    6  0.264 P
LIONS      1 1 65 48  0.156  1.028   12  0.036   12  0.016    4  0.090   14 0.5146    6  1.403    6  0.280   23 -0.099 P
RAIDERS    1 1 29 33 -0.025  1.022   20 -0.032   20 -0.010   24 -0.064   15 0.5039   32  0.904   32 -0.503    2  0.375 P
COWBOYS    1 1 60 61 -0.074  0.941   14  0.022   14 -0.002   17 -0.008   16 0.5006    3  1.583    2  0.449   29 -0.465 P
COMMANDERS 1 1 39 33  0.038  1.017   19 -0.027   15 -0.005   16  0.003   17 0.4866   30  1.018   30 -0.307    3  0.312 P
BRONCOS    1 1 48 41 -0.096  0.890   15  0.019   17 -0.007   13  0.020   18 0.4845   16  1.265   14  0.019   16  0.021 P
STEELERS   1 1 51 63 -0.167  0.881   18 -0.025   19 -0.008   21 -0.045   19 0.4801    4  1.560    4  0.376   30 -0.465 P
VIKINGS    1 1 33 46 -0.201  0.852   17 -0.022   16 -0.006   22 -0.045   20 0.4786   26  1.110   28 -0.245   11  0.155 P
TEAM       W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CHIEFS     0 2 38 47  0.315  1.258   23 -0.060   23 -0.055    8  0.057   21 0.4775   15  1.289   11  0.088   15  0.025 P
JAGUARS    1 1 53 41 -0.243  0.790   21 -0.039   21 -0.025   19 -0.021   22 0.4756   13  1.315   13  0.045   22 -0.087 P
PATRIOTS   1 1 46 47 -0.418  0.666   22 -0.043   22 -0.035   25 -0.075   23 0.4595    7  1.388    9  0.092   27 -0.243 P
TEXANS     0 2 28 34  0.209  1.212   24 -0.080   24 -0.077   20 -0.022   24 0.4422   31  0.934   31 -0.428    1  0.383 P
SAINTS     0 2 34 46 -0.020  1.020   26 -0.085   27 -0.089   23 -0.046   25 0.4319   22  1.198   22 -0.135   13  0.044 P
BROWNS     0 2 33 58  0.238  1.292   25 -0.083   25 -0.078   26 -0.082   26 0.4173   25  1.122   29 -0.267   12  0.103 P
JETS       0 2 42 64 -0.035  1.080   30 -0.095   29 -0.097   29 -0.115   27 0.3977   14  1.307   20 -0.059   25 -0.171 P
TITANS     0 2 31 53  0.082  1.153   27 -0.089   26 -0.088   27 -0.101   28 0.3975   19  1.218   24 -0.163   18 -0.038 P
DOLPHINS   0 2 35 66 -0.207  0.926   29 -0.093   31 -0.101   30 -0.120   29 0.3958    9  1.329   18 -0.034   26 -0.206 P
BEARS      0 2 45 79 -0.056  1.061   28 -0.090   28 -0.094   28 -0.112   30 0.3877    2  1.587    5  0.351   32 -0.575 P
TEAM       W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PANTHERS   0 2 32 53 -0.044  1.067   32 -0.103   32 -0.105   32 -0.148   31 0.3869   20  1.204   27 -0.229   21 -0.068 P
GIANTS     0 2 43 61  0.028  1.120   31 -0.098   30 -0.099   31 -0.126   32 0.3811    8  1.363   15  0.007   28 -0.259 P

AFC WEST
                                     STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CHARGERS   2 0 47 30  0.120  1.047    6  0.091    6  0.097    6  0.080    5 0.6046   21  1.203   16 -0.003   10  0.162 P
RAIDERS    1 1 29 33 -0.025  1.022   20 -0.032   20 -0.010   24 -0.064   15 0.5039   32  0.904   32 -0.503    2  0.375 P
BRONCOS    1 1 48 41 -0.096  0.890   15  0.019   17 -0.007   13  0.020   18 0.4845   16  1.265   14  0.019   16  0.021 P
CHIEFS     0 2 38 47  0.315  1.258   23 -0.060   23 -0.055    8  0.057   21 0.4775   15  1.289   11  0.088   15  0.025 P

AFC SOUTH
                                     STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
COLTS      2 0 62 36 -0.275  0.718   10  0.066    9  0.060   14  0.019    9 0.5439   10  1.328    8  0.103   20 -0.065 P
JAGUARS    1 1 53 41 -0.243  0.790   21 -0.039   21 -0.025   19 -0.021   22 0.4756   13  1.315   13  0.045   22 -0.087 P
TEXANS     0 2 28 34  0.209  1.212   24 -0.080   24 -0.077   20 -0.022   24 0.4422   31  0.934   31 -0.428    1  0.383 P
TITANS     0 2 31 53  0.082  1.153   27 -0.089   26 -0.088   27 -0.101   28 0.3975   19  1.218   24 -0.163   18 -0.038 P

AFC NORTH
                                     STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BENGALS    2 0 48 43 -0.161  0.837    7  0.082    7  0.080   15  0.014    7 0.5733   12  1.321   10  0.088   19 -0.059 P
RAVENS     1 1 81 58  0.353  1.114   11  0.049   11  0.031    1  0.166   11 0.5338    1  1.703    1  0.813   31 -0.481 P
STEELERS   1 1 51 63 -0.167  0.881   18 -0.025   19 -0.008   21 -0.045   19 0.4801    4  1.560    4  0.376   30 -0.465 P
BROWNS     0 2 33 58  0.238  1.292   25 -0.083   25 -0.078   26 -0.082   26 0.4173   25  1.122   29 -0.267   12  0.103 P

AFC EAST
                                     STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BILLS      2 0 71 50  0.270  1.088    1  0.109    1  0.117    2  0.153    6 0.6033    5  1.450    3  0.410   24 -0.104 P
PATRIOTS   1 1 46 47 -0.418  0.666   22 -0.043   22 -0.035   25 -0.075   23 0.4595    7  1.388    9  0.092   27 -0.243 P
JETS       0 2 42 64 -0.035  1.080   30 -0.095   29 -0.097   29 -0.115   27 0.3977   14  1.307   20 -0.059   25 -0.171 P
DOLPHINS   0 2 35 66 -0.207  0.926   29 -0.093   31 -0.101   30 -0.120   29 0.3958    9  1.329   18 -0.034   26 -0.206 P

NFC WEST
                                     STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
49ERS      2 0 43 34  0.178  1.104    4  0.099    4  0.106    7  0.078    1 0.6109   23  1.195   17 -0.014    7  0.170 P
RAMS       2 0 47 28 -0.178  0.787    8  0.080    8  0.076    9  0.055    8 0.5571   24  1.183   19 -0.053    9  0.163 P
CARDINALS  2 0 47 35 -0.366  0.675    9  0.067   10  0.059   18 -0.018   10 0.5394   18  1.223   21 -0.075   14  0.038 P
SEAHAWKS   1 1 44 34  0.102  1.061   13  0.027   13  0.007   11  0.042   12 0.5296   28  1.078   25 -0.196    5  0.281 P

NFC SOUTH
                                     STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BUCCANEERS 2 0 43 39  0.186  1.134    5  0.097    5  0.106   10  0.054    3 0.6066   11  1.322    7  0.131   17 -0.022 P
FALCONS    1 1 42 29  0.035  1.009   16  0.015   18 -0.007   12  0.022   13 0.5152   29  1.075   26 -0.220    6  0.264 P
SAINTS     0 2 34 46 -0.020  1.020   26 -0.085   27 -0.089   23 -0.046   25 0.4319   22  1.198   22 -0.135   13  0.044 P
PANTHERS   0 2 32 53 -0.044  1.067   32 -0.103   32 -0.105   32 -0.148   31 0.3869   20  1.204   27 -0.229   21 -0.068 P

NFC NORTH
                                     STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PACKERS    2 0 54 31  0.194  1.079    3  0.100    3  0.107    3  0.126    4 0.6047   17  1.236   12  0.087    8  0.164 P
LIONS      1 1 65 48  0.156  1.028   12  0.036   12  0.016    4  0.090   14 0.5146    6  1.403    6  0.280   23 -0.099 P
VIKINGS    1 1 33 46 -0.201  0.852   17 -0.022   16 -0.006   22 -0.045   20 0.4786   26  1.110   28 -0.245   11  0.155 P
BEARS      0 2 45 79 -0.056  1.061   28 -0.090   28 -0.094   28 -0.112   30 0.3877    2  1.587    5  0.351   32 -0.575 P

NFC EAST
                                     STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
EAGLES     2 0 44 37  0.157  1.080    2  0.102    2  0.108    5  0.084    2 0.6104   27  1.089   23 -0.141    4  0.310 P
COWBOYS    1 1 60 61 -0.074  0.941   14  0.022   14 -0.002   17 -0.008   16 0.5006    3  1.583    2  0.449   29 -0.465 P
COMMANDERS 1 1 39 33  0.038  1.017   19 -0.027   15 -0.005   16  0.003   17 0.4866   30  1.018   30 -0.307    3  0.312 P
GIANTS     0 2 43 61  0.028  1.120   31 -0.098   30 -0.099   31 -0.126   32 0.3811    8  1.363   15  0.007   28 -0.259 P

DIVISION   W L   PCT  RNK RATING
NFC WEST   7 1 0.875    1  0.205
AFC WEST   4 4 0.500    2  0.126
NFC NORTH  4 4 0.500    3  0.066
AFC NORTH  4 4 0.500    4  0.053
NFC EAST   4 4 0.500    5 -0.035
AFC SOUTH  3 5 0.375    6 -0.109
NFC SOUTH  3 5 0.375    7 -0.116
AFC EAST   3 5 0.375    8 -0.217

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.136 points in main ratings (0.109 for semineutral)
     0.017 points in improved RPI (0.015 for semineutral)
Average of 6.20 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Tue Sep 16 05:30:16 2025
games through: Mon Sep 15 2025

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