Dolphin Ratings - National Football League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RAMS       7 2 0 251 153  0.291  5.055    1  0.391    1  0.385    1  0.487    1 0.6147   22  1.212    5  0.379    2  0.594
EAGLES     7 2 0 218 192  0.200  5.063    2  0.372    2  0.381    7  0.162    2 0.6048   19  1.289   12  0.157    7  0.168
SEAHAWKS   7 2 0 275 172  0.159  4.725    3  0.341    3  0.340    2  0.407    3 0.5902   10  1.406    3  0.563    5  0.251
COLTS      8 2 0 321 206  0.004  4.446    4  0.327    5  0.320    5  0.282    4 0.5847    3  1.551    1  0.652   20 -0.087
BRONCOS    8 2 0 235 173 -0.042  4.471    5  0.316    4  0.331    8  0.162    5 0.5799   27  1.036   23 -0.164    4  0.488
BUCCANEERS 6 3 0 220 206  0.203  5.078    6  0.263    6  0.271    9  0.142    6 0.5754   13  1.381    8  0.263   15  0.021
PATRIOTS   8 2 0 265 192 -0.256  3.824    8  0.224    8  0.225   10  0.119    7 0.5642   12  1.381    9  0.239   17 -0.002
49ERS      6 4 0 220 230  0.317  6.130    7  0.251    7  0.271   11  0.118    8 0.5598   18  1.297   14  0.123   12  0.112
CHARGERS   7 3 0 240 203 -0.083  4.563    9  0.189    9  0.188   12  0.090    9 0.5462   20  1.273   16  0.062   11  0.118
LIONS      6 3 0 283 200  0.007  4.195   11  0.161   11  0.155    6  0.233   10 0.5412    4  1.500    4  0.528   18 -0.061
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
JAGUARS    5 4 0 205 220  0.261  5.408   10  0.165   10  0.165   15  0.057   11 0.5377    8  1.415   10  0.226   21 -0.111
TEXANS     4 5 0 204 150  0.352  5.350   17  0.043   17  0.042    4  0.312   12 0.5232   29  1.000   21 -0.055    1  0.679
STEELERS   5 4 0 212 220 -0.052  4.400   16  0.050   15  0.046   18 -0.048   13 0.5191   15  1.343   18  0.020   22 -0.116
CHIEFS     5 4 0 235 159  0.100  4.547   14  0.094   14  0.075    3  0.330   14 0.5169   25  1.125   15  0.112    3  0.548
BILLS      6 3 0 248 197 -0.171  3.774   12  0.120   12  0.104   13  0.071   15 0.5167    7  1.468    7  0.318   24 -0.175
PACKERS    5 3 1 213 176 -0.150  3.911   15  0.072   16  0.045   16  0.018   16 0.5151   23  1.151   24 -0.167    6  0.203
BEARS      6 3 0 239 247 -0.265  3.672   13  0.106   13  0.085   20 -0.116   17 0.5150    6  1.481   13  0.150   30 -0.381
RAVENS     4 5 0 229 235  0.142  5.014   18 -0.029   18 -0.007   14  0.069   18 0.4827    5  1.494    6  0.353   26 -0.215
VIKINGS    4 5 0 201 213 -0.154  4.137   20 -0.107   20 -0.104   21 -0.130   19 0.4796   21  1.250   25 -0.187   19 -0.073
PANTHERS   5 5 0 177 222 -0.199  4.474   19 -0.079   19 -0.071   26 -0.235   20 0.4749   28  1.022   29 -0.576   13  0.107
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CARDINALS  3 6 0 202 215  0.091  4.856   21 -0.157   21 -0.164   17  0.015   21 0.4588   17  1.298   17  0.022   16  0.009
FALCONS    3 6 0 168 209 -0.037  4.600   23 -0.203   23 -0.188   23 -0.150   22 0.4570   26  1.100   27 -0.399   14  0.099
COWBOYS    3 5 1 263 277 -0.132  4.166   22 -0.183   22 -0.167   19 -0.115   23 0.4536    1  1.750    2  0.572   31 -0.803
BENGALS    3 6 0 216 300 -0.219  4.173   25 -0.253   25 -0.244   32 -0.346   24 0.4394    2  1.658   11  0.191   32 -0.883
COMMANDERS 3 7 0 223 280 -0.007  5.249   24 -0.236   24 -0.220   25 -0.190   25 0.4325    9  1.410   20 -0.028   28 -0.352
RAIDERS    2 7 0 139 220 -0.010  4.946   27 -0.283   27 -0.276   28 -0.253   26 0.4305   31  0.989   31 -0.633   10  0.127
SAINTS     2 8 0 155 250  0.049  5.631   28 -0.310   29 -0.308   27 -0.241   27 0.4295   30  0.995   30 -0.614    9  0.132
GIANTS     2 8 0 217 273  0.071  5.527   29 -0.310   28 -0.306   22 -0.138   28 0.4276   11  1.396   19  0.004   27 -0.280
DOLPHINS   3 7 0 210 256 -0.118  4.821   26 -0.275   26 -0.268   24 -0.179   29 0.4261   16  1.308   22 -0.160   25 -0.199
TITANS     1 8 0 130 257  0.202  5.769   30 -0.322   30 -0.319   31 -0.333   30 0.4150   24  1.137   28 -0.535   23 -0.130
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BROWNS     2 7 0 146 211 -0.206  4.187   31 -0.356   31 -0.368   29 -0.270   31 0.3953   32  0.945   32 -0.700    8  0.160
JETS       2 7 0 195 241 -0.309  3.734   32 -0.382   32 -0.412   30 -0.281   32 0.3900   14  1.356   26 -0.195   29 -0.367

AFC WEST
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BRONCOS    8 2 0 235 173 -0.042  4.471    5  0.316    4  0.331    8  0.162    5 0.5799   27  1.036   23 -0.164    4  0.488
CHARGERS   7 3 0 240 203 -0.083  4.563    9  0.189    9  0.188   12  0.090    9 0.5462   20  1.273   16  0.062   11  0.118
CHIEFS     5 4 0 235 159  0.100  4.547   14  0.094   14  0.075    3  0.330   14 0.5169   25  1.125   15  0.112    3  0.548
RAIDERS    2 7 0 139 220 -0.010  4.946   27 -0.283   27 -0.276   28 -0.253   26 0.4305   31  0.989   31 -0.633   10  0.127

AFC SOUTH
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
COLTS      8 2 0 321 206  0.004  4.446    4  0.327    5  0.320    5  0.282    4 0.5847    3  1.551    1  0.652   20 -0.087
JAGUARS    5 4 0 205 220  0.261  5.408   10  0.165   10  0.165   15  0.057   11 0.5377    8  1.415   10  0.226   21 -0.111
TEXANS     4 5 0 204 150  0.352  5.350   17  0.043   17  0.042    4  0.312   12 0.5232   29  1.000   21 -0.055    1  0.679
TITANS     1 8 0 130 257  0.202  5.769   30 -0.322   30 -0.319   31 -0.333   30 0.4150   24  1.137   28 -0.535   23 -0.130

AFC NORTH
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
STEELERS   5 4 0 212 220 -0.052  4.400   16  0.050   15  0.046   18 -0.048   13 0.5191   15  1.343   18  0.020   22 -0.116
RAVENS     4 5 0 229 235  0.142  5.014   18 -0.029   18 -0.007   14  0.069   18 0.4827    5  1.494    6  0.353   26 -0.215
BENGALS    3 6 0 216 300 -0.219  4.173   25 -0.253   25 -0.244   32 -0.346   24 0.4394    2  1.658   11  0.191   32 -0.883
BROWNS     2 7 0 146 211 -0.206  4.187   31 -0.356   31 -0.368   29 -0.270   31 0.3953   32  0.945   32 -0.700    8  0.160

AFC EAST
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PATRIOTS   8 2 0 265 192 -0.256  3.824    8  0.224    8  0.225   10  0.119    7 0.5642   12  1.381    9  0.239   17 -0.002
BILLS      6 3 0 248 197 -0.171  3.774   12  0.120   12  0.104   13  0.071   15 0.5167    7  1.468    7  0.318   24 -0.175
DOLPHINS   3 7 0 210 256 -0.118  4.821   26 -0.275   26 -0.268   24 -0.179   29 0.4261   16  1.308   22 -0.160   25 -0.199
JETS       2 7 0 195 241 -0.309  3.734   32 -0.382   32 -0.412   30 -0.281   32 0.3900   14  1.356   26 -0.195   29 -0.367

NFC WEST
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RAMS       7 2 0 251 153  0.291  5.055    1  0.391    1  0.385    1  0.487    1 0.6147   22  1.212    5  0.379    2  0.594
SEAHAWKS   7 2 0 275 172  0.159  4.725    3  0.341    3  0.340    2  0.407    3 0.5902   10  1.406    3  0.563    5  0.251
49ERS      6 4 0 220 230  0.317  6.130    7  0.251    7  0.271   11  0.118    8 0.5598   18  1.297   14  0.123   12  0.112
CARDINALS  3 6 0 202 215  0.091  4.856   21 -0.157   21 -0.164   17  0.015   21 0.4588   17  1.298   17  0.022   16  0.009

NFC SOUTH
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BUCCANEERS 6 3 0 220 206  0.203  5.078    6  0.263    6  0.271    9  0.142    6 0.5754   13  1.381    8  0.263   15  0.021
PANTHERS   5 5 0 177 222 -0.199  4.474   19 -0.079   19 -0.071   26 -0.235   20 0.4749   28  1.022   29 -0.576   13  0.107
FALCONS    3 6 0 168 209 -0.037  4.600   23 -0.203   23 -0.188   23 -0.150   22 0.4570   26  1.100   27 -0.399   14  0.099
SAINTS     2 8 0 155 250  0.049  5.631   28 -0.310   29 -0.308   27 -0.241   27 0.4295   30  0.995   30 -0.614    9  0.132

NFC NORTH
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
LIONS      6 3 0 283 200  0.007  4.195   11  0.161   11  0.155    6  0.233   10 0.5412    4  1.500    4  0.528   18 -0.061
PACKERS    5 3 1 213 176 -0.150  3.911   15  0.072   16  0.045   16  0.018   16 0.5151   23  1.151   24 -0.167    6  0.203
BEARS      6 3 0 239 247 -0.265  3.672   13  0.106   13  0.085   20 -0.116   17 0.5150    6  1.481   13  0.150   30 -0.381
VIKINGS    4 5 0 201 213 -0.154  4.137   20 -0.107   20 -0.104   21 -0.130   19 0.4796   21  1.250   25 -0.187   19 -0.073

NFC EAST
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
EAGLES     7 2 0 218 192  0.200  5.063    2  0.372    2  0.381    7  0.162    2 0.6048   19  1.289   12  0.157    7  0.168
COWBOYS    3 5 1 263 277 -0.132  4.166   22 -0.183   22 -0.167   19 -0.115   23 0.4536    1  1.750    2  0.572   31 -0.803
COMMANDERS 3 7 0 223 280 -0.007  5.249   24 -0.236   24 -0.220   25 -0.190   25 0.4325    9  1.410   20 -0.028   28 -0.352
GIANTS     2 8 0 217 273  0.071  5.527   29 -0.310   28 -0.306   22 -0.138   28 0.4276   11  1.396   19  0.004   27 -0.280

DIVISION    W  L  T   PCT  RNK RATING
NFC WEST   23 14  0 0.622    1  0.549
AFC SOUTH  18 19  0 0.486    2  0.223
AFC WEST   22 16  0 0.579    3  0.174
NFC NORTH  21 14  1 0.597    4  0.006
NFC EAST   15 22  1 0.408    5 -0.128
AFC EAST   19 19  0 0.500    6 -0.179
NFC SOUTH  16 22  0 0.421    7 -0.253
AFC NORTH  14 22  0 0.389    8 -0.356

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.183 points in main ratings (0.109 for semineutral)
     0.018 points in improved RPI (0.015 for semineutral)
Average of 6.20 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Tue Nov 11 05:30:08 2025
games through: Mon Nov 10 2025

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