Dolphin Ratings - National Football League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
EAGLES     5 2 0 170 165  0.298  4.236    1  0.206    2  0.207    8  0.085    1 0.6059   12  1.357    8  0.191   15 -0.022
BUCCANEERS 5 2 0 174 175  0.293  4.212    2  0.191    1  0.211   10  0.067    2 0.6031    4  1.519    4  0.408   28 -0.274
49ERS      5 2 0 145 138  0.245  4.007    4  0.182    3  0.199    7  0.087    3 0.6009   26  1.125   23 -0.111    7  0.285
RAMS       5 2 0 175 117  0.291  3.919    5  0.171    5  0.181    1  0.266    4 0.5859   27  1.104   16  0.042    2  0.489
LIONS      5 2 0 215 151  0.091  3.371    8  0.132    8  0.135    6  0.168    5 0.5844    8  1.421    5  0.366   16 -0.029
COLTS      6 1 0 232 140  0.018  2.937    3  0.185    4  0.197    2  0.210    6 0.5838    3  1.538    2  0.580   23 -0.160
SEAHAWKS   5 2 0 193 136  0.215  3.791    6  0.160    6  0.169    3  0.200    7 0.5819   13  1.355    6  0.304   10  0.097
PACKERS    4 1 1 158 125  0.016  2.856    7  0.136    7  0.137    9  0.077    8 0.5744   18  1.285   12  0.085   11  0.069
JAGUARS    4 3 0 146 155  0.270  4.205   10  0.106    9  0.108   13  0.038    9 0.5537   16  1.290   14  0.053   13  0.023
BRONCOS    5 2 0 163 127 -0.097  2.975    9  0.108   10  0.105   11  0.065   10 0.5533   28  1.101   24 -0.163    6  0.293
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BEARS      4 2 0 152 155 -0.103  2.737   11  0.083   11  0.075   18 -0.003   11 0.5403   11  1.407   11  0.174   24 -0.181
STEELERS   4 2 0 150 140 -0.159  2.568   12  0.069   12  0.058   17 -0.003   12 0.5395    9  1.418    9  0.190   26 -0.197
FALCONS    3 3 0 110 120  0.020  3.094   17  0.018   17  0.008   20 -0.034   13 0.5256   29  1.005   29 -0.377    5  0.308
CHIEFS     4 3 0 186 124  0.038  3.238   15  0.048   15  0.033    4  0.199   14 0.5188   22  1.166   15  0.052    4  0.346
VIKINGS    3 3 0 145 125 -0.232  2.414   20 -0.034   21 -0.047   19 -0.025   15 0.5167   17  1.287   20 -0.015   17 -0.036
BENGALS    3 4 0 136 214 -0.005  3.830   21 -0.039   20 -0.023   28 -0.191   16 0.5150    6  1.435   17  0.026   29 -0.408
PATRIOTS   5 2 0 181 133 -0.354  2.376   14  0.056   14  0.038   14  0.035   17 0.5137   15  1.295   13  0.057   14  0.013
CHARGERS   4 3 0 151 163 -0.025  3.468   13  0.059   13  0.048   24 -0.051   18 0.5057   19  1.280   21 -0.049   19 -0.052
COWBOYS    3 3 1 222 206 -0.000  3.439   19  0.004   19  0.000   12  0.038   19 0.4972    1  1.740    1  0.728   31 -0.652
PANTHERS   4 3 0 145 152 -0.146  3.117   16  0.034   16  0.016   22 -0.037   20 0.4865   25  1.144   25 -0.212    9  0.138
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
COMMANDERS 3 4 0 180 170 -0.040  3.302   23 -0.065   23 -0.058   15  0.016   21 0.4828    7  1.421    7  0.213   25 -0.181
TEXANS     2 4 0 127  88  0.367  3.442   22 -0.063   22 -0.052    5  0.184   22 0.4711   32  0.810   28 -0.372    1  0.741
BILLS      4 2 0 167 137 -0.446  1.885   18  0.009   18  0.003   23 -0.041   23 0.4636    5  1.437   10  0.180   27 -0.261
CARDINALS  2 5 0 153 154  0.060  3.632   26 -0.144   26 -0.135   16  0.012   24 0.4409   20  1.263   19 -0.009   12  0.034
GIANTS     2 5 0 153 177  0.090  3.854   24 -0.124   24 -0.108   21 -0.035   25 0.4395   14  1.304   18 -0.001   22 -0.070
RAIDERS    2 5 0 103 180 -0.099  3.763   25 -0.134   25 -0.122   30 -0.225   26 0.4381   30  0.985   31 -0.590    8  0.140
BROWNS     2 5 0 113 152 -0.250  3.121   28 -0.189   29 -0.177   26 -0.134   27 0.4248   31  0.854   32 -0.645    3  0.376
TITANS     1 6 0  96 192  0.098  4.277   29 -0.191   28 -0.173   31 -0.235   28 0.3967   24  1.146   30 -0.407   21 -0.063
SAINTS     1 6 0 125 186 -0.044  3.641   30 -0.226   30 -0.219   27 -0.153   29 0.3886   21  1.198   26 -0.260   18 -0.046
RAVENS     1 5 0 144 194  0.144  3.611   27 -0.151   27 -0.141   25 -0.107   30 0.3883    2  1.677    3  0.480   32 -0.694
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DOLPHINS   1 6 0 140 205 -0.255  3.218   31 -0.257   31 -0.258   32 -0.238   31 0.3563   10  1.410   22 -0.057   30 -0.420
JETS       0 7 0 129 183 -0.245  3.096   32 -0.341   32 -0.355   29 -0.209   32 0.3257   23  1.163   27 -0.360   20 -0.058

AFC WEST
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BRONCOS    5 2 0 163 127 -0.097  2.975    9  0.108   10  0.105   11  0.065   10 0.5533   28  1.101   24 -0.163    6  0.293
CHIEFS     4 3 0 186 124  0.038  3.238   15  0.048   15  0.033    4  0.199   14 0.5188   22  1.166   15  0.052    4  0.346
CHARGERS   4 3 0 151 163 -0.025  3.468   13  0.059   13  0.048   24 -0.051   18 0.5057   19  1.280   21 -0.049   19 -0.052
RAIDERS    2 5 0 103 180 -0.099  3.763   25 -0.134   25 -0.122   30 -0.225   26 0.4381   30  0.985   31 -0.590    8  0.140

AFC SOUTH
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
COLTS      6 1 0 232 140  0.018  2.937    3  0.185    4  0.197    2  0.210    6 0.5838    3  1.538    2  0.580   23 -0.160
JAGUARS    4 3 0 146 155  0.270  4.205   10  0.106    9  0.108   13  0.038    9 0.5537   16  1.290   14  0.053   13  0.023
TEXANS     2 4 0 127  88  0.367  3.442   22 -0.063   22 -0.052    5  0.184   22 0.4711   32  0.810   28 -0.372    1  0.741
TITANS     1 6 0  96 192  0.098  4.277   29 -0.191   28 -0.173   31 -0.235   28 0.3967   24  1.146   30 -0.407   21 -0.063

AFC NORTH
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
STEELERS   4 2 0 150 140 -0.159  2.568   12  0.069   12  0.058   17 -0.003   12 0.5395    9  1.418    9  0.190   26 -0.197
BENGALS    3 4 0 136 214 -0.005  3.830   21 -0.039   20 -0.023   28 -0.191   16 0.5150    6  1.435   17  0.026   29 -0.408
BROWNS     2 5 0 113 152 -0.250  3.121   28 -0.189   29 -0.177   26 -0.134   27 0.4248   31  0.854   32 -0.645    3  0.376
RAVENS     1 5 0 144 194  0.144  3.611   27 -0.151   27 -0.141   25 -0.107   30 0.3883    2  1.677    3  0.480   32 -0.694

AFC EAST
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PATRIOTS   5 2 0 181 133 -0.354  2.376   14  0.056   14  0.038   14  0.035   17 0.5137   15  1.295   13  0.057   14  0.013
BILLS      4 2 0 167 137 -0.446  1.885   18  0.009   18  0.003   23 -0.041   23 0.4636    5  1.437   10  0.180   27 -0.261
DOLPHINS   1 6 0 140 205 -0.255  3.218   31 -0.257   31 -0.258   32 -0.238   31 0.3563   10  1.410   22 -0.057   30 -0.420
JETS       0 7 0 129 183 -0.245  3.096   32 -0.341   32 -0.355   29 -0.209   32 0.3257   23  1.163   27 -0.360   20 -0.058

NFC WEST
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
49ERS      5 2 0 145 138  0.245  4.007    4  0.182    3  0.199    7  0.087    3 0.6009   26  1.125   23 -0.111    7  0.285
RAMS       5 2 0 175 117  0.291  3.919    5  0.171    5  0.181    1  0.266    4 0.5859   27  1.104   16  0.042    2  0.489
SEAHAWKS   5 2 0 193 136  0.215  3.791    6  0.160    6  0.169    3  0.200    7 0.5819   13  1.355    6  0.304   10  0.097
CARDINALS  2 5 0 153 154  0.060  3.632   26 -0.144   26 -0.135   16  0.012   24 0.4409   20  1.263   19 -0.009   12  0.034

NFC SOUTH
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BUCCANEERS 5 2 0 174 175  0.293  4.212    2  0.191    1  0.211   10  0.067    2 0.6031    4  1.519    4  0.408   28 -0.274
FALCONS    3 3 0 110 120  0.020  3.094   17  0.018   17  0.008   20 -0.034   13 0.5256   29  1.005   29 -0.377    5  0.308
PANTHERS   4 3 0 145 152 -0.146  3.117   16  0.034   16  0.016   22 -0.037   20 0.4865   25  1.144   25 -0.212    9  0.138
SAINTS     1 6 0 125 186 -0.044  3.641   30 -0.226   30 -0.219   27 -0.153   29 0.3886   21  1.198   26 -0.260   18 -0.046

NFC NORTH
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
LIONS      5 2 0 215 151  0.091  3.371    8  0.132    8  0.135    6  0.168    5 0.5844    8  1.421    5  0.366   16 -0.029
PACKERS    4 1 1 158 125  0.016  2.856    7  0.136    7  0.137    9  0.077    8 0.5744   18  1.285   12  0.085   11  0.069
BEARS      4 2 0 152 155 -0.103  2.737   11  0.083   11  0.075   18 -0.003   11 0.5403   11  1.407   11  0.174   24 -0.181
VIKINGS    3 3 0 145 125 -0.232  2.414   20 -0.034   21 -0.047   19 -0.025   15 0.5167   17  1.287   20 -0.015   17 -0.036

NFC EAST
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
EAGLES     5 2 0 170 165  0.298  4.236    1  0.206    2  0.207    8  0.085    1 0.6059   12  1.357    8  0.191   15 -0.022
COWBOYS    3 3 1 222 206 -0.000  3.439   19  0.004   19  0.000   12  0.038   19 0.4972    1  1.740    1  0.728   31 -0.652
COMMANDERS 3 4 0 180 170 -0.040  3.302   23 -0.065   23 -0.058   15  0.016   21 0.4828    7  1.421    7  0.213   25 -0.181
GIANTS     2 5 0 153 177  0.090  3.854   24 -0.124   24 -0.108   21 -0.035   25 0.4395   14  1.304   18 -0.001   22 -0.070

DIVISION    W  L  T   PCT  RNK RATING
NFC WEST   17 11  0 0.607    1  0.492
AFC SOUTH  13 14  0 0.481    2  0.244
NFC NORTH  16  8  1 0.660    3  0.188
NFC EAST   13 14  1 0.482    4  0.086
AFC WEST   15 13  0 0.536    5  0.012
NFC SOUTH  13 14  0 0.481    6 -0.143
AFC NORTH  10 16  0 0.385    7 -0.416
AFC EAST   10 17  0 0.370    8 -0.420

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.230 points in main ratings (0.109 for semineutral)
     0.025 points in improved RPI (0.015 for semineutral)
Average of 6.20 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Tue Oct 21 05:30:12 2025
games through: Mon Oct 20 2025

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