Dolphin Ratings - National Football League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM        W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RAMS       11  4  0 457 299  0.374  8.989    2  0.580    2  0.559    1  0.674    2 0.6064    6  1.434    1  0.876    3  0.472
SEAHAWKS   12  3  0 443 279  0.276  8.280    1  0.620    1  0.611    2  0.628    1 0.6092   14  1.335    2  0.690    2  0.566
JAGUARS    11  4  0 410 312  0.225  8.247    3  0.486    3  0.486    3  0.445    3 0.5912   10  1.392    3  0.587    6  0.304
TEXANS     10  5  0 346 249  0.291  8.552    6  0.404    6  0.409    4  0.395    5 0.5741   30  0.998   16  0.030    1  0.759
COLTS       8  6  0 392 303  0.198  7.513   12  0.196   12  0.189    5  0.282   13 0.5342    7  1.426    7  0.472   14  0.092
49ERS      10  4  0 344 293  0.189  7.605    5  0.435    5  0.460    6  0.258    4 0.5746   18  1.288    9  0.256    8  0.261
EAGLES     10  5  0 349 289  0.012  7.361   11  0.273   11  0.267    7  0.205   11 0.5424   26  1.090   20 -0.051    4  0.460
BILLS      11  4  0 434 344 -0.107  6.639    9  0.309    9  0.305    8  0.175    8 0.5644    4  1.563    4  0.568   23 -0.218
PATRIOTS   12  3  0 410 300 -0.252  5.810    7  0.328    8  0.321    9  0.150    7 0.5658   12  1.350   10  0.232   15  0.068
PACKERS     9  5  1 364 303 -0.075  6.930   13  0.161   14  0.150   10  0.136   14 0.5319   24  1.174   19 -0.015    7  0.287
TEAM        W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
LIONS       8  7  0 452 374 -0.008  7.236   16  0.026   16  0.030   11  0.128   17 0.4998    3  1.583    6  0.552   27 -0.296
CHARGERS   11  4  0 349 301 -0.078  6.940    8  0.326    7  0.323   12  0.125    9 0.5540   22  1.218   15  0.030    9  0.220
BRONCOS    12  3  0 362 295 -0.086  6.746    4  0.440    4  0.461   13  0.098    6 0.5740   21  1.226   17  0.013   12  0.182
BEARS      11  4  0 387 354 -0.161  6.515   10  0.295   10  0.290   14  0.084   10 0.5491    5  1.438    8  0.291   20 -0.123
CHIEFS      6  9  0 337 294  0.063  7.728   20 -0.126   20 -0.138   15  0.070   21 0.4685   25  1.099   22 -0.174    5  0.315
STEELERS    9  6  0 365 350 -0.028  7.338   14  0.143   13  0.150   16  0.039   12 0.5350   16  1.317   13  0.076   16  0.002
RAVENS      7  8  0 359 348 -0.091  6.967   19 -0.120   19 -0.120   17  0.019   19 0.4786   15  1.317   14  0.057   17 -0.018
BUCCANEERS  7  8  0 347 377  0.092  8.119   17  0.002   17  0.025   18 -0.062   16 0.5053    8  1.422   12  0.123   24 -0.246
VIKINGS     7  8  0 305 320 -0.063  7.294   18 -0.100   18 -0.081   19 -0.083   18 0.4853   28  1.056   27 -0.380   10  0.214
CARDINALS   3 12  0 321 414  0.212  8.985   27 -0.381   27 -0.383   20 -0.131   26 0.4350    9  1.393   18  0.012   26 -0.273
TEAM        W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PANTHERS    8  7  0 287 337 -0.044  7.485   15  0.046   15  0.052   21 -0.134   15 0.5145   27  1.086   28 -0.395   13  0.127
FALCONS     6  9  0 307 360 -0.051  7.452   22 -0.184   22 -0.186   22 -0.143   20 0.4704   20  1.231   23 -0.221   19 -0.065
COWBOYS     6  8  1 424 454 -0.121  6.974   21 -0.163   21 -0.165   23 -0.177   22 0.4629    1  1.776    5  0.560   32 -0.914
SAINTS      5 10  0 255 338 -0.071  7.513   25 -0.300   25 -0.294   24 -0.195   24 0.4534   32  0.962   30 -0.601   11  0.212
TITANS      3 12  0 251 403  0.205  9.254   26 -0.365   26 -0.357   25 -0.229   27 0.4311   23  1.211   26 -0.333   21 -0.125
GIANTS      2 13  0 313 412  0.002  7.837   31 -0.594   31 -0.591   26 -0.276   32 0.3873   11  1.385   21 -0.144   28 -0.407
DOLPHINS    6  9  0 317 369 -0.229  6.499   24 -0.286   23 -0.285   27 -0.279   25 0.4527   19  1.276   25 -0.298   25 -0.261
BENGALS     5 10  0 359 458 -0.066  7.541   23 -0.285   24 -0.286   28 -0.283   23 0.4542    2  1.585   11  0.145   31 -0.710
COMMANDERS  4 11  0 309 404 -0.085  7.392   28 -0.405   28 -0.411   29 -0.356   28 0.4136   13  1.336   24 -0.293   29 -0.418
BROWNS      3 12  0 246 355 -0.194  6.872   29 -0.574   30 -0.587   30 -0.430   31 0.3929   31  0.998   31 -0.795   18 -0.065
TEAM        W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RAIDERS     2 13  0 217 386 -0.021  8.160   30 -0.590   29 -0.587   31 -0.502   30 0.3974   29  1.023   32 -0.838   22 -0.166
JETS        3 12  0 282 426 -0.224  6.797   32 -0.598   32 -0.599   32 -0.591   29 0.3977   17  1.292   29 -0.587   30 -0.594

AFC WEST
                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM        W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CHARGERS   11  4  0 349 301 -0.078  6.940    8  0.326    7  0.323   12  0.125    9 0.5540   22  1.218   15  0.030    9  0.220
BRONCOS    12  3  0 362 295 -0.086  6.746    4  0.440    4  0.461   13  0.098    6 0.5740   21  1.226   17  0.013   12  0.182
CHIEFS      6  9  0 337 294  0.063  7.728   20 -0.126   20 -0.138   15  0.070   21 0.4685   25  1.099   22 -0.174    5  0.315
RAIDERS     2 13  0 217 386 -0.021  8.160   30 -0.590   29 -0.587   31 -0.502   30 0.3974   29  1.023   32 -0.838   22 -0.166

AFC SOUTH
                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM        W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
JAGUARS    11  4  0 410 312  0.225  8.247    3  0.486    3  0.486    3  0.445    3 0.5912   10  1.392    3  0.587    6  0.304
TEXANS     10  5  0 346 249  0.291  8.552    6  0.404    6  0.409    4  0.395    5 0.5741   30  0.998   16  0.030    1  0.759
COLTS       8  6  0 392 303  0.198  7.513   12  0.196   12  0.189    5  0.282   13 0.5342    7  1.426    7  0.472   14  0.092
TITANS      3 12  0 251 403  0.205  9.254   26 -0.365   26 -0.357   25 -0.229   27 0.4311   23  1.211   26 -0.333   21 -0.125

AFC NORTH
                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM        W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
STEELERS    9  6  0 365 350 -0.028  7.338   14  0.143   13  0.150   16  0.039   12 0.5350   16  1.317   13  0.076   16  0.002
RAVENS      7  8  0 359 348 -0.091  6.967   19 -0.120   19 -0.120   17  0.019   19 0.4786   15  1.317   14  0.057   17 -0.018
BENGALS     5 10  0 359 458 -0.066  7.541   23 -0.285   24 -0.286   28 -0.283   23 0.4542    2  1.585   11  0.145   31 -0.710
BROWNS      3 12  0 246 355 -0.194  6.872   29 -0.574   30 -0.587   30 -0.430   31 0.3929   31  0.998   31 -0.795   18 -0.065

AFC EAST
                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM        W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BILLS      11  4  0 434 344 -0.107  6.639    9  0.309    9  0.305    8  0.175    8 0.5644    4  1.563    4  0.568   23 -0.218
PATRIOTS   12  3  0 410 300 -0.252  5.810    7  0.328    8  0.321    9  0.150    7 0.5658   12  1.350   10  0.232   15  0.068
DOLPHINS    6  9  0 317 369 -0.229  6.499   24 -0.286   23 -0.285   27 -0.279   25 0.4527   19  1.276   25 -0.298   25 -0.261
JETS        3 12  0 282 426 -0.224  6.797   32 -0.598   32 -0.599   32 -0.591   29 0.3977   17  1.292   29 -0.587   30 -0.594

NFC WEST
                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM        W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RAMS       11  4  0 457 299  0.374  8.989    2  0.580    2  0.559    1  0.674    2 0.6064    6  1.434    1  0.876    3  0.472
SEAHAWKS   12  3  0 443 279  0.276  8.280    1  0.620    1  0.611    2  0.628    1 0.6092   14  1.335    2  0.690    2  0.566
49ERS      10  4  0 344 293  0.189  7.605    5  0.435    5  0.460    6  0.258    4 0.5746   18  1.288    9  0.256    8  0.261
CARDINALS   3 12  0 321 414  0.212  8.985   27 -0.381   27 -0.383   20 -0.131   26 0.4350    9  1.393   18  0.012   26 -0.273

NFC SOUTH
                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM        W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BUCCANEERS  7  8  0 347 377  0.092  8.119   17  0.002   17  0.025   18 -0.062   16 0.5053    8  1.422   12  0.123   24 -0.246
PANTHERS    8  7  0 287 337 -0.044  7.485   15  0.046   15  0.052   21 -0.134   15 0.5145   27  1.086   28 -0.395   13  0.127
FALCONS     6  9  0 307 360 -0.051  7.452   22 -0.184   22 -0.186   22 -0.143   20 0.4704   20  1.231   23 -0.221   19 -0.065
SAINTS      5 10  0 255 338 -0.071  7.513   25 -0.300   25 -0.294   24 -0.195   24 0.4534   32  0.962   30 -0.601   11  0.212

NFC NORTH
                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM        W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PACKERS     9  5  1 364 303 -0.075  6.930   13  0.161   14  0.150   10  0.136   14 0.5319   24  1.174   19 -0.015    7  0.287
LIONS       8  7  0 452 374 -0.008  7.236   16  0.026   16  0.030   11  0.128   17 0.4998    3  1.583    6  0.552   27 -0.296
BEARS      11  4  0 387 354 -0.161  6.515   10  0.295   10  0.290   14  0.084   10 0.5491    5  1.438    8  0.291   20 -0.123
VIKINGS     7  8  0 305 320 -0.063  7.294   18 -0.100   18 -0.081   19 -0.083   18 0.4853   28  1.056   27 -0.380   10  0.214

NFC EAST
                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM        W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
EAGLES     10  5  0 349 289  0.012  7.361   11  0.273   11  0.267    7  0.205   11 0.5424   26  1.090   20 -0.051    4  0.460
COWBOYS     6  8  1 424 454 -0.121  6.974   21 -0.163   21 -0.165   23 -0.177   22 0.4629    1  1.776    5  0.560   32 -0.914
GIANTS      2 13  0 313 412  0.002  7.837   31 -0.594   31 -0.591   26 -0.276   32 0.3873   11  1.385   21 -0.144   28 -0.407
COMMANDERS  4 11  0 309 404 -0.085  7.392   28 -0.405   28 -0.411   29 -0.356   28 0.4136   13  1.336   24 -0.293   29 -0.418

DIVISION    W  L  T   PCT  RNK RATING
NFC WEST   36 23  0 0.610    1  0.602
AFC SOUTH  32 27  0 0.542    2  0.366
NFC NORTH  35 24  1 0.592    3  0.081
AFC WEST   31 29  0 0.517    4 -0.031
AFC EAST   32 28  0 0.533    5 -0.207
NFC EAST   22 37  1 0.375    6 -0.222
NFC SOUTH  26 34  0 0.433    7 -0.229
AFC NORTH  24 36  0 0.400    8 -0.299

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.161 points in main ratings (0.109 for semineutral)
     0.015 points in improved RPI (0.015 for semineutral)
Average of 6.20 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Mon Dec 22 05:30:10 2025
games through: Sun Dec 21 2025

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