Dolphin Ratings - National Football League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
TEXANS     3 4 0 153 103  0.434  4.230   15  0.025   15  0.043    4  0.367   14 0.5181   31  0.901   23 -0.101    1  0.834
RAMS       5 2 0 175 117  0.399  4.220    4  0.317    4  0.330    1  0.433    2 0.6014   26  1.112    9  0.210    2  0.655
CHIEFS     5 3 0 214 131  0.126  3.971   11  0.165   11  0.154    2  0.419   11 0.5427   27  1.109   10  0.193    3  0.644
BRONCOS    6 2 0 207 151 -0.032  3.519    8  0.232    9  0.246    8  0.180    8 0.5692   23  1.132   21 -0.018    4  0.378
49ERS      5 3 0 160 164  0.279  4.724    5  0.247    5  0.267   11  0.109    9 0.5652   22  1.171   22 -0.039    5  0.257
BROWNS     2 6 0 126 184 -0.191  3.803   29 -0.323   29 -0.315   25 -0.246   28 0.4179   32  0.889   32 -0.726    6  0.234
SEAHAWKS   5 2 0 193 136  0.207  3.773    6  0.246    6  0.267    5  0.291    7 0.5784   11  1.368    5  0.407    7  0.176
JAGUARS    4 3 0 146 155  0.280  4.222   10  0.166   10  0.179   14  0.069   10 0.5514   21  1.265   16  0.043    8  0.096
PACKERS    5 1 1 193 150 -0.032  3.223    7  0.239    7  0.254   10  0.134    6 0.5789   15  1.324   11  0.187    9  0.081
RAIDERS    2 5 0 103 180 -0.056  3.856   25 -0.190   25 -0.177   27 -0.297   26 0.4414   30  0.996   31 -0.658   10  0.063
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
LIONS      5 2 0 215 151  0.168  3.544    9  0.230    8  0.247    6  0.277    5 0.5835    6  1.439    3  0.492   11  0.061
BUCCANEERS 6 2 0 197 178  0.214  4.424    3  0.348    3  0.364    7  0.184    3 0.5987    9  1.389    8  0.328   12  0.040
CHARGERS   5 3 0 188 173  0.000  3.900   12  0.137   12  0.142   16  0.051   12 0.5288   18  1.296   14  0.066   13  0.035
CARDINALS  2 5 0 153 154  0.005  3.509   27 -0.230   27 -0.225   17  0.009   27 0.4379   19  1.267   20 -0.014   14  0.032
PATRIOTS   6 2 0 213 146 -0.381  2.619   13  0.112   13  0.104   13  0.098   13 0.5262   14  1.333   12  0.164   15  0.031
FALCONS    3 4 0 120 154 -0.208  3.140   21 -0.129   21 -0.130   26 -0.259   20 0.4678   29  1.059   29 -0.545   16  0.027
EAGLES     6 2 0 208 185  0.240  4.558    2  0.377    2  0.370    9  0.171    1 0.6032    8  1.399    7  0.330   17  0.012
COLTS      7 1 0 270 154  0.052  3.380    1  0.392    1  0.381    3  0.380    4 0.5949    3  1.542    1  0.749   18  0.012
PANTHERS   4 4 0 154 192 -0.228  3.485   18 -0.063   18 -0.062   24 -0.214   21 0.4673   24  1.127   27 -0.418   19 -0.010
SAINTS     1 7 0 128 209 -0.035  4.255   31 -0.403   31 -0.388   30 -0.317   31 0.3886   28  1.074   30 -0.585   20 -0.049
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
TITANS     1 7 0 110 230  0.238  5.318   28 -0.290   28 -0.271   31 -0.327   29 0.4159   25  1.123   28 -0.535   21 -0.119
BILLS      5 2 0 207 146 -0.340  2.375   14  0.070   14  0.081   12  0.103   16 0.5074    5  1.463    6  0.354   22 -0.147
VIKINGS    3 4 0 155 162 -0.314  2.787   23 -0.153   24 -0.169   23 -0.186   19 0.4716   20  1.265   24 -0.212   23 -0.160
COMMANDERS 3 5 0 187 198 -0.030  3.942   22 -0.130   22 -0.141   19 -0.057   23 0.4622   12  1.362   15  0.049   24 -0.163
GIANTS     2 6 0 173 215  0.151  4.651   26 -0.209   26 -0.194   21 -0.073   25 0.4449   13  1.351   19  0.018   25 -0.164
BEARS      4 3 0 168 185 -0.182  3.105   16  0.011   16  0.020   22 -0.095   17 0.4973   10  1.378   17  0.035   26 -0.224
STEELERS   4 3 0 175 175 -0.190  2.997   17  0.002   17  0.011   20 -0.060   15 0.5109    7  1.435   13  0.150   27 -0.269
RAVENS     3 5 0 202 216  0.179  4.564   19 -0.071   19 -0.064   15  0.056   24 0.4601    4  1.539    4  0.420   28 -0.307
JETS       1 7 0 168 221 -0.261  3.483   32 -0.487   32 -0.483   28 -0.304   32 0.3713   17  1.304   26 -0.278   29 -0.329
DOLPHINS   2 7 0 180 243 -0.193  4.193   30 -0.388   30 -0.373   29 -0.315   30 0.3922   16  1.319   25 -0.268   30 -0.362
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BENGALS    3 5 0 174 253 -0.180  3.896   24 -0.180   23 -0.167   32 -0.336   22 0.4651    2  1.543   18  0.034   31 -0.706
COWBOYS    3 4 1 246 250 -0.033  3.927   20 -0.071   20 -0.068   18 -0.027   18 0.4841    1  1.774    2  0.713   32 -0.767

AFC WEST
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CHIEFS     5 3 0 214 131  0.126  3.971   11  0.165   11  0.154    2  0.419   11 0.5427   27  1.109   10  0.193    3  0.644
BRONCOS    6 2 0 207 151 -0.032  3.519    8  0.232    9  0.246    8  0.180    8 0.5692   23  1.132   21 -0.018    4  0.378
RAIDERS    2 5 0 103 180 -0.056  3.856   25 -0.190   25 -0.177   27 -0.297   26 0.4414   30  0.996   31 -0.658   10  0.063
CHARGERS   5 3 0 188 173  0.000  3.900   12  0.137   12  0.142   16  0.051   12 0.5288   18  1.296   14  0.066   13  0.035

AFC SOUTH
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
TEXANS     3 4 0 153 103  0.434  4.230   15  0.025   15  0.043    4  0.367   14 0.5181   31  0.901   23 -0.101    1  0.834
JAGUARS    4 3 0 146 155  0.280  4.222   10  0.166   10  0.179   14  0.069   10 0.5514   21  1.265   16  0.043    8  0.096
COLTS      7 1 0 270 154  0.052  3.380    1  0.392    1  0.381    3  0.380    4 0.5949    3  1.542    1  0.749   18  0.012
TITANS     1 7 0 110 230  0.238  5.318   28 -0.290   28 -0.271   31 -0.327   29 0.4159   25  1.123   28 -0.535   21 -0.119

AFC NORTH
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BROWNS     2 6 0 126 184 -0.191  3.803   29 -0.323   29 -0.315   25 -0.246   28 0.4179   32  0.889   32 -0.726    6  0.234
STEELERS   4 3 0 175 175 -0.190  2.997   17  0.002   17  0.011   20 -0.060   15 0.5109    7  1.435   13  0.150   27 -0.269
RAVENS     3 5 0 202 216  0.179  4.564   19 -0.071   19 -0.064   15  0.056   24 0.4601    4  1.539    4  0.420   28 -0.307
BENGALS    3 5 0 174 253 -0.180  3.896   24 -0.180   23 -0.167   32 -0.336   22 0.4651    2  1.543   18  0.034   31 -0.706

AFC EAST
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PATRIOTS   6 2 0 213 146 -0.381  2.619   13  0.112   13  0.104   13  0.098   13 0.5262   14  1.333   12  0.164   15  0.031
BILLS      5 2 0 207 146 -0.340  2.375   14  0.070   14  0.081   12  0.103   16 0.5074    5  1.463    6  0.354   22 -0.147
JETS       1 7 0 168 221 -0.261  3.483   32 -0.487   32 -0.483   28 -0.304   32 0.3713   17  1.304   26 -0.278   29 -0.329
DOLPHINS   2 7 0 180 243 -0.193  4.193   30 -0.388   30 -0.373   29 -0.315   30 0.3922   16  1.319   25 -0.268   30 -0.362

NFC WEST
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RAMS       5 2 0 175 117  0.399  4.220    4  0.317    4  0.330    1  0.433    2 0.6014   26  1.112    9  0.210    2  0.655
49ERS      5 3 0 160 164  0.279  4.724    5  0.247    5  0.267   11  0.109    9 0.5652   22  1.171   22 -0.039    5  0.257
SEAHAWKS   5 2 0 193 136  0.207  3.773    6  0.246    6  0.267    5  0.291    7 0.5784   11  1.368    5  0.407    7  0.176
CARDINALS  2 5 0 153 154  0.005  3.509   27 -0.230   27 -0.225   17  0.009   27 0.4379   19  1.267   20 -0.014   14  0.032

NFC SOUTH
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BUCCANEERS 6 2 0 197 178  0.214  4.424    3  0.348    3  0.364    7  0.184    3 0.5987    9  1.389    8  0.328   12  0.040
FALCONS    3 4 0 120 154 -0.208  3.140   21 -0.129   21 -0.130   26 -0.259   20 0.4678   29  1.059   29 -0.545   16  0.027
PANTHERS   4 4 0 154 192 -0.228  3.485   18 -0.063   18 -0.062   24 -0.214   21 0.4673   24  1.127   27 -0.418   19 -0.010
SAINTS     1 7 0 128 209 -0.035  4.255   31 -0.403   31 -0.388   30 -0.317   31 0.3886   28  1.074   30 -0.585   20 -0.049

NFC NORTH
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PACKERS    5 1 1 193 150 -0.032  3.223    7  0.239    7  0.254   10  0.134    6 0.5789   15  1.324   11  0.187    9  0.081
LIONS      5 2 0 215 151  0.168  3.544    9  0.230    8  0.247    6  0.277    5 0.5835    6  1.439    3  0.492   11  0.061
VIKINGS    3 4 0 155 162 -0.314  2.787   23 -0.153   24 -0.169   23 -0.186   19 0.4716   20  1.265   24 -0.212   23 -0.160
BEARS      4 3 0 168 185 -0.182  3.105   16  0.011   16  0.020   22 -0.095   17 0.4973   10  1.378   17  0.035   26 -0.224

NFC EAST
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
EAGLES     6 2 0 208 185  0.240  4.558    2  0.377    2  0.370    9  0.171    1 0.6032    8  1.399    7  0.330   17  0.012
COMMANDERS 3 5 0 187 198 -0.030  3.942   22 -0.130   22 -0.141   19 -0.057   23 0.4622   12  1.362   15  0.049   24 -0.163
GIANTS     2 6 0 173 215  0.151  4.651   26 -0.209   26 -0.194   21 -0.073   25 0.4449   13  1.351   19  0.018   25 -0.164
COWBOYS    3 4 1 246 250 -0.033  3.927   20 -0.071   20 -0.068   18 -0.027   18 0.4841    1  1.774    2  0.713   32 -0.767

DIVISION    W  L  T   PCT  RNK RATING
NFC WEST   17 12  0 0.586    1  0.487
AFC SOUTH  15 15  0 0.500    2  0.324
AFC WEST   18 13  0 0.581    3  0.183
NFC NORTH  17 10  1 0.625    4  0.067
NFC EAST   14 17  1 0.453    5  0.005
AFC EAST   14 18  0 0.438    6 -0.254
NFC SOUTH  14 17  0 0.452    7 -0.343
AFC NORTH  12 19  0 0.387    8 -0.363

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.208 points in main ratings (0.109 for semineutral)
     0.023 points in improved RPI (0.015 for semineutral)
Average of 6.20 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Fri Oct 31 05:30:11 2025
games through: Thu Oct 30 2025

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