Dolphin Ratings - College Football

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and six ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
RPI Rating. Included only because of common real-life usage. The RPI rating has many statistical problems. The football RPI rating is based on the BCS formula, and approximates the schedule, loss, and quality win components.
Pseudo-Poll. A blended ranking based on win-loss and predictive ratings, calibrated to match real-life polls as closely as possible. This gives a rough but unbiased estimate of how typical voters value record vs. impressive wins.
Predictive-Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Predictive-Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Predictive-Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

Because these ratings contain no prejudices regarding team or conference strengths, they tend to be quite inaccurate early in the seasons. College football appears to take at least 5 games per team before even remotely reasonable ratings are produced; acceptable ratings are produced with 8 games per team; excellent ratings unfortunately require 14 games per team.

Rankings by division: Overall I-A I-AA II III NAIA KCAC GAC PAC NESCAC MAIAA

Full Ranking

                                                  STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Coll of Idaho           10  2  0 484 289  0.242    1  1.099    1  0.899    3  0.679    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1 11.450    1  1.465   12 -0.108
Northwestern IA         13  0  0 491 192 -0.806    2  0.968    2  0.803    7  0.128    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    2 11.300    7  0.083    8  0.173
Montana-Western          9  2  0 405 243  0.059    3  0.863    3  0.682    4  0.439    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    3 11.068    3  0.696    7  0.183
Grand View              11  1  0 489  87 -0.438    4  0.622    4  0.420    1  0.778    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    4 10.841    8  0.006    1  1.550
Carroll MT               7  3  0 236 200  0.042    5  0.522    5  0.393   12 -0.061    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    6 10.366   21 -0.458    4  0.337
Keiser                  10  2  0 512 217 -0.235    6  0.517    6  0.385    2  0.704    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    5 10.749    2  0.885    2  0.524
Montana Tech             7  4  0 347 286  0.086    7  0.425    7  0.267   10  0.043    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    8 10.225    5  0.562   23 -0.475
Georgetown KY           10  1  0 405 149 -0.785    8  0.402    8  0.230    9  0.057    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    7 10.311   11 -0.144    6  0.257
Dickinson St            10  2  0 427 190 -0.763    9  0.249    9  0.104   14 -0.160    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    9  9.747   12 -0.229   11 -0.090
Indiana Wesleyan        10  2  0 396 221 -0.802   10  0.116   10  0.046   18 -0.393    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   10  9.692   19 -0.364   18 -0.423
TEAM                     W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Southern Oregon          6  4  0 308 190 -0.011   11  0.059   11 -0.028    6  0.186    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   11  9.494    9 -0.009    3  0.381
MidAmerica Nazarene      9  2  0 333 282 -1.124   12  0.025   12 -0.076   31 -1.003    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   14  9.183   28 -0.778   31 -1.228
Rocky Mountain           6  4  0 278 183 -0.142   13 -0.033   13 -0.152   11  0.020    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   13  9.239   14 -0.260    5  0.300
Bethel TN               11  2  0 545 208 -0.975   14 -0.062   14 -0.194   13 -0.137    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   12  9.384   10 -0.120   13 -0.155
Baker                    9  3  0 434 235 -0.831   15 -0.276   15 -0.326   15 -0.300    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   17  8.956   15 -0.269   16 -0.331
Ottawa AZ                8  1  0 497 144 -1.157   16 -0.282   16 -0.339    8  0.074    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   16  9.064    6  0.401   14 -0.254
Marian IN                9  2  0 355 186 -1.147   17 -0.290   17 -0.345   24 -0.655    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   18  8.807   31 -0.868   19 -0.443
St Thomas FL             9  4  0 589 243 -0.450   18 -0.303   18 -0.359    5  0.335    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   15  9.100    4  0.563    9  0.107
Louisiana Christian      9  2  0 452 226 -1.293   19 -0.363   19 -0.412   26 -0.718    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   20  8.625   20 -0.374   29 -1.062
Morningside              9  3  0 435 208 -0.911   20 -0.492   20 -0.467   16 -0.308    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   19  8.728   16 -0.307   15 -0.309
TEAM                     W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
St Xavier                8  4  0 367 241 -0.827   21 -0.496   21 -0.469   22 -0.582    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   21  8.565   24 -0.591   25 -0.572
Texas Wesleyan           8  2  0 427 166 -1.173   22 -0.598   22 -0.554   20 -0.509    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   22  8.538   22 -0.481   24 -0.536
Dordt                    9  3  0 378 163 -1.085   23 -0.637   23 -0.615   19 -0.508    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   23  8.404   33 -1.008   10 -0.008
Benedictine KS           8  3  0 432 201 -1.071   24 -0.695   24 -0.696   17 -0.346    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   24  8.348   13 -0.238   21 -0.455
Lindsey Wilson           7  3  0 364 174 -1.043   25 -0.727   25 -0.734   23 -0.589    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   25  8.293   23 -0.582   26 -0.596
Concordia MI             7  3  0 330 157 -1.199   26 -0.813   26 -0.827   25 -0.700    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   26  8.013   35 -1.059   17 -0.341
Roosevelt                6  4  0 284 265 -1.236   27 -0.843   27 -0.865   36 -1.353    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   29  7.769   40 -1.252   37 -1.454
Florida Memorial         6  4  0 371 313 -1.025   28 -0.869   28 -0.904   27 -0.896    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   27  7.890   18 -0.310   38 -1.482
Reinhardt                8  3  0 423 214 -1.438   29 -0.886   29 -0.927   28 -0.911    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   28  7.876   26 -0.736   30 -1.085
Valley City St           7  3  0 206 221 -1.817   30 -0.938   30 -1.001   46 -1.710    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   31  7.253   55 -2.034   35 -1.387
TEAM                     W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
St Francis IN            6  4  0 311 246 -1.342   31 -1.073   31 -1.099   34 -1.148    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   30  7.294   30 -0.852   36 -1.444
Cumberlands KY           6  4  0 237 220 -1.458   32 -1.105   32 -1.141   41 -1.472    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   33  7.191   48 -1.650   32 -1.294
St Francis IL            7  3  0 318 143 -1.635   33 -1.305   33 -1.243   30 -0.966    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   32  7.199   46 -1.476   22 -0.456
Missouri Valley          5  5  0 269 353 -1.397   34 -1.308   34 -1.244   47 -1.729    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   38  6.830   41 -1.253   59 -2.205
Siena Heights            6  4  0 306 246 -1.641   35 -1.330   35 -1.277   38 -1.433    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   36  6.866   43 -1.351   39 -1.515
Pikeville                7  3  0 383 233 -1.806   36 -1.330   36 -1.280   35 -1.299    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   34  7.058   29 -0.808   48 -1.790
Graceland                6  5  0 387 304 -1.250   37 -1.350   37 -1.305   29 -0.931    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   35  6.950   17 -0.309   41 -1.553
Olivet Nazarene          6  4  0 350 227 -1.506   38 -1.402   38 -1.379   32 -1.073    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   37  6.859   27 -0.767   34 -1.378
Eastern Oregon           2  8  0 222 277 -0.176   39 -1.473   39 -1.423   21 -0.530    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   39  6.816   25 -0.606   20 -0.454
Midland U.               6  5  0 315 287 -1.573   40 -1.504   40 -1.476   39 -1.453    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   41  6.571   36 -1.198   43 -1.708
TEAM                     W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Southeastern FL          5  5  0 261 226 -1.320   41 -1.510   41 -1.483   33 -1.087    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   40  6.664   38 -1.224   27 -0.949
Dakota Wesleyan          6  5  0 251 284 -1.753   43 -1.564   42 -1.563   49 -1.773    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   45  6.232   52 -1.771   47 -1.775
Langston                 6  4  0 332 238 -1.717   42 -1.564   43 -1.563   37 -1.380    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   42  6.480   39 -1.232   40 -1.529
Peru St                  5  6  0 325 363 -1.386   44 -1.567   44 -1.567   40 -1.457    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   43  6.316   32 -0.879   56 -2.036
Concordia NE             5  5  0 303 319 -1.607   45 -1.575   45 -1.578   45 -1.583    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   44  6.273   34 -1.011   58 -2.154
Arizona Christian        2  8  0 196 382 -0.729   46 -1.607   46 -1.618   42 -1.493    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   46  6.134   42 -1.257   44 -1.729
Hastings                 5  6  0 260 376 -1.703   47 -1.660   47 -1.704   53 -2.075    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   48  6.005   50 -1.769   66 -2.380
Bluefield VA             5  5  0 333 375 -1.936   48 -1.670   48 -1.717   57 -2.155    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   47  6.037   37 -1.215   77 -3.095
OK Panhandle St          5  5  0 274 338 -2.082   49 -1.826   49 -1.819   54 -2.094    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   50  5.666   51 -1.769   67 -2.419
William Penn             4  6  0 200 201 -1.506   50 -1.836   50 -1.832   43 -1.515    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   49  5.951   56 -2.068   28 -0.962
TEAM                     W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Cumberland TN            5  5  0 201 226 -2.089   51 -1.844   51 -1.843   56 -2.114    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   52  5.450   63 -2.468   46 -1.759
Ave Maria                4  6  0 226 327 -1.799   52 -1.919   52 -1.958   55 -2.097    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   53  5.298   59 -2.146   57 -2.049
Campbellsville           4  6  0 284 257 -1.645   53 -1.954   53 -2.011   44 -1.570    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   51  5.569   44 -1.386   45 -1.755
Briar Cliff              4  7  0 184 365 -1.894   54 -1.960   54 -2.020   66 -2.411    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   55  5.043   68 -2.587   60 -2.236
Lawrence Tech            3  7  0 205 336 -1.712   55 -1.985   55 -2.060   59 -2.255    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   54  5.068   60 -2.167   64 -2.342
Clarke                   3  8  0 164 366 -1.761   56 -2.086   56 -2.131   61 -2.323    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   57  4.917   69 -2.634   54 -2.012
Montana St-Northern      1  9  0  59 364 -1.075   57 -2.094   57 -2.140   62 -2.328    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   61  4.607   76 -3.302   33 -1.353
Warner U.                4  6  0 265 413 -2.226   58 -2.101   58 -2.159   71 -2.584    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   59  4.696   57 -2.084   76 -3.084
Waldorf                  4  6  0 233 312 -2.042   59 -2.101   59 -2.160   60 -2.286    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   56  4.933   53 -1.870   72 -2.703
Faulkner                 2  8  0 102 315 -1.634   60 -2.131   60 -2.202   72 -2.629    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   60  4.635   75 -3.242   55 -2.017
TEAM                     W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
SW Assem of God          4  6  0 212 334 -2.295   61 -2.197   61 -2.255   69 -2.540    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   63  4.544   64 -2.498   71 -2.582
Union KY                 4  6  0 189 231 -2.209   62 -2.243   62 -2.319   63 -2.352    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   62  4.595   71 -2.897   50 -1.808
Webber Int'l             3  7  0 229 277 -1.713   63 -2.260   63 -2.346   50 -1.786    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   58  4.819   54 -1.927   42 -1.646
Point U.                 4  7  0 214 349 -2.187   64 -2.279   64 -2.374   67 -2.415    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   64  4.479   65 -2.554   61 -2.277
Mount Marty              3  8  0 274 382 -1.899   65 -2.303   65 -2.402   58 -2.218    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   65  4.464   49 -1.726   73 -2.711
Missouri Baptist         2  8  0 238 302 -1.577   66 -2.376   66 -2.529   48 -1.737    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   66  4.341   47 -1.538   52 -1.937
Doane                    2  9  0 148 342 -1.794   67 -2.387   67 -2.545   68 -2.432    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   69  4.057   72 -2.947   51 -1.917
Taylor                   2  9  0 271 404 -1.560   68 -2.389   68 -2.547   52 -2.001    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   67  4.290   45 -1.436   70 -2.565
Jamestown                2  9  0 210 302 -1.727   69 -2.497   69 -2.654   51 -1.959    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   68  4.159   58 -2.118   49 -1.800
Thomas GA                1  8  0 157 349 -1.672   70 -2.559   70 -2.744   64 -2.366    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   70  3.886   62 -2.401   63 -2.331
TEAM                     W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
St Ambrose               1  9  0 168 364 -1.719   71 -2.601   71 -2.808   73 -2.653    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   72  3.668   70 -2.797   68 -2.508
Mayville St              3  8  0 222 287 -2.293   72 -2.615   72 -2.845   65 -2.369    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   71  3.679   61 -2.374   65 -2.364
Central Methodist        1 10  0 179 493 -1.809   73 -2.633   73 -2.862   75 -2.799    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   73  3.526   67 -2.582   75 -3.016
Culver-Stockton          1 10  0 125 378 -1.962   74 -2.771   74 -2.968   76 -2.874    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   74  3.334   77 -3.423   62 -2.325
Dakota St                1  9  0 106 277 -1.989   75 -2.798   75 -3.011   74 -2.695    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   75  3.333   78 -3.426   53 -1.964
Judson IL                0  9  0 115 458 -1.766   76 -2.896   76 -3.155   78 -3.301    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   77  2.917   73 -3.022   80 -3.579
Wayland Baptist          2  8  0 210 326 -2.418   77 -2.932   77 -3.217   70 -2.567    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   76  3.087   66 -2.579   69 -2.556
Madonna                  0 11  0  72 592 -1.913   78 -3.093   78 -3.329   80 -3.891    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   80  2.585   80 -4.335   79 -3.448
Texas College            1 10  0 161 561 -2.439   79 -3.129   79 -3.393   77 -3.228    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   78  2.667   74 -3.100   78 -3.357
Arkansas Baptist         1  8  1 105 428 -2.712   80 -3.130   80 -3.397   79 -3.441    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   79  2.626   79 -3.927   74 -2.955
TEAM                     W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Kentucky Christian       1 10  0  51 526 -3.127   81 -3.256   81 -3.609   82 -4.507    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   81  2.106   82 -5.354   81 -3.659
St Andrews               0 11  0  84 562 -3.058   82 -3.625   82 -4.199   81 -4.252    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   82  1.550   81 -4.702   82 -3.803


Appalachian Athletic Conference: strength=-2.482 (#9)
                                                  STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Reinhardt                8  3  0 423 214 -1.438   29 -0.886   29 -0.927   28 -0.911    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   28  7.876   26 -0.736   30 -1.085
Pikeville                7  3  0 383 233 -1.806   36 -1.330   36 -1.280   35 -1.299    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   34  7.058   29 -0.808   48 -1.790
Bluefield VA             5  5  0 333 375 -1.936   48 -1.670   48 -1.717   57 -2.155    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   47  6.037   37 -1.215   77 -3.095
Union KY                 4  6  0 189 231 -2.209   62 -2.243   62 -2.319   63 -2.352    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   62  4.595   71 -2.897   50 -1.808
Point U.                 4  7  0 214 349 -2.187   64 -2.279   64 -2.374   67 -2.415    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   64  4.479   65 -2.554   61 -2.277
Kentucky Christian       1 10  0  51 526 -3.127   81 -3.256   81 -3.609   82 -4.507    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   81  2.106   82 -5.354   81 -3.659
St Andrews               0 11  0  84 562 -3.058   82 -3.625   82 -4.199   81 -4.252    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   82  1.550   81 -4.702   82 -3.803

Frontier Conference: strength=-0.062 (#1)
                                                  STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Coll of Idaho           10  2  0 484 289  0.242    1  1.099    1  0.899    3  0.679    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1 11.450    1  1.465   12 -0.108
Montana-Western          9  2  0 405 243  0.059    3  0.863    3  0.682    4  0.439    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    3 11.068    3  0.696    7  0.183
Carroll MT               7  3  0 236 200  0.042    5  0.522    5  0.393   12 -0.061    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    6 10.366   21 -0.458    4  0.337
Montana Tech             7  4  0 347 286  0.086    7  0.425    7  0.267   10  0.043    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    8 10.225    5  0.562   23 -0.475
Southern Oregon          6  4  0 308 190 -0.011   11  0.059   11 -0.028    6  0.186    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   11  9.494    9 -0.009    3  0.381
Rocky Mountain           6  4  0 278 183 -0.142   13 -0.033   13 -0.152   11  0.020    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   13  9.239   14 -0.260    5  0.300
Eastern Oregon           2  8  0 222 277 -0.176   39 -1.473   39 -1.423   21 -0.530    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   39  6.816   25 -0.606   20 -0.454
Arizona Christian        2  8  0 196 382 -0.729   46 -1.607   46 -1.618   42 -1.493    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   46  6.134   42 -1.257   44 -1.729
Montana St-Northern      1  9  0  59 364 -1.075   57 -2.094   57 -2.140   62 -2.328    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   61  4.607   76 -3.302   33 -1.353

Great Plains Athletic Conference: strength=-1.617 (#6)
                                                  STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Northwestern IA         13  0  0 491 192 -0.806    2  0.968    2  0.803    7  0.128    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    2 11.300    7  0.083    8  0.173
Morningside              9  3  0 435 208 -0.911   20 -0.492   20 -0.467   16 -0.308    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   19  8.728   16 -0.307   15 -0.309
Dordt                    9  3  0 378 163 -1.085   23 -0.637   23 -0.615   19 -0.508    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   23  8.404   33 -1.008   10 -0.008
Midland U.               6  5  0 315 287 -1.573   40 -1.504   40 -1.476   39 -1.453    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   41  6.571   36 -1.198   43 -1.708
Dakota Wesleyan          6  5  0 251 284 -1.753   43 -1.564   42 -1.563   49 -1.773    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   45  6.232   52 -1.771   47 -1.775
Concordia NE             5  5  0 303 319 -1.607   45 -1.575   45 -1.578   45 -1.583    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   44  6.273   34 -1.011   58 -2.154
Hastings                 5  6  0 260 376 -1.703   47 -1.660   47 -1.704   53 -2.075    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   48  6.005   50 -1.769   66 -2.380
Briar Cliff              4  7  0 184 365 -1.894   54 -1.960   54 -2.020   66 -2.411    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   55  5.043   68 -2.587   60 -2.236
Mount Marty              3  8  0 274 382 -1.899   65 -2.303   65 -2.402   58 -2.218    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   65  4.464   49 -1.726   73 -2.711
Doane                    2  9  0 148 342 -1.794   67 -2.387   67 -2.545   68 -2.432    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   69  4.057   72 -2.947   51 -1.917
Jamestown                2  9  0 210 302 -1.727   69 -2.497   69 -2.654   51 -1.959    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   68  4.159   58 -2.118   49 -1.800

Heart of America Athletic Conference: strength=-1.390 (#4)
                                                  STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Grand View              11  1  0 489  87 -0.438    4  0.622    4  0.420    1  0.778    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    4 10.841    8  0.006    1  1.550
MidAmerica Nazarene      9  2  0 333 282 -1.124   12  0.025   12 -0.076   31 -1.003    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   14  9.183   28 -0.778   31 -1.228
Baker                    9  3  0 434 235 -0.831   15 -0.276   15 -0.326   15 -0.300    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   17  8.956   15 -0.269   16 -0.331
Benedictine KS           8  3  0 432 201 -1.071   24 -0.695   24 -0.696   17 -0.346    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   24  8.348   13 -0.238   21 -0.455
Missouri Valley          5  5  0 269 353 -1.397   34 -1.308   34 -1.244   47 -1.729    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   38  6.830   41 -1.253   59 -2.205
Graceland                6  5  0 387 304 -1.250   37 -1.350   37 -1.305   29 -0.931    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   35  6.950   17 -0.309   41 -1.553
Peru St                  5  6  0 325 363 -1.386   44 -1.567   44 -1.567   40 -1.457    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   43  6.316   32 -0.879   56 -2.036
William Penn             4  6  0 200 201 -1.506   50 -1.836   50 -1.832   43 -1.515    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   49  5.951   56 -2.068   28 -0.962
Clarke                   3  8  0 164 366 -1.761   56 -2.086   56 -2.131   61 -2.323    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   57  4.917   69 -2.634   54 -2.012
Missouri Baptist         2  8  0 238 302 -1.577   66 -2.376   66 -2.529   48 -1.737    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   66  4.341   47 -1.538   52 -1.937
Central Methodist        1 10  0 179 493 -1.809   73 -2.633   73 -2.862   75 -2.799    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   73  3.526   67 -2.582   75 -3.016
Culver-Stockton          1 10  0 125 378 -1.962   74 -2.771   74 -2.968   76 -2.874    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   74  3.334   77 -3.423   62 -2.325

Mid-South Conference: strength=-1.189 (#2)
                                                  STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Georgetown KY           10  1  0 405 149 -0.785    8  0.402    8  0.230    9  0.057    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    7 10.311   11 -0.144    6  0.257
Bethel TN               11  2  0 545 208 -0.975   14 -0.062   14 -0.194   13 -0.137    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   12  9.384   10 -0.120   13 -0.155
Lindsey Wilson           7  3  0 364 174 -1.043   25 -0.727   25 -0.734   23 -0.589    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   25  8.293   23 -0.582   26 -0.596
Cumberlands KY           6  4  0 237 220 -1.458   32 -1.105   32 -1.141   41 -1.472    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   33  7.191   48 -1.650   32 -1.294
Cumberland TN            5  5  0 201 226 -2.089   51 -1.844   51 -1.843   56 -2.114    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   52  5.450   63 -2.468   46 -1.759
Campbellsville           4  6  0 284 257 -1.645   53 -1.954   53 -2.011   44 -1.570    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   51  5.569   44 -1.386   45 -1.755
Faulkner                 2  8  0 102 315 -1.634   60 -2.131   60 -2.202   72 -2.629    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   60  4.635   75 -3.242   55 -2.017

Mid-States Football Association: strength=-1.466 (#5)
                                                  STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Indiana Wesleyan        10  2  0 396 221 -0.802   10  0.116   10  0.046   18 -0.393    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   10  9.692   19 -0.364   18 -0.423
Marian IN                9  2  0 355 186 -1.147   17 -0.290   17 -0.345   24 -0.655    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   18  8.807   31 -0.868   19 -0.443
St Xavier                8  4  0 367 241 -0.827   21 -0.496   21 -0.469   22 -0.582    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   21  8.565   24 -0.591   25 -0.572
Concordia MI             7  3  0 330 157 -1.199   26 -0.813   26 -0.827   25 -0.700    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   26  8.013   35 -1.059   17 -0.341
Roosevelt                6  4  0 284 265 -1.236   27 -0.843   27 -0.865   36 -1.353    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   29  7.769   40 -1.252   37 -1.454
St Francis IN            6  4  0 311 246 -1.342   31 -1.073   31 -1.099   34 -1.148    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   30  7.294   30 -0.852   36 -1.444
St Francis IL            7  3  0 318 143 -1.635   33 -1.305   33 -1.243   30 -0.966    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   32  7.199   46 -1.476   22 -0.456
Siena Heights            6  4  0 306 246 -1.641   35 -1.330   35 -1.277   38 -1.433    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   36  6.866   43 -1.351   39 -1.515
Olivet Nazarene          6  4  0 350 227 -1.506   38 -1.402   38 -1.379   32 -1.073    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   37  6.859   27 -0.767   34 -1.378
Lawrence Tech            3  7  0 205 336 -1.712   55 -1.985   55 -2.060   59 -2.255    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   54  5.068   60 -2.167   64 -2.342
Taylor                   2  9  0 271 404 -1.560   68 -2.389   68 -2.547   52 -2.001    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   67  4.290   45 -1.436   70 -2.565
St Ambrose               1  9  0 168 364 -1.719   71 -2.601   71 -2.808   73 -2.653    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   72  3.668   70 -2.797   68 -2.508
Judson IL                0  9  0 115 458 -1.766   76 -2.896   76 -3.155   78 -3.301    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   77  2.917   73 -3.022   80 -3.579
Madonna                  0 11  0  72 592 -1.913   78 -3.093   78 -3.329   80 -3.891    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   80  2.585   80 -4.335   79 -3.448

North Star Athletic Association: strength=-2.029 (#8)
                                                  STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Dickinson St            10  2  0 427 190 -0.763    9  0.249    9  0.104   14 -0.160    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    9  9.747   12 -0.229   11 -0.090
Valley City St           7  3  0 206 221 -1.817   30 -0.938   30 -1.001   46 -1.710    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   31  7.253   55 -2.034   35 -1.387
Waldorf                  4  6  0 233 312 -2.042   59 -2.101   59 -2.160   60 -2.286    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   56  4.933   53 -1.870   72 -2.703
Mayville St              3  8  0 222 287 -2.293   72 -2.615   72 -2.845   65 -2.369    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   71  3.679   61 -2.374   65 -2.364
Dakota St                1  9  0 106 277 -1.989   75 -2.798   75 -3.011   74 -2.695    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   75  3.333   78 -3.426   53 -1.964

Sooner Athletic Conference: strength=-1.935 (#7)
                                                  STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Ottawa AZ                8  1  0 497 144 -1.157   16 -0.282   16 -0.339    8  0.074    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   16  9.064    6  0.401   14 -0.254
Louisiana Christian      9  2  0 452 226 -1.293   19 -0.363   19 -0.412   26 -0.718    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   20  8.625   20 -0.374   29 -1.062
Texas Wesleyan           8  2  0 427 166 -1.173   22 -0.598   22 -0.554   20 -0.509    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   22  8.538   22 -0.481   24 -0.536
Langston                 6  4  0 332 238 -1.717   42 -1.564   43 -1.563   37 -1.380    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   42  6.480   39 -1.232   40 -1.529
OK Panhandle St          5  5  0 274 338 -2.082   49 -1.826   49 -1.819   54 -2.094    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   50  5.666   51 -1.769   67 -2.419
SW Assem of God          4  6  0 212 334 -2.295   61 -2.197   61 -2.255   69 -2.540    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   63  4.544   64 -2.498   71 -2.582
Wayland Baptist          2  8  0 210 326 -2.418   77 -2.932   77 -3.217   70 -2.567    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   76  3.087   66 -2.579   69 -2.556
Texas College            1 10  0 161 561 -2.439   79 -3.129   79 -3.393   77 -3.228    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   78  2.667   74 -3.100   78 -3.357
Arkansas Baptist         1  8  1 105 428 -2.712   80 -3.130   80 -3.397   79 -3.441    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   79  2.626   79 -3.927   74 -2.955

Sun Conference: strength=-1.345 (#3)
                                                  STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Keiser                  10  2  0 512 217 -0.235    6  0.517    6  0.385    2  0.704    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    5 10.749    2  0.885    2  0.524
St Thomas FL             9  4  0 589 243 -0.450   18 -0.303   18 -0.359    5  0.335    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   15  9.100    4  0.563    9  0.107
Florida Memorial         6  4  0 371 313 -1.025   28 -0.869   28 -0.904   27 -0.896    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   27  7.890   18 -0.310   38 -1.482
Southeastern FL          5  5  0 261 226 -1.320   41 -1.510   41 -1.483   33 -1.087    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   40  6.664   38 -1.224   27 -0.949
Ave Maria                4  6  0 226 327 -1.799   52 -1.919   52 -1.958   55 -2.097    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   53  5.298   59 -2.146   57 -2.049
Warner U.                4  6  0 265 413 -2.226   58 -2.101   58 -2.159   71 -2.584    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   59  4.696   57 -2.084   76 -3.084
Webber Int'l             3  7  0 229 277 -1.713   63 -2.260   63 -2.346   50 -1.786    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   58  4.819   54 -1.927   42 -1.646
Thomas GA                1  8  0 157 349 -1.672   70 -2.559   70 -2.744   64 -2.366    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   70  3.886   62 -2.401   63 -2.331

Conference Strengths
CONFERENCE                                                W   L   T   PCT  RNK RATING
Frontier Conference                                      50  44   0 0.532    1 -0.062
Mid-South Conference                                     45  29   0 0.608    2 -1.189
Sun Conference                                           42  42   0 0.500    3 -1.345
Heart of America Athletic Conference                     64  67   0 0.489    4 -1.390
Mid-States Football Association                          71  75   0 0.486    5 -1.466
Great Plains Athletic Conference                         64  60   0 0.516    6 -1.617
Sooner Athletic Conference                               44  46   1 0.489    7 -1.935
North Star Athletic Association                          25  28   0 0.472    8 -2.029
Appalachian Athletic Conference                          29  45   0 0.392    9 -2.482

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.156 points in main ratings
     0.024 points in improved RPI
Average of 6.20 points per score

Predict score:






Team Strength vs. Time Plot:





posted: Sun Dec  3 11:18:14 2023

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