Dolphin Ratings - College Football

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and six ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
RPI Rating. Included only because of common real-life usage. The RPI rating has many statistical problems. The football RPI rating is based on the BCS formula, and approximates the schedule, loss, and quality win components.
Pseudo-Poll. A blended ranking based on win-loss and predictive ratings, calibrated to match real-life polls as closely as possible. This gives a rough but unbiased estimate of how typical voters value record vs. impressive wins.
Predictive-Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Predictive-Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Predictive-Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

Because these ratings contain no prejudices regarding team or conference strengths, they tend to be quite inaccurate early in the seasons. College football appears to take at least 5 games per team before even remotely reasonable ratings are produced; acceptable ratings are produced with 8 games per team; excellent ratings unfortunately require 14 games per team.

Rankings by division: Overall I-A I-AA II III NAIA NESCAC

Full Ranking

                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
U of Fort Lauderdale     0  4   7 153 -1.849   78 -2.780   78 -2.966   88 -3.195    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   80  4.154   96 -4.115   64 -2.276
Webber Int'l             5  5 308 280 -1.716   46 -1.800   46 -1.806   44 -1.754    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   44  6.377   38 -1.357   58 -2.151
Reinhardt                7  4 339 294 -1.642   33 -1.146   33 -1.228   38 -1.529    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   36  7.156   34 -1.264   45 -1.794
Dakota Wesleyan          4  7 219 305 -2.055   63 -2.238   63 -2.377   60 -2.235    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   64  5.243   63 -2.403   55 -2.068
Dakota St                6  4 183 158 -2.000   44 -1.791   44 -1.796   48 -1.863    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   45  6.240   65 -2.443   26 -1.282
Rocky Mountain           2  8 208 319 -1.659   67 -2.458   67 -2.624   57 -2.155    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   68  4.904   53 -2.187   57 -2.123
Dickinson St            10  2 397 215 -1.512   19 -0.636   19 -0.677   23 -0.881    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   20  8.277   22 -0.680   23 -1.083
Jamestown                3  7 155 241 -1.743   57 -2.145   57 -2.252   56 -2.114    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   59  5.446   57 -2.271   51 -1.958
Montana St-Northern      1  9 131 360 -1.908   79 -2.791   79 -2.990   73 -2.688    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   78  4.280   82 -3.003   66 -2.372
Mayville St              4  6 143 201 -2.153   62 -2.223   62 -2.357   64 -2.411    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   63  5.246   79 -2.953   48 -1.870
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Valley City St           3  7 150 202 -1.845   64 -2.265   64 -2.415   54 -2.073    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   62  5.266   73 -2.642   35 -1.505
Georgetown KY            9  3 297 232 -0.476    5  0.379    5  0.058    8 -0.323    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    5  9.939   24 -0.726    5  0.080
Montana Tech             9  3 520 257 -0.922   14 -0.377   14 -0.487   10 -0.374    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   14  8.707    3  0.168   20 -0.915
Campbellsville           9  2 364 178 -0.867    7  0.079    7 -0.204    5 -0.244    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    8  9.358   14 -0.359    7 -0.128
Pikeville                6  6 498 396 -1.487   43 -1.682   43 -1.638   34 -1.362    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   43  6.605    9 -0.236   70 -2.487
Taylor                   9  2 532 354 -2.020   27 -0.961   27 -1.013   41 -1.580    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   29  7.640   18 -0.484   74 -2.676
Siena Heights            3  7 230 212 -1.924   68 -2.520   68 -2.642   47 -1.845    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   67  4.982   61 -2.389   28 -1.302
North American U.        1  9  83 478 -3.183   95 -3.509   95 -3.877   96 -4.111    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   95  2.734   99 -4.780   91 -3.442
Lindsey Wilson           5  4 239 200 -0.909   26 -0.860   26 -0.907   24 -0.934    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   26  7.918   29 -0.866   22 -1.002
Texas Wesleyan          10  1 632 230 -1.468   11 -0.335   11 -0.437   15 -0.526    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   11  8.835    5  0.094   24 -1.147
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
William Woods            1 10 143 603 -3.051   93 -3.342   93 -3.730   94 -4.004    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   94  2.835   93 -3.778   96 -4.229
William Penn             4  6 267 284 -1.808   56 -2.119   56 -2.216   49 -1.907    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   55  5.600   48 -1.828   53 -1.986
Clarke                   1 10 150 461 -2.314   87 -3.076   87 -3.353   91 -3.304    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   87  3.639   90 -3.368   87 -3.240
Midland U.               6  5 277 234 -1.861   48 -1.830   48 -1.847   43 -1.737    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   46  6.195   49 -1.864   39 -1.610
Bluefield VA             5  6 254 339 -2.030   51 -1.978   52 -2.024   61 -2.280    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   52  5.710   52 -2.186   67 -2.373
Thomas GA                1  9 151 392 -2.121   85 -2.972   85 -3.191   82 -2.901    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   84  3.952   78 -2.928   78 -2.875
Bethany KS               3  8 200 452 -2.375   74 -2.616   74 -2.735   87 -3.068    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   76  4.531   75 -2.784   89 -3.353
Avila                    4  7 208 347 -2.248   65 -2.337   65 -2.446   71 -2.581    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   66  5.025   70 -2.601   71 -2.560
Point U.                 4  7 230 274 -1.900   59 -2.174   59 -2.291   55 -2.075    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   58  5.465   67 -2.460   42 -1.690
Bethel TN                7  3 270 130 -0.857   16 -0.446   16 -0.574   14 -0.506    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   16  8.605   32 -1.056    6  0.043
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Texas College            7  3 294 315 -2.694   45 -1.792   45 -1.797   72 -2.586    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   49  6.015   56 -2.237   80 -2.935
Central Methodist        1 10 140 453 -2.521   92 -3.270   92 -3.623   89 -3.212    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   92  3.348   91 -3.466   81 -2.958
Simpson CA               0  9  73 556 -2.848   96 -3.529   96 -3.908   98 -4.252    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   98  2.466   98 -4.464   95 -4.040
Coll of Idaho            6  4 371 286 -1.256   29 -1.024   29 -1.094   30 -1.182    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   30  7.591   21 -0.614   43 -1.750
Olivet Nazarene          6  4 326 310 -1.778   39 -1.515   39 -1.468   46 -1.787    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   40  6.751   39 -1.360   60 -2.214
Concordia MI             5  6 293 240 -2.055   60 -2.203   60 -2.330   45 -1.780    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   57  5.509   51 -2.139   32 -1.421
Waldorf                  0 11 127 535 -2.577   98 -3.595   98 -4.016   93 -3.662    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   96  2.643   92 -3.612   94 -3.713
Concordia NE             8  2 385 184 -1.269   18 -0.567   17 -0.633   19 -0.702    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   18  8.428   17 -0.439   21 -0.964
Mount Marty              6  5 284 278 -1.909   47 -1.802   47 -1.809   52 -1.968    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   47  6.187   50 -1.940   54 -1.997
Culver-Stockton          3  8 262 497 -1.832   58 -2.153   58 -2.262   67 -2.465    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   61  5.309   47 -1.780   83 -3.150
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Graceland                7  4 409 289 -1.751   41 -1.601   41 -1.529   36 -1.458    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   39  6.751   25 -0.739   59 -2.178
Doane                    3  8 150 350 -2.284   70 -2.548   70 -2.682   76 -2.730    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   74  4.595   84 -3.226   62 -2.235
St Andrews               0  9  86 481 -2.609   97 -3.540   97 -3.922   99 -4.356    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   97  2.492   97 -4.443   97 -4.268
Peru St                  7  3 295 218 -2.000   38 -1.358   38 -1.407   42 -1.628    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   38  6.810   46 -1.734   36 -1.523
Hastings                 2  9 169 386 -2.411   83 -2.908   84 -3.164   84 -3.022    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   83  3.957   83 -3.161   79 -2.884
Evangel                  8  2 337 182 -1.541   24 -0.767   24 -0.793   27 -1.111    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   23  8.081   31 -1.041   25 -1.182
Kansas Wesleyan          7  5 322 257 -1.706   42 -1.658   42 -1.605   37 -1.487    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   42  6.628   44 -1.595   30 -1.379
Indiana Wesleyan        11  2 577 153 -0.879    8 -0.016    8 -0.252    3  0.094    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    6  9.697    7 -0.158    2  0.345
Madonna                  0 11 174 595 -2.993   99 -3.866   99 -4.321   97 -4.178    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   99  2.159   95 -3.818  100 -4.538
Cumberland TN            7  3 321 183 -1.031   20 -0.651   20 -0.689   18 -0.649    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   19  8.353   20 -0.614   16 -0.684
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Missouri Baptist         6  4 314 265 -1.641   37 -1.334   37 -1.370   40 -1.567    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   37  6.868   40 -1.449   41 -1.685
Benedictine KS          11  3 617 353 -0.587    4  0.389    4  0.070    4 -0.108    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    4  9.985    1  0.646   19 -0.863
Morningside             12  2 603 207 -0.518    3  0.506    3  0.208    2  0.224    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    3 10.315    2  0.223    4  0.225
Lincoln CA               0 10  91 540 -1.327   80 -2.877   80 -3.112   86 -3.065    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   82  4.105   89 -3.329   77 -2.801
Wayland Baptist          4  6 345 313 -2.390   72 -2.573   73 -2.730   58 -2.201    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   69  4.841   45 -1.681   75 -2.721
OK Panhandle St          4  6 290 304 -2.468   71 -2.557   71 -2.695   69 -2.540    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   70  4.791   58 -2.315   76 -2.764
Southwestern KS         11  2 518 196 -1.095   10 -0.118   10 -0.388    9 -0.333    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   10  8.920   15 -0.364   10 -0.303
Ottawa KS                1 10 153 303 -2.334   88 -3.172   89 -3.508   80 -2.835    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   88  3.628   88 -3.321   65 -2.350
Faulkner                 2  8 139 373 -1.273   53 -1.983   53 -2.025   68 -2.537    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   54  5.659   74 -2.666   68 -2.407
Southeastern FL          7  2 281  92 -1.517   28 -0.984   28 -1.042   21 -0.835    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   27  7.855   41 -1.510    8 -0.159
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Briar Cliff              2  9 197 478 -2.464   84 -2.931   82 -3.133   90 -3.229    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   85  3.943   76 -2.830   92 -3.628
St Ambrose               3  8 230 346 -2.154   75 -2.632   75 -2.760   65 -2.433    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   73  4.609   72 -2.638   61 -2.228
Friends                 11  2 508 224 -1.138    9 -0.093    9 -0.354   11 -0.446    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    9  8.960   12 -0.317   13 -0.575
St Mary KS               1  9 214 367 -2.385   89 -3.199   88 -3.506   77 -2.779    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   89  3.594   62 -2.394   84 -3.163
Bethel KS                5  6 223 269 -2.114   54 -2.082   54 -2.168   59 -2.233    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   56  5.569   68 -2.523   50 -1.943
Sterling                 2  9 163 343 -2.389   81 -2.877   81 -3.121   83 -2.962    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   81  4.145   87 -3.251   73 -2.674
Ave Maria                3  7 198 298 -1.755   61 -2.216   61 -2.346   53 -2.025    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   60  5.378   54 -2.197   46 -1.854
McPherson                8  3 386 232 -1.672   32 -1.138   32 -1.218   28 -1.122    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   32  7.418   26 -0.802   34 -1.441
Tabor                    6  5 216 279 -2.155   49 -1.843   49 -1.865   63 -2.339    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   50  5.970   69 -2.576   56 -2.102
Virginia U-Lynchburg     0  8  33 405 -0.327   66 -2.365   66 -2.478   70 -2.551    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   65  5.147   85 -3.231   49 -1.871
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Keiser                  12  1 490 280 -0.672    2  0.807    2  0.523    7 -0.270    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    2 10.744    6  0.031   12 -0.571
Arkansas Baptist         0 10  78 559 -3.243  100 -3.883  100 -4.354  100 -4.783    1 0.0000    1 0.0000  100  2.002  100 -5.172   99 -4.394
Baker                    9  2 443 187 -1.431   21 -0.730   21 -0.743   22 -0.866    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   21  8.235   30 -0.904   17 -0.827
Cumberlands KY           5  5 251 242 -1.161   36 -1.195   36 -1.300   32 -1.307    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   35  7.192   35 -1.320   27 -1.294
Carroll MT               7  3 277 189 -1.225   22 -0.740   22 -0.754   26 -1.083    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   24  8.075   42 -1.529   15 -0.637
Langston                 6  4 270 320 -2.388   50 -1.846   50 -1.869   62 -2.298    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   48  6.049   60 -2.348   63 -2.247
Defiance                 4  7 262 389 -3.213   86 -2.974   86 -3.198   92 -3.471    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   86  3.837   86 -3.241   93 -3.702
MidAmerica Nazarene      9  2 496 188 -1.026   13 -0.352   13 -0.459   12 -0.447    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   12  8.812   13 -0.340   11 -0.554
Florida Memorial         6  3 352 245 -1.431   31 -1.064   31 -1.148   29 -1.125    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   31  7.587   19 -0.597   40 -1.653
Grand View              14  0 548 117 -0.706    1  1.033    1  0.797    1  0.447    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1 11.272    8 -0.211    1  1.104
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Northwestern IA          9  3 336 133 -0.952   12 -0.339   12 -0.439   16 -0.557    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   13  8.720   37 -1.342    3  0.228
St Francis IN            8  4 483 329 -1.650   35 -1.184   35 -1.287   33 -1.330    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   34  7.251   27 -0.804   47 -1.856
Judson IL                1  9 165 530 -3.079   94 -3.359   94 -3.758   95 -4.058    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   93  2.843   94 -3.788   98 -4.329
St Xavier                5  6 286 244 -1.952   55 -2.094   55 -2.182   51 -1.946    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   53  5.670   59 -2.334   37 -1.558
Lawrence Tech            2  8 237 395 -2.409   82 -2.896   83 -3.144   81 -2.896    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   79  4.161   71 -2.621   85 -3.172
Dordt                    8  2 395 122 -1.128   17 -0.508   18 -0.657   13 -0.482    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   17  8.531   23 -0.723    9 -0.241
Missouri Valley          4  6 203 225 -1.695   52 -1.978   51 -2.023   50 -1.926    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   51  5.842   66 -2.446   31 -1.406
Eastern Oregon           5  6 311 331 -1.368   40 -1.601   40 -1.524   39 -1.561    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   41  6.646   36 -1.340   44 -1.782
Montana-Western         10  2 498 257 -0.914    6  0.100    6 -0.179    6 -0.248    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    7  9.373    4  0.111   14 -0.607
Kentucky Christian       1  9 274 419 -2.344   91 -3.261   91 -3.608   79 -2.810    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   90  3.499   55 -2.203   90 -3.418
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Ottawa AZ                8  2 524 229 -1.765   30 -1.052   30 -1.136   25 -0.950    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   28  7.685   10 -0.290   38 -1.610
Marian IN                8  2 362 299 -1.625   23 -0.750   23 -0.771   35 -1.401    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   25  8.024   28 -0.825   52 -1.976
Southern Oregon          8  3 473 214 -1.190   25 -0.821   25 -0.862   17 -0.600    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   22  8.100   16 -0.365   18 -0.835
Louisiana Christian      4  7 368 459 -2.341   73 -2.586   72 -2.696   66 -2.437    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   71  4.747   43 -1.592   88 -3.282
St Thomas FL             8  2 403 230 -1.212   15 -0.422   15 -0.545   20 -0.816    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   15  8.606   11 -0.296   29 -1.335
Warner U.                0  8 135 350 -2.014   90 -3.226   90 -3.545   85 -3.035    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   91  3.480   77 -2.836   86 -3.234
Union KY                 3  7 176 304 -2.255   69 -2.538   69 -2.669   74 -2.708    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   72  4.661   81 -2.995   69 -2.421
St Francis IL            7  3 379 209 -1.636   34 -1.169   34 -1.268   31 -1.252    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   33  7.390   33 -1.064   33 -1.440
Arizona Christian        2  8 225 404 -2.054   76 -2.655   76 -2.790   75 -2.720    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   77  4.520   64 -2.405   82 -3.035
Nelson U.                4  6 230 290 -2.692   77 -2.661   77 -2.804   78 -2.808    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   75  4.545   80 -2.987   72 -2.630


Appalachian Athletic Conference: strength=-2.405 (#9)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Reinhardt                7  4 339 294 -1.642   33 -1.146   33 -1.228   38 -1.529    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   36  7.156   34 -1.264   45 -1.794
Pikeville                6  6 498 396 -1.487   43 -1.682   43 -1.638   34 -1.362    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   43  6.605    9 -0.236   70 -2.487
Bluefield VA             5  6 254 339 -2.030   51 -1.978   52 -2.024   61 -2.280    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   52  5.710   52 -2.186   67 -2.373
Point U.                 4  7 230 274 -1.900   59 -2.174   59 -2.291   55 -2.075    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   58  5.465   67 -2.460   42 -1.690
St Andrews               0  9  86 481 -2.609   97 -3.540   97 -3.922   99 -4.356    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   97  2.492   97 -4.443   97 -4.268
Kentucky Christian       1  9 274 419 -2.344   91 -3.261   91 -3.608   79 -2.810    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   90  3.499   55 -2.203   90 -3.418
Union KY                 3  7 176 304 -2.255   69 -2.538   69 -2.669   74 -2.708    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   72  4.661   81 -2.995   69 -2.421

Frontier Conference: strength=-1.288 (#2)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Rocky Mountain           2  8 208 319 -1.659   67 -2.458   67 -2.624   57 -2.155    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   68  4.904   53 -2.187   57 -2.123
Montana St-Northern      1  9 131 360 -1.908   79 -2.791   79 -2.990   73 -2.688    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   78  4.280   82 -3.003   66 -2.372
Montana Tech             9  3 520 257 -0.922   14 -0.377   14 -0.487   10 -0.374    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   14  8.707    3  0.168   20 -0.915
Coll of Idaho            6  4 371 286 -1.256   29 -1.024   29 -1.094   30 -1.182    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   30  7.591   21 -0.614   43 -1.750
Carroll MT               7  3 277 189 -1.225   22 -0.740   22 -0.754   26 -1.083    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   24  8.075   42 -1.529   15 -0.637
Eastern Oregon           5  6 311 331 -1.368   40 -1.601   40 -1.524   39 -1.561    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   41  6.646   36 -1.340   44 -1.782
Montana-Western         10  2 498 257 -0.914    6  0.100    6 -0.179    6 -0.248    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    7  9.373    4  0.111   14 -0.607
Southern Oregon          8  3 473 214 -1.190   25 -0.821   25 -0.862   17 -0.600    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   22  8.100   16 -0.365   18 -0.835
Arizona Christian        2  8 225 404 -2.054   76 -2.655   76 -2.790   75 -2.720    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   77  4.520   64 -2.405   82 -3.035

Great Plains Athletic Conference: strength=-1.644 (#4)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Dakota Wesleyan          4  7 219 305 -2.055   63 -2.238   63 -2.377   60 -2.235    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   64  5.243   63 -2.403   55 -2.068
Midland U.               6  5 277 234 -1.861   48 -1.830   48 -1.847   43 -1.737    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   46  6.195   49 -1.864   39 -1.610
Concordia NE             8  2 385 184 -1.269   18 -0.567   17 -0.633   19 -0.702    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   18  8.428   17 -0.439   21 -0.964
Mount Marty              6  5 284 278 -1.909   47 -1.802   47 -1.809   52 -1.968    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   47  6.187   50 -1.940   54 -1.997
Doane                    3  8 150 350 -2.284   70 -2.548   70 -2.682   76 -2.730    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   74  4.595   84 -3.226   62 -2.235
Hastings                 2  9 169 386 -2.411   83 -2.908   84 -3.164   84 -3.022    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   83  3.957   83 -3.161   79 -2.884
Morningside             12  2 603 207 -0.518    3  0.506    3  0.208    2  0.224    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    3 10.315    2  0.223    4  0.225
Briar Cliff              2  9 197 478 -2.464   84 -2.931   82 -3.133   90 -3.229    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   85  3.943   76 -2.830   92 -3.628
Northwestern IA          9  3 336 133 -0.952   12 -0.339   12 -0.439   16 -0.557    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   13  8.720   37 -1.342    3  0.228
Dordt                    8  2 395 122 -1.128   17 -0.508   18 -0.657   13 -0.482    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   17  8.531   23 -0.723    9 -0.241

Heart of America Athletic Conference: strength=-1.764 (#5)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
William Woods            1 10 143 603 -3.051   93 -3.342   93 -3.730   94 -4.004    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   94  2.835   93 -3.778   96 -4.229
William Penn             4  6 267 284 -1.808   56 -2.119   56 -2.216   49 -1.907    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   55  5.600   48 -1.828   53 -1.986
Clarke                   1 10 150 461 -2.314   87 -3.076   87 -3.353   91 -3.304    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   87  3.639   90 -3.368   87 -3.240
Central Methodist        1 10 140 453 -2.521   92 -3.270   92 -3.623   89 -3.212    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   92  3.348   91 -3.466   81 -2.958
Culver-Stockton          3  8 262 497 -1.832   58 -2.153   58 -2.262   67 -2.465    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   61  5.309   47 -1.780   83 -3.150
Graceland                7  4 409 289 -1.751   41 -1.601   41 -1.529   36 -1.458    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   39  6.751   25 -0.739   59 -2.178
Peru St                  7  3 295 218 -2.000   38 -1.358   38 -1.407   42 -1.628    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   38  6.810   46 -1.734   36 -1.523
Missouri Baptist         6  4 314 265 -1.641   37 -1.334   37 -1.370   40 -1.567    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   37  6.868   40 -1.449   41 -1.685
Benedictine KS          11  3 617 353 -0.587    4  0.389    4  0.070    4 -0.108    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    4  9.985    1  0.646   19 -0.863
St Ambrose               3  8 230 346 -2.154   75 -2.632   75 -2.760   65 -2.433    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   73  4.609   72 -2.638   61 -2.228
Baker                    9  2 443 187 -1.431   21 -0.730   21 -0.743   22 -0.866    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   21  8.235   30 -0.904   17 -0.827
MidAmerica Nazarene      9  2 496 188 -1.026   13 -0.352   13 -0.459   12 -0.447    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   12  8.812   13 -0.340   11 -0.554
Grand View              14  0 548 117 -0.706    1  1.033    1  0.797    1  0.447    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1 11.272    8 -0.211    1  1.104
Missouri Valley          4  6 203 225 -1.695   52 -1.978   51 -2.023   50 -1.926    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   51  5.842   66 -2.446   31 -1.406

Kansas Collegiate Athletic Conference: strength=-2.036 (#7)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Bethany KS               3  8 200 452 -2.375   74 -2.616   74 -2.735   87 -3.068    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   76  4.531   75 -2.784   89 -3.353
Avila                    4  7 208 347 -2.248   65 -2.337   65 -2.446   71 -2.581    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   66  5.025   70 -2.601   71 -2.560
Evangel                  8  2 337 182 -1.541   24 -0.767   24 -0.793   27 -1.111    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   23  8.081   31 -1.041   25 -1.182
Kansas Wesleyan          7  5 322 257 -1.706   42 -1.658   42 -1.605   37 -1.487    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   42  6.628   44 -1.595   30 -1.379
Southwestern KS         11  2 518 196 -1.095   10 -0.118   10 -0.388    9 -0.333    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   10  8.920   15 -0.364   10 -0.303
Ottawa KS                1 10 153 303 -2.334   88 -3.172   89 -3.508   80 -2.835    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   88  3.628   88 -3.321   65 -2.350
Friends                 11  2 508 224 -1.138    9 -0.093    9 -0.354   11 -0.446    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    9  8.960   12 -0.317   13 -0.575
St Mary KS               1  9 214 367 -2.385   89 -3.199   88 -3.506   77 -2.779    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   89  3.594   62 -2.394   84 -3.163
Bethel KS                5  6 223 269 -2.114   54 -2.082   54 -2.168   59 -2.233    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   56  5.569   68 -2.523   50 -1.943
Sterling                 2  9 163 343 -2.389   81 -2.877   81 -3.121   83 -2.962    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   81  4.145   87 -3.251   73 -2.674
McPherson                8  3 386 232 -1.672   32 -1.138   32 -1.218   28 -1.122    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   32  7.418   26 -0.802   34 -1.441
Tabor                    6  5 216 279 -2.155   49 -1.843   49 -1.865   63 -2.339    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   50  5.970   69 -2.576   56 -2.102

Mid-South Conference: strength=-0.705 (#1)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Georgetown KY            9  3 297 232 -0.476    5  0.379    5  0.058    8 -0.323    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    5  9.939   24 -0.726    5  0.080
Campbellsville           9  2 364 178 -0.867    7  0.079    7 -0.204    5 -0.244    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    8  9.358   14 -0.359    7 -0.128
Lindsey Wilson           5  4 239 200 -0.909   26 -0.860   26 -0.907   24 -0.934    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   26  7.918   29 -0.866   22 -1.002
Bethel TN                7  3 270 130 -0.857   16 -0.446   16 -0.574   14 -0.506    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   16  8.605   32 -1.056    6  0.043
Cumberland TN            7  3 321 183 -1.031   20 -0.651   20 -0.689   18 -0.649    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   19  8.353   20 -0.614   16 -0.684
Faulkner                 2  8 139 373 -1.273   53 -1.983   53 -2.025   68 -2.537    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   54  5.659   74 -2.666   68 -2.407
Cumberlands KY           5  5 251 242 -1.161   36 -1.195   36 -1.300   32 -1.307    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   35  7.192   35 -1.320   27 -1.294

Mid-States Football Association: strength=-2.030 (#6)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Taylor                   9  2 532 354 -2.020   27 -0.961   27 -1.013   41 -1.580    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   29  7.640   18 -0.484   74 -2.676
Siena Heights            3  7 230 212 -1.924   68 -2.520   68 -2.642   47 -1.845    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   67  4.982   61 -2.389   28 -1.302
Olivet Nazarene          6  4 326 310 -1.778   39 -1.515   39 -1.468   46 -1.787    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   40  6.751   39 -1.360   60 -2.214
Concordia MI             5  6 293 240 -2.055   60 -2.203   60 -2.330   45 -1.780    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   57  5.509   51 -2.139   32 -1.421
Indiana Wesleyan        11  2 577 153 -0.879    8 -0.016    8 -0.252    3  0.094    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    6  9.697    7 -0.158    2  0.345
Madonna                  0 11 174 595 -2.993   99 -3.866   99 -4.321   97 -4.178    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   99  2.159   95 -3.818  100 -4.538
Defiance                 4  7 262 389 -3.213   86 -2.974   86 -3.198   92 -3.471    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   86  3.837   86 -3.241   93 -3.702
St Francis IN            8  4 483 329 -1.650   35 -1.184   35 -1.287   33 -1.330    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   34  7.251   27 -0.804   47 -1.856
Judson IL                1  9 165 530 -3.079   94 -3.359   94 -3.758   95 -4.058    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   93  2.843   94 -3.788   98 -4.329
St Xavier                5  6 286 244 -1.952   55 -2.094   55 -2.182   51 -1.946    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   53  5.670   59 -2.334   37 -1.558
Lawrence Tech            2  8 237 395 -2.409   82 -2.896   83 -3.144   81 -2.896    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   79  4.161   71 -2.621   85 -3.172
Marian IN                8  2 362 299 -1.625   23 -0.750   23 -0.771   35 -1.401    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   25  8.024   28 -0.825   52 -1.976
St Francis IL            7  3 379 209 -1.636   34 -1.169   34 -1.268   31 -1.252    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   33  7.390   33 -1.064   33 -1.440

North Star Athletic Association: strength=-2.151 (#8)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Dakota St                6  4 183 158 -2.000   44 -1.791   44 -1.796   48 -1.863    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   45  6.240   65 -2.443   26 -1.282
Dickinson St            10  2 397 215 -1.512   19 -0.636   19 -0.677   23 -0.881    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   20  8.277   22 -0.680   23 -1.083
Jamestown                3  7 155 241 -1.743   57 -2.145   57 -2.252   56 -2.114    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   59  5.446   57 -2.271   51 -1.958
Mayville St              4  6 143 201 -2.153   62 -2.223   62 -2.357   64 -2.411    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   63  5.246   79 -2.953   48 -1.870
Valley City St           3  7 150 202 -1.845   64 -2.265   64 -2.415   54 -2.073    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   62  5.266   73 -2.642   35 -1.505
Waldorf                  0 11 127 535 -2.577   98 -3.595   98 -4.016   93 -3.662    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   96  2.643   92 -3.612   94 -3.713

Sooner Athletic Conference: strength=-2.565 (#10)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
North American U.        1  9  83 478 -3.183   95 -3.509   95 -3.877   96 -4.111    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   95  2.734   99 -4.780   91 -3.442
Texas Wesleyan          10  1 632 230 -1.468   11 -0.335   11 -0.437   15 -0.526    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   11  8.835    5  0.094   24 -1.147
Texas College            7  3 294 315 -2.694   45 -1.792   45 -1.797   72 -2.586    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   49  6.015   56 -2.237   80 -2.935
Wayland Baptist          4  6 345 313 -2.390   72 -2.573   73 -2.730   58 -2.201    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   69  4.841   45 -1.681   75 -2.721
OK Panhandle St          4  6 290 304 -2.468   71 -2.557   71 -2.695   69 -2.540    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   70  4.791   58 -2.315   76 -2.764
Arkansas Baptist         0 10  78 559 -3.243  100 -3.883  100 -4.354  100 -4.783    1 0.0000    1 0.0000  100  2.002  100 -5.172   99 -4.394
Langston                 6  4 270 320 -2.388   50 -1.846   50 -1.869   62 -2.298    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   48  6.049   60 -2.348   63 -2.247
Ottawa AZ                8  2 524 229 -1.765   30 -1.052   30 -1.136   25 -0.950    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   28  7.685   10 -0.290   38 -1.610
Louisiana Christian      4  7 368 459 -2.341   73 -2.586   72 -2.696   66 -2.437    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   71  4.747   43 -1.592   88 -3.282
Nelson U.                4  6 230 290 -2.692   77 -2.661   77 -2.804   78 -2.808    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   75  4.545   80 -2.987   72 -2.630

Sun Conference: strength=-1.481 (#3)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Webber Int'l             5  5 308 280 -1.716   46 -1.800   46 -1.806   44 -1.754    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   44  6.377   38 -1.357   58 -2.151
Thomas GA                1  9 151 392 -2.121   85 -2.972   85 -3.191   82 -2.901    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   84  3.952   78 -2.928   78 -2.875
Southeastern FL          7  2 281  92 -1.517   28 -0.984   28 -1.042   21 -0.835    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   27  7.855   41 -1.510    8 -0.159
Ave Maria                3  7 198 298 -1.755   61 -2.216   61 -2.346   53 -2.025    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   60  5.378   54 -2.197   46 -1.854
Keiser                  12  1 490 280 -0.672    2  0.807    2  0.523    7 -0.270    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    2 10.744    6  0.031   12 -0.571
Florida Memorial         6  3 352 245 -1.431   31 -1.064   31 -1.148   29 -1.125    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   31  7.587   19 -0.597   40 -1.653
St Thomas FL             8  2 403 230 -1.212   15 -0.422   15 -0.545   20 -0.816    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   15  8.606   11 -0.296   29 -1.335
Warner U.                0  8 135 350 -2.014   90 -3.226   90 -3.545   85 -3.035    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   91  3.480   77 -2.836   86 -3.234

NAIA Indep.: strength=-3.541 (#11)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
U of Fort Lauderdale     0  4   7 153 -1.849   78 -2.780   78 -2.966   88 -3.195    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   80  4.154   96 -4.115   64 -2.276
Simpson CA               0  9  73 556 -2.848   96 -3.529   96 -3.908   98 -4.252    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   98  2.466   98 -4.464   95 -4.040
Lincoln CA               0 10  91 540 -1.327   80 -2.877   80 -3.112   86 -3.065    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   82  4.105   89 -3.329   77 -2.801
Virginia U-Lynchburg     0  8  33 405 -0.327   66 -2.365   66 -2.478   70 -2.551    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   65  5.147   85 -3.231   49 -1.871

Conference Strengths
CONFERENCE                                                W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
Mid-South Conference                                     44  28 0.611    1 -0.705
Frontier Conference                                      50  46 0.521    2 -1.288
Sun Conference                                           42  37 0.532    3 -1.481
Great Plains Athletic Conference                         60  52 0.536    4 -1.644
Heart of America Athletic Conference                     80  76 0.513    5 -1.764
Mid-States Football Association                          69  71 0.493    6 -2.030
Kansas Collegiate Athletic Conference                    67  68 0.496    7 -2.036
North Star Athletic Association                          26  37 0.413    8 -2.151
Appalachian Athletic Conference                          26  48 0.351    9 -2.405
Sooner Athletic Conference                               48  54 0.471   10 -2.565
NAIA Indep.                                               0  31 0.000   11 -3.541

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.167 points in main ratings
     0.024 points in improved RPI
Average of 6.20 points per score

Predict score:






Team Strength vs. Time Plot:





posted: Mon Jan 13 21:56:19 2025

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