Dolphin Ratings - College Football

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and six ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
RPI Rating. Included only because of common real-life usage. The RPI rating has many statistical problems. The football RPI rating is based on the BCS formula, and approximates the schedule, loss, and quality win components.
Pseudo-Poll. A blended ranking based on win-loss and predictive ratings, calibrated to match real-life polls as closely as possible. This gives a rough but unbiased estimate of how typical voters value record vs. impressive wins.
Predictive-Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Predictive-Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Predictive-Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

Because these ratings contain no prejudices regarding team or conference strengths, they tend to be quite inaccurate early in the seasons. College football appears to take at least 5 games per team before even remotely reasonable ratings are produced; acceptable ratings are produced with 8 games per team; excellent ratings unfortunately require 14 games per team.

Rankings by division: Overall I-A I-AA II III NAIA KCAC GAC NESCAC

Full Ranking

                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Pikeville               6 2 0 295 124 -1.298   28 -1.075   28 -0.935   18 -0.600    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   25  6.643   25 -0.688   18 -0.511
Arkansas Baptist        2 7 0 135 353 -2.322   72 -2.700   72 -2.880   72 -2.887    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   71  3.615   79 -3.314   60 -2.461
Montana St-Northern     0 8 0 114 350 -1.225   73 -2.756   73 -2.948   61 -2.328    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   72  3.576   65 -2.331   57 -2.325
Carroll MT              6 1 0 301  99 -0.644   14 -0.210   15 -0.081   11  0.184    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   15  8.189   11  0.107   11  0.261
St Thomas FL            8 0 0 336  88  0.174    1  1.382    1  1.279    1  1.249    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1 10.724    1  1.175    1  1.323
Cumberland TN           5 3 0 270 145 -0.230   17 -0.571   17 -0.296   12  0.110    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   16  7.767   14 -0.005   12  0.225
Union KY                3 5 0 183 298 -2.023   58 -2.091   58 -2.090   64 -2.425    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   58  4.508   58 -2.154   68 -2.697
Cumberlands KY          5 3 0 270 253 -1.272   26 -1.051   26 -0.903   33 -1.177    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   28  6.509   22 -0.529   48 -1.826
Marian IN               7 1 0 277 113 -0.356    4  0.556    4  0.456    8  0.255    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    4  9.177   17 -0.285    3  0.795
Kentucky Christian      2 6 0 158 386 -2.194   65 -2.452   65 -2.587   71 -2.854    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   64  3.919   67 -2.532   74 -3.176
TEAM                    W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Reinhardt               4 4 0 255 225 -1.139   35 -1.468   35 -1.337   27 -0.945    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   33  6.005   27 -0.717   31 -1.173
Lindsey Wilson          6 2 0 348 121 -0.249   15 -0.211   14 -0.077    7  0.305    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   13  8.411    6  0.322   10  0.288
Rocky Mountain          4 3 0 184 211 -0.920   22 -0.931   22 -0.745   29 -0.985    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   26  6.638   29 -0.803   30 -1.167
Dickinson St            4 5 0 185 214 -1.324   39 -1.568   40 -1.470   38 -1.366    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   41  5.554   49 -1.752   22 -0.980
Midland U.              7 1 0 281 107 -0.617   10  0.098   10  0.175   14  0.019    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   11  8.654   18 -0.340    7  0.377
Ottawa AZ               5 1 0 193  79 -1.330   20 -0.807   20 -0.595   20 -0.627    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   21  7.080   36 -1.086   15 -0.167
Montana Tech            7 1 0 312 107 -0.111    3  0.583    3  0.488    5  0.547    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    3  9.326    7  0.312    4  0.781
Louisiana Christian     8 1 0 448 244 -1.164   13 -0.124   13  0.029   19 -0.604    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   14  8.226   10  0.111   33 -1.318
Taylor                  6 2 0 310 179 -1.334   24 -0.940   24 -0.763   23 -0.793    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   23  6.753   20 -0.440   26 -1.146
Olivet Nazarene         6 1 0 294 155 -1.170   16 -0.418   16 -0.219   22 -0.755    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   18  7.549   19 -0.437   23 -1.073
TEAM                    W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
William Woods           4 5 0 198 339 -2.826   62 -2.374   62 -2.482   76 -3.082    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   63  4.001   72 -3.075   73 -3.089
Valley City St          1 7 0 200 264 -1.385   61 -2.345   61 -2.433   51 -1.901    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   60  4.250   45 -1.503   56 -2.299
Texas Wesleyan          4 4 0 256 279 -1.593   41 -1.651   41 -1.492   42 -1.579    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   42  5.534   37 -1.095   52 -2.063
Northwestern IA         7 2 0 344 238 -0.521   11 -0.009    9  0.175   16 -0.230    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   12  8.549    9  0.141   21 -0.602
Graceland               2 6 0 288 338 -2.315   70 -2.682   70 -2.859   66 -2.526    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   68  3.767   42 -1.271   81 -3.781
William Penn            6 2 0 271 132 -2.216   44 -1.705   44 -1.573   41 -1.521    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   39  5.609   53 -1.938   24 -1.105
Dordt                   6 2 0 324 137  0.036    9  0.220   11  0.160    4  0.651    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    9  8.793    5  0.700    5  0.602
Indiana Wesleyan        7 1 0 480 103 -0.259    8  0.251    8  0.198    3  0.737    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    7  8.942    4  0.932    6  0.542
Bethel TN               2 5 0 113 210 -1.434   53 -2.001   53 -1.956   50 -1.880    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   52  4.827   56 -2.060   40 -1.700
Bluefield VA            3 5 0 167 257 -2.198   60 -2.282   60 -2.348   67 -2.542    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   61  4.237   63 -2.251   70 -2.833
TEAM                    W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Mayville St             6 3 0 234 211 -2.030   40 -1.621   38 -1.453   49 -1.814    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   43  5.496   51 -1.889   45 -1.740
Briar Cliff             1 7 0 126 282 -1.758   68 -2.608   68 -2.799   63 -2.419    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   69  3.681   69 -2.627   53 -2.210
Georgetown KY           5 2 0 212 134  0.146    5  0.531    5  0.431   10  0.202    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    6  9.149   12  0.101    9  0.303
St Francis IN           5 3 0 267 185 -1.292   30 -1.137   30 -1.018   30 -1.090    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   29  6.396   35 -1.018   28 -1.161
Campbellsville          6 1 0 274 108 -0.365    7  0.317    7  0.278    9  0.255    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    8  8.913    8  0.178    8  0.332
Waldorf                 0 8 0  98 433 -1.856   79 -3.133   79 -3.237   78 -3.243    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   79  2.967   75 -3.106   79 -3.380
Concordia NE            3 4 0 236 240 -0.740   32 -1.204   32 -1.112   28 -0.963    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   32  6.240   21 -0.488   35 -1.437
St Ambrose              5 2 0 206 174 -2.553   42 -1.658   42 -1.508   59 -2.316    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   44  5.371   64 -2.262   58 -2.371
Culver-Stockton         2 6 0 208 313 -2.294   66 -2.559   66 -2.734   68 -2.583    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   66  3.850   54 -1.988   75 -3.178
Dakota Wesleyan         4 4 0 199 222 -1.255   33 -1.370   34 -1.263   37 -1.328    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   36  5.769   44 -1.353   32 -1.303
TEAM                    W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Dakota St               5 3 0 271 187 -1.255   31 -1.197   31 -1.107   26 -0.928    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   31  6.271   26 -0.702   27 -1.155
Rio Grande              0 8 0 120 347 -2.240   83 -3.579   83 -3.689   75 -3.074    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   81  2.160   73 -3.085   72 -3.063
Defiance                3 5 0 194 327 -1.946   52 -1.966   52 -1.910   62 -2.378    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   54  4.736   52 -1.930   69 -2.826
Coll of Idaho           7 0 0 365 102 -0.147    2  0.923    2  0.848    2  1.007    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    2 10.010    3  1.048    2  0.967
Eastern Oregon          5 2 0 276 227 -0.975   19 -0.679   19 -0.439   24 -0.796    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   20  7.124   15 -0.014   38 -1.578
Florida Memorial        4 4 0 256 273 -0.807   25 -1.015   25 -0.853   31 -1.132    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   27  6.603   23 -0.553   41 -1.711
St Francis IL           2 6 0 149 296 -1.612   59 -2.242   59 -2.288   53 -1.986    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   59  4.382   62 -2.222   46 -1.749
OK Panhandle St         4 4 0 188 313 -1.878   46 -1.735   46 -1.609   57 -2.178    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   49  5.191   50 -1.868   64 -2.488
Central Methodist       2 6 0 168 254 -1.930   63 -2.395   63 -2.504   58 -2.303    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   62  4.192   66 -2.337   55 -2.269
Benedictine KS          8 1 0 382 128 -0.786   12 -0.117   12  0.040   13  0.065    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   10  8.674   13  0.013   13  0.117
TEAM                    W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Morningside             7 1 0 406 179 -0.257    6  0.518    6  0.410    6  0.442    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    5  9.170    2  1.094   16 -0.210
Clarke IA               0 8 0  97 388 -3.068   85 -3.869   85 -4.146   84 -4.065    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   85  1.635   84 -4.053   83 -4.078
Mount Marty             3 6 0 266 283 -1.008   48 -1.799   48 -1.681   34 -1.218    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   46  5.285   30 -0.848   39 -1.587
MidAmerica Nazarene     6 3 0 278 278 -2.292   47 -1.740   47 -1.619   56 -2.090    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   47  5.280   48 -1.707   63 -2.472
Nelson TX               1 7 0 141 289 -1.871   71 -2.687   71 -2.860   65 -2.496    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   70  3.664   68 -2.537   59 -2.456
Grand View              7 1 0 329  98 -1.496   21 -0.823   21 -0.623   17 -0.585    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   19  7.174   32 -0.954   17 -0.216
Peru St                 2 5 0 187 224 -2.355   69 -2.621   69 -2.825   60 -2.318    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   67  3.813   59 -2.166   62 -2.470
Andrew                  0 7 0  73 369 -2.073   80 -3.200   80 -3.349   79 -3.319    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   80  2.907   80 -3.330   78 -3.309
Southern Oregon         3 5 0 240 314 -1.247   45 -1.712   45 -1.574   43 -1.593    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   45  5.315   38 -1.135   51 -2.051
Simpson CA              3 5 0 291 322 -1.500   51 -1.935   51 -1.867   44 -1.607    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   51  4.992   24 -0.683   66 -2.530
TEAM                    W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Faulkner                5 3 0 245 175 -2.043   49 -1.808   49 -1.702   46 -1.681    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   48  5.225   46 -1.623   44 -1.739
Southeastern FL         5 2 0 230 133 -1.107   23 -0.939   23 -0.759   21 -0.670    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   22  6.820   28 -0.788   19 -0.552
Wayland Baptist         5 3 0 259 204 -1.848   43 -1.672   43 -1.522   39 -1.397    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   40  5.585   41 -1.244   37 -1.549
Lawrence Tech           3 5 0 212 218 -1.605   54 -2.042   54 -2.019   47 -1.702    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   53  4.793   47 -1.669   43 -1.735
U of Fort Lauderdale    0 6 0  51 258 -1.544   75 -2.783   75 -2.984   70 -2.844    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   76  3.457   76 -3.108   67 -2.579
Webber Int'l            2 6 0 125 236 -1.444   56 -2.072   56 -2.060   52 -1.968    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   56  4.632   61 -2.222   42 -1.714
Thomas GA               1 7 0  77 408 -2.229   67 -2.588   67 -2.770   81 -3.364    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   74  3.515   81 -3.521   76 -3.208
Warner U.               3 5 0 186 274 -0.957   36 -1.472   36 -1.339   35 -1.242    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   35  5.918   34 -1.005   36 -1.479
Keiser                  5 2 0 266 124 -0.449   18 -0.599   18 -0.337   15 -0.052    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   17  7.727   16 -0.193   14  0.090
Baker                   6 1 0 282  84 -1.812   29 -1.088   29 -0.958   25 -0.860    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   24  6.675   39 -1.144   20 -0.576
TEAM                    W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Doane                   2 5 0 126 248 -1.573   55 -2.061   55 -2.048   54 -2.002    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   57  4.595   60 -2.210   47 -1.794
Hastings                3 4 0 167 190 -0.949   34 -1.393   33 -1.230   32 -1.165    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   34  6.001   40 -1.219   25 -1.111
Arizona Christian       0 7 0  55 291 -1.562   77 -2.824   77 -3.036   74 -3.069    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   77  3.303   82 -3.620   65 -2.518
Mount Mercy             1 7 0 131 316 -3.412   84 -3.785   84 -4.023   83 -4.005    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   84  1.772   83 -3.764   85 -4.246
Point U.                1 6 0  96 226 -2.137   76 -2.787   76 -2.995   69 -2.634    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   75  3.504   71 -3.039   54 -2.228
St Mary-Woods           0 7 0  82 394 -1.671   78 -2.846   78 -3.073   80 -3.359    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   78  3.228   78 -3.280   80 -3.438
Ave Maria               4 3 0 110 178 -1.430   27 -1.074   27 -0.927   45 -1.653    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   30  6.283   57 -2.144   29 -1.163
Langston                2 5 0 127 279 -2.433   64 -2.409   64 -2.524   77 -3.187    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   65  3.910   74 -3.098   77 -3.277
Judson IL               0 8 0  61 555 -2.281   81 -3.451   81 -3.480   85 -4.173    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   83  2.055   85 -4.321   82 -4.025
Madonna                 3 5 0 283 293 -1.595   57 -2.083   57 -2.080   48 -1.728    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   55  4.682   33 -0.987   61 -2.469
TEAM                    W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Montana-Western         3 5 0 220 294 -1.065   37 -1.530   37 -1.420   40 -1.400    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   38  5.620   31 -0.926   49 -1.874
Missouri Baptist        2 5 0 127 206 -2.724   74 -2.758   74 -2.961   73 -3.020    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   73  3.568   77 -3.178   71 -2.861
St Xavier               4 4 0 207 229 -1.335   38 -1.554   39 -1.454   36 -1.317    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   37  5.658   43 -1.306   34 -1.328
Texas College           0 5 0 105 262 -2.707   82 -3.568   82 -3.674   82 -3.553    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   82  2.080   70 -2.982   84 -4.123
Missouri Valley         4 3 0 179 170 -2.114   50 -1.899   50 -1.824   55 -2.006    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   50  5.105   55 -2.038   50 -1.973


Appalachian Athletic Conference: strength=-2.364 (#7)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Pikeville               6 2 0 295 124 -1.298   28 -1.075   28 -0.935   18 -0.600    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   25  6.643   25 -0.688   18 -0.511
Union KY                3 5 0 183 298 -2.023   58 -2.091   58 -2.090   64 -2.425    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   58  4.508   58 -2.154   68 -2.697
Kentucky Christian      2 6 0 158 386 -2.194   65 -2.452   65 -2.587   71 -2.854    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   64  3.919   67 -2.532   74 -3.176
Reinhardt               4 4 0 255 225 -1.139   35 -1.468   35 -1.337   27 -0.945    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   33  6.005   27 -0.717   31 -1.173
Bluefield VA            3 5 0 167 257 -2.198   60 -2.282   60 -2.348   67 -2.542    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   61  4.237   63 -2.251   70 -2.833
Rio Grande              0 8 0 120 347 -2.240   83 -3.579   83 -3.689   75 -3.074    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   81  2.160   73 -3.085   72 -3.063
Point U.                1 6 0  96 226 -2.137   76 -2.787   76 -2.995   69 -2.634    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   75  3.504   71 -3.039   54 -2.228

Frontier Conference: strength=-1.200 (#4)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Montana St-Northern     0 8 0 114 350 -1.225   73 -2.756   73 -2.948   61 -2.328    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   72  3.576   65 -2.331   57 -2.325
Carroll MT              6 1 0 301  99 -0.644   14 -0.210   15 -0.081   11  0.184    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   15  8.189   11  0.107   11  0.261
Rocky Mountain          4 3 0 184 211 -0.920   22 -0.931   22 -0.745   29 -0.985    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   26  6.638   29 -0.803   30 -1.167
Dickinson St            4 5 0 185 214 -1.324   39 -1.568   40 -1.470   38 -1.366    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   41  5.554   49 -1.752   22 -0.980
Montana Tech            7 1 0 312 107 -0.111    3  0.583    3  0.488    5  0.547    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    3  9.326    7  0.312    4  0.781
Valley City St          1 7 0 200 264 -1.385   61 -2.345   61 -2.433   51 -1.901    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   60  4.250   45 -1.503   56 -2.299
Mayville St             6 3 0 234 211 -2.030   40 -1.621   38 -1.453   49 -1.814    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   43  5.496   51 -1.889   45 -1.740
Dakota St               5 3 0 271 187 -1.255   31 -1.197   31 -1.107   26 -0.928    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   31  6.271   26 -0.702   27 -1.155
Coll of Idaho           7 0 0 365 102 -0.147    2  0.923    2  0.848    2  1.007    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    2 10.010    3  1.048    2  0.967
Eastern Oregon          5 2 0 276 227 -0.975   19 -0.679   19 -0.439   24 -0.796    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   20  7.124   15 -0.014   38 -1.578
Southern Oregon         3 5 0 240 314 -1.247   45 -1.712   45 -1.574   43 -1.593    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   45  5.315   38 -1.135   51 -2.051
Simpson CA              3 5 0 291 322 -1.500   51 -1.935   51 -1.867   44 -1.607    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   51  4.992   24 -0.683   66 -2.530
Arizona Christian       0 7 0  55 291 -1.562   77 -2.824   77 -3.036   74 -3.069    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   77  3.303   82 -3.620   65 -2.518
Montana-Western         3 5 0 220 294 -1.065   37 -1.530   37 -1.420   40 -1.400    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   38  5.620   31 -0.926   49 -1.874

Great Plains Athletic Conference: strength=-0.939 (#2)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Midland U.              7 1 0 281 107 -0.617   10  0.098   10  0.175   14  0.019    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   11  8.654   18 -0.340    7  0.377
Northwestern IA         7 2 0 344 238 -0.521   11 -0.009    9  0.175   16 -0.230    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   12  8.549    9  0.141   21 -0.602
Dordt                   6 2 0 324 137  0.036    9  0.220   11  0.160    4  0.651    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    9  8.793    5  0.700    5  0.602
Briar Cliff             1 7 0 126 282 -1.758   68 -2.608   68 -2.799   63 -2.419    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   69  3.681   69 -2.627   53 -2.210
Waldorf                 0 8 0  98 433 -1.856   79 -3.133   79 -3.237   78 -3.243    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   79  2.967   75 -3.106   79 -3.380
Concordia NE            3 4 0 236 240 -0.740   32 -1.204   32 -1.112   28 -0.963    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   32  6.240   21 -0.488   35 -1.437
Dakota Wesleyan         4 4 0 199 222 -1.255   33 -1.370   34 -1.263   37 -1.328    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   36  5.769   44 -1.353   32 -1.303
Morningside             7 1 0 406 179 -0.257    6  0.518    6  0.410    6  0.442    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    5  9.170    2  1.094   16 -0.210
Mount Marty             3 6 0 266 283 -1.008   48 -1.799   48 -1.681   34 -1.218    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   46  5.285   30 -0.848   39 -1.587
Doane                   2 5 0 126 248 -1.573   55 -2.061   55 -2.048   54 -2.002    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   57  4.595   60 -2.210   47 -1.794
Hastings                3 4 0 167 190 -0.949   34 -1.393   33 -1.230   32 -1.165    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   34  6.001   40 -1.219   25 -1.111

Heart of America Athletic Conference: strength=-2.368 (#8)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
William Woods           4 5 0 198 339 -2.826   62 -2.374   62 -2.482   76 -3.082    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   63  4.001   72 -3.075   73 -3.089
Graceland               2 6 0 288 338 -2.315   70 -2.682   70 -2.859   66 -2.526    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   68  3.767   42 -1.271   81 -3.781
William Penn            6 2 0 271 132 -2.216   44 -1.705   44 -1.573   41 -1.521    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   39  5.609   53 -1.938   24 -1.105
St Ambrose              5 2 0 206 174 -2.553   42 -1.658   42 -1.508   59 -2.316    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   44  5.371   64 -2.262   58 -2.371
Culver-Stockton         2 6 0 208 313 -2.294   66 -2.559   66 -2.734   68 -2.583    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   66  3.850   54 -1.988   75 -3.178
Central Methodist       2 6 0 168 254 -1.930   63 -2.395   63 -2.504   58 -2.303    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   62  4.192   66 -2.337   55 -2.269
Benedictine KS          8 1 0 382 128 -0.786   12 -0.117   12  0.040   13  0.065    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   10  8.674   13  0.013   13  0.117
Clarke IA               0 8 0  97 388 -3.068   85 -3.869   85 -4.146   84 -4.065    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   85  1.635   84 -4.053   83 -4.078
MidAmerica Nazarene     6 3 0 278 278 -2.292   47 -1.740   47 -1.619   56 -2.090    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   47  5.280   48 -1.707   63 -2.472
Grand View              7 1 0 329  98 -1.496   21 -0.823   21 -0.623   17 -0.585    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   19  7.174   32 -0.954   17 -0.216
Peru St                 2 5 0 187 224 -2.355   69 -2.621   69 -2.825   60 -2.318    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   67  3.813   59 -2.166   62 -2.470
Baker                   6 1 0 282  84 -1.812   29 -1.088   29 -0.958   25 -0.860    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   24  6.675   39 -1.144   20 -0.576
Mount Mercy             1 7 0 131 316 -3.412   84 -3.785   84 -4.023   83 -4.005    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   84  1.772   83 -3.764   85 -4.246
Missouri Baptist        2 5 0 127 206 -2.724   74 -2.758   74 -2.961   73 -3.020    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   73  3.568   77 -3.178   71 -2.861
Missouri Valley         4 3 0 179 170 -2.114   50 -1.899   50 -1.824   55 -2.006    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   50  5.105   55 -2.038   50 -1.973

Mid-South Conference: strength=-0.117 (#1)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Cumberland TN           5 3 0 270 145 -0.230   17 -0.571   17 -0.296   12  0.110    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   16  7.767   14 -0.005   12  0.225
Cumberlands KY          5 3 0 270 253 -1.272   26 -1.051   26 -0.903   33 -1.177    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   28  6.509   22 -0.529   48 -1.826
Lindsey Wilson          6 2 0 348 121 -0.249   15 -0.211   14 -0.077    7  0.305    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   13  8.411    6  0.322   10  0.288
Bethel TN               2 5 0 113 210 -1.434   53 -2.001   53 -1.956   50 -1.880    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   52  4.827   56 -2.060   40 -1.700
Georgetown KY           5 2 0 212 134  0.146    5  0.531    5  0.431   10  0.202    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    6  9.149   12  0.101    9  0.303
Campbellsville          6 1 0 274 108 -0.365    7  0.317    7  0.278    9  0.255    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    8  8.913    8  0.178    8  0.332

Mid-States Football Association: strength=-1.460 (#5)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Marian IN               7 1 0 277 113 -0.356    4  0.556    4  0.456    8  0.255    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    4  9.177   17 -0.285    3  0.795
Taylor                  6 2 0 310 179 -1.334   24 -0.940   24 -0.763   23 -0.793    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   23  6.753   20 -0.440   26 -1.146
Olivet Nazarene         6 1 0 294 155 -1.170   16 -0.418   16 -0.219   22 -0.755    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   18  7.549   19 -0.437   23 -1.073
Indiana Wesleyan        7 1 0 480 103 -0.259    8  0.251    8  0.198    3  0.737    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    7  8.942    4  0.932    6  0.542
St Francis IN           5 3 0 267 185 -1.292   30 -1.137   30 -1.018   30 -1.090    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   29  6.396   35 -1.018   28 -1.161
Defiance                3 5 0 194 327 -1.946   52 -1.966   52 -1.910   62 -2.378    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   54  4.736   52 -1.930   69 -2.826
St Francis IL           2 6 0 149 296 -1.612   59 -2.242   59 -2.288   53 -1.986    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   59  4.382   62 -2.222   46 -1.749
Lawrence Tech           3 5 0 212 218 -1.605   54 -2.042   54 -2.019   47 -1.702    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   53  4.793   47 -1.669   43 -1.735
St Mary-Woods           0 7 0  82 394 -1.671   78 -2.846   78 -3.073   80 -3.359    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   78  3.228   78 -3.280   80 -3.438
Judson IL               0 8 0  61 555 -2.281   81 -3.451   81 -3.480   85 -4.173    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   83  2.055   85 -4.321   82 -4.025
Madonna                 3 5 0 283 293 -1.595   57 -2.083   57 -2.080   48 -1.728    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   55  4.682   33 -0.987   61 -2.469
St Xavier               4 4 0 207 229 -1.335   38 -1.554   39 -1.454   36 -1.317    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   37  5.658   43 -1.306   34 -1.328

Sooner Athletic Conference: strength=-2.156 (#6)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Arkansas Baptist        2 7 0 135 353 -2.322   72 -2.700   72 -2.880   72 -2.887    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   71  3.615   79 -3.314   60 -2.461
Ottawa AZ               5 1 0 193  79 -1.330   20 -0.807   20 -0.595   20 -0.627    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   21  7.080   36 -1.086   15 -0.167
Louisiana Christian     8 1 0 448 244 -1.164   13 -0.124   13  0.029   19 -0.604    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   14  8.226   10  0.111   33 -1.318
Texas Wesleyan          4 4 0 256 279 -1.593   41 -1.651   41 -1.492   42 -1.579    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   42  5.534   37 -1.095   52 -2.063
OK Panhandle St         4 4 0 188 313 -1.878   46 -1.735   46 -1.609   57 -2.178    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   49  5.191   50 -1.868   64 -2.488
Nelson TX               1 7 0 141 289 -1.871   71 -2.687   71 -2.860   65 -2.496    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   70  3.664   68 -2.537   59 -2.456
Wayland Baptist         5 3 0 259 204 -1.848   43 -1.672   43 -1.522   39 -1.397    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   40  5.585   41 -1.244   37 -1.549
Langston                2 5 0 127 279 -2.433   64 -2.409   64 -2.524   77 -3.187    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   65  3.910   74 -3.098   77 -3.277
Texas College           0 5 0 105 262 -2.707   82 -3.568   82 -3.674   82 -3.553    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   82  2.080   70 -2.982   84 -4.123

Sun Conference: strength=-1.075 (#3)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
St Thomas FL            8 0 0 336  88  0.174    1  1.382    1  1.279    1  1.249    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1 10.724    1  1.175    1  1.323
Florida Memorial        4 4 0 256 273 -0.807   25 -1.015   25 -0.853   31 -1.132    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   27  6.603   23 -0.553   41 -1.711
Southeastern FL         5 2 0 230 133 -1.107   23 -0.939   23 -0.759   21 -0.670    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   22  6.820   28 -0.788   19 -0.552
Webber Int'l            2 6 0 125 236 -1.444   56 -2.072   56 -2.060   52 -1.968    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   56  4.632   61 -2.222   42 -1.714
Thomas GA               1 7 0  77 408 -2.229   67 -2.588   67 -2.770   81 -3.364    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   74  3.515   81 -3.521   76 -3.208
Warner U.               3 5 0 186 274 -0.957   36 -1.472   36 -1.339   35 -1.242    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   35  5.918   34 -1.005   36 -1.479
Keiser                  5 2 0 266 124 -0.449   18 -0.599   18 -0.337   15 -0.052    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   17  7.727   16 -0.193   14  0.090
Ave Maria               4 3 0 110 178 -1.430   27 -1.074   27 -0.927   45 -1.653    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   30  6.283   57 -2.144   29 -1.163

NAIA Independent: strength=-2.831 (#9)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Monroe                  1 5 0  74 195 -1.131      -1.644      -1.471      -1.680      0.0000      0.0000       5.570      -2.050      -1.311
Virginia U-Lynchburg    0 7 0  46 339 -1.451      -3.358      -3.435      -2.729      0.0000      0.0000       3.027      -3.332      -2.126
Andrew                  0 7 0  73 369 -2.073   80 -3.200   80 -3.349   79 -3.319    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   80  2.907   80 -3.330   78 -3.309
Faulkner                5 3 0 245 175 -2.043   49 -1.808   49 -1.702   46 -1.681    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   48  5.225   46 -1.623   44 -1.739
U of Fort Lauderdale    0 6 0  51 258 -1.544   75 -2.783   75 -2.984   70 -2.844    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   76  3.457   76 -3.108   67 -2.579
Apprentice              1 3 0  46 119 -3.429      -3.590      -3.728      -3.756      0.0000      0.0000       1.947      -3.899      -3.613

Conference Strengths
CONFERENCE                                               W  L  T   PCT  RNK RATING
Mid-South Conference                                    29 16  0 0.644    1 -0.117
Great Plains Athletic Conference                        43 44  0 0.494    2 -0.939
Sun Conference                                          32 29  0 0.525    3 -1.075
Frontier Conference                                     54 55  0 0.495    4 -1.200
Mid-States Football Association                         46 48  0 0.489    5 -1.460
Sooner Athletic Conference                              31 37  0 0.456    6 -2.156
Appalachian Athletic Conference                         19 36  0 0.345    7 -2.364
Heart of America Athletic Conference                    57 61  0 0.483    8 -2.368
NAIA Independent                                         7 31  0 0.184    9 -2.831

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.165 points in main ratings
     0.026 points in improved RPI
Average of 6.20 points per score

Predict score:






Team Strength vs. Time Plot:





posted: Mon Oct 26 18:47:26 2026

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