Dolphin Ratings - College Football

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and six ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
RPI Rating. Included only because of common real-life usage. The RPI rating has many statistical problems. The football RPI rating is based on the BCS formula, and approximates the schedule, loss, and quality win components.
Pseudo-Poll. A blended ranking based on win-loss and predictive ratings, calibrated to match real-life polls as closely as possible. This gives a rough but unbiased estimate of how typical voters value record vs. impressive wins.
Predictive-Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Predictive-Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Predictive-Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

Because these ratings contain no prejudices regarding team or conference strengths, they tend to be quite inaccurate early in the seasons. College football appears to take at least 5 games per team before even remotely reasonable ratings are produced; acceptable ratings are produced with 8 games per team; excellent ratings unfortunately require 14 games per team.

Rankings by division: Overall I-A I-AA II III NAIA NESCAC

Full Ranking

                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Nebraska        13  0 607 214  4.214    1  5.549    1  5.414    2  5.232    6 0.6847    4 0.6934    1 18.203    2  5.537    5  4.926
Michigan        12  0 322 114  4.080    2  5.481    2  5.321    4  4.842    5 0.6871    3 0.6982    3 17.983   23  4.211    1  5.473
Florida State   11  1 468 181  4.465    3  5.406    3  5.221    1  5.356    3 0.6911    2 0.6982    2 17.999    1  5.601    2  5.110
Tennessee       11  2 428 286  4.384    4  5.315    4  5.112   11  4.595    1 0.7127    1 0.7038    5 17.600    6  5.114   22  4.076
Florida         10  2 430 205  4.459    5  5.275    5  5.017    3  4.959    2 0.6997    5 0.6883    4 17.649    7  5.113    6  4.804
Washington St   10  2 483 296  4.161    6  5.156    6  4.877   13  4.440   10 0.6429   10 0.6463    8 17.238    5  5.152   35  3.728
North Carolina  11  1 348 146  3.858    7  5.139    7  4.855   10  4.602    9 0.6468   11 0.6223    7 17.241   21  4.245    3  4.958
UCLA            10  2 477 247  4.228    8  5.117    8  4.830    5  4.823    8 0.6572    9 0.6467    6 17.306    3  5.262   13  4.384
Kansas State    11  1 418 177  3.820    9  5.082    9  4.781    9  4.635   11 0.6351    7 0.6587    9 17.215   11  4.624    7  4.646
Georgia         10  2 380 195  4.108   10  5.067   10  4.765    8  4.642    7 0.6778    8 0.6586   10 17.154    9  4.650    8  4.633
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Auburn          10  3 340 250  4.213   11  5.033   11  4.729   15  4.319    4 0.6910    6 0.6637   11 17.005   19  4.323   16  4.315
Ohio State      10  3 394 170  4.167   12  4.874   12  4.554    7  4.747   15 0.6096   12 0.6209   12 16.909   13  4.555    4  4.939
Washington       8  4 420 259  4.314   13  4.753   13  4.416    6  4.804   14 0.6146   15 0.6067   13 16.727    4  5.199   12  4.408
Arizona State    9  3 324 210  3.939   14  4.654   14  4.362   16  4.306   17 0.5986   21 0.5805   15 16.460   26  4.186   10  4.425
Penn State       9  3 366 254  3.765   15  4.653   15  4.361   30  3.954   18 0.5963   17 0.5932   16 16.396   24  4.193   37  3.714
LSU              9  3 373 188  3.931   16  4.638   17  4.345   14  4.436   13 0.6339   22 0.5793   14 16.520   14  4.517   14  4.355
Mississippi      8  4 267 240  4.046   17  4.619   16  4.347   20  4.094   12 0.6346   13 0.6198   17 16.369   32  4.038   19  4.149
Colorado State  11  2 477 203  3.444   18  4.516   18  4.229   12  4.461   22 0.5751   14 0.6108   18 16.353   15  4.499   11  4.423
USC              6  5 233 233  4.155   19  4.424   19  4.129   26  4.023   23 0.5739   33 0.5540   20 16.033   44  3.729   15  4.318
Oregon           7  5 380 350  3.989   20  4.393   21  4.105   18  4.111   27 0.5717   25 0.5767   21 16.007    8  4.797   48  3.426
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Arizona          7  5 317 312  3.997   21  4.382   20  4.114   27  3.997   26 0.5719   24 0.5773   23 15.986   30  4.084   27  3.910
Southern Miss    9  3 337 210  3.550   22  4.369   22  4.097   21  4.087   21 0.5798   18 0.5931   19 16.040   36  3.955   17  4.219
Mississippi St   7  4 226 215  3.819   23  4.365   23  4.094   32  3.840   16 0.6083   32 0.5617   25 15.909   52  3.581   21  4.099
Purdue           9  3 396 267  3.542   24  4.358   24  4.086   25  4.041   20 0.5831   20 0.5840   22 15.997   10  4.648   47  3.433
Virginia         7  4 277 242  3.846   25  4.343   25  4.069   28  3.994   19 0.5833   27 0.5695   24 15.931   29  4.113   29  3.875
Georgia Tech     7  5 314 296  3.840   26  4.235   26  3.968   33  3.816   24 0.5739   28 0.5674   27 15.759   28  4.117   42  3.516
Texas A&M        9  4 445 236  3.647   27  4.210   27  3.938   24  4.043   35 0.5458   30 0.5625   26 15.832   39  3.892   18  4.195
Clemson          7  5 292 219  3.798   28  4.163   28  3.884   29  3.965   28 0.5649   40 0.5410   30 15.666   42  3.807   20  4.122
Louisiana Tech   9  2 364 281  2.728   29  4.129   31  3.841   71  3.091   29 0.5633   31 0.5625   40 15.394   47  3.680   90  2.502
Michigan State   7  5 342 237  3.839   30  4.129   29  3.843   23  4.044   32 0.5519   39 0.5412   28 15.694   22  4.223   30  3.864
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Notre Dame       7  6 282 265  3.785   31  4.081   30  3.843   37  3.750   34 0.5502   35 0.5508   31 15.563   50  3.601   28  3.899
Wisconsin        8  5 291 306  3.418   32  4.075   32  3.836   60  3.326   36 0.5455   36 0.5475   36 15.443   61  3.361   51  3.291
Air Force       10  3 279 190  3.125   33  4.067   33  3.826   52  3.445   44 0.5318   26 0.5751   33 15.507   82  2.953   26  3.937
Marshall        10  3 484 259  3.213   34  4.057   34  3.814   19  4.102   31 0.5588   19 0.5924   29 15.670   16  4.446   34  3.758
Toledo           9  3 356 268  3.132   35  3.994   35  3.809   57  3.340   33 0.5505   16 0.5933   34 15.477   56  3.443   55  3.237
Missouri         7  5 392 367  3.572   36  3.946   36  3.754   42  3.655   43 0.5348   41 0.5394   37 15.433   34  4.029   53  3.281
Stanford         5  6 276 317  3.931   37  3.940   37  3.749   44  3.608   37 0.5438   52 0.5169   39 15.403   35  4.013   58  3.204
N Carolina St    6  5 325 268  3.729   38  3.928   38  3.732   34  3.784   40 0.5374   50 0.5188   35 15.450   25  4.188   50  3.380
South Carolina   5  6 258 279  3.963   39  3.918   39  3.722   36  3.765   25 0.5736   48 0.5265   38 15.426   38  3.938   40  3.593
Syracuse         9  4 441 226  3.401   40  3.913   40  3.714   22  4.086   42 0.5364   34 0.5515   32 15.534   27  4.142   24  4.031
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Miami (Ohio)     8  3 412 226  3.185   41  3.833   43  3.627   31  3.951   41 0.5373   23 0.5783   41 15.345   17  4.436   45  3.466
Ohio U           8  3 301 177  3.074   42  3.800   41  3.659   54  3.394   48 0.5275   29 0.5648   44 15.276   78  3.010   32  3.778
Colorado         5  6 300 295  3.868   43  3.779   42  3.636   35  3.783   46 0.5276   38 0.5441   43 15.284   20  4.277   52  3.290
Oklahoma State   8  4 352 233  3.219   44  3.734   44  3.576   43  3.613   45 0.5297   51 0.5169   45 15.200   64  3.286   25  3.939
New Mexico       9  4 404 274  3.086   45  3.730   45  3.572   49  3.496   54 0.5087   42 0.5359   46 15.128   45  3.710   54  3.281
Iowa             7  5 411 159  3.780   46  3.711   47  3.551   17  4.281   50 0.5198   56 0.5014   42 15.340   33  4.031    9  4.532
Kentucky         5  6 348 362  3.773   47  3.710   46  3.551   41  3.657   38 0.5438   61 0.4874   47 15.111   12  4.565   75  2.749
Rice             7  4 306 285  3.098   48  3.660   48  3.491   66  3.165   53 0.5106   45 0.5313   49 14.897   48  3.630   80  2.700
W Michigan       8  3 301 265  2.729   49  3.658   49  3.487   73  3.017   47 0.5275   37 0.5471   55 14.801   67  3.236   72  2.799
Arkansas         4  7 181 284  3.826   50  3.641   50  3.471   48  3.503   30 0.5590   46 0.5306   52 14.842   63  3.308   39  3.698
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Tulane           7  4 375 225  3.199   51  3.593   52  3.411   38  3.749   52 0.5126   49 0.5191   48 15.016   31  4.052   46  3.446
Cincinnati       8  4 321 252  3.000   52  3.572   51  3.436   55  3.369   56 0.5049   44 0.5321   50 14.878   72  3.213   41  3.525
Texas Tech       6  5 245 217  3.394   53  3.537   53  3.399   46  3.516   49 0.5250   47 0.5269   54 14.809   71  3.215   31  3.818
Northwestern     5  7 243 288  3.609   54  3.525   54  3.387   51  3.451   57 0.4996   62 0.4833   58 14.744   58  3.401   43  3.501
Wake Forest      5  6 245 288  3.490   55  3.523   55  3.382   62  3.280   55 0.5076   64 0.4821   59 14.700   60  3.382   60  3.179
Wyoming          7  6 322 227  3.359   56  3.517   56  3.374   50  3.495   61 0.4828   57 0.5006   53 14.825   69  3.223   33  3.766
West Virginia    7  5 360 285  3.212   57  3.512   57  3.370   53  3.421   58 0.4954   59 0.4997   56 14.785   46  3.689   62  3.153
Alabama          4  7 246 248  3.816   58  3.507   58  3.366   40  3.661   39 0.5379   54 0.5058   51 14.852   51  3.598   36  3.724
Virginia Tech    7  5 324 227  3.197   59  3.496   59  3.352   56  3.349   60 0.4872   53 0.5072   57 14.763   68  3.230   44  3.468
Brigham Young    6  5 250 254  3.127   60  3.476   60  3.330   72  3.083   63 0.4807   60 0.4913   61 14.617   74  3.136   67  3.030
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
SMU              6  5 247 237  3.163   61  3.416   61  3.272   64  3.230   59 0.4918   55 0.5028   62 14.563   65  3.276   59  3.184
East Carolina    5  6 214 298  3.267   62  3.405   62  3.261   74  2.987   62 0.4810   66 0.4782   64 14.404   80  2.961   68  3.012
Central Florida  5  6 374 303  3.588   63  3.388   63  3.239   39  3.717   51 0.5150   43 0.5329   60 14.655   18  4.400   66  3.034
San Diego State  5  7 257 333  3.373   64  3.373   64  3.220   68  3.105   68 0.4697   58 0.4997   66 14.356   62  3.348   71  2.863
Utah             6  5 253 200  3.050   65  3.325   65  3.167   59  3.332   69 0.4675   63 0.4822   63 14.412   81  2.955   38  3.709
Fresno State     6  6 318 288  3.146   66  3.301   66  3.133   58  3.337   71 0.4606   67 0.4774   67 14.289   54  3.534   63  3.139
Navy             7  4 398 209  2.827   67  3.297   67  3.127   47  3.512   72 0.4522   73 0.4577   65 14.400   43  3.801   57  3.223
Kansas           5  6 177 279  3.033   68  3.287   68  3.117   83  2.742   66 0.4784   72 0.4658   71 14.055  100  2.367   64  3.116
Pittsburgh       6  6 333 354  2.919   69  3.244   69  3.069   80  2.857   70 0.4640   71 0.4689   72 14.028   75  3.092   86  2.623
Nevada           5  6 353 320  3.162   70  3.216   70  3.036   63  3.252   79 0.4398   68 0.4769   70 14.100   40  3.870   83  2.635
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
California       3  8 295 339  3.767   71  3.205   71  3.026   45  3.592   64 0.4795   75 0.4476   68 14.189   37  3.949   56  3.236
Oklahoma         4  8 232 379  3.269   72  3.127   72  3.016   82  2.756   75 0.4508   82 0.4266   75 13.935   83  2.944   89  2.567
Utah State       6  6 389 296  3.044   73  3.123   73  3.010   61  3.286   80 0.4325   65 0.4814   69 14.140   41  3.850   78  2.721
Oregon State     3  8 195 285  3.567   74  3.083   74  2.964   70  3.095   76 0.4497   88 0.4059   74 13.972   87  2.797   49  3.392
Miami (Fla)      5  6 314 285  3.055   75  3.068   75  2.944   69  3.100   77 0.4469   77 0.4444   73 13.991   73  3.197   69  3.003
Texas            4  7 283 366  3.157   76  3.048   76  2.920   76  2.919   73 0.4515   79 0.4365   76 13.847   55  3.498   94  2.340
San Jose State   4  7 225 387  3.018   77  3.008   77  2.875   92  2.497   81 0.4319   80 0.4343   80 13.680   85  2.846   99  2.149
NE Louisiana     5  7 226 319  2.816   78  2.997   78  2.862   89  2.571   65 0.4792   70 0.4759   78 13.696   97  2.417   77  2.725
Vanderbilt       3  8 138 204  3.501   79  2.993   79  2.858   65  3.227   67 0.4733   85 0.4168   77 13.833   98  2.388   23  4.066
Ball State       5  6 239 260  2.763   80  2.938   80  2.787   77  2.915   74 0.4512   74 0.4527   79 13.696   91  2.670   61  3.161
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Boston College   4  7 237 314  2.882   81  2.870   81  2.705   85  2.678   89 0.4185   86 0.4118   82 13.548   89  2.717   82  2.639
Houston          3  8 216 410  3.046   82  2.849   82  2.682  104  2.294   90 0.4182   92 0.4001   88 13.322   96  2.515  100  2.073
Texas-El Paso    4  7 162 311  2.733   83  2.826   83  2.655   95  2.430   87 0.4226   84 0.4169   89 13.314  104  2.114   76  2.746
Bowling Green    3  8 191 341  2.997   84  2.824   85  2.653   94  2.459   78 0.4448   69 0.4767   85 13.446  101  2.343   87  2.576
Duke             2  9 223 341  3.500   85  2.809   86  2.638   67  3.148   86 0.4249   99 0.3870   81 13.558   57  3.426   70  2.871
Maryland         2  9 161 355  3.393   86  2.792   84  2.654   87  2.641   83 0.4300   89 0.4048   86 13.446   94  2.577   79  2.706
Indiana          2  9 120 359  3.266   87  2.768   87  2.623   99  2.350   82 0.4308   93 0.3975   90 13.267  106  2.015   81  2.685
Memphis          4  7 218 243  2.918   88  2.758   88  2.607   79  2.866   88 0.4203   97 0.3938   83 13.502   92  2.649   65  3.084
E Michigan       4  7 329 352  2.890   89  2.741   89  2.587   75  2.965   84 0.4284   78 0.4379   84 13.491   53  3.569   93  2.360
Minnesota        3  9 238 334  3.204   90  2.728   90  2.573   78  2.899   85 0.4271   91 0.4011   87 13.412   77  3.021   73  2.777
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
North Texas      4  7 232 331  2.599   91  2.719   91  2.562  101  2.337  101 0.3810   94 0.3971   93 13.087   90  2.684  103  1.990
Baylor           2  9 200 375  3.246   92  2.707   92  2.550   86  2.676   91 0.4149   87 0.4092   91 13.259   84  2.914   91  2.439
Kent State       3  8 337 490  2.883   93  2.662   93  2.495   96  2.428   94 0.4046   83 0.4226   94 13.037   49  3.615  110  1.241
Temple           3  8 212 371  2.839   94  2.652   94  2.482   97  2.398   95 0.3966  100 0.3853   96 13.008   93  2.582   98  2.214
Army             4  7 221 311  2.481   95  2.639   95  2.467  106  2.196  100 0.3814  103 0.3616   97 12.945  103  2.130   97  2.263
Idaho            5  6 302 263  2.485   96  2.613   96  2.432   84  2.689   98 0.3852   96 0.3939   92 13.138   88  2.744   84  2.634
Ala-Birmingham   5  6 222 238  2.237   97  2.608   97  2.428  100  2.343   93 0.4077   81 0.4269   99 12.912  105  2.113   88  2.574
UNLV             3  8 281 332  2.965   98  2.572   98  2.382   81  2.823  104 0.3717  104 0.3579   95 13.014   70  3.215   92  2.432
Tulsa            2  9 258 426  3.068   99  2.566   99  2.375   90  2.544   99 0.3831   95 0.3970   98 12.914   59  3.382  106  1.705
Hawaii           3  9 189 308  2.823  100  2.541  100  2.346   93  2.462  103 0.3740  105 0.3517  101 12.826  102  2.170   74  2.755
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Boise State      4  7 285 358  2.516  101  2.540  101  2.345   88  2.630   97 0.3889   76 0.4474  100 12.835   79  2.985   95  2.276
Iowa State       1 10 214 493  3.355  102  2.530  102  2.336   91  2.504   96 0.3911  101 0.3709  102 12.794   66  3.270  104  1.738
Akron            2  9 218 435  2.895  103  2.491  103  2.280  105  2.281   92 0.4096   90 0.4039  103 12.716   95  2.570  102  1.992
C Michigan       2  9 282 479  2.611  104  2.243  104  2.016  107  2.160  102 0.3789  102 0.3685  105 12.196   86  2.845  108  1.475
TCU              1 10 172 325  2.908  105  2.229  105  2.000  102  2.321  108 0.3415  108 0.3186  104 12.208   99  2.368   96  2.275
Louisville       1 10 245 407  2.907  106  2.162  106  1.915   98  2.398  107 0.3468  109 0.3133  106 12.131   76  3.077  105  1.718
Illinois         0 11 119 368  3.302  107  2.126  107  1.913  103  2.314  105 0.3676  106 0.3483  107 12.119  107  1.999   85  2.628
New Mexico St    2  9 221 398  2.152  108  1.836  108  1.659  109  1.765  111 0.3109  110 0.3097  108 11.634  108  1.947  107  1.583
N Illinois       0 11 129 382  2.758  109  1.705  109  1.553  108  1.871  109 0.3300  107 0.3296  109 11.436  110  1.722  101  2.020
Rutgers          0 11 191 496  2.660  110  1.666  110  1.501  110  1.624  112 0.2932  112 0.2796  110 11.241  109  1.925  109  1.322
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
SW Louisiana     1 10 176 553  2.057  111  1.664  111  1.494  112  1.242  106 0.3493   98 0.3878  111 11.094  111  1.594  112  0.891
Arkansas State   2  9 200 394  1.583  112  1.452  112  1.219  111  1.384  110 0.3119  111 0.2867  112 10.761  112  1.544  111  1.223


Atlantic Coast Conf: strength=3.874 (#3)
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Florida State   11  1 468 181  4.465    3  5.406    3  5.221    1  5.356    3 0.6911    2 0.6982    2 17.999    1  5.601    2  5.110
North Carolina  11  1 348 146  3.858    7  5.139    7  4.855   10  4.602    9 0.6468   11 0.6223    7 17.241   21  4.245    3  4.958
Virginia         7  4 277 242  3.846   25  4.343   25  4.069   28  3.994   19 0.5833   27 0.5695   24 15.931   29  4.113   29  3.875
Georgia Tech     7  5 314 296  3.840   26  4.235   26  3.968   33  3.816   24 0.5739   28 0.5674   27 15.759   28  4.117   42  3.516
Clemson          7  5 292 219  3.798   28  4.163   28  3.884   29  3.965   28 0.5649   40 0.5410   30 15.666   42  3.807   20  4.122
N Carolina St    6  5 325 268  3.729   38  3.928   38  3.732   34  3.784   40 0.5374   50 0.5188   35 15.450   25  4.188   50  3.380
Wake Forest      5  6 245 288  3.490   55  3.523   55  3.382   62  3.280   55 0.5076   64 0.4821   59 14.700   60  3.382   60  3.179
Duke             2  9 223 341  3.500   85  2.809   86  2.638   67  3.148   86 0.4249   99 0.3870   81 13.558   57  3.426   70  2.871
Maryland         2  9 161 355  3.393   86  2.792   84  2.654   87  2.641   83 0.4300   89 0.4048   86 13.446   94  2.577   79  2.706

Big 10 Conf: strength=3.768 (#4)
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Michigan        12  0 322 114  4.080    2  5.481    2  5.321    4  4.842    5 0.6871    3 0.6982    3 17.983   23  4.211    1  5.473
Ohio State      10  3 394 170  4.167   12  4.874   12  4.554    7  4.747   15 0.6096   12 0.6209   12 16.909   13  4.555    4  4.939
Penn State       9  3 366 254  3.765   15  4.653   15  4.361   30  3.954   18 0.5963   17 0.5932   16 16.396   24  4.193   37  3.714
Purdue           9  3 396 267  3.542   24  4.358   24  4.086   25  4.041   20 0.5831   20 0.5840   22 15.997   10  4.648   47  3.433
Michigan State   7  5 342 237  3.839   30  4.129   29  3.843   23  4.044   32 0.5519   39 0.5412   28 15.694   22  4.223   30  3.864
Wisconsin        8  5 291 306  3.418   32  4.075   32  3.836   60  3.326   36 0.5455   36 0.5475   36 15.443   61  3.361   51  3.291
Iowa             7  5 411 159  3.780   46  3.711   47  3.551   17  4.281   50 0.5198   56 0.5014   42 15.340   33  4.031    9  4.532
Northwestern     5  7 243 288  3.609   54  3.525   54  3.387   51  3.451   57 0.4996   62 0.4833   58 14.744   58  3.401   43  3.501
Indiana          2  9 120 359  3.266   87  2.768   87  2.623   99  2.350   82 0.4308   93 0.3975   90 13.267  106  2.015   81  2.685
Minnesota        3  9 238 334  3.204   90  2.728   90  2.573   78  2.899   85 0.4271   91 0.4011   87 13.412   77  3.021   73  2.777
Illinois         0 11 119 368  3.302  107  2.126  107  1.913  103  2.314  105 0.3676  106 0.3483  107 12.119  107  1.999   85  2.628

Big 12 Conf: strength=3.453 (#5)
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Nebraska        13  0 607 214  4.214    1  5.549    1  5.414    2  5.232    6 0.6847    4 0.6934    1 18.203    2  5.537    5  4.926
Kansas State    11  1 418 177  3.820    9  5.082    9  4.781    9  4.635   11 0.6351    7 0.6587    9 17.215   11  4.624    7  4.646
Texas A&M        9  4 445 236  3.647   27  4.210   27  3.938   24  4.043   35 0.5458   30 0.5625   26 15.832   39  3.892   18  4.195
Missouri         7  5 392 367  3.572   36  3.946   36  3.754   42  3.655   43 0.5348   41 0.5394   37 15.433   34  4.029   53  3.281
Colorado         5  6 300 295  3.868   43  3.779   42  3.636   35  3.783   46 0.5276   38 0.5441   43 15.284   20  4.277   52  3.290
Oklahoma State   8  4 352 233  3.219   44  3.734   44  3.576   43  3.613   45 0.5297   51 0.5169   45 15.200   64  3.286   25  3.939
Texas Tech       6  5 245 217  3.394   53  3.537   53  3.399   46  3.516   49 0.5250   47 0.5269   54 14.809   71  3.215   31  3.818
Kansas           5  6 177 279  3.033   68  3.287   68  3.117   83  2.742   66 0.4784   72 0.4658   71 14.055  100  2.367   64  3.116
Oklahoma         4  8 232 379  3.269   72  3.127   72  3.016   82  2.756   75 0.4508   82 0.4266   75 13.935   83  2.944   89  2.567
Texas            4  7 283 366  3.157   76  3.048   76  2.920   76  2.919   73 0.4515   79 0.4365   76 13.847   55  3.498   94  2.340
Baylor           2  9 200 375  3.246   92  2.707   92  2.550   86  2.676   91 0.4149   87 0.4092   91 13.259   84  2.914   91  2.439
Iowa State       1 10 214 493  3.355  102  2.530  102  2.336   91  2.504   96 0.3911  101 0.3709  102 12.794   66  3.270  104  1.738

Big East Conf: strength=2.912 (#8)
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Syracuse         9  4 441 226  3.401   40  3.913   40  3.714   22  4.086   42 0.5364   34 0.5515   32 15.534   27  4.142   24  4.031
West Virginia    7  5 360 285  3.212   57  3.512   57  3.370   53  3.421   58 0.4954   59 0.4997   56 14.785   46  3.689   62  3.153
Virginia Tech    7  5 324 227  3.197   59  3.496   59  3.352   56  3.349   60 0.4872   53 0.5072   57 14.763   68  3.230   44  3.468
Pittsburgh       6  6 333 354  2.919   69  3.244   69  3.069   80  2.857   70 0.4640   71 0.4689   72 14.028   75  3.092   86  2.623
Miami (Fla)      5  6 314 285  3.055   75  3.068   75  2.944   69  3.100   77 0.4469   77 0.4444   73 13.991   73  3.197   69  3.003
Boston College   4  7 237 314  2.882   81  2.870   81  2.705   85  2.678   89 0.4185   86 0.4118   82 13.548   89  2.717   82  2.639
Temple           3  8 212 371  2.839   94  2.652   94  2.482   97  2.398   95 0.3966  100 0.3853   96 13.008   93  2.582   98  2.214
Rutgers          0 11 191 496  2.660  110  1.666  110  1.501  110  1.624  112 0.2932  112 0.2796  110 11.241  109  1.925  109  1.322

Big West: strength=2.546 (#10)
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Nevada           5  6 353 320  3.162   70  3.216   70  3.036   63  3.252   79 0.4398   68 0.4769   70 14.100   40  3.870   83  2.635
Utah State       6  6 389 296  3.044   73  3.123   73  3.010   61  3.286   80 0.4325   65 0.4814   69 14.140   41  3.850   78  2.721
North Texas      4  7 232 331  2.599   91  2.719   91  2.562  101  2.337  101 0.3810   94 0.3971   93 13.087   90  2.684  103  1.990
Idaho            5  6 302 263  2.485   96  2.613   96  2.432   84  2.689   98 0.3852   96 0.3939   92 13.138   88  2.744   84  2.634
Boise State      4  7 285 358  2.516  101  2.540  101  2.345   88  2.630   97 0.3889   76 0.4474  100 12.835   79  2.985   95  2.276
New Mexico St    2  9 221 398  2.152  108  1.836  108  1.659  109  1.765  111 0.3109  110 0.3097  108 11.634  108  1.947  107  1.583

Conference USA: strength=3.027 (#6)
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Southern Miss    9  3 337 210  3.550   22  4.369   22  4.097   21  4.087   21 0.5798   18 0.5931   19 16.040   36  3.955   17  4.219
Tulane           7  4 375 225  3.199   51  3.593   52  3.411   38  3.749   52 0.5126   49 0.5191   48 15.016   31  4.052   46  3.446
Cincinnati       8  4 321 252  3.000   52  3.572   51  3.436   55  3.369   56 0.5049   44 0.5321   50 14.878   72  3.213   41  3.525
East Carolina    5  6 214 298  3.267   62  3.405   62  3.261   74  2.987   62 0.4810   66 0.4782   64 14.404   80  2.961   68  3.012
Houston          3  8 216 410  3.046   82  2.849   82  2.682  104  2.294   90 0.4182   92 0.4001   88 13.322   96  2.515  100  2.073
Memphis          4  7 218 243  2.918   88  2.758   88  2.607   79  2.866   88 0.4203   97 0.3938   83 13.502   92  2.649   65  3.084
Louisville       1 10 245 407  2.907  106  2.162  106  1.915   98  2.398  107 0.3468  109 0.3133  106 12.131   76  3.077  105  1.718

Mid-American Conf: strength=2.796 (#9)
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Marshall        10  3 484 259  3.213   34  4.057   34  3.814   19  4.102   31 0.5588   19 0.5924   29 15.670   16  4.446   34  3.758
Toledo           9  3 356 268  3.132   35  3.994   35  3.809   57  3.340   33 0.5505   16 0.5933   34 15.477   56  3.443   55  3.237
Miami (Ohio)     8  3 412 226  3.185   41  3.833   43  3.627   31  3.951   41 0.5373   23 0.5783   41 15.345   17  4.436   45  3.466
Ohio U           8  3 301 177  3.074   42  3.800   41  3.659   54  3.394   48 0.5275   29 0.5648   44 15.276   78  3.010   32  3.778
W Michigan       8  3 301 265  2.729   49  3.658   49  3.487   73  3.017   47 0.5275   37 0.5471   55 14.801   67  3.236   72  2.799
Ball State       5  6 239 260  2.763   80  2.938   80  2.787   77  2.915   74 0.4512   74 0.4527   79 13.696   91  2.670   61  3.161
Bowling Green    3  8 191 341  2.997   84  2.824   85  2.653   94  2.459   78 0.4448   69 0.4767   85 13.446  101  2.343   87  2.576
E Michigan       4  7 329 352  2.890   89  2.741   89  2.587   75  2.965   84 0.4284   78 0.4379   84 13.491   53  3.569   93  2.360
Kent State       3  8 337 490  2.883   93  2.662   93  2.495   96  2.428   94 0.4046   83 0.4226   94 13.037   49  3.615  110  1.241
Akron            2  9 218 435  2.895  103  2.491  103  2.280  105  2.281   92 0.4096   90 0.4039  103 12.716   95  2.570  102  1.992
C Michigan       2  9 282 479  2.611  104  2.243  104  2.016  107  2.160  102 0.3789  102 0.3685  105 12.196   86  2.845  108  1.475
N Illinois       0 11 129 382  2.758  109  1.705  109  1.553  108  1.871  109 0.3300  107 0.3296  109 11.436  110  1.722  101  2.020

Pacific 10 Conf: strength=4.192 (#1)
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Washington St   10  2 483 296  4.161    6  5.156    6  4.877   13  4.440   10 0.6429   10 0.6463    8 17.238    5  5.152   35  3.728
UCLA            10  2 477 247  4.228    8  5.117    8  4.830    5  4.823    8 0.6572    9 0.6467    6 17.306    3  5.262   13  4.384
Washington       8  4 420 259  4.314   13  4.753   13  4.416    6  4.804   14 0.6146   15 0.6067   13 16.727    4  5.199   12  4.408
Arizona State    9  3 324 210  3.939   14  4.654   14  4.362   16  4.306   17 0.5986   21 0.5805   15 16.460   26  4.186   10  4.425
USC              6  5 233 233  4.155   19  4.424   19  4.129   26  4.023   23 0.5739   33 0.5540   20 16.033   44  3.729   15  4.318
Oregon           7  5 380 350  3.989   20  4.393   21  4.105   18  4.111   27 0.5717   25 0.5767   21 16.007    8  4.797   48  3.426
Arizona          7  5 317 312  3.997   21  4.382   20  4.114   27  3.997   26 0.5719   24 0.5773   23 15.986   30  4.084   27  3.910
Stanford         5  6 276 317  3.931   37  3.940   37  3.749   44  3.608   37 0.5438   52 0.5169   39 15.403   35  4.013   58  3.204
California       3  8 295 339  3.767   71  3.205   71  3.026   45  3.592   64 0.4795   75 0.4476   68 14.189   37  3.949   56  3.236
Oregon State     3  8 195 285  3.567   74  3.083   74  2.964   70  3.095   76 0.4497   88 0.4059   74 13.972   87  2.797   49  3.392

Southeastern Conf: strength=4.187 (#2)
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Tennessee       11  2 428 286  4.384    4  5.315    4  5.112   11  4.595    1 0.7127    1 0.7038    5 17.600    6  5.114   22  4.076
Florida         10  2 430 205  4.459    5  5.275    5  5.017    3  4.959    2 0.6997    5 0.6883    4 17.649    7  5.113    6  4.804
Georgia         10  2 380 195  4.108   10  5.067   10  4.765    8  4.642    7 0.6778    8 0.6586   10 17.154    9  4.650    8  4.633
Auburn          10  3 340 250  4.213   11  5.033   11  4.729   15  4.319    4 0.6910    6 0.6637   11 17.005   19  4.323   16  4.315
LSU              9  3 373 188  3.931   16  4.638   17  4.345   14  4.436   13 0.6339   22 0.5793   14 16.520   14  4.517   14  4.355
Mississippi      8  4 267 240  4.046   17  4.619   16  4.347   20  4.094   12 0.6346   13 0.6198   17 16.369   32  4.038   19  4.149
Mississippi St   7  4 226 215  3.819   23  4.365   23  4.094   32  3.840   16 0.6083   32 0.5617   25 15.909   52  3.581   21  4.099
South Carolina   5  6 258 279  3.963   39  3.918   39  3.722   36  3.765   25 0.5736   48 0.5265   38 15.426   38  3.938   40  3.593
Kentucky         5  6 348 362  3.773   47  3.710   46  3.551   41  3.657   38 0.5438   61 0.4874   47 15.111   12  4.565   75  2.749
Arkansas         4  7 181 284  3.826   50  3.641   50  3.471   48  3.503   30 0.5590   46 0.5306   52 14.842   63  3.308   39  3.698
Alabama          4  7 246 248  3.816   58  3.507   58  3.366   40  3.661   39 0.5379   54 0.5058   51 14.852   51  3.598   36  3.724
Vanderbilt       3  8 138 204  3.501   79  2.993   79  2.858   65  3.227   67 0.4733   85 0.4168   77 13.833   98  2.388   23  4.066

Western Athletic Conf: strength=3.012 (#7)
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Colorado State  11  2 477 203  3.444   18  4.516   18  4.229   12  4.461   22 0.5751   14 0.6108   18 16.353   15  4.499   11  4.423
Air Force       10  3 279 190  3.125   33  4.067   33  3.826   52  3.445   44 0.5318   26 0.5751   33 15.507   82  2.953   26  3.937
New Mexico       9  4 404 274  3.086   45  3.730   45  3.572   49  3.496   54 0.5087   42 0.5359   46 15.128   45  3.710   54  3.281
Rice             7  4 306 285  3.098   48  3.660   48  3.491   66  3.165   53 0.5106   45 0.5313   49 14.897   48  3.630   80  2.700
Wyoming          7  6 322 227  3.359   56  3.517   56  3.374   50  3.495   61 0.4828   57 0.5006   53 14.825   69  3.223   33  3.766
Brigham Young    6  5 250 254  3.127   60  3.476   60  3.330   72  3.083   63 0.4807   60 0.4913   61 14.617   74  3.136   67  3.030
SMU              6  5 247 237  3.163   61  3.416   61  3.272   64  3.230   59 0.4918   55 0.5028   62 14.563   65  3.276   59  3.184
San Diego State  5  7 257 333  3.373   64  3.373   64  3.220   68  3.105   68 0.4697   58 0.4997   66 14.356   62  3.348   71  2.863
Utah             6  5 253 200  3.050   65  3.325   65  3.167   59  3.332   69 0.4675   63 0.4822   63 14.412   81  2.955   38  3.709
Fresno State     6  6 318 288  3.146   66  3.301   66  3.133   58  3.337   71 0.4606   67 0.4774   67 14.289   54  3.534   63  3.139
San Jose State   4  7 225 387  3.018   77  3.008   77  2.875   92  2.497   81 0.4319   80 0.4343   80 13.680   85  2.846   99  2.149
Texas-El Paso    4  7 162 311  2.733   83  2.826   83  2.655   95  2.430   87 0.4226   84 0.4169   89 13.314  104  2.114   76  2.746
UNLV             3  8 281 332  2.965   98  2.572   98  2.382   81  2.823  104 0.3717  104 0.3579   95 13.014   70  3.215   92  2.432
Tulsa            2  9 258 426  3.068   99  2.566   99  2.375   90  2.544   99 0.3831   95 0.3970   98 12.914   59  3.382  106  1.705
Hawaii           3  9 189 308  2.823  100  2.541  100  2.346   93  2.462  103 0.3740  105 0.3517  101 12.826  102  2.170   74  2.755
TCU              1 10 172 325  2.908  105  2.229  105  2.000  102  2.321  108 0.3415  108 0.3186  104 12.208   99  2.368   96  2.275

Division I-A Independents: strength=2.546 (#11)
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Louisiana Tech   9  2 364 281  2.728   29  4.129   31  3.841   71  3.091   29 0.5633   31 0.5625   40 15.394   47  3.680   90  2.502
Notre Dame       7  6 282 265  3.785   31  4.081   30  3.843   37  3.750   34 0.5502   35 0.5508   31 15.563   50  3.601   28  3.899
Central Florida  5  6 374 303  3.588   63  3.388   63  3.239   39  3.717   51 0.5150   43 0.5329   60 14.655   18  4.400   66  3.034
Navy             7  4 398 209  2.827   67  3.297   67  3.127   47  3.512   72 0.4522   73 0.4577   65 14.400   43  3.801   57  3.223
NE Louisiana     5  7 226 319  2.816   78  2.997   78  2.862   89  2.571   65 0.4792   70 0.4759   78 13.696   97  2.417   77  2.725
Army             4  7 221 311  2.481   95  2.639   95  2.467  106  2.196  100 0.3814  103 0.3616   97 12.945  103  2.130   97  2.263
Ala-Birmingham   5  6 222 238  2.237   97  2.608   97  2.428  100  2.343   93 0.4077   81 0.4269   99 12.912  105  2.113   88  2.574
SW Louisiana     1 10 176 553  2.057  111  1.664  111  1.494  112  1.242  106 0.3493   98 0.3878  111 11.094  111  1.594  112  0.891
Arkansas State   2  9 200 394  1.583  112  1.452  112  1.219  111  1.384  110 0.3119  111 0.2867  112 10.761  112  1.544  111  1.223

Conference Strengths
CONFERENCE                                      W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
Pacific 10 Conf                                68  48 0.586    1  4.192
Southeastern Conf                              86  54 0.614    2  4.187
Atlantic Coast Conf                            58  45 0.563    3  3.874
Big 10 Conf                                    72  60 0.545    4  3.768
Big 12 Conf                                    75  65 0.536    5  3.453
Conference USA                                 37  42 0.468    6  3.027
Western Athletic Conf                          90  97 0.481    7  3.012
Big East Conf                                  41  52 0.441    8  2.912
Mid-American Conf                              62  73 0.459    9  2.796
Big West                                       26  41 0.388   10  2.546
Division I-A Independents                      45  57 0.441   11  2.546

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.207 points in main ratings
     0.025 points in improved RPI
Average of 6.20 points per score

Predict score:






Team Strength vs. Time Plot:





posted: Sun Oct 12 21:48:47 2025

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