Dolphin Ratings - College Football

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and six ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
RPI Rating. Included only because of common real-life usage. The RPI rating has many statistical problems. The football RPI rating is based on the BCS formula, and approximates the schedule, loss, and quality win components.
Pseudo-Poll. A blended ranking based on win-loss and predictive ratings, calibrated to match real-life polls as closely as possible. This gives a rough but unbiased estimate of how typical voters value record vs. impressive wins.
Predictive-Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Predictive-Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Predictive-Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

Because these ratings contain no prejudices regarding team or conference strengths, they tend to be quite inaccurate early in the seasons. College football appears to take at least 5 games per team before even remotely reasonable ratings are produced; acceptable ratings are produced with 8 games per team; excellent ratings unfortunately require 14 games per team.

Rankings by division: Overall I-A I-AA II III NAIA NESCAC

Full Ranking

                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Nebraska        13  0 607 214  4.214    1  5.549    1  5.414    2  5.232    6 0.6847    4 0.6934    1 18.212    2  5.538    5  4.927
Michigan        12  0 322 114  4.080    2  5.481    2  5.321    4  4.843    5 0.6871    3 0.6982    3 17.994   23  4.212    1  5.473
Florida State   11  1 468 181  4.465    3  5.406    3  5.221    1  5.356    3 0.6911    2 0.6982    2 18.009    1  5.602    2  5.111
Tennessee       11  2 428 286  4.385    4  5.315    4  5.113   11  4.595    1 0.7127    1 0.7038    5 17.611    6  5.114   22  4.076
Florida         10  2 430 205  4.460    5  5.275    5  5.017    3  4.959    2 0.6997    5 0.6883    4 17.659    7  5.114    6  4.804
Washington St   10  2 483 296  4.162    6  5.155    6  4.877   13  4.440   10 0.6429   10 0.6463    8 17.248    5  5.152   35  3.728
North Carolina  11  1 348 146  3.858    7  5.139    7  4.855   10  4.602    9 0.6468   11 0.6223    7 17.251   21  4.245    3  4.958
UCLA            10  2 477 247  4.228    8  5.117    8  4.830    5  4.823    8 0.6572    9 0.6467    6 17.316    3  5.262   13  4.384
Kansas State    11  1 418 177  3.820    9  5.081    9  4.782    9  4.636   11 0.6351    7 0.6587    9 17.225   11  4.625    7  4.647
Georgia         10  2 380 195  4.109   10  5.067   10  4.765    8  4.643    7 0.6778    8 0.6586   10 17.164    9  4.651    8  4.634
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Auburn          10  3 340 250  4.213   11  5.033   11  4.730   15  4.320    4 0.6910    6 0.6637   11 17.016   19  4.323   16  4.316
Ohio State      10  3 394 170  4.168   12  4.874   12  4.554    7  4.747   15 0.6096   12 0.6209   12 16.919   13  4.555    4  4.939
Washington       8  4 420 259  4.314   13  4.753   13  4.416    6  4.804   14 0.6146   15 0.6067   13 16.737    4  5.199   12  4.409
Arizona State    9  3 324 210  3.940   14  4.654   14  4.363   16  4.306   17 0.5986   21 0.5805   15 16.470   26  4.187   10  4.425
Penn State       9  3 366 254  3.765   15  4.653   15  4.361   30  3.954   18 0.5963   17 0.5932   16 16.406   24  4.194   37  3.715
LSU              9  3 373 188  3.931   16  4.638   17  4.345   14  4.436   13 0.6339   22 0.5793   14 16.531   14  4.517   14  4.355
Mississippi      8  4 267 240  4.046   17  4.619   16  4.348   20  4.094   12 0.6346   13 0.6198   17 16.380   32  4.039   19  4.150
Colorado State  11  2 477 203  3.444   18  4.516   18  4.230   12  4.461   22 0.5751   14 0.6108   18 16.364   15  4.500   11  4.423
USC              6  5 233 233  4.154   19  4.423   19  4.129   26  4.023   23 0.5739   33 0.5540   20 16.044   44  3.729   15  4.318
Oregon           7  5 380 350  3.989   20  4.393   21  4.106   18  4.112   27 0.5717   25 0.5767   21 16.018    8  4.797   48  3.426
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Arizona          7  5 317 312  3.998   21  4.382   20  4.115   27  3.997   26 0.5719   24 0.5773   23 15.998   30  4.084   27  3.911
Southern Miss    9  3 337 210  3.551   22  4.370   22  4.098   21  4.088   21 0.5798   18 0.5931   19 16.051   36  3.956   17  4.220
Mississippi St   7  4 226 215  3.819   23  4.365   23  4.094   32  3.841   16 0.6083   32 0.5617   25 15.920   52  3.582   21  4.100
Purdue           9  3 396 267  3.542   24  4.358   24  4.086   25  4.041   20 0.5831   20 0.5840   22 16.008   10  4.648   47  3.434
Virginia         7  4 277 242  3.847   25  4.343   25  4.070   28  3.994   19 0.5833   27 0.5695   24 15.943   29  4.113   29  3.875
Georgia Tech     7  5 314 296  3.840   26  4.234   26  3.968   33  3.817   24 0.5739   28 0.5674   27 15.771   28  4.117   42  3.516
Texas A&M        9  4 445 236  3.647   27  4.210   27  3.939   23  4.044   35 0.5458   30 0.5625   26 15.844   39  3.893   18  4.196
Clemson          7  5 292 219  3.798   28  4.162   28  3.884   29  3.965   28 0.5649   40 0.5410   30 15.677   42  3.807   20  4.122
Louisiana Tech   9  2 364 281  2.729   29  4.129   31  3.841   71  3.092   29 0.5633   31 0.5625   40 15.404   47  3.681   90  2.503
Michigan State   7  5 342 237  3.839   30  4.128   29  3.843   24  4.044   32 0.5519   39 0.5412   28 15.705   22  4.223   30  3.864
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Notre Dame       7  6 282 265  3.785   31  4.080   30  3.843   38  3.750   34 0.5502   35 0.5508   31 15.573   50  3.601   28  3.899
Wisconsin        8  5 291 306  3.419   32  4.074   32  3.836   60  3.326   36 0.5455   36 0.5475   36 15.453   61  3.361   51  3.291
Air Force       10  3 279 190  3.126   33  4.067   33  3.827   52  3.446   44 0.5318   26 0.5751   33 15.518   82  2.954   26  3.938
Marshall        10  3 484 259  3.213   34  4.057   34  3.815   19  4.103   31 0.5588   19 0.5924   29 15.682   16  4.446   34  3.759
Toledo           9  3 356 268  3.132   35  3.994   35  3.810   57  3.341   33 0.5505   16 0.5933   34 15.489   56  3.444   55  3.238
Missouri         7  5 392 367  3.572   36  3.946   36  3.755   42  3.656   43 0.5348   41 0.5394   37 15.443   34  4.030   53  3.282
Stanford         5  6 276 317  3.931   37  3.940   37  3.749   44  3.609   37 0.5438   52 0.5169   39 15.413   35  4.013   58  3.204
N Carolina St    6  5 325 268  3.730   38  3.927   38  3.733   34  3.784   40 0.5374   50 0.5188   35 15.462   25  4.189   50  3.380
South Carolina   5  6 258 279  3.964   39  3.918   39  3.722   36  3.766   25 0.5736   48 0.5265   38 15.437   38  3.939   40  3.594
Syracuse         9  4 441 226  3.402   40  3.913   40  3.714   22  4.087   42 0.5364   34 0.5515   32 15.546   27  4.143   24  4.031
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Miami (Ohio)     8  3 412 226  3.186   41  3.833   43  3.628   31  3.952   41 0.5373   23 0.5783   41 15.356   17  4.437   45  3.467
Ohio U           8  3 301 177  3.075   42  3.799   41  3.659   54  3.395   48 0.5275   29 0.5648   44 15.287   78  3.011   32  3.778
Colorado         5  6 300 295  3.868   43  3.778   42  3.637   35  3.784   46 0.5276   38 0.5441   43 15.294   20  4.277   52  3.290
Oklahoma State   8  4 352 233  3.219   44  3.734   44  3.577   43  3.613   45 0.5297   51 0.5169   45 15.210   64  3.286   25  3.940
New Mexico       9  4 404 274  3.087   45  3.730   45  3.573   49  3.496   54 0.5087   42 0.5359   46 15.138   45  3.711   54  3.282
Iowa             7  5 411 159  3.781   46  3.711   47  3.552   17  4.282   50 0.5198   56 0.5014   42 15.351   33  4.031    9  4.532
Kentucky         5  6 348 362  3.773   47  3.710   46  3.552   41  3.658   38 0.5438   61 0.4874   47 15.121   12  4.566   75  2.750
Rice             7  4 306 285  3.098   48  3.659   48  3.491   66  3.165   53 0.5106   45 0.5313   49 14.907   48  3.631   80  2.700
W Michigan       8  3 301 265  2.729   49  3.658   49  3.488   73  3.018   47 0.5275   37 0.5471   55 14.811   67  3.237   72  2.799
Arkansas         4  7 181 284  3.826   50  3.641   50  3.472   48  3.503   30 0.5590   46 0.5306   52 14.852   63  3.308   39  3.698
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Tulane           7  4 375 225  3.199   51  3.593   52  3.412   37  3.750   52 0.5126   49 0.5191   48 15.026   31  4.053   46  3.447
Cincinnati       8  4 321 252  3.001   52  3.572   51  3.437   55  3.370   56 0.5049   44 0.5321   50 14.889   72  3.214   41  3.526
Texas Tech       6  5 245 217  3.395   53  3.537   53  3.400   46  3.517   49 0.5250   47 0.5269   54 14.819   71  3.215   31  3.818
Northwestern     5  7 243 288  3.609   54  3.525   54  3.387   51  3.451   57 0.4996   62 0.4833   58 14.753   58  3.401   43  3.501
Wake Forest      5  6 245 288  3.490   55  3.523   55  3.382   62  3.281   55 0.5076   64 0.4821   59 14.709   60  3.383   60  3.179
Wyoming          7  6 322 227  3.359   56  3.516   56  3.374   50  3.495   61 0.4828   57 0.5006   53 14.835   69  3.223   33  3.767
West Virginia    7  5 360 285  3.213   57  3.512   57  3.370   53  3.422   58 0.4954   59 0.4997   56 14.795   46  3.690   62  3.154
Alabama          4  7 246 248  3.817   58  3.507   58  3.367   40  3.661   39 0.5379   54 0.5058   51 14.863   51  3.598   36  3.724
Virginia Tech    7  5 324 227  3.198   59  3.496   59  3.353   56  3.350   60 0.4872   53 0.5072   57 14.774   68  3.231   44  3.469
Brigham Young    6  5 250 254  3.127   60  3.475   60  3.330   72  3.083   63 0.4807   60 0.4913   61 14.627   74  3.136   67  3.030
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
SMU              6  5 247 237  3.163   61  3.415   61  3.273   64  3.230   59 0.4918   55 0.5028   62 14.573   65  3.277   59  3.184
East Carolina    5  6 214 298  3.268   62  3.405   62  3.262   74  2.987   62 0.4810   66 0.4782   64 14.414   80  2.962   68  3.013
Central Florida  5  6 374 303  3.589   63  3.387   63  3.240   39  3.717   51 0.5150   43 0.5329   60 14.664   18  4.401   66  3.034
San Diego State  5  7 257 333  3.374   64  3.373   64  3.220   68  3.106   68 0.4697   58 0.4997   66 14.367   62  3.348   71  2.864
Utah             6  5 253 200  3.050   65  3.325   65  3.167   59  3.332   69 0.4675   63 0.4822   63 14.422   81  2.955   38  3.710
Fresno State     6  6 318 288  3.147   66  3.301   66  3.134   58  3.337   71 0.4606   67 0.4774   67 14.299   54  3.535   63  3.140
Navy             7  4 398 209  2.827   67  3.296   67  3.127   47  3.513   72 0.4522   73 0.4577   65 14.409   43  3.802   57  3.224
Kansas           5  6 177 279  3.034   68  3.287   68  3.117   83  2.742   66 0.4784   72 0.4658   71 14.065   99  2.368   64  3.117
Pittsburgh       6  6 333 354  2.920   69  3.244   69  3.070   80  2.858   70 0.4640   71 0.4689   72 14.038   75  3.093   86  2.624
Nevada           5  6 353 320  3.163   70  3.215   70  3.037   63  3.253   79 0.4398   68 0.4769   70 14.110   40  3.870   83  2.636
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
California       3  8 295 339  3.767   71  3.205   71  3.026   45  3.593   64 0.4795   75 0.4476   68 14.199   37  3.949   56  3.236
Oklahoma         4  8 232 379  3.269   72  3.127   72  3.016   82  2.756   75 0.4508   82 0.4266   75 13.945   83  2.945   89  2.567
Utah State       6  6 389 296  3.045   73  3.123   73  3.011   61  3.286   80 0.4325   65 0.4814   69 14.150   41  3.851   78  2.722
Oregon State     3  8 195 285  3.566   74  3.082   74  2.965   70  3.095   76 0.4497   88 0.4059   74 13.981   87  2.797   49  3.393
Miami (Fla)      5  6 314 285  3.056   75  3.068   75  2.945   69  3.101   77 0.4469   77 0.4444   73 14.002   73  3.198   69  3.004
Texas            4  7 283 366  3.157   76  3.048   76  2.921   76  2.920   73 0.4515   79 0.4365   76 13.857   55  3.498   94  2.341
San Jose State   4  7 225 387  3.018   77  3.008   77  2.875   92  2.498   81 0.4319   80 0.4343   80 13.690   85  2.847   99  2.149
NE Louisiana     5  7 226 319  2.817   78  2.997   78  2.863   89  2.572   65 0.4792   70 0.4759   78 13.707   97  2.418   77  2.726
Vanderbilt       3  8 138 204  3.502   79  2.993   79  2.859   65  3.227   67 0.4733   85 0.4168   77 13.844   98  2.389   23  4.066
Ball State       5  6 239 260  2.764   80  2.937   80  2.788   77  2.916   74 0.4512   74 0.4527   79 13.706   91  2.671   61  3.161
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Boston College   4  7 237 314  2.883   81  2.870   81  2.706   85  2.679   89 0.4185   86 0.4118   82 13.559   89  2.718   82  2.640
Houston          3  8 216 410  3.047   82  2.849   82  2.683  104  2.295   90 0.4182   92 0.4001   88 13.332   96  2.516  100  2.074
Texas-El Paso    4  7 162 311  2.733   83  2.826   83  2.656   95  2.430   87 0.4226   84 0.4169   89 13.325  104  2.114   76  2.747
Bowling Green    3  8 191 341  2.998   84  2.824   85  2.654   94  2.460   78 0.4448   69 0.4767   85 13.457  101  2.343   87  2.576
Duke             2  9 223 341  3.500   85  2.809   86  2.638   67  3.149   86 0.4249   99 0.3870   81 13.568   57  3.426   70  2.871
Maryland         2  9 161 355  3.393   86  2.792   84  2.654   87  2.642   83 0.4300   89 0.4048   86 13.456   94  2.577   79  2.706
Indiana          2  9 120 359  3.267   87  2.768   87  2.624   99  2.351   82 0.4308   93 0.3975   90 13.279  106  2.016   81  2.686
Memphis          4  7 218 243  2.920   88  2.758   88  2.608   79  2.867   88 0.4203   97 0.3938   83 13.513   92  2.650   65  3.085
E Michigan       4  7 329 352  2.890   89  2.741   89  2.588   75  2.965   84 0.4284   78 0.4379   84 13.501   53  3.570   93  2.361
Minnesota        3  9 238 334  3.205   90  2.728   90  2.574   78  2.899   85 0.4271   91 0.4011   87 13.423   77  3.022   73  2.777
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
North Texas      4  7 232 331  2.600   91  2.719   91  2.563  101  2.338  101 0.3810   94 0.3971   93 13.098   90  2.685  103  1.990
Baylor           2  9 200 375  3.247   92  2.707   92  2.551   86  2.677   91 0.4149   87 0.4092   91 13.270   84  2.914   91  2.439
Kent State       3  8 337 490  2.884   93  2.662   93  2.496   96  2.429   94 0.4046   83 0.4226   94 13.048   49  3.616  110  1.242
Temple           3  8 212 371  2.840   94  2.652   94  2.483   97  2.399   95 0.3966  100 0.3853   96 13.020   93  2.583   98  2.215
Army             4  7 221 311  2.482   95  2.639   95  2.467  106  2.197  100 0.3814  103 0.3616   97 12.956  103  2.131   97  2.264
Idaho            5  6 302 263  2.486   96  2.613   96  2.433   84  2.690   98 0.3852   96 0.3939   92 13.149   88  2.745   84  2.635
Ala-Birmingham   5  6 222 238  2.238   97  2.608   97  2.429  100  2.344   93 0.4077   81 0.4269   99 12.923  105  2.113   88  2.575
UNLV             3  8 281 332  2.965   98  2.572   98  2.383   81  2.824  104 0.3717  104 0.3579   95 13.025   70  3.215   92  2.433
Tulsa            2  9 258 426  3.068   99  2.565   99  2.376   90  2.544   99 0.3831   95 0.3970   98 12.925   59  3.383  106  1.706
Boise State      4  7 285 358  2.517  100  2.541  101  2.346   88  2.631   97 0.3889   76 0.4474  100 12.846   79  2.986   95  2.277
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Hawaii           3  9 189 308  2.824  101  2.541  100  2.347   93  2.463  103 0.3740  105 0.3517  101 12.837  102  2.170   74  2.755
Iowa State       1 10 214 493  3.356  102  2.531  102  2.337   91  2.505   96 0.3911  101 0.3709  102 12.806   66  3.271  104  1.739
Akron            2  9 218 435  2.896  103  2.491  103  2.281  105  2.281   92 0.4096   90 0.4039  103 12.727   95  2.571  102  1.992
C Michigan       2  9 282 479  2.612  104  2.244  104  2.017  107  2.161  102 0.3789  102 0.3685  105 12.208   86  2.846  108  1.476
TCU              1 10 172 325  2.908  105  2.229  105  2.000  102  2.322  108 0.3415  108 0.3186  104 12.219  100  2.368   96  2.275
Louisville       1 10 245 407  2.908  106  2.163  106  1.916   98  2.399  107 0.3468  109 0.3133  106 12.142   76  3.078  105  1.719
Illinois         0 11 119 368  3.303  107  2.126  107  1.914  103  2.314  105 0.3676  106 0.3483  107 12.129  107  2.000   85  2.629
New Mexico St    2  9 221 398  2.153  108  1.836  108  1.660  109  1.766  111 0.3109  110 0.3097  108 11.644  108  1.948  107  1.584
N Illinois       0 11 129 382  2.759  109  1.705  109  1.554  108  1.872  109 0.3300  107 0.3296  109 11.446  110  1.723  101  2.021
Rutgers          0 11 191 496  2.661  110  1.666  110  1.502  110  1.625  112 0.2932  112 0.2796  110 11.251  109  1.926  109  1.323
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
SW Louisiana     1 10 176 553  2.058  111  1.664  111  1.495  112  1.243  106 0.3493   98 0.3878  111 11.104  111  1.594  112  0.892
Arkansas State   2  9 200 394  1.584  112  1.452  112  1.220  111  1.385  110 0.3119  111 0.2867  112 10.771  112  1.545  111  1.224


Atlantic Coast Conf: strength=3.874 (#3)
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Florida State   11  1 468 181  4.465    3  5.406    3  5.221    1  5.356    3 0.6911    2 0.6982    2 18.009    1  5.602    2  5.111
North Carolina  11  1 348 146  3.858    7  5.139    7  4.855   10  4.602    9 0.6468   11 0.6223    7 17.251   21  4.245    3  4.958
Virginia         7  4 277 242  3.847   25  4.343   25  4.070   28  3.994   19 0.5833   27 0.5695   24 15.943   29  4.113   29  3.875
Georgia Tech     7  5 314 296  3.840   26  4.234   26  3.968   33  3.817   24 0.5739   28 0.5674   27 15.771   28  4.117   42  3.516
Clemson          7  5 292 219  3.798   28  4.162   28  3.884   29  3.965   28 0.5649   40 0.5410   30 15.677   42  3.807   20  4.122
N Carolina St    6  5 325 268  3.730   38  3.927   38  3.733   34  3.784   40 0.5374   50 0.5188   35 15.462   25  4.189   50  3.380
Wake Forest      5  6 245 288  3.490   55  3.523   55  3.382   62  3.281   55 0.5076   64 0.4821   59 14.709   60  3.383   60  3.179
Duke             2  9 223 341  3.500   85  2.809   86  2.638   67  3.149   86 0.4249   99 0.3870   81 13.568   57  3.426   70  2.871
Maryland         2  9 161 355  3.393   86  2.792   84  2.654   87  2.642   83 0.4300   89 0.4048   86 13.456   94  2.577   79  2.706

Big 10 Conf: strength=3.768 (#4)
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Michigan        12  0 322 114  4.080    2  5.481    2  5.321    4  4.843    5 0.6871    3 0.6982    3 17.994   23  4.212    1  5.473
Ohio State      10  3 394 170  4.168   12  4.874   12  4.554    7  4.747   15 0.6096   12 0.6209   12 16.919   13  4.555    4  4.939
Penn State       9  3 366 254  3.765   15  4.653   15  4.361   30  3.954   18 0.5963   17 0.5932   16 16.406   24  4.194   37  3.715
Purdue           9  3 396 267  3.542   24  4.358   24  4.086   25  4.041   20 0.5831   20 0.5840   22 16.008   10  4.648   47  3.434
Michigan State   7  5 342 237  3.839   30  4.128   29  3.843   24  4.044   32 0.5519   39 0.5412   28 15.705   22  4.223   30  3.864
Wisconsin        8  5 291 306  3.419   32  4.074   32  3.836   60  3.326   36 0.5455   36 0.5475   36 15.453   61  3.361   51  3.291
Iowa             7  5 411 159  3.781   46  3.711   47  3.552   17  4.282   50 0.5198   56 0.5014   42 15.351   33  4.031    9  4.532
Northwestern     5  7 243 288  3.609   54  3.525   54  3.387   51  3.451   57 0.4996   62 0.4833   58 14.753   58  3.401   43  3.501
Indiana          2  9 120 359  3.267   87  2.768   87  2.624   99  2.351   82 0.4308   93 0.3975   90 13.279  106  2.016   81  2.686
Minnesota        3  9 238 334  3.205   90  2.728   90  2.574   78  2.899   85 0.4271   91 0.4011   87 13.423   77  3.022   73  2.777
Illinois         0 11 119 368  3.303  107  2.126  107  1.914  103  2.314  105 0.3676  106 0.3483  107 12.129  107  2.000   85  2.629

Big 12 Conf: strength=3.454 (#5)
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Nebraska        13  0 607 214  4.214    1  5.549    1  5.414    2  5.232    6 0.6847    4 0.6934    1 18.212    2  5.538    5  4.927
Kansas State    11  1 418 177  3.820    9  5.081    9  4.782    9  4.636   11 0.6351    7 0.6587    9 17.225   11  4.625    7  4.647
Texas A&M        9  4 445 236  3.647   27  4.210   27  3.939   23  4.044   35 0.5458   30 0.5625   26 15.844   39  3.893   18  4.196
Missouri         7  5 392 367  3.572   36  3.946   36  3.755   42  3.656   43 0.5348   41 0.5394   37 15.443   34  4.030   53  3.282
Colorado         5  6 300 295  3.868   43  3.778   42  3.637   35  3.784   46 0.5276   38 0.5441   43 15.294   20  4.277   52  3.290
Oklahoma State   8  4 352 233  3.219   44  3.734   44  3.577   43  3.613   45 0.5297   51 0.5169   45 15.210   64  3.286   25  3.940
Texas Tech       6  5 245 217  3.395   53  3.537   53  3.400   46  3.517   49 0.5250   47 0.5269   54 14.819   71  3.215   31  3.818
Kansas           5  6 177 279  3.034   68  3.287   68  3.117   83  2.742   66 0.4784   72 0.4658   71 14.065   99  2.368   64  3.117
Oklahoma         4  8 232 379  3.269   72  3.127   72  3.016   82  2.756   75 0.4508   82 0.4266   75 13.945   83  2.945   89  2.567
Texas            4  7 283 366  3.157   76  3.048   76  2.921   76  2.920   73 0.4515   79 0.4365   76 13.857   55  3.498   94  2.341
Baylor           2  9 200 375  3.247   92  2.707   92  2.551   86  2.677   91 0.4149   87 0.4092   91 13.270   84  2.914   91  2.439
Iowa State       1 10 214 493  3.356  102  2.531  102  2.337   91  2.505   96 0.3911  101 0.3709  102 12.806   66  3.271  104  1.739

Big East Conf: strength=2.913 (#8)
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Syracuse         9  4 441 226  3.402   40  3.913   40  3.714   22  4.087   42 0.5364   34 0.5515   32 15.546   27  4.143   24  4.031
West Virginia    7  5 360 285  3.213   57  3.512   57  3.370   53  3.422   58 0.4954   59 0.4997   56 14.795   46  3.690   62  3.154
Virginia Tech    7  5 324 227  3.198   59  3.496   59  3.353   56  3.350   60 0.4872   53 0.5072   57 14.774   68  3.231   44  3.469
Pittsburgh       6  6 333 354  2.920   69  3.244   69  3.070   80  2.858   70 0.4640   71 0.4689   72 14.038   75  3.093   86  2.624
Miami (Fla)      5  6 314 285  3.056   75  3.068   75  2.945   69  3.101   77 0.4469   77 0.4444   73 14.002   73  3.198   69  3.004
Boston College   4  7 237 314  2.883   81  2.870   81  2.706   85  2.679   89 0.4185   86 0.4118   82 13.559   89  2.718   82  2.640
Temple           3  8 212 371  2.840   94  2.652   94  2.483   97  2.399   95 0.3966  100 0.3853   96 13.020   93  2.583   98  2.215
Rutgers          0 11 191 496  2.661  110  1.666  110  1.502  110  1.625  112 0.2932  112 0.2796  110 11.251  109  1.926  109  1.323

Big West: strength=2.547 (#10)
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Nevada           5  6 353 320  3.163   70  3.215   70  3.037   63  3.253   79 0.4398   68 0.4769   70 14.110   40  3.870   83  2.636
Utah State       6  6 389 296  3.045   73  3.123   73  3.011   61  3.286   80 0.4325   65 0.4814   69 14.150   41  3.851   78  2.722
North Texas      4  7 232 331  2.600   91  2.719   91  2.563  101  2.338  101 0.3810   94 0.3971   93 13.098   90  2.685  103  1.990
Idaho            5  6 302 263  2.486   96  2.613   96  2.433   84  2.690   98 0.3852   96 0.3939   92 13.149   88  2.745   84  2.635
Boise State      4  7 285 358  2.517  100  2.541  101  2.346   88  2.631   97 0.3889   76 0.4474  100 12.846   79  2.986   95  2.277
New Mexico St    2  9 221 398  2.153  108  1.836  108  1.660  109  1.766  111 0.3109  110 0.3097  108 11.644  108  1.948  107  1.584

Conference USA: strength=3.028 (#6)
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Southern Miss    9  3 337 210  3.551   22  4.370   22  4.098   21  4.088   21 0.5798   18 0.5931   19 16.051   36  3.956   17  4.220
Tulane           7  4 375 225  3.199   51  3.593   52  3.412   37  3.750   52 0.5126   49 0.5191   48 15.026   31  4.053   46  3.447
Cincinnati       8  4 321 252  3.001   52  3.572   51  3.437   55  3.370   56 0.5049   44 0.5321   50 14.889   72  3.214   41  3.526
East Carolina    5  6 214 298  3.268   62  3.405   62  3.262   74  2.987   62 0.4810   66 0.4782   64 14.414   80  2.962   68  3.013
Houston          3  8 216 410  3.047   82  2.849   82  2.683  104  2.295   90 0.4182   92 0.4001   88 13.332   96  2.516  100  2.074
Memphis          4  7 218 243  2.920   88  2.758   88  2.608   79  2.867   88 0.4203   97 0.3938   83 13.513   92  2.650   65  3.085
Louisville       1 10 245 407  2.908  106  2.163  106  1.916   98  2.399  107 0.3468  109 0.3133  106 12.142   76  3.078  105  1.719

Mid-American Conf: strength=2.797 (#9)
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Marshall        10  3 484 259  3.213   34  4.057   34  3.815   19  4.103   31 0.5588   19 0.5924   29 15.682   16  4.446   34  3.759
Toledo           9  3 356 268  3.132   35  3.994   35  3.810   57  3.341   33 0.5505   16 0.5933   34 15.489   56  3.444   55  3.238
Miami (Ohio)     8  3 412 226  3.186   41  3.833   43  3.628   31  3.952   41 0.5373   23 0.5783   41 15.356   17  4.437   45  3.467
Ohio U           8  3 301 177  3.075   42  3.799   41  3.659   54  3.395   48 0.5275   29 0.5648   44 15.287   78  3.011   32  3.778
W Michigan       8  3 301 265  2.729   49  3.658   49  3.488   73  3.018   47 0.5275   37 0.5471   55 14.811   67  3.237   72  2.799
Ball State       5  6 239 260  2.764   80  2.937   80  2.788   77  2.916   74 0.4512   74 0.4527   79 13.706   91  2.671   61  3.161
Bowling Green    3  8 191 341  2.998   84  2.824   85  2.654   94  2.460   78 0.4448   69 0.4767   85 13.457  101  2.343   87  2.576
E Michigan       4  7 329 352  2.890   89  2.741   89  2.588   75  2.965   84 0.4284   78 0.4379   84 13.501   53  3.570   93  2.361
Kent State       3  8 337 490  2.884   93  2.662   93  2.496   96  2.429   94 0.4046   83 0.4226   94 13.048   49  3.616  110  1.242
Akron            2  9 218 435  2.896  103  2.491  103  2.281  105  2.281   92 0.4096   90 0.4039  103 12.727   95  2.571  102  1.992
C Michigan       2  9 282 479  2.612  104  2.244  104  2.017  107  2.161  102 0.3789  102 0.3685  105 12.208   86  2.846  108  1.476
N Illinois       0 11 129 382  2.759  109  1.705  109  1.554  108  1.872  109 0.3300  107 0.3296  109 11.446  110  1.723  101  2.021

Pacific 10 Conf: strength=4.193 (#1)
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Washington St   10  2 483 296  4.162    6  5.155    6  4.877   13  4.440   10 0.6429   10 0.6463    8 17.248    5  5.152   35  3.728
UCLA            10  2 477 247  4.228    8  5.117    8  4.830    5  4.823    8 0.6572    9 0.6467    6 17.316    3  5.262   13  4.384
Washington       8  4 420 259  4.314   13  4.753   13  4.416    6  4.804   14 0.6146   15 0.6067   13 16.737    4  5.199   12  4.409
Arizona State    9  3 324 210  3.940   14  4.654   14  4.363   16  4.306   17 0.5986   21 0.5805   15 16.470   26  4.187   10  4.425
USC              6  5 233 233  4.154   19  4.423   19  4.129   26  4.023   23 0.5739   33 0.5540   20 16.044   44  3.729   15  4.318
Oregon           7  5 380 350  3.989   20  4.393   21  4.106   18  4.112   27 0.5717   25 0.5767   21 16.018    8  4.797   48  3.426
Arizona          7  5 317 312  3.998   21  4.382   20  4.115   27  3.997   26 0.5719   24 0.5773   23 15.998   30  4.084   27  3.911
Stanford         5  6 276 317  3.931   37  3.940   37  3.749   44  3.609   37 0.5438   52 0.5169   39 15.413   35  4.013   58  3.204
California       3  8 295 339  3.767   71  3.205   71  3.026   45  3.593   64 0.4795   75 0.4476   68 14.199   37  3.949   56  3.236
Oregon State     3  8 195 285  3.566   74  3.082   74  2.965   70  3.095   76 0.4497   88 0.4059   74 13.981   87  2.797   49  3.393

Southeastern Conf: strength=4.187 (#2)
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Tennessee       11  2 428 286  4.385    4  5.315    4  5.113   11  4.595    1 0.7127    1 0.7038    5 17.611    6  5.114   22  4.076
Florida         10  2 430 205  4.460    5  5.275    5  5.017    3  4.959    2 0.6997    5 0.6883    4 17.659    7  5.114    6  4.804
Georgia         10  2 380 195  4.109   10  5.067   10  4.765    8  4.643    7 0.6778    8 0.6586   10 17.164    9  4.651    8  4.634
Auburn          10  3 340 250  4.213   11  5.033   11  4.730   15  4.320    4 0.6910    6 0.6637   11 17.016   19  4.323   16  4.316
LSU              9  3 373 188  3.931   16  4.638   17  4.345   14  4.436   13 0.6339   22 0.5793   14 16.531   14  4.517   14  4.355
Mississippi      8  4 267 240  4.046   17  4.619   16  4.348   20  4.094   12 0.6346   13 0.6198   17 16.380   32  4.039   19  4.150
Mississippi St   7  4 226 215  3.819   23  4.365   23  4.094   32  3.841   16 0.6083   32 0.5617   25 15.920   52  3.582   21  4.100
South Carolina   5  6 258 279  3.964   39  3.918   39  3.722   36  3.766   25 0.5736   48 0.5265   38 15.437   38  3.939   40  3.594
Kentucky         5  6 348 362  3.773   47  3.710   46  3.552   41  3.658   38 0.5438   61 0.4874   47 15.121   12  4.566   75  2.750
Arkansas         4  7 181 284  3.826   50  3.641   50  3.472   48  3.503   30 0.5590   46 0.5306   52 14.852   63  3.308   39  3.698
Alabama          4  7 246 248  3.817   58  3.507   58  3.367   40  3.661   39 0.5379   54 0.5058   51 14.863   51  3.598   36  3.724
Vanderbilt       3  8 138 204  3.502   79  2.993   79  2.859   65  3.227   67 0.4733   85 0.4168   77 13.844   98  2.389   23  4.066

Western Athletic Conf: strength=3.012 (#7)
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Colorado State  11  2 477 203  3.444   18  4.516   18  4.230   12  4.461   22 0.5751   14 0.6108   18 16.364   15  4.500   11  4.423
Air Force       10  3 279 190  3.126   33  4.067   33  3.827   52  3.446   44 0.5318   26 0.5751   33 15.518   82  2.954   26  3.938
New Mexico       9  4 404 274  3.087   45  3.730   45  3.573   49  3.496   54 0.5087   42 0.5359   46 15.138   45  3.711   54  3.282
Rice             7  4 306 285  3.098   48  3.659   48  3.491   66  3.165   53 0.5106   45 0.5313   49 14.907   48  3.631   80  2.700
Wyoming          7  6 322 227  3.359   56  3.516   56  3.374   50  3.495   61 0.4828   57 0.5006   53 14.835   69  3.223   33  3.767
Brigham Young    6  5 250 254  3.127   60  3.475   60  3.330   72  3.083   63 0.4807   60 0.4913   61 14.627   74  3.136   67  3.030
SMU              6  5 247 237  3.163   61  3.415   61  3.273   64  3.230   59 0.4918   55 0.5028   62 14.573   65  3.277   59  3.184
San Diego State  5  7 257 333  3.374   64  3.373   64  3.220   68  3.106   68 0.4697   58 0.4997   66 14.367   62  3.348   71  2.864
Utah             6  5 253 200  3.050   65  3.325   65  3.167   59  3.332   69 0.4675   63 0.4822   63 14.422   81  2.955   38  3.710
Fresno State     6  6 318 288  3.147   66  3.301   66  3.134   58  3.337   71 0.4606   67 0.4774   67 14.299   54  3.535   63  3.140
San Jose State   4  7 225 387  3.018   77  3.008   77  2.875   92  2.498   81 0.4319   80 0.4343   80 13.690   85  2.847   99  2.149
Texas-El Paso    4  7 162 311  2.733   83  2.826   83  2.656   95  2.430   87 0.4226   84 0.4169   89 13.325  104  2.114   76  2.747
UNLV             3  8 281 332  2.965   98  2.572   98  2.383   81  2.824  104 0.3717  104 0.3579   95 13.025   70  3.215   92  2.433
Tulsa            2  9 258 426  3.068   99  2.565   99  2.376   90  2.544   99 0.3831   95 0.3970   98 12.925   59  3.383  106  1.706
Hawaii           3  9 189 308  2.824  101  2.541  100  2.347   93  2.463  103 0.3740  105 0.3517  101 12.837  102  2.170   74  2.755
TCU              1 10 172 325  2.908  105  2.229  105  2.000  102  2.322  108 0.3415  108 0.3186  104 12.219  100  2.368   96  2.275

Division I-A Independents: strength=2.547 (#11)
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM             W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Louisiana Tech   9  2 364 281  2.729   29  4.129   31  3.841   71  3.092   29 0.5633   31 0.5625   40 15.404   47  3.681   90  2.503
Notre Dame       7  6 282 265  3.785   31  4.080   30  3.843   38  3.750   34 0.5502   35 0.5508   31 15.573   50  3.601   28  3.899
Central Florida  5  6 374 303  3.589   63  3.387   63  3.240   39  3.717   51 0.5150   43 0.5329   60 14.664   18  4.401   66  3.034
Navy             7  4 398 209  2.827   67  3.296   67  3.127   47  3.513   72 0.4522   73 0.4577   65 14.409   43  3.802   57  3.224
NE Louisiana     5  7 226 319  2.817   78  2.997   78  2.863   89  2.572   65 0.4792   70 0.4759   78 13.707   97  2.418   77  2.726
Army             4  7 221 311  2.482   95  2.639   95  2.467  106  2.197  100 0.3814  103 0.3616   97 12.956  103  2.131   97  2.264
Ala-Birmingham   5  6 222 238  2.238   97  2.608   97  2.429  100  2.344   93 0.4077   81 0.4269   99 12.923  105  2.113   88  2.575
SW Louisiana     1 10 176 553  2.058  111  1.664  111  1.495  112  1.243  106 0.3493   98 0.3878  111 11.104  111  1.594  112  0.892
Arkansas State   2  9 200 394  1.584  112  1.452  112  1.220  111  1.385  110 0.3119  111 0.2867  112 10.771  112  1.545  111  1.224

Conference Strengths
CONFERENCE                                      W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
Pacific 10 Conf                                68  48 0.586    1  4.193
Southeastern Conf                              86  54 0.614    2  4.187
Atlantic Coast Conf                            58  45 0.563    3  3.874
Big 10 Conf                                    72  60 0.545    4  3.768
Big 12 Conf                                    75  65 0.536    5  3.454
Conference USA                                 37  42 0.468    6  3.028
Western Athletic Conf                          90  97 0.481    7  3.012
Big East Conf                                  41  52 0.441    8  2.913
Mid-American Conf                              62  73 0.459    9  2.797
Big West                                       26  41 0.388   10  2.547
Division I-A Independents                      45  57 0.441   11  2.547

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.207 points in main ratings
     0.025 points in improved RPI
Average of 6.20 points per score

Predict score:






Team Strength vs. Time Plot:





posted: Mon Dec 23 16:37:05 2019

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