Dolphin Ratings - College Basketball

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and six ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
RPI Rating. Included only because of common real-life usage. The RPI rating has many statistical problems. The football RPI rating is based on the BCS formula, and approximates the schedule, loss, and quality win components.
Pseudo-Poll. A blended ranking based on win-loss and predictive ratings, calibrated to match real-life polls as closely as possible. This gives a rough but unbiased estimate of how typical voters value record vs. impressive wins.
Predictive-Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Predictive-Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Predictive-Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

Because these ratings contain no prejudices regarding team or conference strengths, they tend to be quite inaccurate early in the seasons. College football appears to take at least 5 games per team before even remotely reasonable ratings are produced; acceptable ratings are produced with 8 games per team; excellent ratings unfortunately require 14 games per team.

Rankings by division: Overall NCAA-I NCAA-II NCAA-III NAIA-I NAIA-II NCCAA-I NCCAA-II USCAA-I USCAA-II CIS CCAA NBCAA Indep

Full Ranking

                                                    STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Oklahoma City           35  2  0 3044 2451  0.662    1  2.279    1  1.950    2  1.504    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1 25.261    5  1.659    4  1.348
Robert Morris-Chicago   31  1  0 3140 2231  0.330    2  2.037    2  1.730    1  1.722    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    2 24.695    1  2.778   17  0.665
Concordia CA            29  7  0 3035 2565  0.689    3  1.698    3  1.397    4  1.389    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    3 23.560    2  2.066   16  0.711
Azusa Pacific           28  6  0 2927 2483  0.557    4  1.663    4  1.364    6  1.148    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    4 23.333    3  1.974   33  0.321
Southern Nazarene       28  7  0 2963 2450  0.632    5  1.621    5  1.321    5  1.254    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    5 23.274    4  1.876   20  0.632
San Diego Christian     23  5  0 2142 1919  0.442    6  1.583    6  1.279   12  0.808    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    7 22.862   18  0.892   15  0.724
Park                    24  7  0 2640 2336  0.484    7  1.491    7  1.177   10  0.868    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    8 22.659    6  1.600   42  0.135
Georgetown KY           27  4  0 2629 1942  0.267    8  1.484    8  1.170    3  1.428    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    6 22.954    8  1.398    1  1.458
Oklahoma Baptist U.     21 11  0 2476 2179  0.672    9  1.257    9  0.947    7  1.026    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    9 22.075   16  0.974    8  1.077
NW Oklahoma St          21 12  0 2240 2106  0.593   10  1.154   10  0.893   15  0.736    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   11 21.792   46  0.104    3  1.368
TEAM                     W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Mountain St             25  6  0 2662 2220  0.090   11  1.118   11  0.875   14  0.746    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   10 21.871    9  1.294   41  0.198
Union TN                23  9  0 2605 2411  0.293   12  1.087   12  0.843   21  0.602    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   12 21.585   15  0.998   40  0.206
Campbellsville          25  6  0 2428 1920  0.043   13  0.983   13  0.771    9  0.919    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   13 21.467   28  0.602    6  1.236
Point Loma Nazarene     19 12  0 2409 2222  0.575   14  0.955   15  0.738   11  0.814    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   14 21.260   11  1.216   29  0.412
California Baptist      19 11  0 2198 2035  0.515   15  0.948   14  0.741   13  0.766    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   15 21.228   31  0.502    9  1.029
Lewis-Clark St ID       23  7  0 2321 1811  0.099   16  0.902   16  0.686    8  0.932    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   16 21.202   33  0.455    2  1.409
Lambuth                 24  7  0 2827 2391 -0.007   17  0.899   17  0.682   17  0.635    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   17 21.095    7  1.523   53 -0.253
Auburn Montgomery       24  5  0 2069 1831 -0.234   18  0.878   18  0.660   30  0.391    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   19 20.873   55 -0.059   10  0.842
Crichton                25  8  0 2841 2509 -0.002   19  0.869   19  0.650   20  0.618    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   18 20.954   10  1.240   43 -0.003
Westmont                15 12  0 1943 1876  0.572   20  0.847   20  0.624   19  0.623    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   20 20.843   30  0.582   18  0.665
TEAM                     W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Faulkner                24 10  0 2475 2227  0.049   21  0.761   21  0.531   28  0.455    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   21 20.391   41  0.162   13  0.749
Illinois-Springfield    22  8  0 2504 2231 -0.051   22  0.760   22  0.530   25  0.527    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   22 20.343   12  1.132   46 -0.077
Lubbock Christian       15 14  0 2063 2040  0.509   23  0.740   23  0.509   27  0.463    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   23 20.220   35  0.346   23  0.580
Xavier NO               22 10  0 2312 2173 -0.040   24  0.699   24  0.464   34  0.309    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   24 20.087   53 -0.042   19  0.659
LSU-Shreveport          24  8  0 2653 2349 -0.242   25  0.663   25  0.426   32  0.386    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   27 19.971   17  0.910   49 -0.137
Houston Baptist         22  7  0 2400 2147 -0.259   26  0.641   26  0.419   40  0.233    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   26 19.977   27  0.671   51 -0.205
Oklahoma Christian      13 15  0 2067 1982  0.638   27  0.625   28  0.405   18  0.634    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   25 20.044   25  0.678   22  0.591
John Brown              17 13  0 2124 2010  0.314   28  0.617   27  0.414   26  0.493    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   28 19.944   40  0.179   12  0.806
Westminster UT          19 11  0 2105 1925  0.189   29  0.584   29  0.383   22  0.577    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   29 19.916   52 -0.039    7  1.193
Cumberlands KY          19 10  0 2228 2025  0.043   30  0.577   30  0.376   23  0.574    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   31 19.897   26  0.677   26  0.470
TEAM                     W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Carroll MT              19 10  0 2148 2037 -0.053   31  0.546   31  0.359   44  0.130    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   33 19.648   48  0.036   38  0.223
Biola                   14 16  0 2100 1989  0.560   32  0.543   32  0.357   16  0.694    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   30 19.915   44  0.124    5  1.264
McKendree               17 12  0 2402 2276  0.155   33  0.529   33  0.343   29  0.404    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   32 19.686   13  1.115   59 -0.307
Olivet Nazarene         17 11  0 2083 1954  0.062   34  0.498   34  0.310   35  0.303    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   35 19.432   39  0.228   32  0.379
Wiley                   21  9  0 2317 2229 -0.250   35  0.482   35  0.293   51  0.011    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   36 19.290   36  0.297   54 -0.275
Wayland Baptist         12 17  0 2147 2155  0.601   36  0.475   36  0.286   24  0.541    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   34 19.440   21  0.782   34  0.300
William Carey           19 12  0 2483 2394 -0.037   37  0.420   37  0.252   43  0.137    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   38 19.200   22  0.775   67 -0.501
Montana St-Northern     19 10  0 2194 2018 -0.155   38  0.415   38  0.246   47  0.091    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   40 19.146   54 -0.050   36  0.232
Lee TN                  21 10  0 2258 2063 -0.163   39  0.413   39  0.244   36  0.283    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   37 19.285   42  0.126   27  0.440
Fresno Pacific          13 15  0 1932 1869  0.352   40  0.399   40  0.229   33  0.330    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   39 19.160   62 -0.162   11  0.822
TEAM                     W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Martin Methodist        19 11  0 2469 2317 -0.089   41  0.370   41  0.196   37  0.270    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   41 19.067   19  0.884   61 -0.344
Lindsey Wilson          15 11  0 1797 1698 -0.002   42  0.366   42  0.192   48  0.082    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   42 18.963   76 -0.575   14  0.738
Jarvis Christian        23  9  0 2692 2446 -0.432   43  0.356   43  0.181   46  0.109    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   43 18.923   20  0.855   73 -0.637
The Master's College    11 18  0 1987 2088  0.504   44  0.348   44  0.174   39  0.252    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   44 18.917   47  0.075   28  0.428
Mobile                  18 14  0 2260 2159 -0.010   45  0.324   45  0.149   42  0.145    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   45 18.846   64 -0.308   21  0.598
Southern Tech           21  8  0 2129 1891 -0.523   46  0.286   46  0.111   56 -0.040    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   49 18.606   68 -0.376   35  0.296
St Xavier               20 11  0 2354 2110 -0.258   47  0.278   47  0.104   45  0.126    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   48 18.711   49  0.031   39  0.221
Emmanuel GA             26 10  0 2813 2424 -0.496   48  0.277   48  0.104   50  0.043    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   46 18.725   43  0.124   44 -0.038
Texas Wesleyan          16 10  0 1864 1726 -0.179   49  0.272   49  0.098   53 -0.026    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   47 18.721   75 -0.565   25  0.513
Tougaloo                17 13  0 2364 2238 -0.071   50  0.238   50  0.068   38  0.253    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   50 18.565   29  0.602   48 -0.097
TEAM                     W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Science & Arts OK        6 19  0 1705 1852  0.837   51  0.235   51  0.066   31  0.387    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   51 18.551   38  0.256   24  0.518
Rocky Mountain          17 13  0 2377 2226 -0.162   52  0.114   52 -0.043   41  0.204    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   52 18.165   24  0.690   55 -0.282
Missouri Baptist        14 13  0 2295 2272 -0.079   53  0.089   53 -0.073   58 -0.111    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   54 17.924   14  1.084   86 -1.307
Voorhees                13  6  0 1603 1356 -0.471   54  0.072   54 -0.091   49  0.058    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   53 18.048   32  0.469   63 -0.353
Spring Hill             14 11  0 1907 1787 -0.247   55  0.058   55 -0.105   54 -0.030    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   55 17.824   45  0.122   50 -0.182
Trevecca Nazarene       17 13  0 2312 2198 -0.316   56 -0.002   56 -0.152   55 -0.037    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   56 17.535   50 -0.017   45 -0.057
Purdue Calumet           7  5  0  876  890 -0.503   57 -0.004   57 -0.154   60 -0.326    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   58 17.264   60 -0.140   68 -0.512
Columbia MO             15 15  0 2151 2086 -0.178   58 -0.019   58 -0.169   57 -0.086    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   57 17.358   70 -0.400   37  0.228
Vanguard                 7 21  0 1824 2006  0.454   59 -0.129   59 -0.256   52  0.006    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   59 17.153   69 -0.376   31  0.389
Cumberland TN           15 15  0 2180 2121 -0.352   60 -0.196   60 -0.327   61 -0.374    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   60 16.757   80 -0.670   47 -0.078
TEAM                     W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Brescia                 11 20  0 2166 2314 -0.026   61 -0.241   61 -0.364   63 -0.381    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   61 16.653   72 -0.464   57 -0.298
Reinhardt               16 15  0 2099 2171 -0.486   62 -0.244   62 -0.367   71 -0.510    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   62 16.532   83 -0.726   56 -0.294
Southern-New Orleans     7 14  0 1456 1618 -0.029   63 -0.262   63 -0.385   69 -0.504    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   64 16.497   71 -0.400   72 -0.609
Belhaven                14 17  0 2330 2404 -0.313   64 -0.269   64 -0.393   65 -0.437    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   63 16.507   57 -0.098   75 -0.776
St Gregory's             7 20  0 1782 2027  0.189   65 -0.287   65 -0.411   67 -0.473    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   65 16.329   77 -0.622   60 -0.325
Hannibal-LaGrange       11 16  0 1743 1838 -0.273   66 -0.318   66 -0.418   64 -0.396    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   66 16.324   91 -1.193   30  0.400
St Francis IL           10 15  0 1722 1897 -0.315   67 -0.342   67 -0.433   75 -0.580    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   67 16.229   79 -0.634   71 -0.526
Montana Tech            10 18  0 1979 2088 -0.154   68 -0.409   68 -0.489   68 -0.481    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   68 16.141   74 -0.546   66 -0.416
West Virginia Tech      10 20  0 2229 2284 -0.064   69 -0.452   69 -0.544   59 -0.226    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   69 16.127   61 -0.147   58 -0.305
Brewton-Parker          12 18  0 1922 2095 -0.433   70 -0.494   70 -0.566   80 -0.639    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   70 15.839   86 -1.055   52 -0.222
TEAM                     W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Pikeville               12 19  0 2198 2339 -0.327   71 -0.535   71 -0.597   70 -0.505    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   71 15.828   73 -0.486   70 -0.524
Morris SC                7 14  0 1492 1618 -0.303   72 -0.578   72 -0.642   73 -0.542    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   72 15.656   56 -0.088   81 -0.996
IU South Bend            9 19  0 1907 2113 -0.265   73 -0.581   73 -0.645   78 -0.601    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   73 15.605   84 -0.813   65 -0.389
Williams Baptist        12 11  0 1739 1837 -1.042   74 -0.584   74 -0.650   91 -1.054    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   77 15.376   78 -0.634   90 -1.475
Freed-Hardeman           8 22  0 2144 2402 -0.100   75 -0.593   75 -0.659   72 -0.517    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   74 15.604   65 -0.322   74 -0.711
Lyon                    12 18  0 2092 2245 -0.524   76 -0.607   76 -0.676   82 -0.729    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   76 15.492   88 -1.088   64 -0.370
Paul Quinn               6 18  0 1906 2127 -0.105   77 -0.632   77 -0.695   79 -0.608    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   75 15.508   34  0.434   93 -1.650
Hope Int'l               4 25  0 1841 2377  0.125   78 -0.702   78 -0.773   90 -1.046    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   81 14.788   87 -1.069   82 -1.023
Montana-Western          7 20  0 2200 2302 -0.107   79 -0.712   79 -0.785   62 -0.377    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   78 15.356   23  0.759   91 -1.512
Dillard                  5 20  0 1819 2005 -0.060   80 -0.795   80 -0.818   76 -0.583    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   79 15.045   59 -0.118   83 -1.048
TEAM                     W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Berry                    8 21  0 2000 2177 -0.311   81 -0.797   81 -0.820   83 -0.750    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   80 15.000   82 -0.708   76 -0.791
Mid-Continent           16 21  0 3117 3204 -0.839   82 -0.803   82 -0.826   87 -0.892    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   85 14.589   37  0.266   94 -2.050
Mid-America Christian   21 14  0 2924 2764 -1.182   83 -0.818   83 -0.843   85 -0.824    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   84 14.640   51 -0.031   92 -1.617
Huston-Tillotson         5 20  0 1774 2028 -0.118   84 -0.845   84 -0.869   74 -0.574    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   83 14.665   63 -0.208   80 -0.939
Texas College            4 20  0 1703 1937  0.020   85 -0.863   85 -0.888   66 -0.470    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   82 14.697   58 -0.111   77 -0.828
Bacone                   9 22  0 2349 2590 -0.465   86 -0.894   86 -0.921   86 -0.841    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   86 14.399   66 -0.335   87 -1.346
Shorter                  6 20  0 1759 1892 -0.337   87 -0.946   87 -0.975   77 -0.594    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   87 14.364   81 -0.671   69 -0.517
Loyola NO                5 23  0 1824 2067 -0.151   88 -0.955   88 -0.985   84 -0.767    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   88 14.313   90 -1.190   62 -0.345
Allen                    2 16  0 1144 1530 -0.162   89 -1.055   89 -1.055   92 -1.282    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   89 13.686   89 -1.126   88 -1.438
SW Assem of God          6 22  0 1969 2190 -0.468   90 -1.177   90 -1.171   88 -0.911    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   90 13.541   85 -0.898   79 -0.923
TEAM                     W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Harris-Stowe St          4 24  0 2042 2303 -0.191   91 -1.216   91 -1.215   81 -0.714    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   91 13.517   67 -0.370   84 -1.058
Great Falls             14 23  0 2641 2743 -1.035   92 -1.263   92 -1.276   89 -1.033    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   92 13.083   92 -1.217   78 -0.849
Illinois Tech            3 25  0 1618 2252 -0.488   93 -1.400   93 -1.415   94 -1.798    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   93 12.173   94 -2.140   89 -1.456
Southern Wesleyan        5 25  0 1966 2288 -0.776   94 -1.578   94 -1.593   93 -1.370    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   94 11.787   93 -1.507   85 -1.233


American Midwest: strength=-0.262 (#8)
                                                    STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Illinois-Springfield    22  8  0 2504 2231 -0.051   22  0.760   22  0.530   25  0.527    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   22 20.343   12  1.132   46 -0.077
McKendree               17 12  0 2402 2276  0.155   33  0.529   33  0.343   29  0.404    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   32 19.686   13  1.115   59 -0.307
Missouri Baptist        14 13  0 2295 2272 -0.079   53  0.089   53 -0.073   58 -0.111    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   54 17.924   14  1.084   86 -1.307
Columbia MO             15 15  0 2151 2086 -0.178   58 -0.019   58 -0.169   57 -0.086    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   57 17.358   70 -0.400   37  0.228
Hannibal-LaGrange       11 16  0 1743 1838 -0.273   66 -0.318   66 -0.418   64 -0.396    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   66 16.324   91 -1.193   30  0.400
Williams Baptist        12 11  0 1739 1837 -1.042   74 -0.584   74 -0.650   91 -1.054    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   77 15.376   78 -0.634   90 -1.475
Harris-Stowe St          4 24  0 2042 2303 -0.191   91 -1.216   91 -1.215   81 -0.714    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   91 13.517   67 -0.370   84 -1.058

Chicagoland-I CAC: strength=-0.286 (#9)
                                                    STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Robert Morris-Chicago   31  1  0 3140 2231  0.330    2  2.037    2  1.730    1  1.722    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    2 24.695    1  2.778   17  0.665
Olivet Nazarene         17 11  0 2083 1954  0.062   34  0.498   34  0.310   35  0.303    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   35 19.432   39  0.228   32  0.379
St Xavier               20 11  0 2354 2110 -0.258   47  0.278   47  0.104   45  0.126    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   48 18.711   49  0.031   39  0.221
Purdue Calumet           7  5  0  876  890 -0.503   57 -0.004   57 -0.154   60 -0.326    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   58 17.264   60 -0.140   68 -0.512
St Francis IL           10 15  0 1722 1897 -0.315   67 -0.342   67 -0.433   75 -0.580    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   67 16.229   79 -0.634   71 -0.526
IU South Bend            9 19  0 1907 2113 -0.265   73 -0.581   73 -0.645   78 -0.601    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   73 15.605   84 -0.813   65 -0.389
Illinois Tech            3 25  0 1618 2252 -0.488   93 -1.400   93 -1.415   94 -1.798    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   93 12.173   94 -2.140   89 -1.456

Frontier: strength=0.013 (#4)
                                                    STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Lewis-Clark St ID       23  7  0 2321 1811  0.099   16  0.902   16  0.686    8  0.932    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   16 21.202   33  0.455    2  1.409
Westminster UT          19 11  0 2105 1925  0.189   29  0.584   29  0.383   22  0.577    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   29 19.916   52 -0.039    7  1.193
Carroll MT              19 10  0 2148 2037 -0.053   31  0.546   31  0.359   44  0.130    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   33 19.648   48  0.036   38  0.223
Montana St-Northern     19 10  0 2194 2018 -0.155   38  0.415   38  0.246   47  0.091    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   40 19.146   54 -0.050   36  0.232
Rocky Mountain          17 13  0 2377 2226 -0.162   52  0.114   52 -0.043   41  0.204    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   52 18.165   24  0.690   55 -0.282
Montana Tech            10 18  0 1979 2088 -0.154   68 -0.409   68 -0.489   68 -0.481    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   68 16.141   74 -0.546   66 -0.416
Montana-Western          7 20  0 2200 2302 -0.107   79 -0.712   79 -0.785   62 -0.377    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   78 15.356   23  0.759   91 -1.512
Great Falls             14 23  0 2641 2743 -1.035   92 -1.263   92 -1.276   89 -1.033    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   92 13.083   92 -1.217   78 -0.849

Golden State AC: strength=0.634 (#2)
                                                    STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Concordia CA            29  7  0 3035 2565  0.689    3  1.698    3  1.397    4  1.389    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    3 23.560    2  2.066   16  0.711
Azusa Pacific           28  6  0 2927 2483  0.557    4  1.663    4  1.364    6  1.148    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    4 23.333    3  1.974   33  0.321
San Diego Christian     23  5  0 2142 1919  0.442    6  1.583    6  1.279   12  0.808    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    7 22.862   18  0.892   15  0.724
Point Loma Nazarene     19 12  0 2409 2222  0.575   14  0.955   15  0.738   11  0.814    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   14 21.260   11  1.216   29  0.412
California Baptist      19 11  0 2198 2035  0.515   15  0.948   14  0.741   13  0.766    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   15 21.228   31  0.502    9  1.029
Westmont                15 12  0 1943 1876  0.572   20  0.847   20  0.624   19  0.623    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   20 20.843   30  0.582   18  0.665
Biola                   14 16  0 2100 1989  0.560   32  0.543   32  0.357   16  0.694    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   30 19.915   44  0.124    5  1.264
Fresno Pacific          13 15  0 1932 1869  0.352   40  0.399   40  0.229   33  0.330    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   39 19.160   62 -0.162   11  0.822
The Master's College    11 18  0 1987 2088  0.504   44  0.348   44  0.174   39  0.252    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   44 18.917   47  0.075   28  0.428
Vanguard                 7 21  0 1824 2006  0.454   59 -0.129   59 -0.256   52  0.006    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   59 17.153   69 -0.376   31  0.389
Hope Int'l               4 25  0 1841 2377  0.125   78 -0.702   78 -0.773   90 -1.046    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   81 14.788   87 -1.069   82 -1.023

Gulf Coast AC: strength=-0.132 (#5)
                                                    STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Xavier NO               22 10  0 2312 2173 -0.040   24  0.699   24  0.464   34  0.309    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   24 20.087   53 -0.042   19  0.659
LSU-Shreveport          24  8  0 2653 2349 -0.242   25  0.663   25  0.426   32  0.386    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   27 19.971   17  0.910   49 -0.137
William Carey           19 12  0 2483 2394 -0.037   37  0.420   37  0.252   43  0.137    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   38 19.200   22  0.775   67 -0.501
Mobile                  18 14  0 2260 2159 -0.010   45  0.324   45  0.149   42  0.145    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   45 18.846   64 -0.308   21  0.598
Tougaloo                17 13  0 2364 2238 -0.071   50  0.238   50  0.068   38  0.253    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   50 18.565   29  0.602   48 -0.097
Spring Hill             14 11  0 1907 1787 -0.247   55  0.058   55 -0.105   54 -0.030    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   55 17.824   45  0.122   50 -0.182
Southern-New Orleans     7 14  0 1456 1618 -0.029   63 -0.262   63 -0.385   69 -0.504    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   64 16.497   71 -0.400   72 -0.609
Belhaven                14 17  0 2330 2404 -0.313   64 -0.269   64 -0.393   65 -0.437    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   63 16.507   57 -0.098   75 -0.776
Dillard                  5 20  0 1819 2005 -0.060   80 -0.795   80 -0.818   76 -0.583    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   79 15.045   59 -0.118   83 -1.048
Loyola NO                5 23  0 1824 2067 -0.151   88 -0.955   88 -0.985   84 -0.767    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   88 14.313   90 -1.190   62 -0.345

Mid-South: strength=0.381 (#3)
                                                    STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Georgetown KY           27  4  0 2629 1942  0.267    8  1.484    8  1.170    3  1.428    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    6 22.954    8  1.398    1  1.458
Campbellsville          25  6  0 2428 1920  0.043   13  0.983   13  0.771    9  0.919    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   13 21.467   28  0.602    6  1.236
Cumberlands KY          19 10  0 2228 2025  0.043   30  0.577   30  0.376   23  0.574    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   31 19.897   26  0.677   26  0.470
Lindsey Wilson          15 11  0 1797 1698 -0.002   42  0.366   42  0.192   48  0.082    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   42 18.963   76 -0.575   14  0.738
West Virginia Tech      10 20  0 2229 2284 -0.064   69 -0.452   69 -0.544   59 -0.226    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   69 16.127   61 -0.147   58 -0.305
Pikeville               12 19  0 2198 2339 -0.327   71 -0.535   71 -0.597   70 -0.505    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   71 15.828   73 -0.486   70 -0.524

Red River AC: strength=-0.361 (#11)
                                                    STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Houston Baptist         22  7  0 2400 2147 -0.259   26  0.641   26  0.419   40  0.233    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   26 19.977   27  0.671   51 -0.205
Wiley                   21  9  0 2317 2229 -0.250   35  0.482   35  0.293   51  0.011    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   36 19.290   36  0.297   54 -0.275
Jarvis Christian        23  9  0 2692 2446 -0.432   43  0.356   43  0.181   46  0.109    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   43 18.923   20  0.855   73 -0.637
Langston                14 12  0 1852 1920 -0.072       0.316       0.141      -0.107      0.0000      0.0000      18.690      -0.212      -0.001
Texas Wesleyan          16 10  0 1864 1726 -0.179   49  0.272   49  0.098   53 -0.026    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   47 18.721   75 -0.565   25  0.513
Paul Quinn               6 18  0 1906 2127 -0.105   77 -0.632   77 -0.695   79 -0.608    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   75 15.508   34  0.434   93 -1.650
Huston-Tillotson         5 20  0 1774 2028 -0.118   84 -0.845   84 -0.869   74 -0.574    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   83 14.665   63 -0.208   80 -0.939
Texas College            4 20  0 1703 1937  0.020   85 -0.863   85 -0.888   66 -0.470    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   82 14.697   58 -0.111   77 -0.828
Bacone                   9 22  0 2349 2590 -0.465   86 -0.894   86 -0.921   86 -0.841    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   86 14.399   66 -0.335   87 -1.346
SW Assem of God          6 22  0 1969 2190 -0.468   90 -1.177   90 -1.171   88 -0.911    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   90 13.541   85 -0.898   79 -0.923

Sooner AC: strength=0.737 (#1)
                                                    STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Oklahoma City           35  2  0 3044 2451  0.662    1  2.279    1  1.950    2  1.504    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1 25.261    5  1.659    4  1.348
Southern Nazarene       28  7  0 2963 2450  0.632    5  1.621    5  1.321    5  1.254    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    5 23.274    4  1.876   20  0.632
Oklahoma Baptist U.     21 11  0 2476 2179  0.672    9  1.257    9  0.947    7  1.026    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    9 22.075   16  0.974    8  1.077
NW Oklahoma St          21 12  0 2240 2106  0.593   10  1.154   10  0.893   15  0.736    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   11 21.792   46  0.104    3  1.368
Lubbock Christian       15 14  0 2063 2040  0.509   23  0.740   23  0.509   27  0.463    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   23 20.220   35  0.346   23  0.580
Oklahoma Christian      13 15  0 2067 1982  0.638   27  0.625   28  0.405   18  0.634    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   25 20.044   25  0.678   22  0.591
John Brown              17 13  0 2124 2010  0.314   28  0.617   27  0.414   26  0.493    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   28 19.944   40  0.179   12  0.806
Wayland Baptist         12 17  0 2147 2155  0.601   36  0.475   36  0.286   24  0.541    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   34 19.440   21  0.782   34  0.300
Science & Arts OK        6 19  0 1705 1852  0.837   51  0.235   51  0.066   31  0.387    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   51 18.551   38  0.256   24  0.518
St Gregory's             7 20  0 1782 2027  0.189   65 -0.287   65 -0.411   67 -0.473    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   65 16.329   77 -0.622   60 -0.325

Southern States: strength=-0.312 (#10)
                                                    STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Auburn Montgomery       24  5  0 2069 1831 -0.234   18  0.878   18  0.660   30  0.391    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   19 20.873   55 -0.059   10  0.842
Faulkner                24 10  0 2475 2227  0.049   21  0.761   21  0.531   28  0.455    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   21 20.391   41  0.162   13  0.749
Lee TN                  21 10  0 2258 2063 -0.163   39  0.413   39  0.244   36  0.283    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   37 19.285   42  0.126   27  0.440
Southern Tech           21  8  0 2129 1891 -0.523   46  0.286   46  0.111   56 -0.040    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   49 18.606   68 -0.376   35  0.296
Emmanuel GA             26 10  0 2813 2424 -0.496   48  0.277   48  0.104   50  0.043    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   46 18.725   43  0.124   44 -0.038
Reinhardt               16 15  0 2099 2171 -0.486   62 -0.244   62 -0.367   71 -0.510    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   62 16.532   83 -0.726   56 -0.294
Brewton-Parker          12 18  0 1922 2095 -0.433   70 -0.494   70 -0.566   80 -0.639    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   70 15.839   86 -1.055   52 -0.222
Berry                    8 21  0 2000 2177 -0.311   81 -0.797   81 -0.820   83 -0.750    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   80 15.000   82 -0.708   76 -0.791
Shorter                  6 20  0 1759 1892 -0.337   87 -0.946   87 -0.975   77 -0.594    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   87 14.364   81 -0.671   69 -0.517
Southern Wesleyan        5 25  0 1966 2288 -0.776   94 -1.578   94 -1.593   93 -1.370    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   94 11.787   93 -1.507   85 -1.233

TranSouth AC: strength=-0.171 (#6)
                                                    STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Union TN                23  9  0 2605 2411  0.293   12  1.087   12  0.843   21  0.602    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   12 21.585   15  0.998   40  0.206
Lambuth                 24  7  0 2827 2391 -0.007   17  0.899   17  0.682   17  0.635    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   17 21.095    7  1.523   53 -0.253
Crichton                25  8  0 2841 2509 -0.002   19  0.869   19  0.650   20  0.618    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   18 20.954   10  1.240   43 -0.003
Martin Methodist        19 11  0 2469 2317 -0.089   41  0.370   41  0.196   37  0.270    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   41 19.067   19  0.884   61 -0.344
Trevecca Nazarene       17 13  0 2312 2198 -0.316   56 -0.002   56 -0.152   55 -0.037    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   56 17.535   50 -0.017   45 -0.057
Cumberland TN           15 15  0 2180 2121 -0.352   60 -0.196   60 -0.327   61 -0.374    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   60 16.757   80 -0.670   47 -0.078
Freed-Hardeman           8 22  0 2144 2402 -0.100   75 -0.593   75 -0.659   72 -0.517    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   74 15.604   65 -0.322   74 -0.711
Lyon                    12 18  0 2092 2245 -0.524   76 -0.607   76 -0.676   82 -0.729    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   76 15.492   88 -1.088   64 -0.370
Mid-Continent           16 21  0 3117 3204 -0.839   82 -0.803   82 -0.826   87 -0.892    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   85 14.589   37  0.266   94 -2.050
Bethel TN               13 17  0 2424 2413 -0.828      -0.919      -0.948      -0.964      0.0000      0.0000      14.292      -0.480      -1.448

NAIA-I Independents: strength=-0.181 (#7)
                                                    STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Park                    24  7  0 2640 2336  0.484    7  1.491    7  1.177   10  0.868    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    8 22.659    6  1.600   42  0.135
Mountain St             25  6  0 2662 2220  0.090   11  1.118   11  0.875   14  0.746    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   10 21.871    9  1.294   41  0.198
Voorhees                13  6  0 1603 1356 -0.471   54  0.072   54 -0.091   49  0.058    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   53 18.048   32  0.469   63 -0.353
Morris SC                7 14  0 1492 1618 -0.303   72 -0.578   72 -0.642   73 -0.542    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   72 15.656   56 -0.088   81 -0.996
Mid-America Christian   21 14  0 2924 2764 -1.182   83 -0.818   83 -0.843   85 -0.824    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   84 14.640   51 -0.031   92 -1.617
Allen                    2 16  0 1144 1530 -0.162   89 -1.055   89 -1.055   92 -1.282    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   89 13.686   89 -1.126   88 -1.438

Conference Strengths
CONFERENCE                  W   L   T   PCT  RNK RATING
Sooner AC                 175 130   0 0.574    1  0.737
Golden State AC           182 148   0 0.552    2  0.634
Mid-South                 108  70   0 0.607    3  0.381
Frontier                  128 112   0 0.533    4  0.013
Gulf Coast AC             145 142   0 0.505    5 -0.132
TranSouth AC              172 141   0 0.550    6 -0.171
NAIA-I Independents        92  63   0 0.594    7 -0.181
American Midwest           95  99   0 0.490    8 -0.262
Chicagoland-I CAC          97  87   0 0.527    9 -0.286
Southern States           163 142   0 0.534   10 -0.312
Red River AC              126 149   0 0.458   11 -0.361

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.300 points in main ratings
     0.032 points in improved RPI
Average of 2.15 points per score

Predict score:






Team Strength vs. Time Plot:





posted: Mon Dec 23 16:24:00 2019

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