Dolphin Ratings - College Football

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and six ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
RPI Rating. Included only because of common real-life usage. The RPI rating has many statistical problems. The football RPI rating is based on the BCS formula, and approximates the schedule, loss, and quality win components.
Pseudo-Poll. A blended ranking based on win-loss and predictive ratings, calibrated to match real-life polls as closely as possible. This gives a rough but unbiased estimate of how typical voters value record vs. impressive wins.
Predictive-Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Predictive-Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Predictive-Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

Because these ratings contain no prejudices regarding team or conference strengths, they tend to be quite inaccurate early in the seasons. College football appears to take at least 5 games per team before even remotely reasonable ratings are produced; acceptable ratings are produced with 8 games per team; excellent ratings unfortunately require 14 games per team.

Rankings by division: Overall I-A I-AA II III NAIA NESCAC

Full Ranking

                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
South Alabama           10  0 413 130  0.503    1  1.937    1  1.739    3  1.268    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1 12.036    3  0.969    3  1.568
Carroll MT              14  0 533 193  0.233    2  1.904    2  1.697    1  1.344    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    2 11.761    2  1.055    2  1.633
Sioux Falls             13  1 577 119  0.131    3  1.324    3  1.091    2  1.312    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    3 10.854    4  0.944    1  1.680
St Xavier               13  1 670 241 -0.182    4  1.076    4  0.940    4  0.878    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    4 10.469    1  1.204    5  0.551
MidAmerica Nazarene     12  1 443 209 -0.695    5  0.900    5  0.715   12 -0.108    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    5  9.801   20 -0.256   10  0.039
St Francis IN           10  2 415 239 -0.316    6  0.745    6  0.571    8  0.047    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    6  9.427   16  0.061   11  0.033
Morningside             10  2 404 152 -0.241    7  0.573    7  0.459    7  0.313    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    7  9.281   17  0.025    4  0.600
Marian IN               10  3 381 243 -0.307    8  0.460    8  0.319    9  0.029    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    8  8.885   18 -0.013    9  0.071
William Penn            10  1 486 210 -0.926    9  0.360    9  0.179   11 -0.037    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    9  8.629   10  0.467   23 -0.541
Northwestern IA          8  2 299 171 -0.521   10  0.339   10  0.155   13 -0.117    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   12  8.457   19 -0.106   15 -0.129
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
McKendree                9  3 383 217 -0.406   11  0.260   11  0.118   10 -0.025    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   11  8.471   21 -0.304    6  0.254
Georgia St               6  5 302 286  0.275   12  0.201   12  0.044    5  0.344    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   10  8.518    9  0.475    7  0.213
Lambuth                  4  6 202 280  0.218   13  0.157   13  0.010   21 -0.459    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   15  7.984   28 -0.642   19 -0.275
Azusa Pacific            6  4 359 228  0.080   14  0.128   14 -0.031    6  0.342    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   13  8.313    6  0.787   14 -0.102
NW Oklahoma St           8  3 402 279 -0.622   15  0.067   15 -0.033   17 -0.308    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   14  8.014   13  0.115   34 -0.731
Midland                  8  3 256 175 -0.779   16 -0.044   16 -0.171   23 -0.586    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   18  7.652   43 -1.139   12 -0.033
Dickinson St             9  2 284 165 -0.967   17 -0.050   17 -0.181   22 -0.468    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   17  7.682   37 -0.901   13 -0.034
Lindenwood               9  2 577 230 -0.849   18 -0.083   18 -0.224   14 -0.127    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   16  7.875    5  0.787   44 -1.040
Webber Int'l             7  4 269 225 -0.673   19 -0.151   19 -0.315   27 -0.687    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   20  7.329   42 -1.104   18 -0.270
McPherson               10  1 521 239 -1.637   20 -0.173   20 -0.349   37 -0.881    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   19  7.352   22 -0.361   52 -1.401
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Rocky Mountain           6  5 379 337 -0.316   21 -0.255   21 -0.403   15 -0.182    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   23  6.986    7  0.590   43 -0.954
Cumberlands KY           7  4 418 322 -0.609   22 -0.257   22 -0.406   16 -0.306    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   21  7.180   12  0.203   39 -0.816
Missouri Valley          8  2 334 172 -1.241   23 -0.280   23 -0.438   33 -0.788    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   24  6.947   38 -0.939   28 -0.636
Georgetown KY            8  3 504 296 -0.915   24 -0.297   24 -0.460   18 -0.316    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   22  7.110    8  0.496   46 -1.128
Cumberland TN            8  3 290 207 -1.076   25 -0.450   25 -0.543   28 -0.694    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   25  6.751   46 -1.187   16 -0.201
Ottawa                   9  2 451 283 -1.559   26 -0.499   26 -0.608   44 -1.009    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   26  6.645   24 -0.480   56 -1.537
South Dakota Tech        7  3 245 190 -1.168   27 -0.581   27 -0.623   45 -1.079    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   30  6.447   49 -1.379   35 -0.778
Eastern Oregon           5  6 349 412 -0.454   28 -0.607   28 -0.653   30 -0.719    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   32  6.334   11  0.215   58 -1.653
St Francis IL            7  4 339 259 -0.921   29 -0.613   29 -0.662   36 -0.851    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   31  6.405   34 -0.804   42 -0.899
Walsh                    7  4 335 226 -0.907   30 -0.624   30 -0.677   31 -0.721    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   28  6.499   33 -0.800   29 -0.643
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Grand View               6  4 294 147 -0.711   31 -0.630   31 -0.684   19 -0.354    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   27  6.628   36 -0.900    8  0.193
Union KY                 7  4 440 333 -0.931   32 -0.644   33 -0.705   24 -0.616    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   29  6.463   15  0.070   51 -1.303
Montana Tech             5  6 266 295 -0.471   33 -0.644   32 -0.703   29 -0.701    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   33  6.318   31 -0.769   27 -0.633
Taylor                   6  5 267 251 -0.842   34 -0.690   34 -0.763   34 -0.833    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   34  6.308   39 -0.970   32 -0.695
Shorter                  5  6 293 302 -0.615   35 -0.733   35 -0.817   32 -0.732    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   35  6.224   32 -0.787   31 -0.677
Southern Oregon          3  7 198 274 -0.115   36 -0.740   36 -0.823   25 -0.645    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   36  6.153   35 -0.868   20 -0.422
Campbellsville           7  5 407 386 -1.112   37 -0.740   37 -0.828   48 -1.140    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   37  6.130   29 -0.657   57 -1.623
Minot St                 6  4 220 184 -1.103   38 -0.776   39 -0.874   43 -0.999    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   38  5.991   50 -1.381   25 -0.616
Black Hills St           6  4 188 176 -1.227   39 -0.817   38 -0.852   52 -1.318    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   40  5.934   65 -1.842   37 -0.793
Menlo                    4  7 195 295 -0.509   40 -0.838   40 -0.877   47 -1.126    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   43  5.756   51 -1.418   40 -0.833
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Dakota Wesleyan          5  5 278 217 -0.701   41 -0.954   42 -0.974   26 -0.671    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   39  5.966   27 -0.637   33 -0.705
Hastings                 5  5 222 211 -0.800   42 -0.981   41 -0.954   35 -0.842    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   41  5.901   41 -1.035   30 -0.649
Langston                 6  4 256 209 -1.265   43 -1.067   44 -1.013   49 -1.156    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   45  5.677   55 -1.503   38 -0.809
Bethel TN                5  5 394 369 -0.936   44 -1.067   43 -1.011   40 -0.943    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   44  5.685   14  0.113   63 -1.998
Baker                    7  4 288 181 -1.325   45 -1.081   45 -1.034   39 -0.931    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   42  5.793   53 -1.431   21 -0.432
Concordia AL             4  4 164 222 -1.232   46 -1.095   46 -1.053   58 -1.605    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   47  5.460   64 -1.777   53 -1.433
Montana St-Northern      3  7 235 339 -0.456   47 -1.117   47 -1.079   38 -0.905    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   48  5.437   30 -0.738   45 -1.073
St Ambrose               5  5 297 179 -0.810   48 -1.169   48 -1.152   20 -0.412    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   46  5.597   26 -0.582   17 -0.242
Benedictine KS           7  4 307 180 -1.456   49 -1.239   49 -1.248   42 -0.952    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   49  5.300   48 -1.323   24 -0.581
Nebraska Wesleyan        4  6 162 192 -0.928   50 -1.264   50 -1.279   46 -1.084    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   50  4.976   63 -1.706   22 -0.463
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Belhaven                 4  7 310 312 -0.939   51 -1.305   51 -1.332   50 -1.162    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   51  4.945   45 -1.169   48 -1.156
Southern Nazarene        7  4 454 375 -1.844   52 -1.388   52 -1.407   56 -1.556    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   54  4.675   25 -0.509   75 -2.603
Sterling                 7  3 277 186 -2.052   53 -1.408   53 -1.434   59 -1.611    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   53  4.767   75 -2.087   47 -1.135
Kansas Wesleyan          7  3 468 301 -1.976   54 -1.427   54 -1.457   53 -1.395    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   52  4.819   23 -0.461   70 -2.328
Faulkner                 3  7 238 397 -1.126   55 -1.504   55 -1.554   63 -1.797    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   56  4.316   56 -1.544   65 -2.050
Concordia NE             4  7 109 255 -1.376   56 -1.512   56 -1.567   61 -1.743    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   57  4.289   80 -2.611   41 -0.875
Iowa Wesleyan            3  8 216 530 -1.463   57 -1.573   57 -1.647   77 -2.398    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   62  4.082   66 -1.863   85 -2.933
Doane                    3  7 211 337 -1.149   58 -1.590   58 -1.670   55 -1.530    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   58  4.233   44 -1.156   60 -1.905
Jamestown                5  5 311 267 -1.723   59 -1.638   59 -1.742   57 -1.562    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   59  4.212   40 -0.984   67 -2.140
Malone                   3  7 255 222 -0.859   60 -1.647   60 -1.751   41 -0.949    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   55  4.353   47 -1.275   26 -0.622
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Montana-Western          1 10 178 337 -0.444   61 -1.651   61 -1.754   51 -1.184    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   61  4.169   58 -1.588   36 -0.781
Friends                  6  4 325 284 -2.104   62 -1.675   62 -1.797   64 -1.871    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   60  4.179   59 -1.633   66 -2.109
Lindsey Wilson           5  6 285 347 -1.865   63 -1.754   63 -1.849   69 -2.063    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   63  3.869   67 -1.902   69 -2.223
Trinity Int'l            3  8 128 352 -1.527   64 -1.773   64 -1.873   74 -2.316    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   66  3.643   86 -2.935   59 -1.697
Notre Dame OH            2  9 114 311 -1.051   65 -1.788   65 -1.891   65 -1.991    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   64  3.746   83 -2.737   50 -1.245
Evangel                  4  6 231 364 -2.002   66 -1.902   66 -1.983   75 -2.363    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   67  3.514   68 -1.915   81 -2.812
William Jewell           4  7 202 256 -1.633   67 -1.924   67 -2.016   60 -1.721    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   65  3.697   77 -2.218   49 -1.223
Valley City St           4  6 249 221 -1.833   68 -1.985   68 -2.098   62 -1.782    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   68  3.487   72 -2.039   55 -1.524
Virginia-Wise            3  8 283 407 -1.651   69 -2.088   69 -2.221   67 -2.024    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   70  3.290   60 -1.678   71 -2.370
Edward Waters            0  8  91 382 -0.357   70 -2.125   70 -2.264   68 -2.044    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   71  3.239   73 -2.052   64 -2.036
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Bacone                   3  8 270 293 -1.387   71 -2.147   71 -2.307   54 -1.530    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   69  3.347   57 -1.586   54 -1.473
Peru St                  4  7 230 344 -2.208   72 -2.170   72 -2.339   82 -2.581    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   75  3.038   79 -2.471   77 -2.692
Briar Cliff              2  9 216 416 -1.437   73 -2.172   73 -2.339   66 -2.012    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   73  3.115   54 -1.472   73 -2.552
Central Methodist        3  7 161 293 -1.974   74 -2.177   74 -2.349   76 -2.369    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   74  3.089   84 -2.741   62 -1.996
Tabor                    4  6 291 289 -2.213   75 -2.238   75 -2.433   70 -2.082    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   72  3.134   70 -2.019   68 -2.145
Southern Virginia        3  7 196 392 -2.215   76 -2.270   76 -2.482   83 -2.584    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   77  2.808   78 -2.440   79 -2.728
Bethany KS               4  6 339 377 -2.435   77 -2.370   77 -2.535   79 -2.426    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   76  2.871   62 -1.694   90 -3.159
Pikeville                2  8 299 455 -1.824   78 -2.422   78 -2.603   72 -2.219    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   78  2.730   52 -1.425   86 -3.012
Waldorf                  3  8 190 411 -2.398   79 -2.439   79 -2.629   86 -2.843    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   80  2.382   90 -3.001   76 -2.684
Avila                    2  8 162 373 -2.164   80 -2.500   80 -2.724   85 -2.800    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   81  2.319   85 -2.769   82 -2.831
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
West Virginia Tech       2  9 282 410 -1.901   81 -2.524   81 -2.759   73 -2.300    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   79  2.412   71 -2.039   74 -2.562
Texas College            1  9 132 475 -1.853   82 -2.554   82 -2.804   88 -2.955    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   83  2.107   91 -3.028   83 -2.883
Mayville St              2  8 129 364 -2.494   83 -2.609   83 -2.885   93 -3.203    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   86  1.920   92 -3.491   84 -2.916
Southwestern KS          2  8 288 389 -2.270   84 -2.681   85 -2.989   81 -2.576    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   82  2.142   69 -2.003   88 -3.150
St Mary KS               2  8 222 432 -2.476   85 -2.742   84 -2.956   89 -2.968    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   84  1.992   82 -2.710   92 -3.227
Dordt                    0 10  34 385 -1.558   86 -2.806   86 -3.052   87 -2.952    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   89  1.710   94 -3.982   61 -1.921
Olivet Nazarene          0 11 179 511 -1.312   87 -2.813   87 -3.065   78 -2.424    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   85  1.932   74 -2.060   80 -2.789
Quincy                   0 11 213 529 -1.192   88 -2.903   88 -3.220   71 -2.195    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   87  1.857   61 -1.688   78 -2.703
Graceland                1 10 178 372 -2.022   89 -2.912   89 -3.237   80 -2.537    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   88  1.735   81 -2.650   72 -2.424
Culver-Stockton          1 10 162 498 -2.354   90 -2.961   90 -3.248   92 -3.174    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   91  1.537   89 -3.000   94 -3.347
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
SW Assem of God          2  8 196 347 -2.656   91 -2.972   91 -3.266   90 -3.031    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   90  1.587   87 -2.936   87 -3.126
Dakota St                0 10 174 424 -1.755   92 -3.063   92 -3.392   84 -2.634    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   92  1.530   76 -2.114   89 -3.154
Kentucky Christian       0 11 199 527 -2.037   93 -3.160   93 -3.574   91 -3.113    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   93  1.165   88 -2.953   93 -3.272
Haskell                  1  9 108 381 -3.067   94 -3.288   94 -3.785   94 -3.784    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   94  0.785   95 -4.361   91 -3.206
Bethel KS                0 10 145 494 -2.606   95 -3.331   95 -3.855   95 -3.902    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   95  0.738   93 -3.977   95 -3.828
Trinity Bible            0  7  86 303 -3.554   96 -3.642   96 -4.400   96 -4.473    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   96  0.000   96 -4.457   96 -4.489


Association of Independent Institutions: strength=-1.509 (#6)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Lambuth                  4  6 202 280  0.218   13  0.157   13  0.010   21 -0.459    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   15  7.984   28 -0.642   19 -0.275
Azusa Pacific            6  4 359 228  0.080   14  0.128   14 -0.031    6  0.342    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   13  8.313    6  0.787   14 -0.102
Webber Int'l             7  4 269 225 -0.673   19 -0.151   19 -0.315   27 -0.687    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   20  7.329   42 -1.104   18 -0.270
Southern Oregon          3  7 198 274 -0.115   36 -0.740   36 -0.823   25 -0.645    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   36  6.153   35 -0.868   20 -0.422
Menlo                    4  7 195 295 -0.509   40 -0.838   40 -0.877   47 -1.126    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   43  5.756   51 -1.418   40 -0.833
Notre Dame OH            2  9 114 311 -1.051   65 -1.788   65 -1.891   65 -1.991    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   64  3.746   83 -2.737   50 -1.245
Edward Waters            0  8  91 382 -0.357   70 -2.125   70 -2.264   68 -2.044    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   71  3.239   73 -2.052   64 -2.036
Peru St                  4  7 230 344 -2.208   72 -2.170   72 -2.339   82 -2.581    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   75  3.038   79 -2.471   77 -2.692
Southern Virginia        3  7 196 392 -2.215   76 -2.270   76 -2.482   83 -2.584    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   77  2.808   78 -2.440   79 -2.728
Haskell                  1  9 108 381 -3.067   94 -3.288   94 -3.785   94 -3.784    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   94  0.785   95 -4.361   91 -3.206

Central States Football League: strength=-1.829 (#9)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
NW Oklahoma St           8  3 402 279 -0.622   15  0.067   15 -0.033   17 -0.308    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   14  8.014   13  0.115   34 -0.731
Langston                 6  4 256 209 -1.265   43 -1.067   44 -1.013   49 -1.156    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   45  5.677   55 -1.503   38 -0.809
OK Panhandle St          6  5 222 283 -1.807      -1.223      -1.224      -1.789      0.0000      0.0000       4.916      -2.100      -1.478
Southern Nazarene        7  4 454 375 -1.844   52 -1.388   52 -1.407   56 -1.556    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   54  4.675   25 -0.509   75 -2.603
Bacone                   3  8 270 293 -1.387   71 -2.147   71 -2.307   54 -1.530    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   69  3.347   57 -1.586   54 -1.473
Texas College            1  9 132 475 -1.853   82 -2.554   82 -2.804   88 -2.955    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   83  2.107   91 -3.028   83 -2.883
SW Assem of God          2  8 196 347 -2.656   91 -2.972   91 -3.266   90 -3.031    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   90  1.587   87 -2.936   87 -3.126

Dakota Athletic Conference: strength=-1.594 (#7)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Dickinson St             9  2 284 165 -0.967   17 -0.050   17 -0.181   22 -0.468    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   17  7.682   37 -0.901   13 -0.034
South Dakota Tech        7  3 245 190 -1.168   27 -0.581   27 -0.623   45 -1.079    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   30  6.447   49 -1.379   35 -0.778
Minot St                 6  4 220 184 -1.103   38 -0.776   39 -0.874   43 -0.999    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   38  5.991   50 -1.381   25 -0.616
Black Hills St           6  4 188 176 -1.227   39 -0.817   38 -0.852   52 -1.318    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   40  5.934   65 -1.842   37 -0.793
Jamestown                5  5 311 267 -1.723   59 -1.638   59 -1.742   57 -1.562    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   59  4.212   40 -0.984   67 -2.140
Valley City St           4  6 249 221 -1.833   68 -1.985   68 -2.098   62 -1.782    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   68  3.487   72 -2.039   55 -1.524
Mayville St              2  8 129 364 -2.494   83 -2.609   83 -2.885   93 -3.203    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   86  1.920   92 -3.491   84 -2.916
Dakota St                0 10 174 424 -1.755   92 -3.063   92 -3.392   84 -2.634    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   92  1.530   76 -2.114   89 -3.154

Frontier Conference: strength=-0.413 (#1)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Carroll MT              14  0 533 193  0.233    2  1.904    2  1.697    1  1.344    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    2 11.761    2  1.055    2  1.633
Rocky Mountain           6  5 379 337 -0.316   21 -0.255   21 -0.403   15 -0.182    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   23  6.986    7  0.590   43 -0.954
Eastern Oregon           5  6 349 412 -0.454   28 -0.607   28 -0.653   30 -0.719    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   32  6.334   11  0.215   58 -1.653
Montana Tech             5  6 266 295 -0.471   33 -0.644   32 -0.703   29 -0.701    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   33  6.318   31 -0.769   27 -0.633
Montana St-Northern      3  7 235 339 -0.456   47 -1.117   47 -1.079   38 -0.905    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   48  5.437   30 -0.738   45 -1.073
Montana-Western          1 10 178 337 -0.444   61 -1.651   61 -1.754   51 -1.184    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   61  4.169   58 -1.588   36 -0.781

Great Plains Athletic Conference: strength=-0.848 (#4)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Sioux Falls             13  1 577 119  0.131    3  1.324    3  1.091    2  1.312    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    3 10.854    4  0.944    1  1.680
Morningside             10  2 404 152 -0.241    7  0.573    7  0.459    7  0.313    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    7  9.281   17  0.025    4  0.600
Northwestern IA          8  2 299 171 -0.521   10  0.339   10  0.155   13 -0.117    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   12  8.457   19 -0.106   15 -0.129
Midland                  8  3 256 175 -0.779   16 -0.044   16 -0.171   23 -0.586    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   18  7.652   43 -1.139   12 -0.033
Dakota Wesleyan          5  5 278 217 -0.701   41 -0.954   42 -0.974   26 -0.671    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   39  5.966   27 -0.637   33 -0.705
Hastings                 5  5 222 211 -0.800   42 -0.981   41 -0.954   35 -0.842    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   41  5.901   41 -1.035   30 -0.649
Nebraska Wesleyan        4  6 162 192 -0.928   50 -1.264   50 -1.279   46 -1.084    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   50  4.976   63 -1.706   22 -0.463
Concordia NE             4  7 109 255 -1.376   56 -1.512   56 -1.567   61 -1.743    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   57  4.289   80 -2.611   41 -0.875
Doane                    3  7 211 337 -1.149   58 -1.590   58 -1.670   55 -1.530    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   58  4.233   44 -1.156   60 -1.905
Briar Cliff              2  9 216 416 -1.437   73 -2.172   73 -2.339   66 -2.012    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   73  3.115   54 -1.472   73 -2.552
Dordt                    0 10  34 385 -1.558   86 -2.806   86 -3.052   87 -2.952    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   89  1.710   94 -3.982   61 -1.921

Heart of America Athletic Conference: strength=-1.688 (#8)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
MidAmerica Nazarene     12  1 443 209 -0.695    5  0.900    5  0.715   12 -0.108    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    5  9.801   20 -0.256   10  0.039
Lindenwood               9  2 577 230 -0.849   18 -0.083   18 -0.224   14 -0.127    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   16  7.875    5  0.787   44 -1.040
Missouri Valley          8  2 334 172 -1.241   23 -0.280   23 -0.438   33 -0.788    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   24  6.947   38 -0.939   28 -0.636
Baker                    7  4 288 181 -1.325   45 -1.081   45 -1.034   39 -0.931    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   42  5.793   53 -1.431   21 -0.432
Benedictine KS           7  4 307 180 -1.456   49 -1.239   49 -1.248   42 -0.952    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   49  5.300   48 -1.323   24 -0.581
Evangel                  4  6 231 364 -2.002   66 -1.902   66 -1.983   75 -2.363    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   67  3.514   68 -1.915   81 -2.812
William Jewell           4  7 202 256 -1.633   67 -1.924   67 -2.016   60 -1.721    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   65  3.697   77 -2.218   49 -1.223
Central Methodist        3  7 161 293 -1.974   74 -2.177   74 -2.349   76 -2.369    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   74  3.089   84 -2.741   62 -1.996
Avila                    2  8 162 373 -2.164   80 -2.500   80 -2.724   85 -2.800    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   81  2.319   85 -2.769   82 -2.831
Graceland                1 10 178 372 -2.022   89 -2.912   89 -3.237   80 -2.537    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   88  1.735   81 -2.650   72 -2.424
Culver-Stockton          1 10 162 498 -2.354   90 -2.961   90 -3.248   92 -3.174    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   91  1.537   89 -3.000   94 -3.347

Kansas Collegiate Athletic Conference: strength=-2.117 (#10)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
McPherson               10  1 521 239 -1.637   20 -0.173   20 -0.349   37 -0.881    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   19  7.352   22 -0.361   52 -1.401
Ottawa                   9  2 451 283 -1.559   26 -0.499   26 -0.608   44 -1.009    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   26  6.645   24 -0.480   56 -1.537
Sterling                 7  3 277 186 -2.052   53 -1.408   53 -1.434   59 -1.611    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   53  4.767   75 -2.087   47 -1.135
Kansas Wesleyan          7  3 468 301 -1.976   54 -1.427   54 -1.457   53 -1.395    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   52  4.819   23 -0.461   70 -2.328
Friends                  6  4 325 284 -2.104   62 -1.675   62 -1.797   64 -1.871    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   60  4.179   59 -1.633   66 -2.109
Tabor                    4  6 291 289 -2.213   75 -2.238   75 -2.433   70 -2.082    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   72  3.134   70 -2.019   68 -2.145
Bethany KS               4  6 339 377 -2.435   77 -2.370   77 -2.535   79 -2.426    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   76  2.871   62 -1.694   90 -3.159
Southwestern KS          2  8 288 389 -2.270   84 -2.681   85 -2.989   81 -2.576    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   82  2.142   69 -2.003   88 -3.150
St Mary KS               2  8 222 432 -2.476   85 -2.742   84 -2.956   89 -2.968    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   84  1.992   82 -2.710   92 -3.227
Bethel KS                0 10 145 494 -2.606   95 -3.331   95 -3.855   95 -3.902    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   95  0.738   93 -3.977   95 -3.828

Mid-South Conference: strength=-1.346 (#5)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Cumberlands KY           7  4 418 322 -0.609   22 -0.257   22 -0.406   16 -0.306    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   21  7.180   12  0.203   39 -0.816
Georgetown KY            8  3 504 296 -0.915   24 -0.297   24 -0.460   18 -0.316    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   22  7.110    8  0.496   46 -1.128
Cumberland TN            8  3 290 207 -1.076   25 -0.450   25 -0.543   28 -0.694    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   25  6.751   46 -1.187   16 -0.201
Union KY                 7  4 440 333 -0.931   32 -0.644   33 -0.705   24 -0.616    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   29  6.463   15  0.070   51 -1.303
Shorter                  5  6 293 302 -0.615   35 -0.733   35 -0.817   32 -0.732    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   35  6.224   32 -0.787   31 -0.677
Campbellsville           7  5 407 386 -1.112   37 -0.740   37 -0.828   48 -1.140    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   37  6.130   29 -0.657   57 -1.623
Bethel TN                5  5 394 369 -0.936   44 -1.067   43 -1.011   40 -0.943    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   44  5.685   14  0.113   63 -1.998
Belhaven                 4  7 310 312 -0.939   51 -1.305   51 -1.332   50 -1.162    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   51  4.945   45 -1.169   48 -1.156
Faulkner                 3  7 238 397 -1.126   55 -1.504   55 -1.554   63 -1.797    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   56  4.316   56 -1.544   65 -2.050
Lindsey Wilson           5  6 285 347 -1.865   63 -1.754   63 -1.849   69 -2.063    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   63  3.869   67 -1.902   69 -2.223
Virginia-Wise            3  8 283 407 -1.651   69 -2.088   69 -2.221   67 -2.024    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   70  3.290   60 -1.678   71 -2.370
Pikeville                2  8 299 455 -1.824   78 -2.422   78 -2.603   72 -2.219    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   78  2.730   52 -1.425   86 -3.012
West Virginia Tech       2  9 282 410 -1.901   81 -2.524   81 -2.759   73 -2.300    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   79  2.412   71 -2.039   74 -2.562
Kentucky Christian       0 11 199 527 -2.037   93 -3.160   93 -3.574   91 -3.113    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   93  1.165   88 -2.953   93 -3.272

Mid-States Football Association: strength=-0.813 (#3)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
St Xavier               13  1 670 241 -0.182    4  1.076    4  0.940    4  0.878    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    4 10.469    1  1.204    5  0.551
St Francis IN           10  2 415 239 -0.316    6  0.745    6  0.571    8  0.047    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    6  9.427   16  0.061   11  0.033
Marian IN               10  3 381 243 -0.307    8  0.460    8  0.319    9  0.029    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    8  8.885   18 -0.013    9  0.071
William Penn            10  1 486 210 -0.926    9  0.360    9  0.179   11 -0.037    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    9  8.629   10  0.467   23 -0.541
McKendree                9  3 383 217 -0.406   11  0.260   11  0.118   10 -0.025    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   11  8.471   21 -0.304    6  0.254
St Francis IL            7  4 339 259 -0.921   29 -0.613   29 -0.662   36 -0.851    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   31  6.405   34 -0.804   42 -0.899
Walsh                    7  4 335 226 -0.907   30 -0.624   30 -0.677   31 -0.721    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   28  6.499   33 -0.800   29 -0.643
Grand View               6  4 294 147 -0.711   31 -0.630   31 -0.684   19 -0.354    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   27  6.628   36 -0.900    8  0.193
Taylor                   6  5 267 251 -0.842   34 -0.690   34 -0.763   34 -0.833    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   34  6.308   39 -0.970   32 -0.695
St Ambrose               5  5 297 179 -0.810   48 -1.169   48 -1.152   20 -0.412    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   46  5.597   26 -0.582   17 -0.242
Iowa Wesleyan            3  8 216 530 -1.463   57 -1.573   57 -1.647   77 -2.398    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   62  4.082   66 -1.863   85 -2.933
Malone                   3  7 255 222 -0.859   60 -1.647   60 -1.751   41 -0.949    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   55  4.353   47 -1.275   26 -0.622
Trinity Int'l            3  8 128 352 -1.527   64 -1.773   64 -1.873   74 -2.316    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   66  3.643   86 -2.935   59 -1.697
Waldorf                  3  8 190 411 -2.398   79 -2.439   79 -2.629   86 -2.843    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   80  2.382   90 -3.001   76 -2.684
Olivet Nazarene          0 11 179 511 -1.312   87 -2.813   87 -3.065   78 -2.424    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   85  1.932   74 -2.060   80 -2.789
Quincy                   0 11 213 529 -1.192   88 -2.903   88 -3.220   71 -2.195    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   87  1.857   61 -1.688   78 -2.703

Independent: strength=-0.544 (#2)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
South Alabama           10  0 413 130  0.503    1  1.937    1  1.739    3  1.268    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1 12.036    3  0.969    3  1.568
Georgia St               6  5 302 286  0.275   12  0.201   12  0.044    5  0.344    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   10  8.518    9  0.475    7  0.213
Concordia AL             4  4 164 222 -1.232   46 -1.095   46 -1.053   58 -1.605    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   47  5.460   64 -1.777   53 -1.433
Trinity Bible            0  7  86 303 -3.554   96 -3.642   96 -4.400   96 -4.473    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   96  0.000   96 -4.457   96 -4.489

Conference Strengths
CONFERENCE                                               W  L   PCT  RNK RATING
Frontier Conference                                     34 34 0.500    1 -0.413
Independent                                             20 16 0.556    2 -0.544
Mid-States Football Association                         95 85 0.528    3 -0.813
Great Plains Athletic Conference                        62 57 0.521    4 -0.848
Mid-South Conference                                    66 86 0.434    5 -1.346
Association of Independent Institutions                 34 68 0.333    6 -1.509
Dakota Athletic Conference                              39 42 0.481    7 -1.594
Heart of America Athletic Conference                    58 61 0.487    8 -1.688
Central States Football League                          33 41 0.446    9 -1.829
Kansas Collegiate Athletic Conference                   51 51 0.500   10 -2.117

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.191 points in main ratings
     0.024 points in improved RPI
Average of 6.20 points per score

Predict score:






Team Strength vs. Time Plot:





posted: Mon Dec 23 16:37:54 2019

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