Dolphin Ratings - College Football

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and six ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
RPI Rating. Included only because of common real-life usage. The RPI rating has many statistical problems. The football RPI rating is based on the BCS formula, and approximates the schedule, loss, and quality win components.
Pseudo-Poll. A blended ranking based on win-loss and predictive ratings, calibrated to match real-life polls as closely as possible. This gives a rough but unbiased estimate of how typical voters value record vs. impressive wins.
Predictive-Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Predictive-Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Predictive-Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

Because these ratings contain no prejudices regarding team or conference strengths, they tend to be quite inaccurate early in the seasons. College football appears to take at least 5 games per team before even remotely reasonable ratings are produced; acceptable ratings are produced with 8 games per team; excellent ratings unfortunately require 14 games per team.

Rankings by division: Overall I-A I-AA II III NAIA NESCAC

Full Ranking

                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Miami FL               12  0 512 117  4.402    1  5.517    1  5.403    1  5.634    1 0.6999    1 0.7306    1 18.449    1  5.434    1  5.834
Tennessee              11  2 400 251  4.131    2  5.012    2  4.822    5  4.572    3 0.6735    2 0.6723    2 17.389    7  4.700    8  4.443
Oregon                 11  1 412 256  3.832    3  4.972    3  4.776    7  4.373    2 0.6803    3 0.6719    5 17.301   11  4.562   14  4.184
Nebraska               11  2 463 226  4.067    4  4.899    4  4.692    4  4.651    5 0.6470    4 0.6715    4 17.328    5  4.808    6  4.495
Florida                10  2 538 178  4.122    5  4.816    6  4.602    2  5.179    4 0.6507    6 0.6583    3 17.350    2  5.398    2  4.960
Oklahoma               11  2 397 169  3.960    6  4.816    7  4.601    6  4.496   11 0.6278   14 0.6314    7 17.124   22  4.153    3  4.840
Syracuse               10  3 334 247  4.031    7  4.812    8  4.598   10  4.326   13 0.6211    8 0.6450    8 16.994   18  4.223    9  4.429
Texas                  11  2 517 207  3.922    8  4.784    9  4.567    3  4.756    7 0.6433    9 0.6449    6 17.182    3  4.886    4  4.626
Colorado               10  3 412 318  4.025    9  4.708    5  4.602   13  4.166    6 0.6458    7 0.6547    9 16.972    8  4.600   39  3.732
Maryland               10  2 413 266  3.736   10  4.630   10  4.512   19  4.057   14 0.6134   15 0.6267   10 16.852   15  4.342   35  3.772
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Illinois               10  2 390 285  3.713   11  4.587   11  4.461   20  4.055    8 0.6356   10 0.6404   11 16.771   13  4.455   43  3.656
LSU                    10  3 418 302  3.867   12  4.557   12  4.407   11  4.240    9 0.6320   12 0.6357   12 16.754   14  4.440   21  4.039
Washington St          10  2 420 269  3.616   13  4.533   13  4.382   25  3.951   10 0.6319   13 0.6321   13 16.668   21  4.159   37  3.744
Stanford                9  3 422 339  3.794   14  4.443   14  4.309   33  3.879   12 0.6274   16 0.6142   15 16.551   10  4.574   60  3.184
Florida State           8  4 403 304  4.108   15  4.423   15  4.289    9  4.358   18 0.6017   18 0.6100   14 16.627    4  4.860   31  3.856
South Carolina          9  3 310 230  3.738   16  4.414   16  4.278   32  3.887   17 0.6037   22 0.5960   16 16.492   45  3.687   17  4.088
Washington              8  4 353 370  3.849   17  4.376   17  4.235   38  3.741   15 0.6074   21 0.6037   19 16.338   23  4.125   53  3.357
Louisville             11  2 394 223  3.302   18  4.307   18  4.157   27  3.938   22 0.5889   11 0.6377   17 16.364   49  3.656   13  4.220
Brigham Young          12  2 618 424  3.175   19  4.258   19  4.135   48  3.589   20 0.5909   17 0.6101   20 16.255    6  4.723   89  2.455
Texas A&M               8  4 248 213  3.747   20  4.250   20  4.129   35  3.797   23 0.5796   30 0.5792   23 16.195   66  3.365   11  4.230
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Michigan                8  4 320 237  3.868   21  4.241   21  4.120   18  4.057   19 0.5984   20 0.6047   18 16.358   35  3.932   15  4.182
UCLA                    7  4 317 225  3.889   22  4.181   22  4.059   23  3.963   16 0.6040   25 0.5931   22 16.204   36  3.927   23  4.000
Marshall               11  2 512 369  3.009   23  4.176   23  4.050   54  3.478   25 0.5730    5 0.6606   28 15.997   25  4.103   76  2.853
Boston College          8  4 337 227  3.789   24  4.160   24  4.035   17  4.064   30 0.5583   34 0.5577   24 16.179   27  4.047   18  4.080
Georgia                 8  4 331 228  3.720   25  4.133   25  4.034   22  3.967   27 0.5694   36 0.5528   25 16.085   39  3.858   19  4.076
Fresno State           11  3 560 344  3.326   26  4.097   26  3.994   31  3.893   21 0.5897   19 0.6075   26 16.072   12  4.490   56  3.296
Virginia Tech           8  4 376 177  3.898   27  4.084   28  3.980    8  4.371   32 0.5546   33 0.5617   21 16.238   20  4.173    5  4.568
North Carolina          8  5 337 271  3.840   28  4.083   27  3.980   28  3.912   24 0.5770   27 0.5863   27 16.022   42  3.799   22  4.025
Arkansas                7  5 294 279  3.755   29  4.011   30  3.906   41  3.690   28 0.5673   29 0.5806   29 15.804   59  3.466   28  3.913
Auburn                  7  5 254 281  3.658   30  4.000   29  3.917   56  3.445   26 0.5723   31 0.5732   34 15.647   78  3.114   34  3.777
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Georgia Tech            8  5 405 281  3.658   31  3.886   31  3.806   29  3.907   34 0.5521   39 0.5480   35 15.624   37  3.888   27  3.926
Alabama                 7  5 318 232  3.727   32  3.874   32  3.794   21  3.997   29 0.5629   40 0.5478   33 15.714   31  3.949   20  4.046
Iowa                    7  5 391 258  3.731   33  3.869   33  3.789   15  4.118   38 0.5452   45 0.5393   30 15.795   16  4.330   30  3.906
Texas Tech              7  5 402 281  3.882   34  3.854   34  3.787   14  4.158   35 0.5516   41 0.5465   32 15.751    9  4.592   40  3.725
Ohio State              7  5 312 244  3.685   35  3.852   35  3.786   30  3.895   36 0.5505   50 0.5335   37 15.566   40  3.838   26  3.951
Utah                    8  4 329 210  3.507   36  3.849   36  3.783   26  3.940   31 0.5550   23 0.5957   36 15.610   48  3.656   12  4.224
Michigan State          7  5 374 311  3.632   37  3.820   37  3.753   34  3.842   44 0.5371   60 0.5140   38 15.489   17  4.267   49  3.416
Kansas State            6  6 330 205  4.043   38  3.810   38  3.743   12  4.236   33 0.5523   37 0.5518   31 15.786   28  3.984    7  4.488
Pittsburgh              7  5 296 245  3.663   39  3.808   39  3.740   24  3.957   46 0.5331   43 0.5438   39 15.482   30  3.956   25  3.957
Clemson                 7  5 369 339  3.545   40  3.787   40  3.717   49  3.547   41 0.5432   38 0.5489   43 15.341   38  3.865   58  3.230
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Toledo                 10  2 407 297  2.776   41  3.777   41  3.704   72  3.153   40 0.5438   24 0.5939   44 15.317   47  3.673   84  2.632
Iowa State              7  5 309 245  3.597   42  3.763   42  3.691   36  3.781   39 0.5452   59 0.5154   40 15.397   52  3.650   29  3.911
Penn State              5  6 248 281  3.885   43  3.758   43  3.687   43  3.649   49 0.5313   56 0.5186   45 15.311   55  3.618   41  3.680
North Carolina St       7  5 319 257  3.534   44  3.743   44  3.671   40  3.696   45 0.5337   58 0.5173   42 15.364   51  3.650   38  3.742
Southern Cal            6  6 298 207  3.795   45  3.702   46  3.631   16  4.066   42 0.5422   62 0.5112   41 15.389   43  3.738   10  4.394
Notre Dame              5  6 214 215  3.867   46  3.694   45  3.646   39  3.717   53 0.5259   65 0.5039   46 15.296   70  3.320   16  4.114
Purdue                  6  6 250 278  3.654   47  3.634   47  3.628   59  3.411   52 0.5282   57 0.5183   49 15.146   81  3.069   36  3.753
Mississippi             7  4 391 310  3.255   48  3.611   48  3.604   58  3.426   48 0.5315   55 0.5213   47 15.177   34  3.935   73  2.917
Wake Forest             6  5 292 311  3.427   49  3.577   49  3.569   62  3.326   47 0.5323   54 0.5252   51 15.027   57  3.572   64  3.081
Indiana                 5  6 305 298  3.747   50  3.574   50  3.567   42  3.685   55 0.5140   69 0.4919   48 15.161   29  3.980   52  3.390
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Bowling Green           8  3 333 215  2.988   51  3.534   51  3.521   44  3.627   43 0.5389   26 0.5868   50 15.107   54  3.624   44  3.630
Wisconsin               5  7 313 346  3.760   52  3.505   52  3.493   47  3.591   57 0.5131   68 0.4920   52 15.008   33  3.944   57  3.237
Colorado State          7  5 298 274  3.308   53  3.497   53  3.483   55  3.455   51 0.5286   35 0.5539   54 14.958   64  3.384   46  3.527
Hawai'i                 9  3 483 318  2.861   54  3.484   54  3.468   52  3.524   37 0.5474   44 0.5412   53 14.990   24  4.124   72  2.925
Boise State             8  4 411 280  3.019   55  3.470   55  3.433   50  3.547   54 0.5231   42 0.5448   55 14.940   46  3.680   50  3.414
Oregon State            5  6 287 259  3.613   56  3.418   56  3.375   37  3.774   50 0.5296   63 0.5085   56 14.866   44  3.702   32  3.845
Virginia                5  7 249 331  3.522   57  3.413   57  3.371   71  3.179   66 0.4901   79 0.4614   61 14.638   76  3.162   59  3.195
Troy State              7  4 246 269  2.686   58  3.396   58  3.347   81  2.886   61 0.5019   28 0.5862   67 14.426   98  2.638   62  3.133
Rice                    8  4 333 335  2.684   59  3.391   59  3.342   86  2.782   59 0.5048   52 0.5304   65 14.508   87  2.830   81  2.733
Miami OH                7  5 319 309  3.078   60  3.387   60  3.338   70  3.187   58 0.5111   32 0.5686   59 14.685   67  3.364   66  3.010
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
South Florida           8  3 387 231  2.633   61  3.384   61  3.334   69  3.191   72 0.4751   53 0.5271   60 14.663   62  3.406   69  2.975
Southern Miss           6  5 278 186  3.295   62  3.372   62  3.323   45  3.598   69 0.4816   67 0.4927   57 14.810   72  3.212   24  3.984
Arizona                 5  6 320 377  3.384   63  3.360   63  3.310   67  3.225   60 0.5045   76 0.4714   64 14.522   41  3.808   82  2.642
Oklahoma St             4  7 242 281  3.616   64  3.328   65  3.276   53  3.502   65 0.4929   73 0.4837   62 14.614   69  3.345   42  3.660
Louisiana Tech          7  5 406 390  3.033   65  3.322   64  3.308   77  3.038   56 0.5133   48 0.5363   63 14.560   50  3.652   91  2.425
East Carolina           6  6 421 360  3.341   66  3.290   66  3.275   51  3.527   62 0.4999   51 0.5333   58 14.689   26  4.070   68  2.985
Middle Tennessee St     8  3 408 286  2.546   67  3.269   67  3.248   76  3.063   63 0.4967   49 0.5357   66 14.479   53  3.644   87  2.481
Ala-Birmingham          6  5 265 206  3.094   68  3.234   68  3.208   66  3.233   78 0.4687   72 0.4870   69 14.318   86  2.838   45  3.627
Northwestern            4  7 320 378  3.563   69  3.230   69  3.206   65  3.254   77 0.4699   85 0.4490   70 14.306   32  3.948   86  2.560
Missouri                4  7 240 330  3.406   70  3.189   70  3.161   79  2.936   68 0.4824   77 0.4714   74 14.114   84  2.885   67  2.987
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
New Mexico              6  5 304 243  3.064   71  3.174   71  3.142   57  3.440   70 0.4797   74 0.4809   71 14.270   58  3.481   51  3.399
Cincinnati              7  5 336 290  2.828   72  3.163   72  3.130   78  3.023   75 0.4707   66 0.4939   73 14.142   74  3.194   78  2.851
Central Florida         6  5 333 204  3.183   73  3.153   73  3.120   46  3.592   76 0.4706   64 0.5055   68 14.364   63  3.384   33  3.799
TCU                     6  6 289 285  3.103   74  3.139   74  3.105   73  3.152   71 0.4771   47 0.5363   72 14.145   73  3.194   63  3.110
Air Force               6  6 337 386  2.947   75  3.131   75  3.097   82  2.852   79 0.4670   78 0.4650   77 14.030   65  3.377   96  2.327
Minnesota               4  7 308 299  3.451   76  3.098   76  3.063   61  3.402   81 0.4597   93 0.4303   76 14.097   60  3.451   54  3.353
Kent State              6  5 248 281  2.771   77  3.092   77  3.053   84  2.817   73 0.4738   61 0.5136   79 13.911   90  2.782   77  2.852
Kansas                  3  8 182 398  3.265   78  3.071   78  3.033   95  2.533   80 0.4664   88 0.4452   82 13.806  102  2.454   85  2.612
Northern Illinois       6  5 303 292  2.814   79  3.069   80  3.027   80  2.914   64 0.4937   46 0.5373   78 13.965   80  3.077   80  2.750
Arizona State           4  7 374 361  3.492   80  3.068   79  3.029   60  3.406   67 0.4847   89 0.4374   75 14.099   19  4.175   83  2.638
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Memphis                 5  6 294 281  3.050   81  3.016   81  2.967   74  3.147   83 0.4474   82 0.4595   80 13.900   68  3.352   70  2.942
Temple                  4  7 198 311  3.068   82  3.003   82  2.952   85  2.808   82 0.4517   83 0.4522   84 13.746  100  2.576   65  3.039
Mississippi St          3  8 196 288  3.517   83  2.987   83  2.935   75  3.141   74 0.4726   84 0.4518   81 13.851   85  2.840   47  3.441
UNLV                    4  7 284 270  3.169   84  2.915   84  2.832   63  3.316   88 0.4440   87 0.4462   83 13.760   71  3.305   55  3.327
Western Michigan        5  6 277 266  2.824   85  2.881   85  2.794   83  2.848   85 0.4448   71 0.4887   86 13.712   89  2.802   74  2.894
Utah State              4  7 316 421  2.883   86  2.832   86  2.738   96  2.525   86 0.4445   75 0.4726   88 13.508   75  3.173  109  1.877
West Virginia           3  8 235 268  3.485   87  2.830   87  2.737   64  3.293   87 0.4443   95 0.4212   85 13.725   77  3.155   48  3.431
Baylor                  3  8 205 357  3.087   88  2.814   88  2.717   91  2.603   94 0.4250   98 0.4005   89 13.458   94  2.741   88  2.466
Kentucky                2  9 259 367  3.588   89  2.805   89  2.706   68  3.208   84 0.4458   91 0.4311   87 13.611   56  3.594   79  2.822
Akron                   4  7 281 360  2.831   90  2.763   90  2.655   93  2.594   96 0.4242   80 0.4600   90 13.416   88  2.813   93  2.375
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
New Mexico State        5  7 286 400  2.580   91  2.730   91  2.616  100  2.356   91 0.4292   86 0.4479   92 13.250   95  2.703  104  2.010
San Diego St            3  8 184 290  3.012   92  2.665   92  2.602   88  2.678   99 0.4143  101 0.3870   93 13.240  107  2.210   61  3.147
Ball State              5  6 268 296  2.512   93  2.645   93  2.580   94  2.574   89 0.4403   70 0.4891   94 13.208   91  2.760   92  2.388
North Texas             5  7 275 293  2.682   94  2.634   94  2.569   87  2.736   93 0.4261   81 0.4595   91 13.332   99  2.586   75  2.885
SMU                     4  7 226 295  2.739   95  2.631   95  2.566   89  2.678   92 0.4286   92 0.4308   95 13.200  104  2.424   71  2.932
Nevada                  3  8 286 431  2.866   96  2.565   96  2.491   98  2.403   97 0.4204   90 0.4340   96 13.055   83  2.914  108  1.892
Vanderbilt              2  9 226 402  3.208   97  2.537   97  2.461   90  2.635   98 0.4204   99 0.3975   97 13.039   82  2.917   95  2.352
Tulane                  3  9 344 495  2.931   98  2.511   98  2.430   97  2.474  100 0.3933   97 0.4072   98 12.974   61  3.437  116  1.510
San Jose St             3  9 295 461  2.863   99  2.502   99  2.418   99  2.369   95 0.4245   96 0.4117   99 12.915   93  2.750  105  1.988
California              1 10 201 431  3.408  100  2.419  100  2.345   92  2.599   90 0.4358   94 0.4273  100 12.833   92  2.752   90  2.446
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Wyoming                 2  9 229 368  2.982  101  2.401  101  2.321  101  2.356  101 0.3873  104 0.3688  101 12.756   97  2.638  102  2.074
Army                    3  8 229 365  2.560  102  2.320  102  2.219  105  2.202  105 0.3570  108 0.3462  102 12.592  105  2.313  100  2.090
Central Michigan        3  8 251 346  2.482  103  2.239  103  2.128  103  2.268  102 0.3781  100 0.3901  103 12.493  101  2.551  106  1.985
Rutgers                 2  9 119 397  2.489  104  2.168  104  2.046  114  1.752  103 0.3669  109 0.3438  105 12.196  114  1.403   99  2.100
UL-Lafayette            3  8 234 365  2.185  105  2.075  105  1.930  110  1.936  111 0.3393  116 0.3116  106 12.135  109  2.102  111  1.770
Ohio U.                 1 10 198 323  2.858  106  2.058  106  1.913  102  2.280  106 0.3484  102 0.3770  104 12.220  108  2.204   94  2.355
Buffalo                 3  8 205 286  2.179  107  2.026  107  1.872  107  2.137  107 0.3453  105 0.3638  107 12.107  111  1.976   97  2.298
Duke                    0 11 212 491  3.190  108  2.010  108  1.858  104  2.211  104 0.3616  110 0.3384  108 12.045   96  2.671  112  1.750
UL-Monroe               2  9 148 351  2.234  109  1.954  109  1.781  115  1.703  109 0.3432  103 0.3733  110 11.860  115  1.294   98  2.111
UTEP                    2  9 235 414  2.227  110  1.943  110  1.769  111  1.814  110 0.3410  114 0.3223  109 11.898  110  2.068  115  1.560
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Connecticut             2  9 192 370  2.172  111  1.880  111  1.680  112  1.813  114 0.3287  106 0.3568  112 11.722  112  1.813  110  1.812
Houston                 0 11 190 432  2.944  112  1.871  112  1.676  108  2.089  113 0.3293  107 0.3550  111 11.786  103  2.436  113  1.743
Idaho                   1 10 313 495  2.415  113  1.771  113  1.555  109  2.016  108 0.3437  113 0.3270  113 11.618   79  3.090  117  0.942
Tulsa                   1 10 191 387  2.303  114  1.738  114  1.515  113  1.782  112 0.3353  111 0.3328  115 11.506  113  1.651  107  1.913
Arkansas State          2  9 177 357  1.863  115  1.703  115  1.468  117  1.406  116 0.3090  115 0.3205  116 11.389  117  1.178  114  1.634
Navy                    0 10 183 344  2.625  116  1.691  116  1.457  106  2.178  117 0.3051  117 0.2918  114 11.530  106  2.304  103  2.051
Eastern Michigan        2  9 197 356  1.816  117  1.648  117  1.395  116  1.658  115 0.3096  112 0.3290  117 11.325  116  1.234  101  2.082


Atlantic Coast Conf: strength=3.683 (#6)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Maryland               10  2 413 266  3.736   10  4.630   10  4.512   19  4.057   14 0.6134   15 0.6267   10 16.852   15  4.342   35  3.772
Florida State           8  4 403 304  4.108   15  4.423   15  4.289    9  4.358   18 0.6017   18 0.6100   14 16.627    4  4.860   31  3.856
North Carolina          8  5 337 271  3.840   28  4.083   27  3.980   28  3.912   24 0.5770   27 0.5863   27 16.022   42  3.799   22  4.025
Georgia Tech            8  5 405 281  3.658   31  3.886   31  3.806   29  3.907   34 0.5521   39 0.5480   35 15.624   37  3.888   27  3.926
Clemson                 7  5 369 339  3.545   40  3.787   40  3.717   49  3.547   41 0.5432   38 0.5489   43 15.341   38  3.865   58  3.230
North Carolina St       7  5 319 257  3.534   44  3.743   44  3.671   40  3.696   45 0.5337   58 0.5173   42 15.364   51  3.650   38  3.742
Wake Forest             6  5 292 311  3.427   49  3.577   49  3.569   62  3.326   47 0.5323   54 0.5252   51 15.027   57  3.572   64  3.081
Virginia                5  7 249 331  3.522   57  3.413   57  3.371   71  3.179   66 0.4901   79 0.4614   61 14.638   76  3.162   59  3.195
Duke                    0 11 212 491  3.190  108  2.010  108  1.858  104  2.211  104 0.3616  110 0.3384  108 12.045   96  2.671  112  1.750

Big 10 Conf: strength=3.804 (#5)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Illinois               10  2 390 285  3.713   11  4.587   11  4.461   20  4.055    8 0.6356   10 0.6404   11 16.771   13  4.455   43  3.656
Michigan                8  4 320 237  3.868   21  4.241   21  4.120   18  4.057   19 0.5984   20 0.6047   18 16.358   35  3.932   15  4.182
Iowa                    7  5 391 258  3.731   33  3.869   33  3.789   15  4.118   38 0.5452   45 0.5393   30 15.795   16  4.330   30  3.906
Ohio State              7  5 312 244  3.685   35  3.852   35  3.786   30  3.895   36 0.5505   50 0.5335   37 15.566   40  3.838   26  3.951
Michigan State          7  5 374 311  3.632   37  3.820   37  3.753   34  3.842   44 0.5371   60 0.5140   38 15.489   17  4.267   49  3.416
Penn State              5  6 248 281  3.885   43  3.758   43  3.687   43  3.649   49 0.5313   56 0.5186   45 15.311   55  3.618   41  3.680
Purdue                  6  6 250 278  3.654   47  3.634   47  3.628   59  3.411   52 0.5282   57 0.5183   49 15.146   81  3.069   36  3.753
Indiana                 5  6 305 298  3.747   50  3.574   50  3.567   42  3.685   55 0.5140   69 0.4919   48 15.161   29  3.980   52  3.390
Wisconsin               5  7 313 346  3.760   52  3.505   52  3.493   47  3.591   57 0.5131   68 0.4920   52 15.008   33  3.944   57  3.237
Northwestern            4  7 320 378  3.563   69  3.230   69  3.206   65  3.254   77 0.4699   85 0.4490   70 14.306   32  3.948   86  2.560
Minnesota               4  7 308 299  3.451   76  3.098   76  3.063   61  3.402   81 0.4597   93 0.4303   76 14.097   60  3.451   54  3.353

Big 12 Conf: strength=3.954 (#1)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Nebraska               11  2 463 226  4.067    4  4.899    4  4.692    4  4.651    5 0.6470    4 0.6715    4 17.328    5  4.808    6  4.495
Oklahoma               11  2 397 169  3.960    6  4.816    7  4.601    6  4.496   11 0.6278   14 0.6314    7 17.124   22  4.153    3  4.840
Texas                  11  2 517 207  3.922    8  4.784    9  4.567    3  4.756    7 0.6433    9 0.6449    6 17.182    3  4.886    4  4.626
Colorado               10  3 412 318  4.025    9  4.708    5  4.602   13  4.166    6 0.6458    7 0.6547    9 16.972    8  4.600   39  3.732
Texas A&M               8  4 248 213  3.747   20  4.250   20  4.129   35  3.797   23 0.5796   30 0.5792   23 16.195   66  3.365   11  4.230
Texas Tech              7  5 402 281  3.882   34  3.854   34  3.787   14  4.158   35 0.5516   41 0.5465   32 15.751    9  4.592   40  3.725
Kansas State            6  6 330 205  4.043   38  3.810   38  3.743   12  4.236   33 0.5523   37 0.5518   31 15.786   28  3.984    7  4.488
Iowa State              7  5 309 245  3.597   42  3.763   42  3.691   36  3.781   39 0.5452   59 0.5154   40 15.397   52  3.650   29  3.911
Oklahoma St             4  7 242 281  3.616   64  3.328   65  3.276   53  3.502   65 0.4929   73 0.4837   62 14.614   69  3.345   42  3.660
Missouri                4  7 240 330  3.406   70  3.189   70  3.161   79  2.936   68 0.4824   77 0.4714   74 14.114   84  2.885   67  2.987
Kansas                  3  8 182 398  3.265   78  3.071   78  3.033   95  2.533   80 0.4664   88 0.4452   82 13.806  102  2.454   85  2.612
Baylor                  3  8 205 357  3.087   88  2.814   88  2.717   91  2.603   94 0.4250   98 0.4005   89 13.458   94  2.741   88  2.466

Big East Conf: strength=3.861 (#2)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Miami FL               12  0 512 117  4.402    1  5.517    1  5.403    1  5.634    1 0.6999    1 0.7306    1 18.449    1  5.434    1  5.834
Syracuse               10  3 334 247  4.031    7  4.812    8  4.598   10  4.326   13 0.6211    8 0.6450    8 16.994   18  4.223    9  4.429
Boston College          8  4 337 227  3.789   24  4.160   24  4.035   17  4.064   30 0.5583   34 0.5577   24 16.179   27  4.047   18  4.080
Virginia Tech           8  4 376 177  3.898   27  4.084   28  3.980    8  4.371   32 0.5546   33 0.5617   21 16.238   20  4.173    5  4.568
Pittsburgh              7  5 296 245  3.663   39  3.808   39  3.740   24  3.957   46 0.5331   43 0.5438   39 15.482   30  3.956   25  3.957
Temple                  4  7 198 311  3.068   82  3.003   82  2.952   85  2.808   82 0.4517   83 0.4522   84 13.746  100  2.576   65  3.039
West Virginia           3  8 235 268  3.485   87  2.830   87  2.737   64  3.293   87 0.4443   95 0.4212   85 13.725   77  3.155   48  3.431
Rutgers                 2  9 119 397  2.489  104  2.168  104  2.046  114  1.752  103 0.3669  109 0.3438  105 12.196  114  1.403   99  2.100

Conference USA: strength=3.010 (#8)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Louisville             11  2 394 223  3.302   18  4.307   18  4.157   27  3.938   22 0.5889   11 0.6377   17 16.364   49  3.656   13  4.220
Southern Miss           6  5 278 186  3.295   62  3.372   62  3.323   45  3.598   69 0.4816   67 0.4927   57 14.810   72  3.212   24  3.984
East Carolina           6  6 421 360  3.341   66  3.290   66  3.275   51  3.527   62 0.4999   51 0.5333   58 14.689   26  4.070   68  2.985
Ala-Birmingham          6  5 265 206  3.094   68  3.234   68  3.208   66  3.233   78 0.4687   72 0.4870   69 14.318   86  2.838   45  3.627
Cincinnati              7  5 336 290  2.828   72  3.163   72  3.130   78  3.023   75 0.4707   66 0.4939   73 14.142   74  3.194   78  2.851
TCU                     6  6 289 285  3.103   74  3.139   74  3.105   73  3.152   71 0.4771   47 0.5363   72 14.145   73  3.194   63  3.110
Memphis                 5  6 294 281  3.050   81  3.016   81  2.967   74  3.147   83 0.4474   82 0.4595   80 13.900   68  3.352   70  2.942
Tulane                  3  9 344 495  2.931   98  2.511   98  2.430   97  2.474  100 0.3933   97 0.4072   98 12.974   61  3.437  116  1.510
Army                    3  8 229 365  2.560  102  2.320  102  2.219  105  2.202  105 0.3570  108 0.3462  102 12.592  105  2.313  100  2.090
Houston                 0 11 190 432  2.944  112  1.871  112  1.676  108  2.089  113 0.3293  107 0.3550  111 11.786  103  2.436  113  1.743

Mid-American Conf: strength=2.622 (#11)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Marshall               11  2 512 369  3.009   23  4.176   23  4.050   54  3.478   25 0.5730    5 0.6606   28 15.997   25  4.103   76  2.853
Toledo                 10  2 407 297  2.776   41  3.777   41  3.704   72  3.153   40 0.5438   24 0.5939   44 15.317   47  3.673   84  2.632
Bowling Green           8  3 333 215  2.988   51  3.534   51  3.521   44  3.627   43 0.5389   26 0.5868   50 15.107   54  3.624   44  3.630
Miami OH                7  5 319 309  3.078   60  3.387   60  3.338   70  3.187   58 0.5111   32 0.5686   59 14.685   67  3.364   66  3.010
Kent State              6  5 248 281  2.771   77  3.092   77  3.053   84  2.817   73 0.4738   61 0.5136   79 13.911   90  2.782   77  2.852
Northern Illinois       6  5 303 292  2.814   79  3.069   80  3.027   80  2.914   64 0.4937   46 0.5373   78 13.965   80  3.077   80  2.750
Western Michigan        5  6 277 266  2.824   85  2.881   85  2.794   83  2.848   85 0.4448   71 0.4887   86 13.712   89  2.802   74  2.894
Akron                   4  7 281 360  2.831   90  2.763   90  2.655   93  2.594   96 0.4242   80 0.4600   90 13.416   88  2.813   93  2.375
Ball State              5  6 268 296  2.512   93  2.645   93  2.580   94  2.574   89 0.4403   70 0.4891   94 13.208   91  2.760   92  2.388
Central Michigan        3  8 251 346  2.482  103  2.239  103  2.128  103  2.268  102 0.3781  100 0.3901  103 12.493  101  2.551  106  1.985
Ohio U.                 1 10 198 323  2.858  106  2.058  106  1.913  102  2.280  106 0.3484  102 0.3770  104 12.220  108  2.204   94  2.355
Buffalo                 3  8 205 286  2.179  107  2.026  107  1.872  107  2.137  107 0.3453  105 0.3638  107 12.107  111  1.976   97  2.298
Eastern Michigan        2  9 197 356  1.816  117  1.648  117  1.395  116  1.658  115 0.3096  112 0.3290  117 11.325  116  1.234  101  2.082

Mountain West Conf: strength=3.178 (#7)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Brigham Young          12  2 618 424  3.175   19  4.258   19  4.135   48  3.589   20 0.5909   17 0.6101   20 16.255    6  4.723   89  2.455
Utah                    8  4 329 210  3.507   36  3.849   36  3.783   26  3.940   31 0.5550   23 0.5957   36 15.610   48  3.656   12  4.224
Colorado State          7  5 298 274  3.308   53  3.497   53  3.483   55  3.455   51 0.5286   35 0.5539   54 14.958   64  3.384   46  3.527
New Mexico              6  5 304 243  3.064   71  3.174   71  3.142   57  3.440   70 0.4797   74 0.4809   71 14.270   58  3.481   51  3.399
Air Force               6  6 337 386  2.947   75  3.131   75  3.097   82  2.852   79 0.4670   78 0.4650   77 14.030   65  3.377   96  2.327
UNLV                    4  7 284 270  3.169   84  2.915   84  2.832   63  3.316   88 0.4440   87 0.4462   83 13.760   71  3.305   55  3.327
San Diego St            3  8 184 290  3.012   92  2.665   92  2.602   88  2.678   99 0.4143  101 0.3870   93 13.240  107  2.210   61  3.147
Wyoming                 2  9 229 368  2.982  101  2.401  101  2.321  101  2.356  101 0.3873  104 0.3688  101 12.756   97  2.638  102  2.074

Pacific 10 Conf: strength=3.805 (#4)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Oregon                 11  1 412 256  3.832    3  4.972    3  4.776    7  4.373    2 0.6803    3 0.6719    5 17.301   11  4.562   14  4.184
Washington St          10  2 420 269  3.616   13  4.533   13  4.382   25  3.951   10 0.6319   13 0.6321   13 16.668   21  4.159   37  3.744
Stanford                9  3 422 339  3.794   14  4.443   14  4.309   33  3.879   12 0.6274   16 0.6142   15 16.551   10  4.574   60  3.184
Washington              8  4 353 370  3.849   17  4.376   17  4.235   38  3.741   15 0.6074   21 0.6037   19 16.338   23  4.125   53  3.357
UCLA                    7  4 317 225  3.889   22  4.181   22  4.059   23  3.963   16 0.6040   25 0.5931   22 16.204   36  3.927   23  4.000
Southern Cal            6  6 298 207  3.795   45  3.702   46  3.631   16  4.066   42 0.5422   62 0.5112   41 15.389   43  3.738   10  4.394
Oregon State            5  6 287 259  3.613   56  3.418   56  3.375   37  3.774   50 0.5296   63 0.5085   56 14.866   44  3.702   32  3.845
Arizona                 5  6 320 377  3.384   63  3.360   63  3.310   67  3.225   60 0.5045   76 0.4714   64 14.522   41  3.808   82  2.642
Arizona State           4  7 374 361  3.492   80  3.068   79  3.029   60  3.406   67 0.4847   89 0.4374   75 14.099   19  4.175   83  2.638
California              1 10 201 431  3.408  100  2.419  100  2.345   92  2.599   90 0.4358   94 0.4273  100 12.833   92  2.752   90  2.446

Southeastern Conf: strength=3.827 (#3)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Tennessee              11  2 400 251  4.131    2  5.012    2  4.822    5  4.572    3 0.6735    2 0.6723    2 17.389    7  4.700    8  4.443
Florida                10  2 538 178  4.122    5  4.816    6  4.602    2  5.179    4 0.6507    6 0.6583    3 17.350    2  5.398    2  4.960
LSU                    10  3 418 302  3.867   12  4.557   12  4.407   11  4.240    9 0.6320   12 0.6357   12 16.754   14  4.440   21  4.039
South Carolina          9  3 310 230  3.738   16  4.414   16  4.278   32  3.887   17 0.6037   22 0.5960   16 16.492   45  3.687   17  4.088
Georgia                 8  4 331 228  3.720   25  4.133   25  4.034   22  3.967   27 0.5694   36 0.5528   25 16.085   39  3.858   19  4.076
Arkansas                7  5 294 279  3.755   29  4.011   30  3.906   41  3.690   28 0.5673   29 0.5806   29 15.804   59  3.466   28  3.913
Auburn                  7  5 254 281  3.658   30  4.000   29  3.917   56  3.445   26 0.5723   31 0.5732   34 15.647   78  3.114   34  3.777
Alabama                 7  5 318 232  3.727   32  3.874   32  3.794   21  3.997   29 0.5629   40 0.5478   33 15.714   31  3.949   20  4.046
Mississippi             7  4 391 310  3.255   48  3.611   48  3.604   58  3.426   48 0.5315   55 0.5213   47 15.177   34  3.935   73  2.917
Mississippi St          3  8 196 288  3.517   83  2.987   83  2.935   75  3.141   74 0.4726   84 0.4518   81 13.851   85  2.840   47  3.441
Kentucky                2  9 259 367  3.588   89  2.805   89  2.706   68  3.208   84 0.4458   91 0.4311   87 13.611   56  3.594   79  2.822
Vanderbilt              2  9 226 402  3.208   97  2.537   97  2.461   90  2.635   98 0.4204   99 0.3975   97 13.039   82  2.917   95  2.352

Sun Belt Conf: strength=1.967 (#12)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Middle Tennessee St     8  3 408 286  2.546   67  3.269   67  3.248   76  3.063   63 0.4967   49 0.5357   66 14.479   53  3.644   87  2.481
New Mexico State        5  7 286 400  2.580   91  2.730   91  2.616  100  2.356   91 0.4292   86 0.4479   92 13.250   95  2.703  104  2.010
North Texas             5  7 275 293  2.682   94  2.634   94  2.569   87  2.736   93 0.4261   81 0.4595   91 13.332   99  2.586   75  2.885
UL-Lafayette            3  8 234 365  2.185  105  2.075  105  1.930  110  1.936  111 0.3393  116 0.3116  106 12.135  109  2.102  111  1.770
UL-Monroe               2  9 148 351  2.234  109  1.954  109  1.781  115  1.703  109 0.3432  103 0.3733  110 11.860  115  1.294   98  2.111
Idaho                   1 10 313 495  2.415  113  1.771  113  1.555  109  2.016  108 0.3437  113 0.3270  113 11.618   79  3.090  117  0.942
Arkansas State          2  9 177 357  1.863  115  1.703  115  1.468  117  1.406  116 0.3090  115 0.3205  116 11.389  117  1.178  114  1.634

Western Athletic Conf: strength=2.672 (#10)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Fresno State           11  3 560 344  3.326   26  4.097   26  3.994   31  3.893   21 0.5897   19 0.6075   26 16.072   12  4.490   56  3.296
Hawai'i                 9  3 483 318  2.861   54  3.484   54  3.468   52  3.524   37 0.5474   44 0.5412   53 14.990   24  4.124   72  2.925
Boise State             8  4 411 280  3.019   55  3.470   55  3.433   50  3.547   54 0.5231   42 0.5448   55 14.940   46  3.680   50  3.414
Rice                    8  4 333 335  2.684   59  3.391   59  3.342   86  2.782   59 0.5048   52 0.5304   65 14.508   87  2.830   81  2.733
Louisiana Tech          7  5 406 390  3.033   65  3.322   64  3.308   77  3.038   56 0.5133   48 0.5363   63 14.560   50  3.652   91  2.425
SMU                     4  7 226 295  2.739   95  2.631   95  2.566   89  2.678   92 0.4286   92 0.4308   95 13.200  104  2.424   71  2.932
Nevada                  3  8 286 431  2.866   96  2.565   96  2.491   98  2.403   97 0.4204   90 0.4340   96 13.055   83  2.914  108  1.892
San Jose St             3  9 295 461  2.863   99  2.502   99  2.418   99  2.369   95 0.4245   96 0.4117   99 12.915   93  2.750  105  1.988
UTEP                    2  9 235 414  2.227  110  1.943  110  1.769  111  1.814  110 0.3410  114 0.3223  109 11.898  110  2.068  115  1.560
Tulsa                   1 10 191 387  2.303  114  1.738  114  1.515  113  1.782  112 0.3353  111 0.3328  115 11.506  113  1.651  107  1.913

Division I-A Independents: strength=2.767 (#9)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Notre Dame              5  6 214 215  3.867   46  3.694   45  3.646   39  3.717   53 0.5259   65 0.5039   46 15.296   70  3.320   16  4.114
Troy State              7  4 246 269  2.686   58  3.396   58  3.347   81  2.886   61 0.5019   28 0.5862   67 14.426   98  2.638   62  3.133
South Florida           8  3 387 231  2.633   61  3.384   61  3.334   69  3.191   72 0.4751   53 0.5271   60 14.663   62  3.406   69  2.975
Central Florida         6  5 333 204  3.183   73  3.153   73  3.120   46  3.592   76 0.4706   64 0.5055   68 14.364   63  3.384   33  3.799
Utah State              4  7 316 421  2.883   86  2.832   86  2.738   96  2.525   86 0.4445   75 0.4726   88 13.508   75  3.173  109  1.877
Connecticut             2  9 192 370  2.172  111  1.880  111  1.680  112  1.813  114 0.3287  106 0.3568  112 11.722  112  1.813  110  1.812
Navy                    0 10 183 344  2.625  116  1.691  116  1.457  106  2.178  117 0.3051  117 0.2918  114 11.530  106  2.304  103  2.051

Conference Strengths
CONFERENCE                                      W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
Big 12 Conf                                    85  59 0.590    1  3.954
Big East Conf                                  54  40 0.574    2  3.861
Southeastern Conf                              83  59 0.585    3  3.827
Pacific 10 Conf                                66  49 0.574    4  3.805
Big 10 Conf                                    68  60 0.531    5  3.804
Atlantic Coast Conf                            59  49 0.546    6  3.683
Mountain West Conf                             48  46 0.511    7  3.178
Conference USA                                 53  63 0.457    8  3.010
Division I-A Independents                      32  44 0.421    9  2.767
Western Athletic Conf                          56  62 0.475   10  2.672
Mid-American Conf                              71  76 0.483   11  2.622
Sun Belt Conf                                  26  53 0.329   12  1.967

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.198 points in main ratings
     0.024 points in improved RPI
Average of 6.20 points per score

Predict score:






Team Strength vs. Time Plot:





posted: Sun Oct 12 21:49:02 2025

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