Dolphin Ratings - College Football

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and six ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
RPI Rating. Included only because of common real-life usage. The RPI rating has many statistical problems. The football RPI rating is based on the BCS formula, and approximates the schedule, loss, and quality win components.
Pseudo-Poll. A blended ranking based on win-loss and predictive ratings, calibrated to match real-life polls as closely as possible. This gives a rough but unbiased estimate of how typical voters value record vs. impressive wins.
Predictive-Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Predictive-Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Predictive-Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

Because these ratings contain no prejudices regarding team or conference strengths, they tend to be quite inaccurate early in the seasons. College football appears to take at least 5 games per team before even remotely reasonable ratings are produced; acceptable ratings are produced with 8 games per team; excellent ratings unfortunately require 14 games per team.

Rankings by division: Overall I-A I-AA II III NAIA NESCAC

Full Ranking

                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Florida St.       12  0 458 203  4.905    1  6.122    1  6.056    1  5.740    1 0.7175    1 0.7316    1 20.477    1  5.879    4  5.602
Nebraska          12  1 442 171  4.801    2  5.820    2  5.672    2  5.682    3 0.6755    2 0.6896    2 20.026    4  5.522    1  5.843
Michigan St.      10  2 378 245  4.895    3  5.684    4  5.519    9  5.255    4 0.6705    5 0.6701    4 19.683    6  5.362   11  5.148
Michigan          10  2 361 247  4.888    4  5.675    3  5.532   11  5.182    2 0.6787    4 0.6816    5 19.645    9  5.289   14  5.074
Virginia Tech     11  1 484 162  4.688    5  5.646    5  5.493    3  5.590    6 0.6509    6 0.6660    3 19.787    3  5.566    3  5.615
Kansas St.        11  1 457 164  4.421    6  5.519    6  5.323    7  5.295    9 0.6356    9 0.6439    6 19.481   15  5.132    6  5.458
Alabama           10  3 378 265  4.857    7  5.503    7  5.307    8  5.256    5 0.6664    3 0.6889    8 19.357    5  5.471   15  5.041
Marshall          13  0 463 137  3.736    8  5.487    8  5.282   16  4.816   16 0.5851    7 0.6594   10 19.272   42  4.279   10  5.352
Penn St.          10  3 417 234  4.817    9  5.471    9  5.265    5  5.383    7 0.6432    8 0.6477    7 19.370    7  5.347    7  5.420
Wisconsin         10  2 409 154  4.639   10  5.412   10  5.197    6  5.364   12 0.6188   13 0.6125    9 19.274   19  5.022    2  5.707
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Tennessee          9  3 369 194  4.811   11  5.383   11  5.164    4  5.401    8 0.6361   10 0.6362   11 19.241    8  5.329    5  5.473
Mississippi St.   10  2 255 156  4.390   12  5.378   12  5.158   21  4.708   10 0.6230   12 0.6179   12 19.045   53  4.064    9  5.352
Florida            9  4 403 272  4.769   13  5.278   13  5.048   12  4.989   11 0.6223   11 0.6241   13 19.003   13  5.153   18  4.824
Miami              8  4 377 220  4.774   14  5.138   14  4.888   10  5.195   13 0.5991   14 0.6125   14 18.824   18  5.036    8  5.355
Southern Miss.     9  3 333 189  4.334   15  5.098   15  4.842   20  4.708   19 0.5792   15 0.6080   15 18.633   43  4.276   12  5.140
Illinois           8  4 388 275  4.576   16  5.068   16  4.809   15  4.889   14 0.5977   21 0.5881   16 18.602   14  5.143   23  4.635
Texas              9  5 450 295  4.556   17  5.031   17  4.770   18  4.725   21 0.5777   20 0.5894   17 18.555   21  4.972   28  4.478
Purdue             7  5 384 305  4.673   18  4.988   18  4.722   22  4.705   22 0.5765   25 0.5769   19 18.435   12  5.160   36  4.250
Georgia Tech       8  4 461 361  4.438   19  4.969   22  4.700   24  4.610   17 0.5828   24 0.5798   20 18.395    2  5.632   73  3.589
Georgia            8  4 336 310  4.348   20  4.936   19  4.708   32  4.412   20 0.5788   30 0.5678   24 18.288   26  4.732   46  4.092
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Minnesota          8  4 368 196  4.523   21  4.928   21  4.701   14  4.920   18 0.5799   27 0.5699   18 18.523   24  4.748   13  5.091
Oregon             9  3 410 284  4.185   22  4.906   20  4.704   25  4.606   15 0.5977   17 0.5951   21 18.386   20  5.013   41  4.200
Mississippi        8  4 323 228  4.396   23  4.873   23  4.670   19  4.721   26 0.5719   33 0.5638   23 18.355   25  4.737   21  4.704
Arkansas           8  4 353 214  4.428   24  4.860   24  4.660   17  4.796   24 0.5733   26 0.5749   22 18.377   23  4.801   20  4.792
East Carolina      9  3 333 225  4.096   25  4.841   25  4.638   29  4.488   29 0.5683   31 0.5659   25 18.271   35  4.455   27  4.520
Texas A&M          8  4 318 232  4.324   26  4.838   26  4.637   33  4.399   23 0.5747   22 0.5880   26 18.236   50  4.145   22  4.654
Ohio St.           6  6 285 287  4.751   27  4.829   27  4.628   27  4.532   32 0.5601   36 0.5566   27 18.220   34  4.516   25  4.548
Virginia           7  5 345 365  4.380   28  4.768   28  4.562   50  4.083   30 0.5628   35 0.5600   29 17.920   30  4.614   75  3.552
Louisiana Tech     8  3 389 306  3.763   29  4.719   29  4.502   53  4.016   34 0.5564   19 0.5933   32 17.816   29  4.649   82  3.382
Stanford           8  4 418 364  4.192   30  4.679   30  4.453   31  4.421   27 0.5694   34 0.5636   30 17.852   10  5.236   71  3.606
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Clemson            6  6 322 253  4.590   31  4.609   31  4.381   23  4.691   35 0.5506   37 0.5511   28 17.933   22  4.814   24  4.568
Utah               9  3 380 210  3.827   32  4.604   33  4.374   30  4.483   25 0.5728   16 0.6022   31 17.825   33  4.527   30  4.438
Brigham Young      8  4 335 251  4.039   33  4.583   32  4.379   38  4.285   28 0.5690   18 0.5941   33 17.786   36  4.427   43  4.144
Boston College     8  4 297 308  3.842   34  4.564   34  4.360   64  3.901   44 0.5225   45 0.5238   40 17.529   56  4.007   63  3.794
Washington         7  5 331 302  4.232   35  4.562   35  4.358   36  4.311   31 0.5607   32 0.5643   35 17.733   31  4.560   48  4.063
Colorado St.       8  4 345 269  3.954   36  4.550   36  4.346   43  4.214   33 0.5574   23 0.5861   36 17.709   39  4.381   49  4.047
Wake Forest        7  5 266 209  4.178   37  4.484   38  4.275   28  4.490   36 0.5413   46 0.5228   38 17.641   58  3.995   16  4.985
Oklahoma           7  5 430 229  4.306   38  4.471   39  4.262   13  4.979   45 0.5212   49 0.5199   34 17.778   17  5.081   17  4.876
Colorado           7  5 405 311  4.201   39  4.448   37  4.289   26  4.589   37 0.5397   38 0.5510   37 17.690   16  5.108   47  4.071
Kentucky           6  6 328 343  4.273   40  4.397   40  4.233   45  4.170   48 0.5204   54 0.5079   43 17.398   32  4.546   64  3.793
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
N. Carolina St.    6  6 244 302  4.188   41  4.394   41  4.229   65  3.892   42 0.5244   59 0.5022   46 17.329   72  3.742   50  4.043
Auburn             5  6 233 236  4.440   42  4.392   42  4.228   35  4.315   39 0.5375   40 0.5354   41 17.471   51  4.088   26  4.542
Louisville         7  5 443 365  4.099   43  4.363   45  4.193   40  4.271   52 0.5142   41 0.5310   42 17.459   11  5.211   84  3.330
Houston            7  4 254 211  3.889   44  4.348   43  4.215   52  4.054   43 0.5232   51 0.5180   44 17.380   78  3.654   29  4.453
Notre Dame         5  7 348 331  4.544   45  4.335   44  4.203   34  4.363   46 0.5207   48 0.5202   39 17.570   28  4.684   51  4.042
Oregon St.         7  5 347 277  3.993   46  4.274   46  4.139   42  4.214   41 0.5333   44 0.5244   45 17.339   44  4.267   42  4.162
Syracuse           7  5 300 256  4.054   47  4.257   47  4.121   47  4.107   47 0.5206   42 0.5303   47 17.302   66  3.888   33  4.327
Wyoming            7  4 302 270  3.703   48  4.219   48  4.080   68  3.807   40 0.5351   28 0.5691   49 17.121   52  4.081   76  3.534
Vanderbilt         5  6 252 256  4.175   49  4.193   50  4.051   55  3.995   57 0.5057   60 0.5003   50 17.110   67  3.853   44  4.137
Southern Cal       6  6 348 278  4.087   50  4.172   51  4.028   41  4.263   49 0.5189   52 0.5173   48 17.196   37  4.397   45  4.130
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Hawaii             9  4 371 349  3.454   51  4.131   49  4.054   74  3.696   53 0.5122   39 0.5404   52 17.042   55  4.044   83  3.348
Arizona            6  6 339 364  4.005   52  4.101   52  4.023   61  3.932   50 0.5156   50 0.5186   51 17.075   40  4.335   77  3.530
Arizona St.        6  6 285 311  4.013   53  4.097   53  4.006   63  3.910   51 0.5151   57 0.5063   53 17.040   57  4.001   60  3.818
Boise St.         10  3 430 277  3.288   54  4.073   54  3.978   54  4.012   38 0.5394   29 0.5679   55 17.006   49  4.180   58  3.844
Indiana            4  7 291 386  4.269   55  4.042   55  3.947   59  3.946   66 0.4859   82 0.4595   60 16.912   27  4.689   89  3.203
Oklahoma St.       5  6 267 274  4.081   56  4.031   56  3.933   58  3.948   58 0.4986   58 0.5051   58 16.952   62  3.967   55  3.929
Memphis            5  6 232 182  4.157   57  4.021   58  3.920   39  4.272   62 0.4922   63 0.4942   54 17.033   73  3.724   19  4.819
Ala.-Birmingham    5  6 248 279  4.025   58  3.985   57  3.930   66  3.849   61 0.4939   55 0.5076   59 16.917   69  3.800   56  3.897
Maryland           5  6 292 260  4.156   59  3.972   59  3.916   44  4.195   65 0.4896   75 0.4706   56 17.004   48  4.185   39  4.204
Missouri           4  7 224 371  4.158   60  3.953   61  3.896   85  3.405   68 0.4844   61 0.4960   65 16.776   80  3.621   90  3.189
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Texas Tech         6  5 253 282  3.686   61  3.947   60  3.900   75  3.693   63 0.4916   71 0.4811   64 16.810   70  3.768   69  3.618
Pittsburgh         5  6 281 278  4.033   62  3.933   62  3.884   60  3.941   69 0.4782   70 0.4812   62 16.892   54  4.049   59  3.833
Air Force          6  5 264 218  3.788   63  3.932   63  3.883   57  3.953   56 0.5069   53 0.5089   61 16.909   76  3.696   38  4.209
Texas Christian    8  4 362 213  3.472   64  3.928   64  3.877   37  4.294   54 0.5099   43 0.5246   57 16.975   46  4.240   32  4.347
Fresno St.         8  5 413 282  3.559   65  3.880   66  3.821   49  4.086   55 0.5083   47 0.5219   63 16.842   47  4.214   54  3.958
UCLA               4  7 230 311  4.120   66  3.875   65  3.836   79  3.584   64 0.4912   66 0.4897   67 16.732   82  3.577   72  3.592
San Diego St.      5  6 272 226  3.944   67  3.814   67  3.769   46  4.156   60 0.4944   64 0.4925   66 16.776   59  3.994   34  4.319
California         4  7 180 254  4.083   68  3.810   68  3.766   67  3.836   67 0.4858   74 0.4733   68 16.716   94  3.320   31  4.352
Miami, Ohio        7  4 335 264  3.316   69  3.772   71  3.717   73  3.699   76 0.4598   62 0.4955   70 16.623   60  3.990   81  3.408
Northwestern       3  8 141 301  4.244   70  3.747   69  3.734   82  3.495   70 0.4757   79 0.4627   74 16.504  101  2.958   53  4.032
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Kansas             5  7 294 354  3.880   71  3.737   70  3.720   71  3.776   71 0.4738   78 0.4639   71 16.554   61  3.986   74  3.566
Duke               3  8 217 363  4.194   72  3.715   72  3.697   81  3.501   74 0.4675   87 0.4462   77 16.392   71  3.752   86  3.249
W. Michigan        7  5 373 342  3.383   73  3.706   73  3.683   76  3.675   72 0.4735   56 0.5068   72 16.534   41  4.305   94  3.045
West Virginia      4  7 292 289  4.071   74  3.700   74  3.679   48  4.098   80 0.4550   81 0.4604   69 16.660   38  4.389   62  3.808
Idaho              7  4 304 283  3.155   75  3.675   75  3.648   90  3.301   59 0.4957   67 0.4878   78 16.333   84  3.523   91  3.079
Akron              7  4 315 314  3.097   76  3.663   76  3.635   88  3.309   83 0.4534   69 0.4813   79 16.314   74  3.716   97  2.903
Louisiana St.      3  8 223 259  4.248   77  3.648   77  3.622   51  4.070   75 0.4655   83 0.4584   73 16.504   65  3.891   37  4.250
North Carolina     3  8 186 272  4.178   78  3.635   78  3.607   70  3.778   77 0.4592   85 0.4572   76 16.397   92  3.356   40  4.200
Rice               5  6 237 261  3.618   79  3.629   79  3.599   80  3.518   73 0.4726   65 0.4922   81 16.303   93  3.325   66  3.711
Iowa St.           4  7 247 272  4.051   80  3.626   80  3.596   62  3.927   79 0.4583   86 0.4463   75 16.486   68  3.813   52  4.041
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Cincinnati         3  8 275 289  4.104   81  3.561   81  3.522   56  3.958   87 0.4305   80 0.4613   80 16.313   45  4.246   68  3.671
Toledo             6  5 293 229  3.339   82  3.525   82  3.477   69  3.780   85 0.4424   72 0.4765   82 16.216   77  3.679   57  3.882
Army               3  7 216 298  3.736   83  3.458   83  3.402   87  3.325   92 0.4196   95 0.4260   83 15.955   83  3.576   92  3.074
Texas-El Paso      5  7 306 389  3.468   84  3.442   84  3.383   95  3.194   78 0.4584   68 0.4827   86 15.913   81  3.616  102  2.772
New Mexico St.     6  5 311 274  3.121   85  3.432   85  3.381   91  3.299   81 0.4536   73 0.4747   84 15.934   91  3.357   87  3.240
New Mexico         4  7 240 298  3.561   86  3.405   86  3.359   86  3.386   82 0.4535   77 0.4640   87 15.906   90  3.362   80  3.410
Navy               4  7 307 297  3.606   87  3.356   87  3.303   72  3.757   91 0.4218   97 0.4236   85 15.929   64  3.905   70  3.609
Southern Meth.     4  6 193 235  3.282   88  3.325   88  3.267   94  3.244   88 0.4281   93 0.4291   91 15.591  103  2.817   67  3.671
Washington St.     3  9 248 327  3.865   89  3.313   89  3.255   77  3.613   86 0.4355   90 0.4354   88 15.817   85  3.457   65  3.769
Temple             2  8 153 311  3.866   90  3.307   90  3.248   93  3.249   93 0.4167   91 0.4346   92 15.569   99  3.004   78  3.495
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Ohio U.            5  6 271 287  3.205   91  3.302   91  3.238   89  3.307   96 0.4130   76 0.4663   89 15.729   89  3.387   88  3.227
Tulane             3  8 279 399  3.676   92  3.294   92  3.231   96  3.178   97 0.4123  100 0.4127   90 15.617   63  3.962  108  2.394
Louisiana-Monroe   5  6 186 322  2.761   93  3.280   93  3.211  104  2.665   89 0.4264   88 0.4427   97 15.366  111  2.276   93  3.054
Cent. Florida      4  7 277 318  3.440   94  3.242   94  3.162   83  3.420   95 0.4134   96 0.4240   93 15.527   86  3.424   79  3.416
Utah St.           4  7 234 301  3.312   95  3.236   95  3.154   97  3.158   84 0.4429   84 0.4579   96 15.471   97  3.037   85  3.280
Bowling Green      5  6 296 312  3.099   96  3.227   96  3.142   92  3.270  102 0.3953   92 0.4319   94 15.500   75  3.704  100  2.837
Iowa               1 10 162 347  4.310   97  3.189   97  3.104   78  3.600   90 0.4228  101 0.4045   95 15.492   88  3.391   61  3.809
San Jose St.       3  7 258 402  3.182   98  3.179   99  3.089  105  2.662  103 0.3911  102 0.3991  100 15.210   95  3.252  111  2.073
N. Illinois        5  6 289 289  2.978   99  3.157  100  3.061   98  3.118  104 0.3884   94 0.4276   98 15.353   87  3.392   99  2.844
E. Michigan        4  7 239 338  3.216  100  3.153   98  3.089   99  2.948  101 0.3963   89 0.4365   99 15.306  100  2.999   98  2.896
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Arkansas St.       4  7 246 332  3.126  101  3.100  101  3.027  100  2.943   94 0.4163   99 0.4135  101 15.209   96  3.105  101  2.780
Nevada LV          3  8 160 324  3.237  102  3.074  102  2.997  106  2.659  100 0.4033  103 0.3972  102 15.087  109  2.378   95  2.941
Rutgers            1 10 155 427  3.857  103  3.041  103  2.959  102  2.799  105 0.3788  106 0.3633  104 15.048  102  2.942  103  2.657
Nevada             3  8 283 418  3.228  104  2.972  104  2.866  101  2.889   98 0.4055   98 0.4211  105 14.995   79  3.624  110  2.154
South Carolina     0 11  87 278  4.429  105  2.959  105  2.854   84  3.413   99 0.4034  104 0.3844  103 15.057  107  2.557   35  4.268
Cent. Michigan     4  7 229 344  2.796  106  2.945  106  2.828  108  2.615  107 0.3586  105 0.3785  106 14.841  106  2.666  106  2.565
Kent               2  9 213 376  3.129  107  2.734  107  2.602  107  2.649  112 0.3244  108 0.3582  107 14.584  104  2.815  107  2.483
Baylor             1 10 137 414  3.362  108  2.694  108  2.555  109  2.481  106 0.3712  107 0.3632  109 14.474  110  2.315  104  2.647
Tulsa              2  9 230 386  3.107  109  2.690  109  2.550  103  2.701  108 0.3565  109 0.3541  108 14.514   98  3.020  109  2.381
North Texas        2  9 118 291  2.926  110  2.664  110  2.520  111  2.302  111 0.3478  110 0.3428  110 14.384  113  1.690   96  2.913
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Louisiana-Lafay.   2  9 203 415  2.901  111  2.614  111  2.456  113  2.229  110 0.3516  111 0.3346  111 14.250  108  2.406  114  2.051
Middle Tenn.       3  8 272 379  2.548  112  2.522  112  2.342  110  2.426  109 0.3548  112 0.3277  112 14.150  105  2.791  113  2.062
Ball St.           0 11 157 361  3.042  113  2.112  113  1.909  112  2.292  113 0.2735  114 0.2922  113 13.585  112  1.993  105  2.591
Buffalo            0 11 130 426  2.626  114  1.752  114  1.676  114  1.761  114 0.2695  113 0.3185  114 13.109  114  1.458  112  2.064


Atlantic Coast Conf: strength=4.399 (#3)
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Florida St.       12  0 458 203  4.905    1  6.122    1  6.056    1  5.740    1 0.7175    1 0.7316    1 20.477    1  5.879    4  5.602
Georgia Tech       8  4 461 361  4.438   19  4.969   22  4.700   24  4.610   17 0.5828   24 0.5798   20 18.395    2  5.632   73  3.589
Virginia           7  5 345 365  4.380   28  4.768   28  4.562   50  4.083   30 0.5628   35 0.5600   29 17.920   30  4.614   75  3.552
Clemson            6  6 322 253  4.590   31  4.609   31  4.381   23  4.691   35 0.5506   37 0.5511   28 17.933   22  4.814   24  4.568
Wake Forest        7  5 266 209  4.178   37  4.484   38  4.275   28  4.490   36 0.5413   46 0.5228   38 17.641   58  3.995   16  4.985
N. Carolina St.    6  6 244 302  4.188   41  4.394   41  4.229   65  3.892   42 0.5244   59 0.5022   46 17.329   72  3.742   50  4.043
Maryland           5  6 292 260  4.156   59  3.972   59  3.916   44  4.195   65 0.4896   75 0.4706   56 17.004   48  4.185   39  4.204
Duke               3  8 217 363  4.194   72  3.715   72  3.697   81  3.501   74 0.4675   87 0.4462   77 16.392   71  3.752   86  3.249
North Carolina     3  8 186 272  4.178   78  3.635   78  3.607   70  3.778   77 0.4592   85 0.4572   76 16.397   92  3.356   40  4.200

Big 10 Conf: strength=4.833 (#1)
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Michigan St.      10  2 378 245  4.895    3  5.684    4  5.519    9  5.255    4 0.6705    5 0.6701    4 19.683    6  5.362   11  5.148
Michigan          10  2 361 247  4.888    4  5.675    3  5.532   11  5.182    2 0.6787    4 0.6816    5 19.645    9  5.289   14  5.074
Penn St.          10  3 417 234  4.817    9  5.471    9  5.265    5  5.383    7 0.6432    8 0.6477    7 19.370    7  5.347    7  5.420
Wisconsin         10  2 409 154  4.639   10  5.412   10  5.197    6  5.364   12 0.6188   13 0.6125    9 19.274   19  5.022    2  5.707
Illinois           8  4 388 275  4.576   16  5.068   16  4.809   15  4.889   14 0.5977   21 0.5881   16 18.602   14  5.143   23  4.635
Purdue             7  5 384 305  4.673   18  4.988   18  4.722   22  4.705   22 0.5765   25 0.5769   19 18.435   12  5.160   36  4.250
Minnesota          8  4 368 196  4.523   21  4.928   21  4.701   14  4.920   18 0.5799   27 0.5699   18 18.523   24  4.748   13  5.091
Ohio St.           6  6 285 287  4.751   27  4.829   27  4.628   27  4.532   32 0.5601   36 0.5566   27 18.220   34  4.516   25  4.548
Indiana            4  7 291 386  4.269   55  4.042   55  3.947   59  3.946   66 0.4859   82 0.4595   60 16.912   27  4.689   89  3.203
Northwestern       3  8 141 301  4.244   70  3.747   69  3.734   82  3.495   70 0.4757   79 0.4627   74 16.504  101  2.958   53  4.032
Iowa               1 10 162 347  4.310   97  3.189   97  3.104   78  3.600   90 0.4228  101 0.4045   95 15.492   88  3.391   61  3.809

Big 12 Conf: strength=4.315 (#4)
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Nebraska          12  1 442 171  4.801    2  5.820    2  5.672    2  5.682    3 0.6755    2 0.6896    2 20.026    4  5.522    1  5.843
Kansas St.        11  1 457 164  4.421    6  5.519    6  5.323    7  5.295    9 0.6356    9 0.6439    6 19.481   15  5.132    6  5.458
Texas              9  5 450 295  4.556   17  5.031   17  4.770   18  4.725   21 0.5777   20 0.5894   17 18.555   21  4.972   28  4.478
Texas A&M          8  4 318 232  4.324   26  4.838   26  4.637   33  4.399   23 0.5747   22 0.5880   26 18.236   50  4.145   22  4.654
Oklahoma           7  5 430 229  4.306   38  4.471   39  4.262   13  4.979   45 0.5212   49 0.5199   34 17.778   17  5.081   17  4.876
Colorado           7  5 405 311  4.201   39  4.448   37  4.289   26  4.589   37 0.5397   38 0.5510   37 17.690   16  5.108   47  4.071
Oklahoma St.       5  6 267 274  4.081   56  4.031   56  3.933   58  3.948   58 0.4986   58 0.5051   58 16.952   62  3.967   55  3.929
Missouri           4  7 224 371  4.158   60  3.953   61  3.896   85  3.405   68 0.4844   61 0.4960   65 16.776   80  3.621   90  3.189
Texas Tech         6  5 253 282  3.686   61  3.947   60  3.900   75  3.693   63 0.4916   71 0.4811   64 16.810   70  3.768   69  3.618
Kansas             5  7 294 354  3.880   71  3.737   70  3.720   71  3.776   71 0.4738   78 0.4639   71 16.554   61  3.986   74  3.566
Iowa St.           4  7 247 272  4.051   80  3.626   80  3.596   62  3.927   79 0.4583   86 0.4463   75 16.486   68  3.813   52  4.041
Baylor             1 10 137 414  3.362  108  2.694  108  2.555  109  2.481  106 0.3712  107 0.3632  109 14.474  110  2.315  104  2.647

Big East Conf: strength=4.087 (#5)
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Virginia Tech     11  1 484 162  4.688    5  5.646    5  5.493    3  5.590    6 0.6509    6 0.6660    3 19.787    3  5.566    3  5.615
Miami              8  4 377 220  4.774   14  5.138   14  4.888   10  5.195   13 0.5991   14 0.6125   14 18.824   18  5.036    8  5.355
Boston College     8  4 297 308  3.842   34  4.564   34  4.360   64  3.901   44 0.5225   45 0.5238   40 17.529   56  4.007   63  3.794
Syracuse           7  5 300 256  4.054   47  4.257   47  4.121   47  4.107   47 0.5206   42 0.5303   47 17.302   66  3.888   33  4.327
Pittsburgh         5  6 281 278  4.033   62  3.933   62  3.884   60  3.941   69 0.4782   70 0.4812   62 16.892   54  4.049   59  3.833
West Virginia      4  7 292 289  4.071   74  3.700   74  3.679   48  4.098   80 0.4550   81 0.4604   69 16.660   38  4.389   62  3.808
Temple             2  8 153 311  3.866   90  3.307   90  3.248   93  3.249   93 0.4167   91 0.4346   92 15.569   99  3.004   78  3.495
Rutgers            1 10 155 427  3.857  103  3.041  103  2.959  102  2.799  105 0.3788  106 0.3633  104 15.048  102  2.942  103  2.657

Big West: strength=2.972 (#12)
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Boise St.         10  3 430 277  3.288   54  4.073   54  3.978   54  4.012   38 0.5394   29 0.5679   55 17.006   49  4.180   58  3.844
Idaho              7  4 304 283  3.155   75  3.675   75  3.648   90  3.301   59 0.4957   67 0.4878   78 16.333   84  3.523   91  3.079
New Mexico St.     6  5 311 274  3.121   85  3.432   85  3.381   91  3.299   81 0.4536   73 0.4747   84 15.934   91  3.357   87  3.240
Utah St.           4  7 234 301  3.312   95  3.236   95  3.154   97  3.158   84 0.4429   84 0.4579   96 15.471   97  3.037   85  3.280
Arkansas St.       4  7 246 332  3.126  101  3.100  101  3.027  100  2.943   94 0.4163   99 0.4135  101 15.209   96  3.105  101  2.780
Nevada             3  8 283 418  3.228  104  2.972  104  2.866  101  2.889   98 0.4055   98 0.4211  105 14.995   79  3.624  110  2.154
North Texas        2  9 118 291  2.926  110  2.664  110  2.520  111  2.302  111 0.3478  110 0.3428  110 14.384  113  1.690   96  2.913

Conference USA: strength=4.069 (#7)
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Southern Miss.     9  3 333 189  4.334   15  5.098   15  4.842   20  4.708   19 0.5792   15 0.6080   15 18.633   43  4.276   12  5.140
East Carolina      9  3 333 225  4.096   25  4.841   25  4.638   29  4.488   29 0.5683   31 0.5659   25 18.271   35  4.455   27  4.520
Louisville         7  5 443 365  4.099   43  4.363   45  4.193   40  4.271   52 0.5142   41 0.5310   42 17.459   11  5.211   84  3.330
Houston            7  4 254 211  3.889   44  4.348   43  4.215   52  4.054   43 0.5232   51 0.5180   44 17.380   78  3.654   29  4.453
Memphis            5  6 232 182  4.157   57  4.021   58  3.920   39  4.272   62 0.4922   63 0.4942   54 17.033   73  3.724   19  4.819
Ala.-Birmingham    5  6 248 279  4.025   58  3.985   57  3.930   66  3.849   61 0.4939   55 0.5076   59 16.917   69  3.800   56  3.897
Cincinnati         3  8 275 289  4.104   81  3.561   81  3.522   56  3.958   87 0.4305   80 0.4613   80 16.313   45  4.246   68  3.671
Army               3  7 216 298  3.736   83  3.458   83  3.402   87  3.325   92 0.4196   95 0.4260   83 15.955   83  3.576   92  3.074
Tulane             3  8 279 399  3.676   92  3.294   92  3.231   96  3.178   97 0.4123  100 0.4127   90 15.617   63  3.962  108  2.394

Mid-American Conf: strength=2.989 (#11)
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Marshall          13  0 463 137  3.736    8  5.487    8  5.282   16  4.816   16 0.5851    7 0.6594   10 19.272   42  4.279   10  5.352
Miami, Ohio        7  4 335 264  3.316   69  3.772   71  3.717   73  3.699   76 0.4598   62 0.4955   70 16.623   60  3.990   81  3.408
W. Michigan        7  5 373 342  3.383   73  3.706   73  3.683   76  3.675   72 0.4735   56 0.5068   72 16.534   41  4.305   94  3.045
Akron              7  4 315 314  3.097   76  3.663   76  3.635   88  3.309   83 0.4534   69 0.4813   79 16.314   74  3.716   97  2.903
Toledo             6  5 293 229  3.339   82  3.525   82  3.477   69  3.780   85 0.4424   72 0.4765   82 16.216   77  3.679   57  3.882
Ohio U.            5  6 271 287  3.205   91  3.302   91  3.238   89  3.307   96 0.4130   76 0.4663   89 15.729   89  3.387   88  3.227
Bowling Green      5  6 296 312  3.099   96  3.227   96  3.142   92  3.270  102 0.3953   92 0.4319   94 15.500   75  3.704  100  2.837
N. Illinois        5  6 289 289  2.978   99  3.157  100  3.061   98  3.118  104 0.3884   94 0.4276   98 15.353   87  3.392   99  2.844
E. Michigan        4  7 239 338  3.216  100  3.153   98  3.089   99  2.948  101 0.3963   89 0.4365   99 15.306  100  2.999   98  2.896
Cent. Michigan     4  7 229 344  2.796  106  2.945  106  2.828  108  2.615  107 0.3586  105 0.3785  106 14.841  106  2.666  106  2.565
Kent               2  9 213 376  3.129  107  2.734  107  2.602  107  2.649  112 0.3244  108 0.3582  107 14.584  104  2.815  107  2.483
Ball St.           0 11 157 361  3.042  113  2.112  113  1.909  112  2.292  113 0.2735  114 0.2922  113 13.585  112  1.993  105  2.591
Buffalo            0 11 130 426  2.626  114  1.752  114  1.676  114  1.761  114 0.2695  113 0.3185  114 13.109  114  1.458  112  2.064

Mountain West Conf: strength=3.908 (#8)
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Utah               9  3 380 210  3.827   32  4.604   33  4.374   30  4.483   25 0.5728   16 0.6022   31 17.825   33  4.527   30  4.438
Brigham Young      8  4 335 251  4.039   33  4.583   32  4.379   38  4.285   28 0.5690   18 0.5941   33 17.786   36  4.427   43  4.144
Colorado St.       8  4 345 269  3.954   36  4.550   36  4.346   43  4.214   33 0.5574   23 0.5861   36 17.709   39  4.381   49  4.047
Wyoming            7  4 302 270  3.703   48  4.219   48  4.080   68  3.807   40 0.5351   28 0.5691   49 17.121   52  4.081   76  3.534
Air Force          6  5 264 218  3.788   63  3.932   63  3.883   57  3.953   56 0.5069   53 0.5089   61 16.909   76  3.696   38  4.209
San Diego St.      5  6 272 226  3.944   67  3.814   67  3.769   46  4.156   60 0.4944   64 0.4925   66 16.776   59  3.994   34  4.319
New Mexico         4  7 240 298  3.561   86  3.405   86  3.359   86  3.386   82 0.4535   77 0.4640   87 15.906   90  3.362   80  3.410
Nevada LV          3  8 160 324  3.237  102  3.074  102  2.997  106  2.659  100 0.4033  103 0.3972  102 15.087  109  2.378   95  2.941

Pacific 10 Conf: strength=4.085 (#6)
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Oregon             9  3 410 284  4.185   22  4.906   20  4.704   25  4.606   15 0.5977   17 0.5951   21 18.386   20  5.013   41  4.200
Stanford           8  4 418 364  4.192   30  4.679   30  4.453   31  4.421   27 0.5694   34 0.5636   30 17.852   10  5.236   71  3.606
Washington         7  5 331 302  4.232   35  4.562   35  4.358   36  4.311   31 0.5607   32 0.5643   35 17.733   31  4.560   48  4.063
Oregon St.         7  5 347 277  3.993   46  4.274   46  4.139   42  4.214   41 0.5333   44 0.5244   45 17.339   44  4.267   42  4.162
Southern Cal       6  6 348 278  4.087   50  4.172   51  4.028   41  4.263   49 0.5189   52 0.5173   48 17.196   37  4.397   45  4.130
Arizona            6  6 339 364  4.005   52  4.101   52  4.023   61  3.932   50 0.5156   50 0.5186   51 17.075   40  4.335   77  3.530
Arizona St.        6  6 285 311  4.013   53  4.097   53  4.006   63  3.910   51 0.5151   57 0.5063   53 17.040   57  4.001   60  3.818
UCLA               4  7 230 311  4.120   66  3.875   65  3.836   79  3.584   64 0.4912   66 0.4897   67 16.732   82  3.577   72  3.592
California         4  7 180 254  4.083   68  3.810   68  3.766   67  3.836   67 0.4858   74 0.4733   68 16.716   94  3.320   31  4.352
Washington St.     3  9 248 327  3.865   89  3.313   89  3.255   77  3.613   86 0.4355   90 0.4354   88 15.817   85  3.457   65  3.769

Southeastern Conf: strength=4.604 (#2)
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Alabama           10  3 378 265  4.857    7  5.503    7  5.307    8  5.256    5 0.6664    3 0.6889    8 19.357    5  5.471   15  5.041
Tennessee          9  3 369 194  4.811   11  5.383   11  5.164    4  5.401    8 0.6361   10 0.6362   11 19.241    8  5.329    5  5.473
Mississippi St.   10  2 255 156  4.390   12  5.378   12  5.158   21  4.708   10 0.6230   12 0.6179   12 19.045   53  4.064    9  5.352
Florida            9  4 403 272  4.769   13  5.278   13  5.048   12  4.989   11 0.6223   11 0.6241   13 19.003   13  5.153   18  4.824
Georgia            8  4 336 310  4.348   20  4.936   19  4.708   32  4.412   20 0.5788   30 0.5678   24 18.288   26  4.732   46  4.092
Mississippi        8  4 323 228  4.396   23  4.873   23  4.670   19  4.721   26 0.5719   33 0.5638   23 18.355   25  4.737   21  4.704
Arkansas           8  4 353 214  4.428   24  4.860   24  4.660   17  4.796   24 0.5733   26 0.5749   22 18.377   23  4.801   20  4.792
Kentucky           6  6 328 343  4.273   40  4.397   40  4.233   45  4.170   48 0.5204   54 0.5079   43 17.398   32  4.546   64  3.793
Auburn             5  6 233 236  4.440   42  4.392   42  4.228   35  4.315   39 0.5375   40 0.5354   41 17.471   51  4.088   26  4.542
Vanderbilt         5  6 252 256  4.175   49  4.193   50  4.051   55  3.995   57 0.5057   60 0.5003   50 17.110   67  3.853   44  4.137
Louisiana St.      3  8 223 259  4.248   77  3.648   77  3.622   51  4.070   75 0.4655   83 0.4584   73 16.504   65  3.891   37  4.250
South Carolina     0 11  87 278  4.429  105  2.959  105  2.854   84  3.413   99 0.4034  104 0.3844  103 15.057  107  2.557   35  4.268

Western Athletic Conf: strength=3.276 (#9)
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Hawaii             9  4 371 349  3.454   51  4.131   49  4.054   74  3.696   53 0.5122   39 0.5404   52 17.042   55  4.044   83  3.348
Texas Christian    8  4 362 213  3.472   64  3.928   64  3.877   37  4.294   54 0.5099   43 0.5246   57 16.975   46  4.240   32  4.347
Fresno St.         8  5 413 282  3.559   65  3.880   66  3.821   49  4.086   55 0.5083   47 0.5219   63 16.842   47  4.214   54  3.958
Rice               5  6 237 261  3.618   79  3.629   79  3.599   80  3.518   73 0.4726   65 0.4922   81 16.303   93  3.325   66  3.711
Texas-El Paso      5  7 306 389  3.468   84  3.442   84  3.383   95  3.194   78 0.4584   68 0.4827   86 15.913   81  3.616  102  2.772
Southern Meth.     4  6 193 235  3.282   88  3.325   88  3.267   94  3.244   88 0.4281   93 0.4291   91 15.591  103  2.817   67  3.671
San Jose St.       3  7 258 402  3.182   98  3.179   99  3.089  105  2.662  103 0.3911  102 0.3991  100 15.210   95  3.252  111  2.073
Tulsa              2  9 230 386  3.107  109  2.690  109  2.550  103  2.701  108 0.3565  109 0.3541  108 14.514   98  3.020  109  2.381

Division I-A Independents: strength=3.116 (#10)
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Louisiana Tech     8  3 389 306  3.763   29  4.719   29  4.502   53  4.016   34 0.5564   19 0.5933   32 17.816   29  4.649   82  3.382
Notre Dame         5  7 348 331  4.544   45  4.335   44  4.203   34  4.363   46 0.5207   48 0.5202   39 17.570   28  4.684   51  4.042
Navy               4  7 307 297  3.606   87  3.356   87  3.303   72  3.757   91 0.4218   97 0.4236   85 15.929   64  3.905   70  3.609
Louisiana-Monroe   5  6 186 322  2.761   93  3.280   93  3.211  104  2.665   89 0.4264   88 0.4427   97 15.366  111  2.276   93  3.054
Cent. Florida      4  7 277 318  3.440   94  3.242   94  3.162   83  3.420   95 0.4134   96 0.4240   93 15.527   86  3.424   79  3.416
Louisiana-Lafay.   2  9 203 415  2.901  111  2.614  111  2.456  113  2.229  110 0.3516  111 0.3346  111 14.250  108  2.406  114  2.051
Middle Tenn.       3  8 272 379  2.548  112  2.522  112  2.342  110  2.426  109 0.3548  112 0.3277  112 14.150  105  2.791  113  2.062

Conference Strengths
CONFERENCE                                     W  L   PCT  RNK RATING
Big 10 Conf                                   77 53 0.592    1  4.833
Southeastern Conf                             81 61 0.570    2  4.604
Atlantic Coast Conf                           57 48 0.543    3  4.399
Big 12 Conf                                   79 63 0.556    4  4.315
Big East Conf                                 46 45 0.505    5  4.087
Pacific 10 Conf                               60 58 0.508    6  4.085
Conference USA                                51 50 0.505    7  4.069
Mountain West Conf                            50 41 0.549    8  3.908
Western Athletic Conf                         44 48 0.478    9  3.276
Division I-A Independents                     31 47 0.397   10  3.116
Mid-American Conf                             65 81 0.445   11  2.989
Big West                                      36 43 0.456   12  2.972

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.191 points in main ratings
     0.026 points in improved RPI
Average of 6.20 points per score

Predict score:






Team Strength vs. Time Plot:





posted: Mon Dec 23 16:37:12 2019

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