Dolphin Ratings - Women's National Basketball Association

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                     STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM     W L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
STORM    8 1 772 669  0.054  4.014    1  0.579    1  0.588    1  0.568    1 0.5787   11  3.587    4  0.311    1  0.825 P
LYNX     6 2 632 600  0.146  4.104    2  0.423    2  0.426    3  0.322    2 0.5561   12  3.533    9 -0.161    2  0.806 P
SKY      6 3 781 761  0.234  5.080    3  0.351    3  0.365    5  0.221    3 0.5508    2  3.721    1  0.552    7 -0.110 P
ACES     6 2 705 644 -0.109  3.287    4  0.274    4  0.277    4  0.245    5 0.5366    6  3.665    3  0.325    5  0.166 P
SPARKS   5 3 691 649  0.182  4.208    5  0.246    5  0.258    2  0.346    4 0.5405    5  3.669    2  0.446    4  0.246 P
MERCURY  5 4 781 769 -0.008  4.278    6  0.077    6  0.079    6  0.056    6 0.5138    4  3.700    5  0.292    9 -0.180 P
MYSTICS  3 5 645 640  0.066  4.029    7 -0.091    7 -0.132    7  0.050    7 0.4800    9  3.601    8 -0.146    3  0.247 P
FEVER    3 5 673 709 -0.030  3.989    8 -0.177    8 -0.185    9 -0.256    9 0.4652    1  3.729    6  0.112   11 -0.625 P
SUN      3 6 724 733  0.084  4.660    9 -0.195    9 -0.210    8  0.028    8 0.4696    7  3.640    7 -0.002    6  0.057 P
WINGS    3 6 711 746 -0.296  3.597   10 -0.416   10 -0.408   10 -0.388   10 0.4369   10  3.587   11 -0.642    8 -0.133 P
TEAM     W L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DREAM    2 7 722 818 -0.200  4.250   11 -0.510   11 -0.492   12 -0.634   11 0.4272    3  3.714   10 -0.332   12 -0.937 P
LIBERTY  1 7 590 689 -0.064  4.242   12 -0.561   12 -0.537   11 -0.596   12 0.4200    8  3.603   12 -0.783   10 -0.410 P

WESTERN CONFERENCE
                                     STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM     W L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
STORM    8 1 772 669  0.054  4.014    1  0.579    1  0.588    1  0.568    1 0.5787   11  3.587    4  0.311    1  0.825 P
LYNX     6 2 632 600  0.146  4.104    2  0.423    2  0.426    3  0.322    2 0.5561   12  3.533    9 -0.161    2  0.806 P
ACES     6 2 705 644 -0.109  3.287    4  0.274    4  0.277    4  0.245    5 0.5366    6  3.665    3  0.325    5  0.166 P
SPARKS   5 3 691 649  0.182  4.208    5  0.246    5  0.258    2  0.346    4 0.5405    5  3.669    2  0.446    4  0.246 P
MERCURY  5 4 781 769 -0.008  4.278    6  0.077    6  0.079    6  0.056    6 0.5138    4  3.700    5  0.292    9 -0.180 P
WINGS    3 6 711 746 -0.296  3.597   10 -0.416   10 -0.408   10 -0.388   10 0.4369   10  3.587   11 -0.642    8 -0.133 P

EASTERN CONFERENCE
                                     STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM     W L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
SKY      6 3 781 761  0.234  5.080    3  0.351    3  0.365    5  0.221    3 0.5508    2  3.721    1  0.552    7 -0.110 P
MYSTICS  3 5 645 640  0.066  4.029    7 -0.091    7 -0.132    7  0.050    7 0.4800    9  3.601    8 -0.146    3  0.247 P
FEVER    3 5 673 709 -0.030  3.989    8 -0.177    8 -0.185    9 -0.256    9 0.4652    1  3.729    6  0.112   11 -0.625 P
SUN      3 6 724 733  0.084  4.660    9 -0.195    9 -0.210    8  0.028    8 0.4696    7  3.640    7 -0.002    6  0.057 P
DREAM    2 7 722 818 -0.200  4.250   11 -0.510   11 -0.492   12 -0.634   11 0.4272    3  3.714   10 -0.332   12 -0.937 P
LIBERTY  1 7 590 689 -0.064  4.242   12 -0.561   12 -0.537   11 -0.596   12 0.4200    8  3.603   12 -0.783   10 -0.410 P

DIVISION            W  L   PCT  RNK RATING
WESTERN CONFERENCE 33 18 0.647    1  0.297
EASTERN CONFERENCE 18 33 0.353    2 -0.280

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.333 points in main ratings (0.226 for semineutral)
     0.033 points in improved RPI (0.023 for semineutral)
Average of 2.15 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Thu Aug 13 05:30:08 2020
games through: Wed Aug 12 2020

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