Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.
In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PITTSBURGH    15  4  0 432 284  0.238 10.460    1  0.674    1  0.675    2  0.521    1 0.6197   28  0.985   12  0.214    1  0.828
TENNESSEE     13  4  0 385 247  0.117  8.594    2  0.537    2  0.519    5  0.305    3 0.5863   30  0.929   19 -0.065    3  0.675
BALTIMORE     13  6  0 439 286  0.254 10.378    3  0.505    3  0.472    1  0.540    2 0.5944   26  1.096    8  0.365    2  0.715
INDIANAPOLIS  12  5  0 394 321  0.188  9.198    4  0.490    4  0.458    4  0.365    5 0.5756   20  1.182    9  0.298    4  0.432
N.Y. GIANTS   12  5  0 438 317  0.143  8.768    5  0.466    5  0.432    6  0.294    4 0.5802   10  1.325    6  0.416    9  0.173
CAROLINA      12  5  0 427 362  0.049  8.466    6  0.411    6  0.385   11  0.132    6 0.5551   16  1.239   14  0.138   12  0.126
PHILADELPHIA  11  7  1 490 346  0.174 10.029    7  0.293    8  0.257    3  0.447    7 0.5550   14  1.257    4  0.477    5  0.417
ATLANTA       11  6  0 415 355  0.021  8.349    8  0.275    7  0.258   12  0.120   11 0.5304   18  1.202   17  0.078   10  0.162
MINNESOTA     10  7  0 393 359  0.144  9.216    9  0.251    9  0.238   10  0.160   13 0.5256   17  1.211   15  0.130    7  0.191
NEW ENGLAND   11  5  0 410 309 -0.132  6.774   10  0.237   10  0.218    7  0.240    8 0.5470   13  1.272   10  0.289    8  0.190
TEAM           W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ARIZONA       12  8  0 545 515 -0.004  9.726   11  0.193   11  0.181   13  0.085   10 0.5345    1  1.631    2  0.657   29 -0.487
MIAMI         11  6  0 354 344 -0.140  7.502   12  0.177   12  0.173   19 -0.062    9 0.5347   25  1.102   23 -0.230   14  0.105
CHICAGO        9  7  0 375 350  0.066  8.210   13  0.150   13  0.146   15  0.034   15 0.5058   12  1.276   16  0.089   15 -0.021
DALLAS         9  7  0 362 365  0.082  8.362   14  0.145   14  0.140   16  0.020   12 0.5293    8  1.382   11  0.220   21 -0.181
TAMPA BAY      9  7  0 361 323 -0.024  7.636   15  0.080   15  0.067   18 -0.004   19 0.5014   23  1.143   20 -0.120   13  0.113
HOUSTON        8  8  0 366 394  0.074  8.437   16  0.057   16  0.045   17  0.013   14 0.5087    4  1.490    7  0.369   25 -0.344
WASHINGTON     8  8  0 265 296  0.011  8.192   17  0.022   17  0.003   21 -0.114   17 0.5037   32  0.851   28 -0.568    6  0.341
SAN DIEGO      9  9  0 486 399  0.010  8.673   18 -0.001   18 -0.022    8  0.199   16 0.5038    6  1.453    3  0.502   18 -0.104
N.Y. JETS      9  7  0 405 356 -0.214  6.579   19 -0.024   19 -0.034   20 -0.099   18 0.5015    7  1.431   13  0.172   27 -0.371
NEW ORLEANS    8  8  0 463 393 -0.030  7.549   20 -0.032   20 -0.040    9  0.164   20 0.4841    2  1.600    1  0.688   26 -0.361
TEAM           W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DENVER         8  8  0 370 448 -0.200  7.064   21 -0.121   21 -0.118   28 -0.354   21 0.4771    3  1.531   18  0.065   32 -0.772
GREEN BAY      6 10  0 419 380  0.057  8.132   22 -0.200   22 -0.200   14  0.085   27 0.4505    5  1.474    5  0.419   24 -0.249
SAN FRANCISCO  7  9  0 339 381 -0.199  7.021   23 -0.225   23 -0.232   23 -0.182   22 0.4590   15  1.252   21 -0.159   22 -0.205
BUFFALO        7  9  0 336 342 -0.268  6.465   24 -0.273   24 -0.277   26 -0.287   24 0.4565   21  1.171   25 -0.368   23 -0.206
JACKSONVILLE   5 11  0 302 367  0.049  8.515   25 -0.289   26 -0.288   22 -0.182   26 0.4512   19  1.198   22 -0.229   19 -0.134
CINCINNATI     4 11  1 204 364  0.086  9.158   26 -0.293   25 -0.284   25 -0.284   23 0.4580   31  0.878   31 -0.710   11  0.142
CLEVELAND      4 12  0 232 350  0.087  9.042   27 -0.356   27 -0.368   29 -0.371   25 0.4520   29  0.970   30 -0.695   16 -0.047
OAKLAND        5 11  0 263 388 -0.124  7.699   28 -0.369   28 -0.384   27 -0.333   28 0.4326   27  1.012   29 -0.608   17 -0.058
SEATTLE        4 12  0 294 392 -0.145  7.511   29 -0.490   29 -0.522   24 -0.280   29 0.4104   22  1.149   27 -0.390   20 -0.171
ST. LOUIS      2 14  0 232 465 -0.149  7.821   30 -0.707   30 -0.723   32 -0.611   30 0.3780   24  1.126   32 -0.749   28 -0.473
TEAM           W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
KANSAS CITY    2 14  0 291 440 -0.158  7.553   31 -0.737   31 -0.760   30 -0.434   31 0.3737   11  1.289   24 -0.361   30 -0.507
DETROIT        0 16  0 268 517  0.061  8.922   32 -0.848   32 -0.892   31 -0.537   32 0.3405    9  1.358   26 -0.370   31 -0.704

AFC WEST
STANDARD MED LIKELY PREDICTIVE IMPRVD RPI SCORING OFFENSE DEFENSE TEAM W L T PF PA SCHED ELOSS RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING SAN DIEGO 9 9 0 486 399 0.010 8.673 18 -0.001 18 -0.022 8 0.199 16 0.5038 6 1.453 3 0.502 18 -0.104 DENVER 8 8 0 370 448 -0.200 7.064 21 -0.121 21 -0.118 28 -0.354 21 0.4771 3 1.531 18 0.065 32 -0.772 OAKLAND 5 11 0 263 388 -0.124 7.699 28 -0.369 28 -0.384 27 -0.333 28 0.4326 27 1.012 29 -0.608 17 -0.058 KANSAS CITY 2 14 0 291 440 -0.158 7.553 31 -0.737 31 -0.760 30 -0.434 31 0.3737 11 1.289 24 -0.361 30 -0.507

AFC SOUTH
STANDARD MED LIKELY PREDICTIVE IMPRVD RPI SCORING OFFENSE DEFENSE TEAM W L T PF PA SCHED ELOSS RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING TENNESSEE 13 4 0 385 247 0.117 8.594 2 0.537 2 0.519 5 0.305 3 0.5863 30 0.929 19 -0.065 3 0.675 INDIANAPOLIS 12 5 0 394 321 0.188 9.198 4 0.490 4 0.458 4 0.365 5 0.5756 20 1.182 9 0.298 4 0.432 HOUSTON 8 8 0 366 394 0.074 8.437 16 0.057 16 0.045 17 0.013 14 0.5087 4 1.490 7 0.369 25 -0.344 JACKSONVILLE 5 11 0 302 367 0.049 8.515 25 -0.289 26 -0.288 22 -0.182 26 0.4512 19 1.198 22 -0.229 19 -0.134

AFC NORTH
STANDARD MED LIKELY PREDICTIVE IMPRVD RPI SCORING OFFENSE DEFENSE TEAM W L T PF PA SCHED ELOSS RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING PITTSBURGH 15 4 0 432 284 0.238 10.460 1 0.674 1 0.675 2 0.521 1 0.6197 28 0.985 12 0.214 1 0.828 BALTIMORE 13 6 0 439 286 0.254 10.378 3 0.505 3 0.472 1 0.540 2 0.5944 26 1.096 8 0.365 2 0.715 CINCINNATI 4 11 1 204 364 0.086 9.158 26 -0.293 25 -0.284 25 -0.284 23 0.4580 31 0.878 31 -0.710 11 0.142 CLEVELAND 4 12 0 232 350 0.087 9.042 27 -0.356 27 -0.368 29 -0.371 25 0.4520 29 0.970 30 -0.695 16 -0.047

AFC EAST
STANDARD MED LIKELY PREDICTIVE IMPRVD RPI SCORING OFFENSE DEFENSE TEAM W L T PF PA SCHED ELOSS RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING NEW ENGLAND 11 5 0 410 309 -0.132 6.774 10 0.237 10 0.218 7 0.240 8 0.5470 13 1.272 10 0.289 8 0.190 MIAMI 11 6 0 354 344 -0.140 7.502 12 0.177 12 0.173 19 -0.062 9 0.5347 25 1.102 23 -0.230 14 0.105 N.Y. JETS 9 7 0 405 356 -0.214 6.579 19 -0.024 19 -0.034 20 -0.099 18 0.5015 7 1.431 13 0.172 27 -0.371 BUFFALO 7 9 0 336 342 -0.268 6.465 24 -0.273 24 -0.277 26 -0.287 24 0.4565 21 1.171 25 -0.368 23 -0.206

NFC WEST
STANDARD MED LIKELY PREDICTIVE IMPRVD RPI SCORING OFFENSE DEFENSE TEAM W L T PF PA SCHED ELOSS RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING ARIZONA 12 8 0 545 515 -0.004 9.726 11 0.193 11 0.181 13 0.085 10 0.5345 1 1.631 2 0.657 29 -0.487 SAN FRANCISCO 7 9 0 339 381 -0.199 7.021 23 -0.225 23 -0.232 23 -0.182 22 0.4590 15 1.252 21 -0.159 22 -0.205 SEATTLE 4 12 0 294 392 -0.145 7.511 29 -0.490 29 -0.522 24 -0.280 29 0.4104 22 1.149 27 -0.390 20 -0.171 ST. LOUIS 2 14 0 232 465 -0.149 7.821 30 -0.707 30 -0.723 32 -0.611 30 0.3780 24 1.126 32 -0.749 28 -0.473

NFC SOUTH
STANDARD MED LIKELY PREDICTIVE IMPRVD RPI SCORING OFFENSE DEFENSE TEAM W L T PF PA SCHED ELOSS RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING CAROLINA 12 5 0 427 362 0.049 8.466 6 0.411 6 0.385 11 0.132 6 0.5551 16 1.239 14 0.138 12 0.126 ATLANTA 11 6 0 415 355 0.021 8.349 8 0.275 7 0.258 12 0.120 11 0.5304 18 1.202 17 0.078 10 0.162 TAMPA BAY 9 7 0 361 323 -0.024 7.636 15 0.080 15 0.067 18 -0.004 19 0.5014 23 1.143 20 -0.120 13 0.113 NEW ORLEANS 8 8 0 463 393 -0.030 7.549 20 -0.032 20 -0.040 9 0.164 20 0.4841 2 1.600 1 0.688 26 -0.361

NFC NORTH
STANDARD MED LIKELY PREDICTIVE IMPRVD RPI SCORING OFFENSE DEFENSE TEAM W L T PF PA SCHED ELOSS RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING MINNESOTA 10 7 0 393 359 0.144 9.216 9 0.251 9 0.238 10 0.160 13 0.5256 17 1.211 15 0.130 7 0.191 CHICAGO 9 7 0 375 350 0.066 8.210 13 0.150 13 0.146 15 0.034 15 0.5058 12 1.276 16 0.089 15 -0.021 GREEN BAY 6 10 0 419 380 0.057 8.132 22 -0.200 22 -0.200 14 0.085 27 0.4505 5 1.474 5 0.419 24 -0.249 DETROIT 0 16 0 268 517 0.061 8.922 32 -0.848 32 -0.892 31 -0.537 32 0.3405 9 1.358 26 -0.370 31 -0.704

NFC EAST
STANDARD MED LIKELY PREDICTIVE IMPRVD RPI SCORING OFFENSE DEFENSE TEAM W L T PF PA SCHED ELOSS RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING N.Y. GIANTS 12 5 0 438 317 0.143 8.768 5 0.466 5 0.432 6 0.294 4 0.5802 10 1.325 6 0.416 9 0.173 PHILADELPHIA 11 7 1 490 346 0.174 10.029 7 0.293 8 0.257 3 0.447 7 0.5550 14 1.257 4 0.477 5 0.417 DALLAS 9 7 0 362 365 0.082 8.362 14 0.145 14 0.140 16 0.020 12 0.5293 8 1.382 11 0.220 21 -0.181 WASHINGTON 8 8 0 265 296 0.011 8.192 17 0.022 17 0.003 21 -0.114 17 0.5037 32 0.851 28 -0.568 6 0.341


DIVISION    W  L  T   PCT  RNK RATING
NFC EAST   40 27  1 0.596    1  0.295
AFC SOUTH  38 28  0 0.576    2  0.225
NFC SOUTH  40 26  0 0.606    3  0.225
AFC NORTH  36 33  1 0.521    4  0.128
NFC NORTH  25 40  0 0.385    5 -0.045
AFC EAST   38 27  0 0.585    6 -0.062
AFC WEST   24 42  0 0.364    7 -0.433
NFC WEST   25 43  0 0.368    8 -0.471

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.176 points in main ratings (0.109 for semineutral)
     0.023 points in improved RPI (0.015 for semineutral)
Average of 6.20 points per score
Predict score:
Team Strength vs. Time Plot:
posted: Sat Jan  4 12:47:01 2020
games through: Sun Feb  8 2009

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