Dolphin Ratings - National Football League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM        W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RAMS       10  3  0 379 227  0.324  7.563    1  0.518    1  0.545    1  0.680    1 0.6130   14  1.308    1  0.714    2  0.646
BRONCOS    11  2  0 308 235 -0.129  5.608    2  0.459    2  0.478   12  0.121    3 0.5817   25  1.131   21 -0.076    6  0.318
SEAHAWKS   10  3  0 387 226  0.206  6.763    3  0.451    3  0.471    2  0.620    2 0.5858   12  1.332    2  0.685    3  0.554
49ERS       9  4  0 307 269  0.273  7.514    4  0.417    4  0.450    5  0.291    5 0.5746   19  1.264    8  0.265    7  0.317
JAGUARS     9  4  0 328 272  0.278  7.533    5  0.407    5  0.420    4  0.376    4 0.5789   11  1.332    7  0.442    8  0.310
TEXANS      8  5  0 283 208  0.397  7.977    6  0.363    6  0.357    3  0.449    6 0.5721   32  0.918   16  0.003    1  0.896
PATRIOTS   11  2  0 351 241 -0.309  4.756    7  0.355    7  0.336   10  0.159    7 0.5688   16  1.296   12  0.176   10  0.142
EAGLES      8  4  0 270 249  0.093  6.416    8  0.301    8  0.288   13  0.089    8 0.5655   26  1.129   22 -0.110    9  0.288
PACKERS     9  3  1 322 247 -0.131  5.714    9  0.263    9  0.252    9  0.162    9 0.5566   23  1.153   17 -0.007    5  0.331
BILLS       9  4  0 376 293 -0.084  5.883   10  0.238   10  0.228    8  0.203   10 0.5489    3  1.536    4  0.564   21 -0.158
TEAM        W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
COLTS       8  5  0 376 285  0.113  6.619   11  0.212   11  0.203    6  0.238   12 0.5344    6  1.497    5  0.540   16 -0.065
BEARS       9  4  0 334 335 -0.184  5.685   12  0.208   12  0.195   18 -0.050   11 0.5409    5  1.499    9  0.255   27 -0.356
BUCCANEERS  7  6  0 299 325  0.159  7.373   13  0.176   13  0.168   14 -0.012   13 0.5301    7  1.420   11  0.178   24 -0.202
CHARGERS    8  4  0 277 252 -0.167  5.251   14  0.163   14  0.148   15 -0.018   14 0.5248   17  1.281   19 -0.021   14 -0.015
LIONS       8  5  0 394 304 -0.080  5.945   15  0.128   15  0.111   11  0.134   15 0.5244    4  1.514    6  0.463   23 -0.194
PANTHERS    7  6  0 247 297  0.011  6.840   16  0.103   16  0.089   22 -0.115   16 0.5188   27  1.109   25 -0.339   12  0.109
STEELERS    7  6  0 308 311 -0.061  6.318   17  0.049   17  0.031   19 -0.059   17 0.5118   15  1.305   20 -0.030   18 -0.088
CHIEFS      6  7  0 315 252  0.113  6.855   18 -0.001   18 -0.020    7  0.235   19 0.4932   24  1.138   15  0.047    4  0.422
COWBOYS     6  6  1 381 386 -0.081  6.233   19 -0.030   19 -0.036   17 -0.047   18 0.4945    1  1.768    3  0.685   31 -0.778
RAVENS      6  7  0 311 320 -0.087  6.223   20 -0.101   20 -0.112   20 -0.090   20 0.4726    9  1.396   13  0.066   26 -0.245
TEAM        W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DOLPHINS    6  7  0 281 296 -0.207  5.688   21 -0.168   21 -0.165   21 -0.111   21 0.4636   20  1.237   23 -0.173   15 -0.049
VIKINGS     5  8  0 255 281 -0.125  6.162   22 -0.230   22 -0.229   23 -0.163   22 0.4610   29  1.052   27 -0.456   11  0.131
CARDINALS   3 10  0 282 348  0.243  7.925   23 -0.297   23 -0.295   16 -0.046   24 0.4466   10  1.364   14  0.065   20 -0.157
BENGALS     4  9  0 314 413 -0.067  6.622   24 -0.303   24 -0.304   26 -0.267   23 0.4488    2  1.634   10  0.245   32 -0.780
FALCONS     4  9  0 252 313 -0.067  6.503   25 -0.316   25 -0.319   25 -0.215   25 0.4394   21  1.198   24 -0.327   19 -0.103
SAINTS      3 10  0 206 315  0.037  7.206   26 -0.378   26 -0.366   27 -0.270   26 0.4325   31  0.980   30 -0.647   13  0.106
TITANS      2 11  0 201 357  0.160  8.042   27 -0.430   27 -0.420   29 -0.368   28 0.4137   22  1.173   29 -0.512   25 -0.225
COMMANDERS  3 10  0 262 354 -0.090  6.520   28 -0.446   28 -0.440   30 -0.390   29 0.4080   13  1.318   26 -0.343   29 -0.437
GIANTS      2 11  0 279 367  0.073  7.212   29 -0.487   29 -0.481   24 -0.204   27 0.4139    8  1.419   18 -0.015   28 -0.392
JETS        3 10  0 256 349 -0.231  5.791   30 -0.516   30 -0.517   31 -0.458   30 0.4023   18  1.275   28 -0.470   30 -0.447
TEAM        W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BROWNS      3 10  0 223 301 -0.248  5.708   31 -0.529   31 -0.529   28 -0.362   32 0.3920   28  1.052   31 -0.654   17 -0.069
RAIDERS     2 11  0 196 332 -0.128  6.596   32 -0.579   32 -0.561   32 -0.501   31 0.3936   30  1.023   32 -0.828   22 -0.174

AFC WEST
                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM        W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BRONCOS    11  2  0 308 235 -0.129  5.608    2  0.459    2  0.478   12  0.121    3 0.5817   25  1.131   21 -0.076    6  0.318
CHARGERS    8  4  0 277 252 -0.167  5.251   14  0.163   14  0.148   15 -0.018   14 0.5248   17  1.281   19 -0.021   14 -0.015
CHIEFS      6  7  0 315 252  0.113  6.855   18 -0.001   18 -0.020    7  0.235   19 0.4932   24  1.138   15  0.047    4  0.422
RAIDERS     2 11  0 196 332 -0.128  6.596   32 -0.579   32 -0.561   32 -0.501   31 0.3936   30  1.023   32 -0.828   22 -0.174

AFC SOUTH
                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM        W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
JAGUARS     9  4  0 328 272  0.278  7.533    5  0.407    5  0.420    4  0.376    4 0.5789   11  1.332    7  0.442    8  0.310
TEXANS      8  5  0 283 208  0.397  7.977    6  0.363    6  0.357    3  0.449    6 0.5721   32  0.918   16  0.003    1  0.896
COLTS       8  5  0 376 285  0.113  6.619   11  0.212   11  0.203    6  0.238   12 0.5344    6  1.497    5  0.540   16 -0.065
TITANS      2 11  0 201 357  0.160  8.042   27 -0.430   27 -0.420   29 -0.368   28 0.4137   22  1.173   29 -0.512   25 -0.225

AFC NORTH
                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM        W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
STEELERS    7  6  0 308 311 -0.061  6.318   17  0.049   17  0.031   19 -0.059   17 0.5118   15  1.305   20 -0.030   18 -0.088
RAVENS      6  7  0 311 320 -0.087  6.223   20 -0.101   20 -0.112   20 -0.090   20 0.4726    9  1.396   13  0.066   26 -0.245
BENGALS     4  9  0 314 413 -0.067  6.622   24 -0.303   24 -0.304   26 -0.267   23 0.4488    2  1.634   10  0.245   32 -0.780
BROWNS      3 10  0 223 301 -0.248  5.708   31 -0.529   31 -0.529   28 -0.362   32 0.3920   28  1.052   31 -0.654   17 -0.069

AFC EAST
                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM        W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PATRIOTS   11  2  0 351 241 -0.309  4.756    7  0.355    7  0.336   10  0.159    7 0.5688   16  1.296   12  0.176   10  0.142
BILLS       9  4  0 376 293 -0.084  5.883   10  0.238   10  0.228    8  0.203   10 0.5489    3  1.536    4  0.564   21 -0.158
DOLPHINS    6  7  0 281 296 -0.207  5.688   21 -0.168   21 -0.165   21 -0.111   21 0.4636   20  1.237   23 -0.173   15 -0.049
JETS        3 10  0 256 349 -0.231  5.791   30 -0.516   30 -0.517   31 -0.458   30 0.4023   18  1.275   28 -0.470   30 -0.447

NFC WEST
                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM        W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RAMS       10  3  0 379 227  0.324  7.563    1  0.518    1  0.545    1  0.680    1 0.6130   14  1.308    1  0.714    2  0.646
SEAHAWKS   10  3  0 387 226  0.206  6.763    3  0.451    3  0.471    2  0.620    2 0.5858   12  1.332    2  0.685    3  0.554
49ERS       9  4  0 307 269  0.273  7.514    4  0.417    4  0.450    5  0.291    5 0.5746   19  1.264    8  0.265    7  0.317
CARDINALS   3 10  0 282 348  0.243  7.925   23 -0.297   23 -0.295   16 -0.046   24 0.4466   10  1.364   14  0.065   20 -0.157

NFC SOUTH
                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM        W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BUCCANEERS  7  6  0 299 325  0.159  7.373   13  0.176   13  0.168   14 -0.012   13 0.5301    7  1.420   11  0.178   24 -0.202
PANTHERS    7  6  0 247 297  0.011  6.840   16  0.103   16  0.089   22 -0.115   16 0.5188   27  1.109   25 -0.339   12  0.109
FALCONS     4  9  0 252 313 -0.067  6.503   25 -0.316   25 -0.319   25 -0.215   25 0.4394   21  1.198   24 -0.327   19 -0.103
SAINTS      3 10  0 206 315  0.037  7.206   26 -0.378   26 -0.366   27 -0.270   26 0.4325   31  0.980   30 -0.647   13  0.106

NFC NORTH
                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM        W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PACKERS     9  3  1 322 247 -0.131  5.714    9  0.263    9  0.252    9  0.162    9 0.5566   23  1.153   17 -0.007    5  0.331
BEARS       9  4  0 334 335 -0.184  5.685   12  0.208   12  0.195   18 -0.050   11 0.5409    5  1.499    9  0.255   27 -0.356
LIONS       8  5  0 394 304 -0.080  5.945   15  0.128   15  0.111   11  0.134   15 0.5244    4  1.514    6  0.463   23 -0.194
VIKINGS     5  8  0 255 281 -0.125  6.162   22 -0.230   22 -0.229   23 -0.163   22 0.4610   29  1.052   27 -0.456   11  0.131

NFC EAST
                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM        W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
EAGLES      8  4  0 270 249  0.093  6.416    8  0.301    8  0.288   13  0.089    8 0.5655   26  1.129   22 -0.110    9  0.288
COWBOYS     6  6  1 381 386 -0.081  6.233   19 -0.030   19 -0.036   17 -0.047   18 0.4945    1  1.768    3  0.685   31 -0.778
COMMANDERS  3 10  0 262 354 -0.090  6.520   28 -0.446   28 -0.440   30 -0.390   29 0.4080   13  1.318   26 -0.343   29 -0.437
GIANTS      2 11  0 279 367  0.073  7.212   29 -0.487   29 -0.481   24 -0.204   27 0.4139    8  1.419   18 -0.015   28 -0.392

DIVISION    W  L  T   PCT  RNK RATING
NFC WEST   32 20  0 0.615    1  0.645
AFC SOUTH  27 25  0 0.519    2  0.326
NFC NORTH  31 20  1 0.606    3  0.020
AFC WEST   27 24  0 0.529    4 -0.023
AFC EAST   29 23  0 0.558    5 -0.118
NFC EAST   19 31  1 0.382    6 -0.201
NFC SOUTH  21 31  0 0.404    7 -0.248
AFC NORTH  20 32  0 0.385    8 -0.343

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.175 points in main ratings (0.109 for semineutral)
     0.018 points in improved RPI (0.015 for semineutral)
Average of 6.20 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Mon Dec  8 05:30:09 2025
games through: Sun Dec  7 2025

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