Dolphin Ratings - Major League Baseball

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.
Ballpark. This is an adjustment to the scoring ranking applied at home to account for ballpark effects.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RAYS         34 15 236 194  0.026 25.137    1  0.199    1  0.167    4  0.112    1 0.5508   13  0.506    8  0.143   12  0.082   18 -0.136
BRAVES       36 17 281 178 -0.016 26.195    2  0.175    2  0.149    1  0.188    2 0.5407   12  0.522    3  0.233    6  0.142   26 -0.328
BREWERS      30 19 245 174  0.045 25.491    3  0.106    3  0.107    3  0.162    3 0.5319   22  0.366   13  0.069    3  0.254   11  0.122
DODGERS      32 20 269 167 -0.014 25.718    4  0.087    4  0.093    2  0.179    4 0.5277   20  0.379   10  0.097    2  0.260   20 -0.160
PADRES       31 20 209 200 -0.042 24.902    5  0.058    5  0.077    9  0.014    6 0.5209   18  0.418   19 -0.034   13  0.062   22 -0.182
GUARDIANS    31 23 229 208 -0.007 27.102    6  0.042    6  0.063    7  0.032    8 0.5165   15  0.474   14  0.034   17  0.030   28 -0.391
CARDINALS    29 22 233 232  0.012 26.047    7  0.041    7  0.062   14  0.007    7 0.5184   14  0.496   15  0.028   18 -0.014   13  0.083
CUBS         29 23 248 225  0.034 26.912    8  0.039    8  0.061    6  0.049    5 0.5211    1  0.875    1  0.448   29 -0.349   29 -0.474
YANKEES      30 22 252 187 -0.043 25.234    9  0.031    9  0.051    5  0.101    9 0.5117   28  0.213   22 -0.116    1  0.318    2  0.469
DIAMONDBACKS 27 24 230 231  0.004 25.859   10  0.013   10  0.026   11  0.011   10 0.5061    5  0.681    5  0.208   22 -0.187   21 -0.163
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
NATIONALS    26 27 286 301  0.062 28.124   11  0.005   11  0.014   15  0.002   12 0.5049    2  0.774    2  0.293   28 -0.289    6  0.312
REDS         27 25 229 263 -0.041 25.542   12 -0.003   12  0.003   25 -0.067   13 0.5019    8  0.648   11  0.097   26 -0.232   15  0.037
WHITE SOX    26 25 230 244 -0.022 25.371   13 -0.004   13  0.001   18 -0.024   15 0.4999    9  0.615    9  0.108   21 -0.157   17 -0.093
BLUE JAYS    25 27 213 216  0.041 27.137   14 -0.006   14 -0.002   10  0.014   16 0.4976   29  0.189   27 -0.222    4  0.249    5  0.315
PIRATES      26 26 252 233 -0.018 25.894   15 -0.007   16 -0.005    8  0.022   11 0.5052   16  0.430   17 -0.016   14  0.059    7  0.265
PHILLIES     26 26 212 234 -0.013 26.099   16 -0.008   15 -0.004   21 -0.041   14 0.5011   25  0.283   26 -0.202   10  0.120    9  0.212
ATHLETICS    26 26 227 237 -0.028 25.773   17 -0.010   17 -0.009   19 -0.032   17 0.4962   23  0.321   24 -0.162   11  0.098    1  0.564
TWINS        25 27 242 239 -0.014 25.992   18 -0.017   18 -0.021   13  0.008   19 0.4931    4  0.689    4  0.214   23 -0.197   19 -0.145
MARLINS      24 29 227 242  0.041 27.714   19 -0.021   19 -0.025   17 -0.013   18 0.4942    6  0.677    6  0.180   25 -0.207   24 -0.252
RANGERS      24 27 200 193 -0.013 25.521   20 -0.023   20 -0.028   12  0.009   20 0.4900   17  0.420   20 -0.037   15  0.055   30 -0.651
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
MARINERS     25 28 212 204 -0.029 26.195   21 -0.026   21 -0.033   16 -0.006   21 0.4897   24  0.309   23 -0.147    8  0.134   16  0.030
RED SOX      22 29 189 204  0.004 25.942   22 -0.044   22 -0.055   20 -0.032   23 0.4832   19  0.397   21 -0.099   16  0.034   27 -0.349
ORIOLES      22 29 222 278  0.004 26.002   23 -0.048   23 -0.056   27 -0.092   24 0.4827    7  0.661   12  0.085   27 -0.270   14  0.058
GIANTS       21 31 187 237  0.035 27.176   24 -0.059   24 -0.068   26 -0.091   22 0.4842   27  0.214   29 -0.308    9  0.125    8  0.255
METS         22 30 206 223 -0.021 25.961   25 -0.061   25 -0.072   24 -0.061   25 0.4786   30  0.109   30 -0.358    5  0.235    4  0.345
ROYALS       21 31 199 226  0.005 26.484   26 -0.069   26 -0.079   23 -0.050   26 0.4747   26  0.252   28 -0.237    7  0.137   12  0.106
ASTROS       22 31 225 276 -0.042 26.067   27 -0.077   27 -0.086   29 -0.111   27 0.4727   10  0.572   18 -0.019   24 -0.203   10  0.148
TIGERS       20 32 200 226  0.011 26.602   28 -0.087   28 -0.092   22 -0.045   29 0.4713   11  0.542   16  0.019   20 -0.109   23 -0.192
ROCKIES      20 33 218 273 -0.003 26.893   29 -0.106   29 -0.106   30 -0.114   28 0.4716   21  0.374   25 -0.199   19 -0.028    3  0.457
ANGELS       19 34 215 278  0.016 27.293   30 -0.122   30 -0.116   28 -0.109   30 0.4664    3  0.744    7  0.151   30 -0.369   25 -0.272

NL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DODGERS      32 20 269 167 -0.014 25.718    4  0.087    4  0.093    2  0.179    4 0.5277   20  0.379   10  0.097    2  0.260   20 -0.160
PADRES       31 20 209 200 -0.042 24.902    5  0.058    5  0.077    9  0.014    6 0.5209   18  0.418   19 -0.034   13  0.062   22 -0.182
DIAMONDBACKS 27 24 230 231  0.004 25.859   10  0.013   10  0.026   11  0.011   10 0.5061    5  0.681    5  0.208   22 -0.187   21 -0.163
GIANTS       21 31 187 237  0.035 27.176   24 -0.059   24 -0.068   26 -0.091   22 0.4842   27  0.214   29 -0.308    9  0.125    8  0.255
ROCKIES      20 33 218 273 -0.003 26.893   29 -0.106   29 -0.106   30 -0.114   28 0.4716   21  0.374   25 -0.199   19 -0.028    3  0.457

NL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BREWERS      30 19 245 174  0.045 25.491    3  0.106    3  0.107    3  0.162    3 0.5319   22  0.366   13  0.069    3  0.254   11  0.122
CARDINALS    29 22 233 232  0.012 26.047    7  0.041    7  0.062   14  0.007    7 0.5184   14  0.496   15  0.028   18 -0.014   13  0.083
CUBS         29 23 248 225  0.034 26.912    8  0.039    8  0.061    6  0.049    5 0.5211    1  0.875    1  0.448   29 -0.349   29 -0.474
REDS         27 25 229 263 -0.041 25.542   12 -0.003   12  0.003   25 -0.067   13 0.5019    8  0.648   11  0.097   26 -0.232   15  0.037
PIRATES      26 26 252 233 -0.018 25.894   15 -0.007   16 -0.005    8  0.022   11 0.5052   16  0.430   17 -0.016   14  0.059    7  0.265

NL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BRAVES       36 17 281 178 -0.016 26.195    2  0.175    2  0.149    1  0.188    2 0.5407   12  0.522    3  0.233    6  0.142   26 -0.328
NATIONALS    26 27 286 301  0.062 28.124   11  0.005   11  0.014   15  0.002   12 0.5049    2  0.774    2  0.293   28 -0.289    6  0.312
PHILLIES     26 26 212 234 -0.013 26.099   16 -0.008   15 -0.004   21 -0.041   14 0.5011   25  0.283   26 -0.202   10  0.120    9  0.212
MARLINS      24 29 227 242  0.041 27.714   19 -0.021   19 -0.025   17 -0.013   18 0.4942    6  0.677    6  0.180   25 -0.207   24 -0.252
METS         22 30 206 223 -0.021 25.961   25 -0.061   25 -0.072   24 -0.061   25 0.4786   30  0.109   30 -0.358    5  0.235    4  0.345

AL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ATHLETICS    26 26 227 237 -0.028 25.773   17 -0.010   17 -0.009   19 -0.032   17 0.4962   23  0.321   24 -0.162   11  0.098    1  0.564
RANGERS      24 27 200 193 -0.013 25.521   20 -0.023   20 -0.028   12  0.009   20 0.4900   17  0.420   20 -0.037   15  0.055   30 -0.651
MARINERS     25 28 212 204 -0.029 26.195   21 -0.026   21 -0.033   16 -0.006   21 0.4897   24  0.309   23 -0.147    8  0.134   16  0.030
ASTROS       22 31 225 276 -0.042 26.067   27 -0.077   27 -0.086   29 -0.111   27 0.4727   10  0.572   18 -0.019   24 -0.203   10  0.148
ANGELS       19 34 215 278  0.016 27.293   30 -0.122   30 -0.116   28 -0.109   30 0.4664    3  0.744    7  0.151   30 -0.369   25 -0.272

AL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
GUARDIANS    31 23 229 208 -0.007 27.102    6  0.042    6  0.063    7  0.032    8 0.5165   15  0.474   14  0.034   17  0.030   28 -0.391
WHITE SOX    26 25 230 244 -0.022 25.371   13 -0.004   13  0.001   18 -0.024   15 0.4999    9  0.615    9  0.108   21 -0.157   17 -0.093
TWINS        25 27 242 239 -0.014 25.992   18 -0.017   18 -0.021   13  0.008   19 0.4931    4  0.689    4  0.214   23 -0.197   19 -0.145
ROYALS       21 31 199 226  0.005 26.484   26 -0.069   26 -0.079   23 -0.050   26 0.4747   26  0.252   28 -0.237    7  0.137   12  0.106
TIGERS       20 32 200 226  0.011 26.602   28 -0.087   28 -0.092   22 -0.045   29 0.4713   11  0.542   16  0.019   20 -0.109   23 -0.192

AL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RAYS         34 15 236 194  0.026 25.137    1  0.199    1  0.167    4  0.112    1 0.5508   13  0.506    8  0.143   12  0.082   18 -0.136
YANKEES      30 22 252 187 -0.043 25.234    9  0.031    9  0.051    5  0.101    9 0.5117   28  0.213   22 -0.116    1  0.318    2  0.469
BLUE JAYS    25 27 213 216  0.041 27.137   14 -0.006   14 -0.002   10  0.014   16 0.4976   29  0.189   27 -0.222    4  0.249    5  0.315
RED SOX      22 29 189 204  0.004 25.942   22 -0.044   22 -0.055   20 -0.032   23 0.4832   19  0.397   21 -0.099   16  0.034   27 -0.349
ORIOLES      22 29 222 278  0.004 26.002   23 -0.048   23 -0.056   27 -0.092   24 0.4827    7  0.661   12  0.085   27 -0.270   14  0.058

DIVISION     W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
NL CENTRAL 141 115 0.551    1  0.079
AL EAST    133 122 0.522    2  0.046
NL EAST    134 129 0.510    3  0.030
NL WEST    131 128 0.506    4 -0.003
AL CENTRAL 123 138 0.471    5 -0.037
AL WEST    116 146 0.443    6 -0.113

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.060 points in main ratings (0.058 for semineutral)
     0.007 points in improved RPI (0.006 for semineutral)
Average of 2.65 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Sun May 24 05:30:06 2026
games through: Sat May 23 2026

Back to Dolphin rankings main page.