Dolphin Ratings - Major League Baseball

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.
Ballpark. This is an adjustment to the scoring ranking applied at home to account for ballpark effects.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM         W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DODGERS      2 0 13  6 -0.116  0.898    1  0.045    1  0.025    2  0.056    1 0.5434   10  0.489    9  0.154   18 -0.042    5  0.062 P
YANKEES      2 0 10  0 -0.107  0.903    2  0.042    2  0.022    1  0.063    2 0.5424   23  0.126   20 -0.139    1  0.265    7  0.010 P
TIGERS       2 0 13  4 -0.042  0.974    3  0.034    3  0.016    6  0.018    3 0.5306   12  0.437   11  0.069   17 -0.034   16  0.010 P
ANGELS       2 0  9  2 -0.037  0.985    4  0.028    4  0.010   11 -0.008    8 0.5223   22  0.226   19 -0.132   10  0.117   21  0.010 P
PHILLIES     1 0  5  3 -0.068  0.474    5  0.026    5  0.006    5  0.018    4 0.5263   14  0.415   12  0.051   15 -0.014   23  0.001 P
BREWERS      1 0 14  2 -0.406  0.328    6  0.026    8  0.003    3  0.047    5 0.5251    6  0.695    4  0.340   23 -0.246    3  0.223 P
BRAVES       1 0  6  0 -0.232  0.402    7  0.024    7  0.003    4  0.031    7 0.5237   18  0.265   17 -0.062    9  0.124   24 -0.112 P
RED SOX      1 0  3  0 -0.034  0.489    8  0.023    6  0.004    7  0.017    6 0.5246   29  0.094   24 -0.208    2  0.242   14  0.010 P
BLUE JAYS    1 0  3  2 -0.209  0.416    9  0.023    9  0.002   10  0.004    9 0.5210   19  0.242   18 -0.107   11  0.116   25 -0.129 P
METS         1 0 11  7 -0.219  0.411   10  0.021   10  0.001    9  0.007   10 0.5194    2  0.812    1  0.419   29 -0.405    1  0.319 P
TEAM         W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ORIOLES      1 0  2  1 -0.136  0.451   11  0.018   12 -0.002   15 -0.015   12 0.5140   25  0.104   25 -0.233    3  0.203   28 -0.229 P
CARDINALS    1 0  9  7 -0.053  0.486   12  0.017   11 -0.001   13 -0.014   11 0.5146    3  0.753    5  0.338   27 -0.365    2  0.271 P
GUARDIANS    1 1  7  9  0.137  1.137   13  0.013   14 -0.010   16 -0.016   14 0.5048   16  0.414   16  0.015   20 -0.047   20  0.010 P
MARINERS     1 1  9  7 -0.083  0.941   14  0.012   16 -0.014    8  0.009   15 0.5031   15  0.414   13  0.040   16 -0.023   22  0.004 P
MARLINS      1 0  2  1 -0.436  0.331   15  0.010   15 -0.011   24 -0.042   16 0.5014   28  0.100   29 -0.262    6  0.179   29 -0.231 P
NATIONALS    1 0 10  4  0.009  0.516   16  0.009   13 -0.007   21 -0.030   13 0.5058    8  0.687    7  0.255   25 -0.315   17  0.010 P
CUBS         0 1  4 10 -0.142  0.449   17 -0.016   19 -0.030   17 -0.018   19 0.4850    7  0.687    6  0.267   24 -0.303    4  0.217 P
RAYS         0 1  7  9  0.051  0.531   18 -0.017   18 -0.029   12 -0.009   17 0.4869    4  0.753    3  0.342   26 -0.361   18  0.010 P
RANGERS      0 1  3  5  0.201  0.596   19 -0.019   17 -0.028   14 -0.015   18 0.4863   13  0.415   15  0.018   19 -0.047   10  0.010 P
REDS         0 1  0  3  0.069  0.543   20 -0.021   21 -0.032   23 -0.033   20 0.4800   30  0.094   28 -0.258    4  0.192   30 -0.236 P
TEAM         W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
TWINS        0 1  1  2  0.037  0.528   21 -0.023   22 -0.033   19 -0.026   23 0.4796   26  0.104   26 -0.244    5  0.191   15  0.010 P
ROYALS       0 1  0  6  0.252  0.623   22 -0.023   20 -0.031   27 -0.049   22 0.4797   17  0.265   21 -0.143   14  0.044    9  0.010 P
PIRATES      0 1  7 11  0.134  0.573   23 -0.026   23 -0.035   26 -0.046   24 0.4752    1  0.812    2  0.366   30 -0.458   13  0.010 P
ATHLETICS    0 1  2  3  0.121  0.567   24 -0.028   24 -0.037   25 -0.045   28 0.4729   20  0.242   23 -0.156   13  0.067   19  0.010 P
WHITE SOX    0 1  2 14  0.315  0.655   25 -0.030   25 -0.037   29 -0.087   29 0.4689    5  0.695    8  0.205   28 -0.380    8  0.010 P
DIAMONDBACKS 0 2  6 13  0.356  1.321   26 -0.031   26 -0.038   18 -0.025   21 0.4799    9  0.489   10  0.073   22 -0.123   11  0.010 P
PADRES       0 2  4 13  0.059  1.076   27 -0.032   28 -0.042   22 -0.031   25 0.4748   11  0.437   14  0.020   21 -0.083    6  0.022 P
ASTROS       0 2  2  9 -0.047  0.984   28 -0.033   29 -0.045   20 -0.029   26 0.4735   21  0.226   22 -0.154   12  0.095   26 -0.137 P
GIANTS       0 2  0 10  0.256  1.247   29 -0.033   27 -0.041   28 -0.051   27 0.4732   24  0.126   27 -0.253    7  0.151   27 -0.210 P
ROCKIES      0 1  1  2 -0.112  0.474   30 -0.039   30 -0.049   30 -0.088   30 0.4545   27  0.100   30 -0.309    8  0.132   12  0.010 P

NL WEST
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM         W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DODGERS      2 0 13  6 -0.116  0.898    1  0.045    1  0.025    2  0.056    1 0.5434   10  0.489    9  0.154   18 -0.042    5  0.062 P
DIAMONDBACKS 0 2  6 13  0.356  1.321   26 -0.031   26 -0.038   18 -0.025   21 0.4799    9  0.489   10  0.073   22 -0.123   11  0.010 P
PADRES       0 2  4 13  0.059  1.076   27 -0.032   28 -0.042   22 -0.031   25 0.4748   11  0.437   14  0.020   21 -0.083    6  0.022 P
GIANTS       0 2  0 10  0.256  1.247   29 -0.033   27 -0.041   28 -0.051   27 0.4732   24  0.126   27 -0.253    7  0.151   27 -0.210 P
ROCKIES      0 1  1  2 -0.112  0.474   30 -0.039   30 -0.049   30 -0.088   30 0.4545   27  0.100   30 -0.309    8  0.132   12  0.010 P

NL CENTRAL
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM         W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BREWERS      1 0 14  2 -0.406  0.328    6  0.026    8  0.003    3  0.047    5 0.5251    6  0.695    4  0.340   23 -0.246    3  0.223 P
CARDINALS    1 0  9  7 -0.053  0.486   12  0.017   11 -0.001   13 -0.014   11 0.5146    3  0.753    5  0.338   27 -0.365    2  0.271 P
CUBS         0 1  4 10 -0.142  0.449   17 -0.016   19 -0.030   17 -0.018   19 0.4850    7  0.687    6  0.267   24 -0.303    4  0.217 P
REDS         0 1  0  3  0.069  0.543   20 -0.021   21 -0.032   23 -0.033   20 0.4800   30  0.094   28 -0.258    4  0.192   30 -0.236 P
PIRATES      0 1  7 11  0.134  0.573   23 -0.026   23 -0.035   26 -0.046   24 0.4752    1  0.812    2  0.366   30 -0.458   13  0.010 P

NL EAST
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM         W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PHILLIES     1 0  5  3 -0.068  0.474    5  0.026    5  0.006    5  0.018    4 0.5263   14  0.415   12  0.051   15 -0.014   23  0.001 P
BRAVES       1 0  6  0 -0.232  0.402    7  0.024    7  0.003    4  0.031    7 0.5237   18  0.265   17 -0.062    9  0.124   24 -0.112 P
METS         1 0 11  7 -0.219  0.411   10  0.021   10  0.001    9  0.007   10 0.5194    2  0.812    1  0.419   29 -0.405    1  0.319 P
MARLINS      1 0  2  1 -0.436  0.331   15  0.010   15 -0.011   24 -0.042   16 0.5014   28  0.100   29 -0.262    6  0.179   29 -0.231 P
NATIONALS    1 0 10  4  0.009  0.516   16  0.009   13 -0.007   21 -0.030   13 0.5058    8  0.687    7  0.255   25 -0.315   17  0.010 P

AL WEST
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM         W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ANGELS       2 0  9  2 -0.037  0.985    4  0.028    4  0.010   11 -0.008    8 0.5223   22  0.226   19 -0.132   10  0.117   21  0.010 P
MARINERS     1 1  9  7 -0.083  0.941   14  0.012   16 -0.014    8  0.009   15 0.5031   15  0.414   13  0.040   16 -0.023   22  0.004 P
RANGERS      0 1  3  5  0.201  0.596   19 -0.019   17 -0.028   14 -0.015   18 0.4863   13  0.415   15  0.018   19 -0.047   10  0.010 P
ATHLETICS    0 1  2  3  0.121  0.567   24 -0.028   24 -0.037   25 -0.045   28 0.4729   20  0.242   23 -0.156   13  0.067   19  0.010 P
ASTROS       0 2  2  9 -0.047  0.984   28 -0.033   29 -0.045   20 -0.029   26 0.4735   21  0.226   22 -0.154   12  0.095   26 -0.137 P

AL CENTRAL
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM         W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
TIGERS       2 0 13  4 -0.042  0.974    3  0.034    3  0.016    6  0.018    3 0.5306   12  0.437   11  0.069   17 -0.034   16  0.010 P
GUARDIANS    1 1  7  9  0.137  1.137   13  0.013   14 -0.010   16 -0.016   14 0.5048   16  0.414   16  0.015   20 -0.047   20  0.010 P
TWINS        0 1  1  2  0.037  0.528   21 -0.023   22 -0.033   19 -0.026   23 0.4796   26  0.104   26 -0.244    5  0.191   15  0.010 P
ROYALS       0 1  0  6  0.252  0.623   22 -0.023   20 -0.031   27 -0.049   22 0.4797   17  0.265   21 -0.143   14  0.044    9  0.010 P
WHITE SOX    0 1  2 14  0.315  0.655   25 -0.030   25 -0.037   29 -0.087   29 0.4689    5  0.695    8  0.205   28 -0.380    8  0.010 P

AL EAST
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM         W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
YANKEES      2 0 10  0 -0.107  0.903    2  0.042    2  0.022    1  0.063    2 0.5424   23  0.126   20 -0.139    1  0.265    7  0.010 P
RED SOX      1 0  3  0 -0.034  0.489    8  0.023    6  0.004    7  0.017    6 0.5246   29  0.094   24 -0.208    2  0.242   14  0.010 P
BLUE JAYS    1 0  3  2 -0.209  0.416    9  0.023    9  0.002   10  0.004    9 0.5210   19  0.242   18 -0.107   11  0.116   25 -0.129 P
ORIOLES      1 0  2  1 -0.136  0.451   11  0.018   12 -0.002   15 -0.015   12 0.5140   25  0.104   25 -0.233    3  0.203   28 -0.229 P
RAYS         0 1  7  9  0.051  0.531   18 -0.017   18 -0.029   12 -0.009   17 0.4869    4  0.753    3  0.342   26 -0.361   18  0.010 P

DIVISION   W L   PCT  RNK RATING
AL EAST    5 1 0.833    1  0.115
NL EAST    5 0 1.000    2  0.048
NL CENTRAL 2 3 0.400    3 -0.010
AL WEST    3 5 0.375    4 -0.038
NL WEST    2 7 0.222    5 -0.099
AL CENTRAL 3 4 0.429    6 -0.116

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.065 points in main ratings (0.058 for semineutral)
     0.009 points in improved RPI (0.006 for semineutral)
Average of 2.65 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Sat Mar 28 05:30:05 2026
games through: Fri Mar 27 2026

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